Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition

The latest Essential Research poll has Labor losing the ground it gained in last week’s result: their primary vote has dropped a point to 31 per cent, with the Coalition up one to 49 per cent, the Greens steady on 11 per cent and two-party preferred out from 55-45 to 56-44. Furthermore:

• Little change has been recorded on the carbon tax since an improved result a fortnight ago: approval is steady on 39 per cent and disapproval up two to 51 per cent. Exactly half of all respondents believe that Tony Abbott either doesn’t believe in or doesn’t care about climate change.

• The government’s “Malaysia solution” on asylum seekers has suffered a sharp decline in popularity since June 16: support is down nine points to 31 per cent and opposition up 14 to 53 per cent.

• “Trust in organisations to handle personal information” runs, from highest to lowest, the medical profession, banks, governments,Australian companies, online companies, political parties, foreign companies and the media.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,376 comments on “Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition”

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  1. Space Kidette

    [poroti,

    You just reminded my why I love Douglas Adams. Actually reading him again now might be a good thing amongst all the nonsense that is going at the moment.]
    Douglas was the fun messenger about the future but the guy that I read way back when that has amazed me at how much he predicted has come to be was William Gibson in his book Neuromancer.

  2. [the brand new Cameron Offices, complete with leaky roof.]
    Someone sued, saying it leaked like a sieve. They lost. Apparently, it wasn’t a sieve-like leak. I played tennis on those courts.

  4. Kidette
    No – it was far too windy. It’s been postponed.
    But it will happen.
    Talking to a CFS guy last night he told me that gorse do go off like Roman Candles. They aren’t called “kerosene bushes” for nothing.

  5. Matt Franklin asked Turnbull a question about IR today. Turnbull responded wtte that small business owners he speaks to, dont like Fair Work, especially as it relates to unfair dismissal

  7. poroti,

    Interesting, I love futurist type books, I will see if I can grab a copy and give it a read.

    BK,

    Sounds like just the thing to bring out your inner arsonist. 😆

  8. poroti,

    My mother spoke six or seven languages. Lots rubbed off. I have listened to lots of radio and read a few books. Language has always been an interest. Literary allusions are the bread and butter on my side plate.

  9. These young bucks don’t know what hardship is…

    [ I started with a Dick Smith System 80, 16K RAM with an inbuilt cassette drive in about 1981

    OK, top this you bludgers.

    March 1977, Using an acoustic coupler accessing bibliographic databases at Lockheed Data Systems, Palo Alto, California.

    Bloody OTC then, charged us $256 per hour to use the ISD. No screen, just thermal printouts.]

    Those televisual production of youse will remember the standard videotape timecode editing system of the 70s and 80s: CMX. This was a huge device that took up half a rack full of space to install, and just about needed its own sub-station to run its power drain.

    But CMX also made a “baby brother” system, called the “CMX Edge”. Not nearly as powerful, but also not nearly as expensive and power hungry. It was limited to three video tape recorders (VTRs) whereas the full CMX system could run up to 16 simultaneously.

    A video editing studio I was consulting for needed a CMX Edge interface ROM (2K bytes) for an Ampex (now sadly defunct) 1″ tape machine called a “VPR-80”. CMX in California had it. We in Artarmon didn’t.

    We tried direct dial-up modeming. Failed. Connection kept on dropping out. Those were the days.

    Next we tried a Nagra tape recording – voice – of some engineer at CMS actually reading out the raw data – all 2048 bytes of it. Failed, because they used a vox operated microphone and kept of cutting out the sibilants… this was in hex code and “C” was indistinguishable from “D” and “E”… the first sibilant of each letter was cut off. So, the byte “CE” could well have been “DE” or “ED” or “DD” or whatever. Blew the PROM and tried it… smoke just about came out of the CMS Edge when we pressed “PLAY” on the console.

    Finally I insisted… we’d get an international call (they paid) from CMX and the guy would read out each byte over the phone. I would then repeat it back to him. And then he would confirm.

    “CE”

    “C-Charlie, E-Echo”

    “Correct”

    Next byte, all 2048 of them, typed one-by-one into an Apple II computer, 48k version.

    With great trepidation I blew the PROM and pressed PLAY. The VPR-80 went into play. I pressed “REWIND”. The VPR-80 went into rewind. We did an edit. The edit succeeded.

    It worked.

    We rang CMX in California to tell them the good news.. and the guy had gone home for the day. We never did hear back from him. Not even an email, because of course, email didn’t exist then in 1985, except if you were CIA.

    The reason we didn’t just get the PROM directly escapes me. Probably we wasted so much time farting around with modems and analog tape recordings that time got eaten up and the production deadline loomed. Whatever the reason, we had to either talk the data over the phone line, byte by byte, or lose the job (which was a 13-part TV series for SBS) that very night. It was (as Frank Sinatra would say) “All or nothing at all”, the last throw of the dice.

    I was living in a hole in the road at the time, with nothing but cockroaches for company and to keep me warm. I ate dirt for dinner and gravel for breakfast. And yes, I really did get up before I went to bed.

    Ah… thems were the days…

  10. victoria,

    Most small businesses I know don’t care one way or another. They just want to know the rules and regulations and comply.

  12. [Turnbull responded wtte that small business owners he speaks to, dont like Fair Work, especially as it relates to unfair dismissal]
    So the standard Liberal response.

    Ho, hum.

  17. Hand punch?

    Looxury! I had to put my finger through a pencil sharpener to push out the chads. If I got it wrong, I had to sharpen my other finger.

  19. [

    mirandadevineMiranda Devine

    Spectator Climate change debate getting hot w Lord Lawson, Gary Johns Ian Plimer v climate scientist Ben McNeil, John Hewson &Mark Latham

    2 minutes agoFavoriteRetweetReply]

  20. [I was living in a hole in the road at the time, with nothing but cockroaches for company and to keep me warm. I ate dirt for dinner and gravel for breakfast. And yes, I really did get up before I went to bed.]

    Bloody silver spoon bastard

  21. Space Kidette

    [poroti,

    Interesting, I love futurist type books, I will see if I can grab a copy and give it a read.]

    In that case please do get Gibson’s Neuromancer. Whilst you read it keep in mind the sorts of things he prediced from way back. The internet,virtual reality etc. Then all the stuff that is yet to come to pass but may well do.

  22. BB,

    Hilarious. I remember carrying the entire payroll for the public service for a state on a bus to be processed. Punch cards no less, which had to be in strict order to process. Yep, it was not good news when they were dropped and had to be handsorted.

  23. [Looxury! I had to put my finger through a pencil sharpener to push out the chads. If I got it wrong, I had to sharpen my other finger.]

    At least you have two fingers. I am still trying to get an opposing thumb.

  24. [Wendycarlisle Must read -Scientist cited by skeptics @MenziesHouse disputes their interpretation of his science bit.ly/quh8jg”
    15 minutes ago

    Retweeted by thomasking ]

  26. [OK, last offer. Tic-tac-toe on a CDC3600 in 1965. Owned by Tax and stored in the New Treasury Building in your beloved capital. In those days the computer operators were taken on based on how far out with shoulders back.]

    i recall in 1981 going out to with a RFT for 1 PC. IBM won the tender – $10,000 for a 8086 640k RAM green screen hummer – with a 10MB external Tallgrass disk. I also had cause to look at the TOCs in the tax office – looked like ship portals

  27. This little black duck

    [I was born in Denmark, the bit North of Germany.]
    Well that explains it then. In Kiwiland we had+have heaps of young Danish farming peeps coming over to stay on our dairy farms to learn how it be done. Must have taken back home the “wee” part of English language .

  29. After the punch cards were replaced with magnetic tape. I had to run both magentic tape and whopping huge cheques to each of the banks. Thought about escaping to Rio to visit Ronny Biggs but thought I’d miss my friends too much.

  30. Thomas Paine @ 2185:

    [Fairly damning poll out, how damning can be ascertain by the near total silence here. It is damning for Gillard indeed.]

    I really enjoyed reading your posts over the last couple of days re. the US financial crisis & thought for one fleeting second you may have at last come to terms with…

  31. [After the punch cards were replaced with magnetic tape.]

    I always found it more difficult to punch holes into magnetic tape than into cards but at least the tape got round the sorting problem if one dropped it.

  32. This little black duck
    .

    [Schleswig-Holstein is still in dispute, sort of.]
    Bloody Holstein cows. AKA Friesan cows. Huge boobs and milk like water. Jersey Moo cows are the way to go. Friesan-Holstein milk Quantity uber Quality.

  33. [March 1977, Using an acoustic coupler accessing bibliographic databases at Lockheed Data Systems, Palo Alto, California.]
    I was at school then playing with a PDP-8 (I think that’s what it was called) and punch cards and making silly pictures on old dot matrix printers!

  34. [because of course, email didn’t exist then in 1985, except if you were CIA]
    Wasn’t that long after though. I got my first email address in 1989 (still have it!!)

  36. [I really enjoyed reading your posts over the last couple of days re. the US financial crisis & thought for one fleeting second you may have at last come to terms with…]
    No, he is trying to write the longest poem of all time and will soon start the second stanza.

    Stay tuned!

  38. BK

    [poroti
    That was some head job from the parrot!]

    Well it is not often that one gets sexually assualted by the world’s biggest parot I suppose. A story to dine out on for decades ! 🙂

  39. What about the raised floors, huge temperature controlled climates, and halon security systems that used to ‘protect’ mainframes in the old days. I am not sure but I think halon is no longer allowed to be used.

  40. [I really enjoyed reading your posts over the last couple of days re. the US financial crisis & thought for one fleeting second you may have at last come to terms with…]

    Breakfast in the TP and evan14 household must be as happy as that in the Tony and Margaret household…they get up and find that Julia Gillard is Prime Minister.

  43. [Gillard has made a total bungle of everything,]

    Now TP, i know these people who are heading to Canberra soon by road to complain about, well, everything. Why don’t you call them and get a lift? 🙂

  48. poroti,

    Joh BP came from Danish stock through NZ. Lots of Danes have a bit of stiff-neck but, as far as I know, they are people you want to party with. If alcohol is not your thing, stay cool. Danish beer, Carlsberg and Tuborg are light alcohol and newbies in Oz …

    If someone offers you Akvavit, be careful. The saying is (translated) “You can’t have half a leg, you must have a full one”.

    Tradition is a liqueur glass of Akvavit with a beer chaser. If you do it twice, look out!

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