James J relates the latest fortnightly Newspoll has the Coalition’s lead at a relatively modest 54-46, compared with 56-44 a fortnight ago, from primary votes of 33% for Labor (up five), 45% for the Coalition (down one) and 10% for the Greens (down one). The spike in the “others” vote in the previous poll has not been repeated. On personal ratings, Julia Gillard is steady on approval at 29% and down three on disapproval to 59%, while Tony Abbott is up two on approval to 32% and down five on disapproval to 56%. Tony Abbott’s lead as preferred prime minister is down from 40-36 to 38-36.
Today’s Essential Research had the Coalition two-party lead up from 55-45 to 56-44, although nothing had changed on the primary vote: 33% for Labor, 49% for the Coalition and 10% for the Greens. Further questions related to the National Disability Insurance Scheme, party with the better policies for various groups of disadvantaged people (Labor comfortably ahead in each case), and the Olympic Games (among other things, 58% think $39 million of government spending per gold medal too much).
Also:
• The Australian reports that James McGrath, having failed in his bid to take on Mal Brough for the LNP preselection in Fisher, will now either return to his original plan and contest the neighbouring seat of Fairfax, or instead try for Senate preselection. The latter might transpire if Barnaby Joyce’s position becomes available, as it will if he succeeds in easing out Bruce Scott in Maranoa. However, both plans face obstacles: McGrath told preselectors in Fisher he would not use Fairfax as a fall-back option, and former Nationals expect that a Senate vacancy would be filled by one of their own.
• Imre Salusinszky of The Australian reports that a fast-track preselection process will secure Peter Garrett’s endorsement in Kingsford Smith. Hypothetical rivals included local resident Bob Carr, whose old state seat of Maroubra was located wholly within the electorate, and Ben Keneally, mayoral candidate for Botany and husband of the former Premier. The report also says Labor’s candidates for the Liberal marginals of Macquarie and Gilmore are likely to be Susan Templeman and Neil Riley.
• In an interview with local blog the Warragul Citizen, Russell Broadbent, the Liberal member for McMillan, says a mooted challenge to his preselection by conservative opponents failed to materialise as it had no prospect of success.
• The Sunshine Coast Daily reports Bill Gissane, a partner with the workplace health and safety consultancy the Enterprise Development Network, will be Labor’s candidate against Mal Brough in Fisher.
UDPATE: Roy Morgan‘s latest face-to-face result, from the previous two weekends of polling, is little changed on the previous fortnight: Labor and the Coalition both up half a point on the primary vote to 32% and 43.5%, with the Greens down half a point to 11.5%. The Coalition’s lead is 56-44 on respondent allocated preferences, down from 57-43, and 53.5-46.5 with preferences allocated as per the last election result, down from 54-46.
Nice cartoons.
If Tony is the answer …
TLBD – I’m part of the CB generation! (even in Belco)
👿
Harry James and Helen Forrest with Mister Five By Five.
http://tinyurl.com/c4c2ufu
scorpio
Tones the ‘pipe cleaner’ – with ears.
I like it.
CTar1,
Not done it myself but my father in law, sometime chief engineer at 2UW, was a big fan and I got some exposure.
Apologies if already posted
[IT was Queensland’s abrasive Premier, Campbell Newman, who sparked Julia Gillard’s power play on electricity prices.
When the state and territory leaders travelled to Canberra a fortnight ago, the main brawl was about the National Disability Insurance Scheme.
But when talk turned to power prices, “Candid Campbell” gave the Prime Minister just the line she had been looking for to manage the next political phase of the carbon tax fight.]
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/opinion/high-voltage-politics-as-julia-gillard-attempts-to-deal-with-rising-power-prices/story-e6frfhqf-1226447069141
TLBD – Country stuff … and actually useful in its time (minus the wankery).
victoria
“Candid Campbell” rapidly becoming “Candida Campbell” 🙂
FIL retired to a farm half-way between Wagga and Tumba. Did lots of CQs when others went to bed.
poroti
Indeed
poroti,
You mean:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Candida_%28fungus%29
Good evening all.
Barrie Cassidy sums things up nicely with this:
[It is of course in the interests of Rudd supporters to make it as difficult for the Prime Minister as they can. That has in the past meant manipulating the media to run negative stories on the eve of Newspolls.
That didn’t happen in the run up to the last one when the ALP gained a 5 per cent boost in its primary vote. The camp went quiet during the winter break, no doubt resting up for their own spring offensive.
As a result – with little talk of Kevin Rudd – the Government was able to get some conversations started, with seemingly positive results.]
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-08-10/cassidy-winter-break-over/4189944
He goes on to mention the PM’s stance on the NDIS, forcing the states into a backdown, Swan’s Springsteen analogy with rising inequality, and the PM’s attacks on the states’ mishandling of electricity infrastructure.
Parliament back next week, just in time for a fresh of Ruddstoration in the lead up to Newspoll.
Bolt jokes on twitter. This is one eg.
@TheRealMickyT: Andrew Bolt’s next column: How some women pretend to be lesbians so they can reap the benefits of knitting denied to white heterosexual men
This little black duck
I “Do Wah Diddy Diddy” mean exackery that.
[But when talk turned to power prices, “Candid Campbell” gave the Prime Minister just the line she had been looking for to manage the next political phase of the carbon tax fight.]
Love it.
Suddenly the media reporting seems to have shifted perceptively.
[half-way between Wagga and Tumba]
You mean Tarcutta – I stopped once for a break.
Or Adelong – when I was about 14 I rode a horse (better than I was by a long shot) in an X-country there.
Sins of youth.
A little birdy told me it is “daretotread’s” birthday today.
http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2012/08/cia-deep-sea-spy-sat/?pid=1442&pageid=88968&viewall=true
OT, but interesting. Didn’t know there was such a thing as the Trieste II.
confessions
The govt has gained some ground thanks to Cando and the other Lib premiers. The carbon price fizzer is another reason
guytaur
[Bolt jokes on twitter. ]
Full on f#@kwit.
Basic lack of social grace is a vast under statement as well as his inability to consider other peoples views.
Christian Porter gets preselected in Pearce I see.
As if it was in any doubt.
Carabost. On Google Earth it’s the homestead NE of the Carabost marker.
CTar
Yes. It is good to see jokes at his expense. Better yet would be for Bolt’s career actually reflect his lacklustre ratings.
confessions @ 3420
Another joining the ‘Joe for Canberra MkII’ rush’. I’m guessing he’s an ‘in player’ with the Qld LNP.
My Mum hs the boring useless AFL on TV. I want to watch the Olympics WAH
WAH WAH.
guytaur
[Better yet would be for Bolt’s career actually reflect his lacklustre ratings.]
Just check out the Tumbleweeds blowing through his blogs 🙂
CTar!:
Christian Porter is the former WA Treasurer.
I’d never put him in the same class as the hick white shoe brigade in the Qld LNP!
Hey, some AFL player of some importance just got carried off, and Mum reckons that is the end of that game, so it is over to the Olympics. There is a God of Sport.
guytaur
[It is good to see jokes at his expense. ]
It is just righteous.
🙂
This is second item on Telegraph’s most popular reader’s list:
[Bolt slams Lewis’ drugs slur]
Expecting to find that Andrew Bolt is slamming fellow Murdoch employee Steve Lewis, I discovered that the article is actually about two olympic champion runners.
I know where Glenroy is but now you’re talking sticks!
Puff, for 30 bucks you can get a digital TV receiver that plugs into a USB port.
I can watch the Olympics (and other TV) from wherever I am as long as I’m in range.
You know this already 😉
victoria @3405.
Thanks for the link to that article.
I find it amazing that the MSM continue to underestimate the PM.
On the issue of electricity prices the PM is not asking questions that she does not have a answer for.
The government has a white paper coming out soon on this very issue.
A coincidence that the PM puts the issue front and centre now ?
Yes, in part it is out there to cloud the anti Carbon pricing campaign but just as much the government has a strategy and policy to contain electricity prices.
The ground work is being laid.
Good politics and good policy on so many levels.
An horrific story.
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/wa/14514974/leeman-tragedy-as-one-of-two-rescued-fishermen-dies/
The man reportedly trod water overnight and was found by a Ch7 helicopter naked, floating in the ocean with a shark circling him. His fishing companions are either dead or still missing.
CTar:
Pearce is Judi Moylan’s electorate.
Why Porter didn’t run in Tangney, where the odious Dennis Jensen has twice been rejected by preselectors in past elections is anyone’s guess.
confessions
[An horrific story.]
The wild wild West has seen 5 people eaten by sharks in the last 10 months. Another couple of dead fishermen is a bit of “same old same old” over here. Very sad but that is the way it is.
@Reuters: Japan says El Nino emerges, raising fears on food prices http://t.co/ATyIv2lC
Official confirmation of bludger predictions.
The sailing is fantastic right now,
confessions
[I’d never put him in the same class]
I doubt he’s stupid either but the tide is ‘do dumb’ because that is the easiest way to Federal politics in Canberra as a Coalition person.
I think having to deliver that last budget under ‘Uncle Colins’ command may not have suited him well.
I expect we’ll get to see what he’s made of.
Go boy’s!!!
Puff
Think your the sailing enthusiast
AOC@AUSOlympicTeam
#sailing Aussie men belcher & page lead around the 2nd mark in the 470 medal race. In gold medal position but light winds mean anythings pos
Doyley
I am hopeful that JG has got her ducks in a row for this sitting of parliament.
thanks snap
@rainbowlaborvic: Vic Rainbow Labor will be flying the flag at the #equallove rally 2morrow for #MarriageEquality. 1pm @ the State Library. Be there.
grey
[The sailing is fantastic right now,]
Watched the replay of the 49ers final race last night. Pro tip No.1 There were only two crews who raced in bare feet. Australia Gold and NZ Silver.
AOC@AUSOlympicTeam
First goal of the game goes to the Hockeyroos! Up 1-0 v China with 29 minutes left to play
victoria
[I am hopeful that JG has got her ducks in a row]
I hope they don’t get mowed down by ‘lympic sailors !
hate to say I told you so.
[I am hopeful that JG has got her ducks in a row]
As long as the ducks are our little black ones !!
Actually its not ducks, its black swans. Caught the LNP with no plan B.