Owing to Good Friday, Morgan has got in with its weekly release a day early, this one being a face-to-face poll from the last two weekends of polling. The results are much the same as a fortnight ago: both Labor (from 36.5 per cent to 35 per cent) and the Coalition (48 per cent to 46 per cent) are down on the primary vote, with the Greens up from 9.5 per cent to 11.5 per cent. On two-party preferred, the Coalition’s lead is down from 53.5-46.5 to 53-47 if preferences are allocated as per the previous election, which is my favoured method. However, Labor’s share of respondent-allocated preferences has weakened together with their position overall, as noted in my post from the Morgan poll a fortnight ago. Here the Coalition lead is 55-45, compared with 55.5-44.5 last time. Taking into account this series’ traditional favourability for Labor, this is another dire result for the government.
Daily Tele reckons Mike Kelly has “broken ranks”
[
THE MP for the marginal bellwether seat of Eden Monaro has broken ranks with the Gillard Government on its poker machine smartcard reforms, saying they have the potential to “kill off clubs”.
In comments that are problematic for Julia Gillard, Mike Kelly, the parliamentary secretary for agriculture, said the deal Ms Gillard brokered with independent Andrew Wilkie to introduce compulsory poker machine cards would threaten the viability of clubs in his electorate.
]
http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/national/labor-mp-mike-kelly-says-pokie-reforms-threaten-to-kill-off-clubs/story-e6freuzr-1226045240370
I think Gai Waterhouse should stick to trying to get horses to run fast, and let a more talented, experienced and educated woman run the country.
Last time I was on the rock n’ roll (dole) I was 55+ and had to do the 10 jobs per fortnight. The Job Centres were useless but still took the money I assume when I found a job myself.
On another issue what is the tip that Julia will make a ‘surprise’ visit to the troops in Afghanistan after leaving the Middle Kingdom for some event in London? Look at the map and it is a no brainer.
Rabbott seems to think that Christmas Island is just another place to get fit for his next Triathalon at the taxpayers’ expense. I am surprised that he didn’t charge us to have his bike shipped there as excess baggage.
Good to see George is back at the OO but he must find it uncomfortable in the staff lunch room with the other so called ‘journalists’ there. Is Joe Hildebrand auditioning for the comedy festival because his contribution to The Drum is an embarassment to even his low standards.
With Channel 10 probably losing AFL rights it will need more Australian content to satisfy the regulators. Easy just simulcast the Parrot and Ray Hadley.
Mike Kelly has obviously received a call from the Queanbeyan Leagues Club and issued him with his riding instructions.
[Frank Calabrese
Posted Wednesday, April 27, 2011 at 2:14 am | Permalink
3715
crikey whitey
Posted Wednesday, April 27, 2011 at 2:04 am | Permalink
Still have not fixed the bastard! Entirely. Cannot get email. Not to mention a zillion other things.
Though weaved my way around it, for a quick fix. Email speaking. As the service provider is Bigpond, their handy offer allows me to get that at least. On Webmail. Cool.
Speaking as an amateur, looks like I have lost the dlls (?) Attempting to reinstall from the disk is useless.
Have to run applications in Virtual Mode, but say for Excel they don’t save.
Cannot reboot, cannot Restore, cannot change User Settings. Etc.
If you have an External USB Drive -Back up your imported stuff and format that puter and reinstall Windows – sounds like something has corrupted in the dlls in the Windows Directory.]
CW, you can do all that Frank suggest or you could simply get an iMac. 😀
Confessions
[I also love the photo the Tele has used of Waterhouse. Is that a lamp shade on her head?]
Someone else on the Waterhouse article had a similar (but better) thought to you on the subject:
[Tim of Sydney Posted at 1:00 AM Today
Looks like she’s got a toilet roll holder on her head so what would she know about fashion?
Comment 4 of 45]
DG:
🙂
Computer problems
Possible solution for virus
Download two files
Download the file rkill from the net
http://download.cnet.com/RKill/3000-8022_4-11464676.html
then malwarebytes from
http://www.malwarebytes.org/
run rkill first then malwarebytes
both can be run from a mem stick if required
rkill will stop amy backgroud stuff and malware will fix the virus
best of luck
Looking at that picture of Gai Waterhouse I cannot help thinking she is morphing into a horse. Maybe it could be done with photoshop and ready for the cup season.
And that hat is definitely unbecoming.
More good news in the budget leaks:
[Tens of thousands of high-income parents who use their children to avoid paying tax will be targeted in a Budget night clampdown by Treasurer Wayne Swan.
The West Australian understands the Government will move to end a loophole that is being increasingly used by the rich to evade tax on income raised from real estate and sharemarket investments.
With the Government eager to honour its promise to bring the Federal Budget back into surplus in 2012-13, it is looking at all ways to raise extra revenue.
A long-standing concern of the Australian Tax Office has been the use of family trusts which are favoured by high-income earners to minimise their tax liability.]
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/newshome/9261503/budget-to-target-family-trusts/
the thought that some one could not see the trauma which is japan amazes me,
i am going to make a confession, i have never been to a horse race never been to a race meeting and proud of it.
i doubt JUlia has either
it would be very interesting to read her blog i wonder what the people are like that write on it,.
lets all have alook
[long-standing concern of the Australian Tax Office has been the use of family trusts which are favoured by high-income earners to minimise their tax liability.]
Morning all – confessions, that post has cheered me no end. That little tax dodge has annoyed me for yonks and that is speaking as one who used to set the damn things up.
Go Swannie – let’s hope he won’t back down like Costello did a few years ago.
Using OH’s “top of the range, super fast” new PC laptop last year convinced me that anyone whose job entails what macs don’t do as well as a PC (little now, OH used Auto-Cad -> CNC machine stuff) is into S&M or inverse-snobbery, since prices now are comparable.
The PC was so sloooow, so clunky, sooo (#@!!#^!!) flaky, so heavy, it behaved as if it were playing mindgame equivalents of complex puzzles where the player has to guess the clues themselves, not just respond to them. OH claimed I really extended his profane vocab while threatening to throw it with great strength! Worst of all, it had to be virus scanned. A fluke? Nyaah, Offspring’s desktop PC caught a couple of viruses, malware etc etc recently (inc a right pain yesterday arvo which took long frustrating hours, SMSs, phone calls, visits to fix – nothing compared to the days spent a week or so earlier).
Meanwhile, back on my 5+yo macbook – fast, smooth, cool, light, virus etc-free, not a flake in sight …
Just finished reading all the overnight posts.
Puff, I agree with what you were saying about the tragedy of all the animals deliberately left to die after the earthquake/tsunami, and the anguish of those evacuated from their homes. I don’t want to encourage more of the same discussion, which didn’t really get anywhere, but people who measure tragedies only by deaths are not seeing the whole picture.
i have just finished reading( gabrielle) coco Chanel and much to my amazement i read that what the Jackie Kennedy was wearing before her husband was elected became a political issue with the republicans.
was she wearing all American ,did she buy her clothes in europe, i actually finished the book 10 minutes ago and come here and see this.
There is a ‘Kevin Herbert’ commenting on Possum’s post about the CSIRO report on the HIP, who takes issue with Possum’s analyses. His issue appears to be that the HIP has destroyed the ceiling insulation business.
I’m tempted to think it’s the same Kevin Herbert who is the Secretary of the Australian Cellulose Insulation Manufacturing Association.
http://www.abc.net.au/am/content/2010/s2932171.htm
If it is, then he’s not doing his Association any favours with his comments.
o the blog wouldnt open it didnt get the tick of approval from my security software
so i didnt try
Just a note for the record…
The Bogans are gone, including the dog.
Sad to see the grandkids go as well, but you have to take the rough with the smooth. Such beautiful boys. They don’t deserve their parents. Perhaps none of us do, but this is a particularly clear-cut case.
In reply to Gai Waterhouse.
A very ‘fashionable’ lady herself, but sometimes the latest fashion can look a little odd. I suppose on racecourses, it’s the look to have.
I don’t think the PM’s image would be improved by trying to dress in the “latest fashion”. It just wouldn’t jell with a hard-working Labor Party.
However, I do wish that someone would fit her clothes on her better. They’re too tight in the waist and ride up at the back. Slightly less ‘waisted’ would be more elegant.
That said, I think that she usually looks very attractive and well presented. Who wants her to look like Bronnie 😆
BB:
You must feel relieved at sanity being restored to your home!
i read mike kelly press released over the week and he spent a lot of time at the rsl and clubs and no mention any where about problems
just go to his blog
i find mp blogs a good way of seeing what they think well sort of
Confessions
You should add that comment onto Poss’s blog. Let everyone who reads the article and Herbert’s comment see it.
Bushfire
Great relief all round, especially to the PB-ers worrying about you.
[Retailer Harvey Norman will sell its electronics and furniture goods online from July, according to a media report, sending the strongest signal yet that the retailer has embraced the internet.
The company, headed by long-time online retail sceptic Gerry Harvey, will aim to rapidly drive up internet sales after putting off the move online for years, according to the Australian Financial Review.]
http://www.smh.com.au/business/harvey-norman-reveals-online-move-20110427-1dvl9.html
How can anyone be sceptical about the popularity of online retail? Esp someone who is actually in the retail industry?
Shades of AGW scepticism I think.
i also agree with lizzie i think this comes from buying off the rack, i wonder does she have a dressmaker, when your as busy as Julia either way is tedious
a would suggest a couple of nice cardigan style chanel ‘s they dont need to be buttoned.
DG:
I can’t confirm whether it’s him or not. Besides, it seems people (incl Poss) have already tagged him as a blinkered partisan.
Confessions,
[His issue appears to be that the HIP has destroyed the ceiling insulation business.]
The Federal Opposition destroyed the ceiling insulation business, in its bid to damage the Labor government.
Never get between Tony Abbott et al and his political advantage, Mr Herbert.
The Aussie dollar has broken through US$1.08.
For anyone interested in peak oil, there is a very detailed (71 pages) powerpoint preesntation at this link which explains the science and economics of it.
http://www.aspo-australia.org.au/References/Bruce/Brussels-2.ppt
The graph on slide 10 is a little funny/sad in showing ABARE’s total inability to forecast oil prices.
my say
Thank goodness you agree with me. I was afraid you’d thump me for criticising Julia. 🙂
When I was very busy working and travelling, I found a boutique which sold clothes I liked, and the head saleswoman there knew the clothes that would suit me. I only visited about twice a year and bought a whole wardrobe of mix and match at one time.
Unfortunately such service has disappeared with many boutiques since we have been taken over by the chains.
BB
i a sure your grandchildren will hold you alwasy in high esteem, and may be you will see more of them than their parents eventually.
now you and mrs bb can catch up with each other have some peace why not take her on a holiday or at least a few nice day trips to the blue mountains, they tell me the cafes are beautiful there or even a cruise on Sydney harbour, you both deserve the rest.
3751 madcyril
Posted Wednesday, April 27, 2011 at 9:21 am | Permalink
[Daily Tele reckons Mike Kelly has “broken ranks”]
and @my say
[Mr Kelly said the Government’s proposed daily restriction of $250 to be taken from ATMs in clubs was a problem in Bombala, where it was the only ATM in the town.]
Just rang Westpac in Bombala – there are 2 licensed clubs and 2 supermarkets that have ATM facilities in Bombala. Seems like Kelly doesn’t know his stuff (or the Tele just made that up, seeing it isn’t in quotation marks).
and
[In Eden, the fishermen’s club is the only major employer left and did not need the problem of dealing with the mandatory pre-commitment system, he said.]
Bet the good citizens of Eden don’t know that the fisherman’s club is the only major employer left in the area!
I am sure there are a few bad polls to come for Labor but I wonder if PBers have noticed two shifts in the rhetoric of the conservatives?
Shift one is that there seem to be far fewer “We wuz robbed” comments. While they may still think they “wuz robbed” they have, thankfully, about given up the continuous sour grapes.
Shift 2, which I think is more significant, is that TA and his mates, and the conservative press, are now talking much, much more about “the elections in 2013.”
As we all know a week, let alone 2+ years, is a long, long time in politics. While Labour is still a whisker away from another election, the longer Labor is there AND puts some runs on the board, the more likely that Labor will be alive and well in 2013.
So Horsey Gai Waterhouse, who used only to have to compete with (usually dowdy) spouses of aging GGs & PMs (and other aging fashionistas) is well & truly outranked by a younger, ranga female PM with a hairdresser partner and an HoG invite to the royal wedding – oh, and a GG whose ability to look catwalk-ready in a flour-bag, with a more up-market “HoS” invite – is being Sooo bitchy, Dahling about said younger PM-with-an-invite’s hair and dressing. Not that her remarks would have anything to do with the royal wedding invite. Yeah. Right.
But it probably is Newspoll week & it just might take some of the gloss of Julia’s jollifications, so a Murdoch rag gives it a run. How surprising. NOT.
lizzie i think she does not have the time and may be orders from catalogues boutique ones that is,.
can you imagine if Julia was seen coming out of designer store, what the press would say.
i think some one is a couture sewist she can trust and who is an Australian designer is the go, who could do some fittings for her and keep the muslin samples on hand and send her swatches.
if i was her mum i would tell her just that.
oz poll that is a classic.
the article linked by Crabby is a very worthwhile read
ANNABELCRABB | 7 minutes ago
[+1 RT @brianstelter The best thing I’ve read today. http://jr.ly/9gwg @ethanz on “overcoming political polarization… but not through facts.”]
mark keep the inspirations coming please,
agree and dont forget the dwindling members of the liberal appointees abc board
3770 Bushfire Bill
Posted Wednesday, April 27, 2011 at 10:09 am | Permalink
[Just a note for the record…
The Bogans are gone, including the dog]
Thank god for that
Was beginning to think you’d have the girlfriend and the dog for anothe r 3 months!
Confessions:
[More good news in the budget leaks]
hmmm… I wonder if Treasury is leaking to the Opposition again. Abbott, Hockey and Pyne have had comments to make about possible Opposition policy – tightening welfare, trusts, and maintaining the funding anomaly in private schools. Each of these look like they are appearing in the Budget.
There was commentary around when there was talk about welfare tightening, mostly from the Left-Left, that Labor was copying policy from the Coalition because Abbott had already brought the issue up. Maybe the real story is that the Opposition has been getting info about the policy areas the govt is working on and tried to get the jump on them by announcing their own ad hoc ideas.
[The Federal Opposition destroyed the ceiling insulation business, in its bid to damage the Labor government. ]
Indeed the “peak body” group (or at least trumped up as that by the ABC and the OO) of the insulation industry called for the HIP’s cancellation.
[The Federal Opposition destroyed the ceiling insulation business, in its bid to damage the Labor government.]
I am glad they didn’t call it an “industry” or “trade”. To be more credible, the
At the same time, the whole saga shows what a dismal failure self-regulation has been in the building industry. There is no consistency, competence or adequate safety training in many States. This is where we still need a governmetn to set standards and enforce them. There are too many people who call themselves “risk assessors” or “safety auditors” who have never actually built or installed anything in their working life.
Re Mike Kelly and the 97 clubs and pubs he has in Eden-Monaro
The annual reports of the rsl’s make for interesting reading:
From Bombala RSL’s: http://www.bombalarsl.com.au/resources/150/uploads/file/2010%20Bombala%20RSL%20Club%20Ltd.pdf
Poker machine income ($508,407) plus poker machine subsidy ($17,180) = $525,587
(p30) Same document on p10 , the treasurer notes:
[“If poker machine revenue drops by 40% as suggested as a good result by Mr Wilkie in his mandatory pre-commitment to Poker Machine reform, this would result in a decrease of $203,363 of income on this year’s current result.”]
[Mr Kelly said the Government’s proposed daily restriction of $250 to be taken from ATMs in clubs was a problem in Bombala, where it was the only ATM in the town.]
well seems its not the clubs thats the problem its the lack of atm.
i am sure one of the banks or credit unions will happily oblige.
@my say
see my post to you at 3784
in part:
[Just rang Westpac in Bombala – there are 2 licensed clubs and 2 supermarkets that have ATM facilities in Bombala. Seems like Kelly doesn’t know his stuff (or the Tele just made that up, seeing it isn’t in quotation marks).]
madcyril @3751,
I do not trust the MSM and have no idea what Mr Kelly has said but it would not surprise me if, at the very worst, Mr Kelly was stating concerns put to him by stakeholders in his electorate that needed to be addressed in the legislation.
The MSM continue on with the theme that pre committement machines will be the only game in town. They refuse to include the low intensity option and the fact that special consideration will be given to many clubs in regional areas.
The draft legislation must be out this week or next week I think.
Fiz:
Interesting observation.
[Retailer Harvey Norman will sell its electronics and furniture goods online from July, according to a media report, sending the strongest signal yet that the retailer has embraced the internet.]
Unless his prices are substantially reduced below established on-line competitors, the only reason to buy from him is that he sells long-term no-interest credit. On the ground, in this area, the same goods are much cheaper(often by 40+%) at most other retailers; almost all of whom also give cash discounts, do deals, and have bigger, more courteous, more knowledgeable staff. HN’s is one store I haven’t visited in over 10 years.