Today’s West Australian carries a Westpoll survey of federal voting intention, with the usual small sample (404 respondents) and large margin of error (approaching 5 per cent). The poll has the Coalition with a two-party lead of 52-48, which if accurate would amount to a 4.5 per cent swing to Labor – a swing which would snare Labor the front-line seats of Hasluck, Canning and Swan if uniform. The poll shows Labor’s primary vote at an unlikely sounding 39 per cent compared with just 31.3 per cent at the election, with the Coalition on 47 per cent (50.6 per cent at the election) and the Greens on 10 per cent (13.3 per cent). Julia Gillard’s lead as preferred prime minister has nonetheless narrowed slightly since the pre-election Westpoll, from 47-36 to 47-38. A well-framed set of options on “satisfaction with election outcome” shows 20 per cent professing themselves “quite happy with the compromises needed to form government”, 42 per cent opted for “not really happy but better than another election” while 35 per cent are “unhappy, want another poll”. Breakdowns by voting intention tell a predictable story.
UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor’s lead at 51-49 for the third week running, with Labor’s primary vote down a point to 41 per cent, the Coalition steady on 44 per cent and the Greens steady on 8 per cent. A question on most important issues in choosing how to vote turns up the economy, education and health as the front-runners, with asylum seekers, national security and population growth joining water security at the rear of the pack. The Liberals have substantial leads as the best party to handle various economic questions, with Labor leading most of the rest. On the question of Afghanistan, 49 per cent want the troops brought home, 13 per cent want the number increased and 24 per cent believe the current number is right.
[Is O’Dwyer the shadow sports minister?]
Perhaps – but I always thought it questionable to consider Equestrian a sport (even though it of course requires much skill and fitness).
anony,
So every Green supporter is delighted that Adele has left the Party and is now pedalling her wares as an Independent. This would be despite all the time effort and money invested in getting her elected and the subsequent loss of control of their little Member. I can see those cheery smiles.
Greens staying true is an oxymoron.
[Is O’Dwyer the shadow sports minister]
No shadow ministry. Just Sophie’s understudy.
[2002-2007 were the most war torn years in history, yet the lefties want us to believe that these were the glory years for refugee’s thats why we had no boat arrivals. Bullcrap.
Labor can take the boat arrivals on the chin, this is afterall THEIR fault.]
CheezeWheeze do you practise in front of the mirror at being a w*nk-off or does it come naturally? I reckon it’s the later, just a hunch.
Gus, Henry coached Baaksitan 😛
darren
and good quality oats
🙂
gus,
It might have been for bombing Vietnam to Peaces.
[Lisa Forest’s “experiencing the Village”]
Finns, is that now the new euphemism?
Finns
sssshhhh
I was hoping to catch GG out
[Why, according to the left there were no wars during the Howard years thats why the boats stopped.
Which one is it?]
they didn’t stop, fool. just because you were pulling yourself silly doesn’t mean there weren’t boaties under howard.
you don’t have a job and you haven’t been to uni, you are a liar and a miserable fraud in addition to being fantastically stupid.
O’Dwyer and Fletcher were elected at the same time. Yet we never see Fletcher in the media, while O’Dwyer has been on Q&A several times, has a regular gig on Sky, and used to sit behind Tone in QT. I’d hate to think she was just the token female, but…..
[you don’t have a job and you haven’t been to uni, you are a liar and a miserable fraud in addition to being fantastically stupid.]
Now THAT’s a wrap!
Truthy, Labor’s boats policies are working just fine! More boatpeople arrived in NZ under a tory PM than in Australia!
By the way, stop getting the PB girls’ nickers in a knot 😆
[It might have been for bombing Vietnam to Peaces.]
GG, it was Cambodia 😛
Today has shown the lengths to which our MSM will cover for and excuse Abbott. His appalling slur on Gillard has gone uncriticised. Incredible. Imagine if Rudd had accused Howard of bastardry, or being a street fighter.
Any sane person putting together Coorey and Gillard’s comments cannot surely come to the conclusion that she is in the wrong. yet this is what Abbott and his crew and MSM mates want us to believe. Unbelievable
[O’Dwyer and Fletcher were elected at the same time. Yet we never see Fletcher in the media, while O’Dwyer has been on Q&A several times, has a regular gig on Sky, and used to sit behind Tone in QT. I’d hate to think she was just the token female, but…..]
Confess, but she’s the Member for Higgins! That has a special status remember!
The Finnigans @ 943
No surprise about Alison Carrabine. I can still recall a conversation she had on morning radio here in perth years ago during the children overboard saga with Basil Zempilas and Adrian Barich in which Zempilas asked her ( correctly as it turned out) if there was any indication that the government was making the whole thing up for political purposes. She replied very stridently with wtte of ‘no one is suggesting that and it is insulting and disrespectful to even suggest it’
The first time I heard her on RN with Fran Kelly I almost choked with disbelief that the ABC would employ such a partisan hack! A view I still hold and that is only strengthened every time I hear those two chat. I would offer up my own reason as to why Fran Kelly was probably so keen to get her on board but I dont think it would be allowed through moderation!
[By the way, stop getting the PB girls’ nickers in a knot]
Centre,
STOP THE SEXISM
Finns,
So far.
Someone asked the question I wanted to ask. Great.
O’Dwyer making no sense over Tones comments on “bastardy”
[So every Green supporter is delighted that Adele has left the Party and is now pedalling her wares as an Independent. This would be despite all the time effort and money invested in getting her elected and the subsequent loss of control of their little Member. I can see those cheery smiles.]
oh gg, they are cheery, like me. i haven’t stopped smiling since i watched julia sign up with bob brown 😀 she could pork every liberal from perth to hobart for all i care. all i know is that we’re up and there’s nothing your tears can do to change it. how are you going with finding that primary vote? have you looked in the box marked ‘ways to stop labor getting smashed in nsw’?
Gillard, however has gone too soft today, and when the jetlag story broke. The funny thing is, she didnt play politics ENOUGH with the jetlag issue. Today she gave a very feeble response about choice of words. Now I know she doesnt want to get dragged in to a battle with Abbott, but she let’s him get away with things time and again, and the polls show that this does not win favour with voters ie. still 50/50
Abbott’s extreme overreaction shows his fragile mental state. I also wonder whether it reflects some damage in internal polling. Is there a Galaxy tomorrow?
pebbles @ 792
okay, I’ll bite… what the heck is a FIGMYer? Unless I missed an explanation on a later post.. can someone enlighten me?
Bull@967
I suppose she’s there for “balance”.
As the great Cuppa would say:
[ABC? No, thank you!]
[‘Afghan Row shows Gillard ‘not fit to be PM’]
Surely using this quote from Pyne as the headline implies that this is also the ditorial position of the ABC??
[they didn’t stop, fool. just because you were pulling yourself silly doesn’t mean there weren’t boaties under howard.]
Yep 3 a Year. Don’t forget it Labor Hacks.
3 A YEAR.
bojo,
It’s a variation on FIGJAM.
Oh dear. It’s a Tone love in on qanda.
Andrew @ 973
Totally agree. The time has come for the govt to stop pussy footing around and start playing hard. The opposition and their puppet masters in the MSM never hesitate to get in the gutter. The time has come to start calling these frauds out!
[3 A YEAR.]
😆 is that boats or the number of times your exercise your brain?
GG
aahhh.. thank you muchly
george
neither
i think he means bathtimes
😉
[is that boats or the number of times your exercise your brain?]
It’s hurts doesn’t it. 3 a Year.
Not 130 a Year like Gillard.
THREE. The left hate logic.. they hate the truth and they hate being wrong.
[is that boats or the number of times your exercise your brain?]
times he spoke to a woman. two of those were arresting officers.
[2002-2007 were the most war torn years in history, ]
Yeah, the middle ages were a laugh compared to 2002-2007…
[It’s hurts doesn’t it.]
What does? The truth?
[The left hate logic.. ]
No, we hate fallacy.
[what the heck is a FIGMYer?]
FYIGM = F You! I Got Mine!
[
2002-2007 were the most war torn years in history, yet the lefties want us to believe that these were the glory years for refugee’s thats why we had no boat arrivals. Bullcrap.
]
Most war torn years in history? So 1939-1945 was just a warm up was it? What was that about truth and logic
Arbib handling himself well
cuppla fib trolls but not much substance
interesting comment from L forrest
Lisa Forrest’s response to the question regarding Abbott and Gillard stoush was very interesting.
[It’s hurts doesn’t it.]
Not if you bend right over.
Gusface
snap!
Gus / Victoria 991 / 992
Do tell!
someone should probe abbot on iraq – he would have been at right hand of howard – reason number 7 why he is not fit for public office (previous criminal conviction)
The Hundred Years war went from 1336 to 1453 between Engalnd and France. That’s almost as long as 2002 to 2007.
[No, we hate fallacy.]
So what was the average boat arrivals during the Pacific Solution? Enlighten us?
You may dislike the Pacific Solution, but you can’t argue witht he numbers… it makes Lefties look like fools, especially with the mess they have made of the whole situation.
The post-war monetary system on which we have all relied is now effectively dissolving as the various large trading economies resort to currency manipulation to try to maintain exports, economic output, employment and fiscal stability. The appreciation of the AUD is symptomatic of this situation, and, short of re-regulating the currency market, there is nothing much the Australian government can do about it. This is a knock-on effect of the GFC that – according to the Liberals – lasted 6 or 8 weeks in late 2008.
The stresses in the international system are serious and can only be solved by agreement between the large economies – an agreement that no-one has yet envisaged let alone proposed. The remnants of Bretton Woods “system” are being funded by China, who have been furiously buying the increasingly worthless assets of the Europeans and Americans in an effort to prevent the appreciation of the Yuan.
At a certain point this must become unsustainable. Were the Chinese to stop their purchases of the Euro, for example, it would surely collapse, as nearly occurred early this year. The same can be said for US assets, which are now in steep decline when measured against the value of commodities and third currencies, such as the yen, the AUD and the CAD. The end result of this situation will be at least two-fold. There will be prolonged stagnation in the industrial economies; and the Government of China – whose own currency is not convertible – will end up owning most of the world’s official financial assets. This would not necessarily be a problem in itself. But it is highly likely that many of those financial assets will be essentially unmarketable. Having funded the sub-prime bubble, the Government of China is now funding a sovereign debt bubble of even greater proportions. This must end badly…..as Satyajit Das explains:
http://www.eurointelligence.com/index.php?id=581&tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=2918&tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=901&cHash=8989e62bf2
[Arcane currency shenanigans point to deeper, unresolved economic issues that policymakers are unwilling or unable to confront but whose resolution is crucial to a sustainable recovery and growth…….
Since the end of the de facto gold standard and Bretton Woods, currencies increasingly have become weapons of choice in trade and economic wars.
The currency crisis highlights the “beggar thy neighbour” policies pursued by many economies. China, Japan and Germany have consistently pursued policies that emphasise high domestic savings, low domestic consumption and an undervalued currency to drive its export driven economies. These global imbalances contributed significantly to the current financial problems.
A global economic order where a few countries save and lend to finance their exports while other countries act as consumers of last resort is unsustainable. A system where each country seeks to maximise its own competitive position and financial security at the expense of trading partners is not viable.
An emerging toxic combination of inflexible global currency arrangements, a destructive cycle of currency devaluations, trade restrictions and the need of governments to rein in spending to balance budgets is reminiscent of the 1930s. They threaten a period of prolonged global economic stagnation.
The globalization of complex financial relationships, much lauded before the crisis, is now proving a liability in resolving the crisis. Optimists must rely on Israeli politician Abba Eban’s observation that “History teaches us that men and nations behave wisely once they have exhausted all other alternatives.”]
Vic
she is fair, and i think a lot cleverer than peeps give her credit
She was great on the radio way back then