The Australian reports the first Newspoll in four weeks has Labor with an unchanged two-party lead of 51-49, from primary votes of Labor 33% (up one), Coalition 38% (up one), Greens 12% (down one) and One Nation 7% (steady). On personal ratings, all we are told for now is that Anthony Albanese has a net minus six (up one), Peter Dutton a net minus 15 (steady), and Albanese holds a 13-point lead as preferred prime minister (down one). UPDATE: Albanese is steady on 44% approval and down one to 50% on disapproval; Dutton is down one on both approval and disapproval, to 36% and 51%; preferred prime minister has narrowed from 48-34 to 48-35. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1236.
Nine Newspapers also brings us the monthly Resolve Strategic poll, which gives Labor its weakest result since the election. Labor is down two points on the primary vote to 30%, with the Coalition up one to 36%, the Greens steady on 13% and One Nation steady on 5%. Resolve Strategic does not include two-party preferred results, but the report quotes its director Jim Reed saying Labor and the Coalition were tied “after preferences were calculated on the stated intention of survey respondents“.
Both leaders record improved personal ratings: Anthony Albanese is up five on approval (or more specifically, his combined very good and good result on his “performance as prime minister in recent weeks”) to 43% and down four on disapproval to 45%, while Peter Dutton is up four to 40% and down two to 42%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is in from 40-30 to 41-32. The poll was conducted Wednesday through to Sunday from a sample of 1610.
The poll also includes results on favoured household assistance measures for the looming budget, which are interestingly broken down into low, medium and high income cohorts, producing startlingly different results. Given one of five options to pick, only 3% on low incomes favoured lower income tax rates, with 28% supporting higher welfare payments and 27% energy bill relief. For the high income cohort, 27% favoured “downward pressure on inflation and interest rates” (presumably to be accomplished through no household assistance at all), with only 8% favouring higher welfare.
Taylormade says:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 7:29 pm
He’s not even carrying a day pack.
Not what you could call roughing it.
Wonder what’s for dinner tonight. Champagne and caviar.
Albo’s accomodation being set up for the night…
The Coalition energy policy – anything but renewables.
Tirelessly pushed by Coalition shills everywhere… the latest distraction is nuclear. Maybe next it’ll be anti- matter annihilation.
Anything but renewables
Keep the coal fires burning,
We’ll have no windmills turning,
We’ll have no solar panels,
We’ll keep the coal fires burning,
Until Climate Change is proven crap”.
OOS: methinks he doth protest too much.
Pedant
Great post!
I was going to post something similar, but you have put it very well.
It is in nobody’s interest to have a formal coalition between the Teals / the Green and Labor, or conversely, one between the Teals and the Coalition.
It would be better for all concerned if the government, as tested by a vote of confidence on the floor, needs to pass legislation by getting a majority in the HOR. Each piece of legislation would be passed on its merits (or more accurately, on how each member of the HOR feels that their own seat would like them to vote).
Just did a close up of the nice blue shirt and the nice pair of pants.
He hasn’t got a speck of dirt on him
I keep saying It but it bears saying again obv – do u all really think the ALP is going to sleepwalk into minority govt with Albo?
If Albo can’t turn it around , post budget they’ll swap him out for someone with a better chance of winning.
Too many people In the FPLP are traumatised by the Gillard experience to meekly walk into minority govt again.
I mean Albo hasn’t even been able to put Dutton away.
Steve777says:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 7:34 pm
The Coalition energy policy – anything but renewables.
Tirelessly pushed by Coalition shills everywhere… the latest distraction is nuclear. Maybe next it’ll be anti- matter annihilation.
=============================================
My moneys on them announcing a dilithium crystal led recovery.
Rebecca
The no hopers and self promoters from the Vic Labor right are gaining in influence. JA doesn’t hold the same level of authority as Dan did. Nowhere it.
If the Teals were to support the climate-denying Coalition, that would be the end of them.
Albo’s got his photographer working hard. Cringe.
Fubar, this sounds like the latest LNP nuspeak talking points, railing against solar PV that the public predominantly paid for. I’ve yet to meet a single person who installed rooftop solar PV who regrets their decision.
And, as you’d know, we have the largest per capita uptake of rooftop solar. The US of course is different, where support or opposition to rooftop solar is one of those things that divides the nation on party lines: Republicans oppose it; Dems support it.
Why not just have a party policy that opposes all renewables? Oh yes, you do already.
Rex Douglas: I don’t buy that Allan isn’t steering the wheel on this stuff. There were always suggestions that she was considerably more socially conservative than Andrews on some issues, even if she was in the left faction, and those seem to be being borne out.
Though Pallas, the complete goose that he is, does seem to be having more influence, because there’s no way Andrews would have let him run with the insane fight he tried to pick with Albo over IR.
Lars Von Triersays:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 7:41 pm
=============================================
So Lars, like PP, are you looking forward to tomorrows inflation numbers?. Just remembered you haven’t given us a stagflation update for awhile. So how is your prediction of stagflation actually going.
The plan for Albo is to climb up to Isurava village at 1375 m, and have the Dawn Ceremony there on the 25th. So those wanting more photos, you won’t be disappointed
Rebecca
JA has had one captain’s call. Duck shooting to continue. Terrible call.
She has released the shackles that Dan had on his ministry and today’s decision on the second safe inj room is another indication that populist policy the unprincipled right are famous for is taking precedence over good policy.
Aussies want Albo working on the cost of living and housing crisis not prancing around PNG. Terrible optics and terrible staff work.
Looks like the PMO needs a clean out.
Rex Douglassays:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 7:49 pm
Albo’s got his photographer working hard. Cringe.
======================================================
You do know there is a whole Australian press pack there. With photographers too.
The photos I posted were taken and attributed to Matthew Knott – Fairfax journalist accompanying Albo, who remarkably, has a modern iPhone which takes just dandy photos.
Lars Von Trier says:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 7:41 pm
I mean Albo hasn’t even been able to put Dutton away.
———————-
Labor’s budget premium in responsibly , game changer
Dutton will have no answers
Lars Von Triersays:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 8:00 pm
Aussies want Albo working on the cost of living and housing crisis not prancing around PNG. Terrible optics and terrible staff work.
Looks like the PMO needs a clean out.
==================================================
All the media coverage has been extremely positive. With the exception of the odd LNP sourpuss. Who aren’t doing any favours for their already tattered image.
Albo has already totally reversed stagflation. Which i believe was your main worry Lars. After doing that i thought you would be singing his economic praises. Instead you are sounding very sour indeed. Like you wanted stagflation actually to occur?.
Is this guy still toiling for Albo?
https://www.theguardian.com/media/2019/jun/25/james-jeffrey-resigns-from-the-australian-to-join-anthony-albaneses-staff
It might help explain a few things.
I suspect Labor is happy to have Dutton remain as Coalition leader
FUBAR says:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 5:03 pm
Rainman says:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 4:24 pm
Name one vote of the Senate that has been taken on State lines.
——————————————————————————
Try to get rid of proportional State representation in the Senate and see how quickly they’ll vote on State lines.
Re Lars @8:00 PM. You can do much better than that.
sprocket_says:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 8:04 pm
The photos I posted were taken and attributed to Matthew Knott – Fairfax journalist accompanying Albo, who remarkably, has a modern iPhone which takes just dandy photos.
=================================================
So a Nine MSM journalist. I doubt we will get a retraction from Rex though.
The only way of defeating China’s push into the SW Pacific is with piles of cash and a lot of that in paper bags.
Whatever happened to Prime Ministers disappearing to Hawaii for hols without even telling us they were going?
I meant equal State representation, not proportional.
OOS – So you think that there might be some sort of climate announcement in Tassie tomorrow? Off shore wind, Robbins Island or Marinus Link perhaps? The re-appointed Rockcliff government might be moving ahead with any of these.
I meant equal State representation, not proportional.
From +33 net sat to -8 net sat in 16 months, nothing to worry about – its all a cunning plan.
FUBAR says:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 8:15 pm
Rainman says:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 8:10 pm
Try to get rid of proportional State representation in the Senate and see how quickly they’ll vote on State lines.
It would be a Referendum, not a Senate vote.
——————————————————————————-
Ok, different example. Try damming the Murray and see how quick SA Senators would bring down the government.
I am now home from work.
Has their been critism of the PM’s overseas travel yet from the people who think all Australian’s should stay home and not travel?
Look, we know the Liberal cheer squad here are only having a bit of fun with Albo in NG..
We just have to concede that the Libs do stunts better than any Labor politician and this derision of Labor is fair enough as they also do hypocrisy better than Labor.
Who can forget that memorable stunt carried out by Abbott when he said he would cycle to for a 100 days or years (or whatever) when the election campaign was in full swing back in the day?
But then, the Liberal leaders could not get it right when it came to fire fighting……Abbott the hero with the hose. Morrison – “My job is not to hold the hose……….”
Hilarious…..Have to admit, this mob just do this kind of stuff so much better than Labor.
Re the Senate- equal representation of the six original and still only States is in the Constitution. The Parliament can determine how they are chosen within each State- proportional as now, 12 single member regions, or something else.
LvT
I am not sure what makes you think that those of us who prefer a Labor government to a Coalition government are not worried.
In fact, we are worried sick.
But I think you know this, given how connected to the corridors of power you are.
D&M nah just an ordinary concerned Australian citizen.
sprocket_ says:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 7:08 pm
The PNG locals are enjoying the first sitting Australian PM to make the effort to walk The Track…
————————————————————————-
Good thing he didn’t fall out of a plane like Biden’s uncle.
Fubar ….What is your problem with solar panels on the roof
Speaking only for Perth but for over 30 years we had ‘Solarheart’ on our roof – admittedly only heat water – but we did not need any other form of power for that purpose. We still paid the full whack of for electrical usage and a “supply charge” which one supposes went towards maintaining the grid.
Currently we have solar panels for general usage and we still pay for a “supply charge” which again, is our chip in to ensure there is base load for support when the sun goes down.
I estimate that the panels have paid for themselves in lower electricity tariffs and essentially, in 40 degree heat in Perth – for days on end – the solar pays for the air con…There is NO demand by us at that time in the base load/grid………What is the problem?
3 weeks to go the Budget – where you would expect the govt would be flat chat finalising the Budget , and where is the PM ? In the last week celebrity treatment at the AFL and 2 days in PNG with Kokoda photo-ops.
Re Tricot @ 8:36. Fubar ….What is your problem with solar panels on the roof?”
They don’t use coal or gas.
I installed solar panels and a battery along with four powerful air-conditions in preparation for retirement. I slammed the air conditioners day and night over summer, and SA has really hot summers. My last quarterly electricity bill was $100.
In a few more years, the admittedly expensive outlay cost would have paid for itself. I’m looking forward to being a very cool old man.
Imagine someone soooo useless they lost to a sack of sh*t like bojo,
bugger of jeremy you’ve got absolutely nothing to tell us 😡
“Our leaders seem determined to give war a chance. Their thirst for conflict endangers us all”
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/apr/23/leaders-war-gaza-jeremy-corbyn
more pathetic monster appeasement
Lars Von Triersays:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 8:44 pm
3 weeks to go the Budget – where you would expect the govt would be flat chat finalising the Budget , and where is the PM ? In the last week celebrity treatment at the AFL and 2 days in PNG with Kokoda photo-ops.
=================================================
So where exactly is Dutton?.
Gees Lars, you seem so fixated……………..
Your opinion is no better or worse than anyone’s but your constant going on about Labor thinking about a new leader any time soon makes me wonder about your ability to really look at matters in a balanced way.
One other contributor here – now no longer here – had a weird fixation on Shorten. I am beginning to wonder if you do not feel the same way about Albanese?
Anyway, you seem to spend half your life here, so I guess you know what you are on about…….
‘Douglas and Milko says:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 7:36 pm
Pedant
Picking up on some of the earlier discussion about the Teals, and looking past the next election, one question in my mind is whether, if no party has a majority, there would need to be a formal agreement between the ALP and Greens/Independents of the type that was reached in 2010. On the day after the election, Mr Albanese would still be PM. He could advise the GG that he expected to be able to govern, and on that basis could continue until the House carried a no-confidence motion against the government, or refused supply. The Teals, for their part, could negotiate about legislation on a case-by-case basis, without having to be burdened with the sort of agreement which became an albatross around the necks of the independents who backed Ms Gillard from 2010 to 2013. In the long run, it’s in the ALP’s interest for the Teals to keep getting re-elected, as that places a giant obstacle in the way of a return to power by the coalition. The Teals really represent a split in the Liberal Party, almost a mirror image of the Labor split in the 1950s, but with the Teals being to the coalition what the DLP was to Labor.
Great post!
I was going to post something similar, but you have put it very well.
It is in nobody’s interest to have a formal coalition between the Teals / the Green and Labor, or conversely, one between the Teals and the Coalition.
It would be better for all concerned if the government, as tested by a vote of confidence on the floor, needs to pass legislation by getting a majority in the HOR. Each piece of legislation would be passed on its merits (or more accurately, on how each member of the HOR feels that their own seat would like them to vote).’
======================================
Well, it would if all care and no responsibility were not the order of the day.
But it is.
The thing is that the gaggles are always ready to spend money.
But none of them would vote for increased taxes to pay for them. That would be up to Labor to carry the can.
Ditto any unpopular regulations and the like.
That contributor was proved right on Shorten in 2019. Let’s see if I am proved right on Albo.
Typically the popular view on PB is the incorrect view.
You don’t need to be. Australian voters very rarely throw out first term governments. They even didn’t to Rudd -Gillard.
Lars Von Triersays:
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 9:02 pm
That contributor was proved right on Shorten in 2019. Let’s see if I am proved right on Albo.
=================================================
On your prediction abilities. How’s your stagflation prediction going?.