Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition

The latest Essential Research poll has Labor losing the ground it gained in last week’s result: their primary vote has dropped a point to 31 per cent, with the Coalition up one to 49 per cent, the Greens steady on 11 per cent and two-party preferred out from 55-45 to 56-44. Furthermore:

• Little change has been recorded on the carbon tax since an improved result a fortnight ago: approval is steady on 39 per cent and disapproval up two to 51 per cent. Exactly half of all respondents believe that Tony Abbott either doesn’t believe in or doesn’t care about climate change.

• The government’s “Malaysia solution” on asylum seekers has suffered a sharp decline in popularity since June 16: support is down nine points to 31 per cent and opposition up 14 to 53 per cent.

• “Trust in organisations to handle personal information” runs, from highest to lowest, the medical profession, banks, governments,Australian companies, online companies, political parties, foreign companies and the media.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,376 comments on “Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition”

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  1. Glen @2009

    [The Kiwis had the right idea. They’re going to have what we’re having at a fraction of the cost]

    Funny, I don’t recall you espousing the Kiwi broadband idea until now.

    Why is that so?

  2. This little black duck

    [george,

    Do I detect a wee publication in the offing?]

    Do I detect some Scots or Kiwi influence ? The use of the word wee being very much part of their language. Hoots Mon Bro ! 🙂

  3. [OK, last offer. Tic-tac-toe on a CDC3600 in 1965.]

    Yep beats my CDC Cyber at the ABS in the brand new Cameron Offices, complete with leaky roof.

  4. I heard an ABCTV manager on the radio yesterday and he essentially said that the cuts being made were largely due to drops of 30 to 50 percent in the particular programs’ ratings.
    So, let’s talk about 7:30.

  5. [I started with a Dick Smith System 80, 16K RAM with an inbuilt cassette drive in about 1981]

    OK, top this you bludgers.

    March 1977, Using an acoustic coupler accessing bibliographic databases at Lockheed Data Systems, Palo Alto, California.

    Bloody OTC then, charged us $256 per hour to use the ISD. No screen, just thermal printouts.

  6. [2154 BK
    Posted Wednesday, August 3, 2011 at 7:35 pm | Permalink
    I heard an ABCTV manager on the radio yesterday and he essentially said that the cuts being made were largely due to drops of 30 to 50 percent in the particular programs’ ratings.
    So, let’s talk about 7:30.]

    i mentioned that in my email bk pointing out that the collectors had 25 th more viewers than the 7.30 report the night before.

  7. member dont alwasy do a lot for the public in areas like this i dont think its mainly person to person and issues for the constiuent, but its about time they did something like lobby for all constituents.

  8. Lovely. Just started on BBC Knowledge. Last Chance to See with Stephen Fry. The episode where the Kakapo “mates” with a cameraman.

  9. Finns,

    I actually started on a JX and a Microbee. Taught myself Basic, assembler and fortran then had to teach my fellow maths students because the teacher didn’t have a clue.

    I did work on programming for touch screens in 86 and 87 and they are in still in use at the Powerhouse museum.

  10. [Romney clearly demonstrated his fear of the Tea Party faction yesterday by saying he would’ve let the U.S. default!]

    Indeed, Shows, indeed!

    Further to the CNN poll of US Congress, their pdf reveals that 14% is an all-time low.

    Only twice in the last 30 years has Congress Approval rating fallen below 20% (in 1979 it was 19% and in March 1992 it was 18%).

    Here’s the past 5 years:

    [Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?
    Approve— Disapprove
    August 1, 2011 14%— 84%
    January 21-23, 2011 26%— 72%
    January 8-10, 2010 27%— 72%
    October 16-18, 2009 29%— 69%
    April 3-5, 2009 35%— 63%
    February 7-8, 2009 29%— 71%
    October 3-5, 2008 23%— 76%
    September 19-21, 2008 22%— 78%
    July 27-29, 2008 22%— 77%
    October 12-14, 2007 22%— 75%
    October 6-8, 2006 28%— 63% ]

  11. [An Onion style publication would be great. And would add greatly to our media.]

    Who would know the difference between an Onion satire and the drivel our media dish up? I expect the Telegraph to demand that the third law of thermodynamics be struck off the statute books. Then the ABC to report it as fact, Albrechson will opine about the judicial system, Glen Milne will say its all Julia’s fault and Paul Kelly will say it is the latest test for Labor.

    Barnaby Joyce will want the first and second laws dumped as well and Tony Abbott will draft new laws that will not conserve any momentum.

  12. Finns,

    This is without a word of a lie. Walked into an *** bank branch less than a yr ago to make a withdrawal. Said they were having problems booting up the system and were told the techies wouldn’t be in for another few hours.

    I offered to help reboot the system for them to see if I could get it operational before then. I asked to be pointed to the server. The server was so old it had an 8inch floppy drive. I nearly fell over, thinking it belonged in a museum.

    Anyway I managed to boot the system and told them they must insist on having the server replaced as it was a risk to their business operations.

  13. [I actually started on a JX and a Microbee. Taught myself Basic, assembler and fortran then had to teach my fellow maths students because the teacher didn’t have a clue.]

    Kiddo, funny you should mention that.

    1996, i was doing a demo on browser Mosaic version 1 to the IT Staff of one of Australian largest Financial Houses.

    One IT Team Leader said to me afterward and said: “Finns, the browser will never take off”. i still like to remind him of that famous statement.

  14. Charlton 2088
    Pretty close to the mark. In that particular trial (1980’s Sydney) I don’t think there would have been a problem with the judge. But from my mother’s perspective when various names kept cropping up and the relationships that were shown between individuals, her words were ” they’re all crooked”. Even if misguided that opinion was only formed through that trial. Whatever she saw or heard it changed her view of society.I can remember the broad outline of the trial and some of my mother’s comments but it’s funny that in later years over a cuppa she would say things from the trial that were new to us that she hadn’t mentioned at the time. She has passed away since but I still think there could have been things that came out that are of interest . Most of this would be in transcripts but the written word wouldn’t add the flesh to the bones that my mother provided.

  15. Space Kidette

    [Finns,

    I actually started on a JX and a Microbee. Taught myself Basic, assembler and fortran then had to….. ]

    Well bloody done. I learnt basic and a bit of assembler but packed it in.

  16. [Walked into an *** bank]
    Kidette
    Not well disguised. Using the indefinite article in that particular form is a giveaway given no banks other than one start their name with a vowel.

  17. [they had a microwave link (my first experience of the net) to a 56K US Robotics modem through Ozemail ]

    Lookshury! I started on a 5k one! It used to take 15 minutes just to log on!

  18. [I expect the Telegraph to demand that the third law of thermodynamics be struck off the statute books. Then the ABC to report it as fact, Albrechson will opine about the judicial system, Glen Milne will say its all Julia’s fault and Paul Kelly will say it is the latest test for Labor.]

    And there’s the first edition!

  19. [Not well disguised. Using the indefinite article in that particular form is a giveaway given no banks other than one start their name with a vowel.]

    BK, they all start with an “A”

  20. Finns,

    When I started work at Treasury as the new wizz kid from Uni amongst all the old Treasury inspectors and economists, my job was to set up the new network and put the first pcs on everyones desks. (It is where I got my nickname)

    Many of the old inspectors quit their jobs in outright fear of the new technology. I felt so, so bad that they felt so threatened by something I was so excited about.

  21. [An Onion style publication would be great. And would add greatly to our media.]
    That’s how the Chaser started before it was a TV show.

  22. Fairly damning poll out, how damning can be ascertain by the near total silence here. It is damning for Gillard indeed.

    It has been along time since Gillard knifed Rudd, plenty of time for the public and Labor supporters to indicate what they now believe. And a very strong majority see Gillard as a relative failure in comparison to Rudd. Fact.

    Just 12 per cent of Essential Poll respondents nominated Ms Gillard as their preferred Labor leader, compared to 37 per cent backing Mr Rudd.

    Ms Gillard was only marginally more preferred in the post than Malcolm Turnbull, who was backed by 11 per cent of voters despite being a Liberal MP.

    Even among Labor voters, Ms Gillard trailed Mr Rudd 31 per cent to 43 per cent

    And the real kick in the guts for Gillard….

    Ms Gillard was only marginally more preferred in the post than Malcolm Turnbull, who was backed by 11 per cent of voters despite being a Liberal MP.

    Ouch…ineed….how embarrassing for her and the cabal!

    Gillard has made a total bungle of everything, and given that she back stabbed Rudd it was incumbent on her to actual to show significant improvement. The opposite has been true.

    She has relief in the bounce back from a few Armageddon polls, but the stagnation will continue and eventually Turnbull will be clearly preferred to Gillard.

    Would be most revealing of how bad people see the current Labor party if the put the question of support for Turnbull being Labor leader.

    She and her group should hang their heads in total shame.

  23. [Romney clearly demonstrated his fear of the Tea Party faction yesterday by saying he would’ve let the U.S. default!]

    Knowing full well the US would not default, a smart political move by the 2012 Republican nominee.

  24. Space Kiddette

    [Many of the old inspectors quit their jobs in outright fear of the new technology. I felt so, so bad that they felt so threatened by something I was so excited about.]

    An example why Douglas Adams was oh so right

    [“I’ve come up with a set of rules that describe our reactions to technologies:
    1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works.
    2. Anything that’s invented between when you’re fifteen and thirty-five is new and exciting and revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it.
    3. Anything invented after you’re thirty-five is against the natural order of things.” ]

  25. [Thank heavens my internet connection seems to be back to normal. Not a good feeling having uncertain connectivity.]

    BK, methinks you are addicted to the Internet

  26. poroti,

    You just reminded my why I love Douglas Adams. Actually reading him again now might be a good thing amongst all the nonsense that is going at the moment.

  27. Would be most revealing of how bad people see the current Labor party if the put the question of support for Turnbull being Labor leader.

    I mean PPM.

  28. [2190

    The Finnigans

    Posted Wednesday, August 3, 2011 at 8:05 pm | Permalink

    OMG, Thomas, please ………. we are having fun
    ]

    It’s TP asnd Evan’s time to gloat.

    They are like pigs in mud over this Essential questioon.

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