The Australian reports the first Newspoll conducted by Pyxis Polling & Insights gives Labor its weakest result since the election, with a two-party preferred lead of 53-47 comparing with 55-45 in the final YouGov-conducted Newspoll six weeks ago. The Coalition also leads for the first time on the primary vote, up three to 37% with Labor down one to 35%. The Greens are up a point to 13%, their equal best result for the term, with One Nation steady on 7% and all others down three to 8%.
Anthony Albanese also records net negative personal ratings for the first time as Prime Minister, with approval down six to 46% and disapproval up six to 47%. Peter Dutton is respectively up two to 38% and steady at 49%, with Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister narrowing from 54-29 to 50-31. The news for the government is particularly bleak with respect to the Indigenous Voice, on which no records a lead of 53-38.
There is a further report in The Australian on the new polling arrangements, which says “Newspoll will continue to use the same set of questions it has asked since 1985, and the same methodology Dr (Campbell) White and Mr (Simon) Levy designed after the 2019 election while at YouGov”. However, there would seem to be differences in that the field work period is Monday to Friday and the sample size 1200, whereas previously surveys were conducted from Wednesday to Saturday and the sample was typically 1500 to 1600.
UPDATE: The Australian Polling Council-mandated methodology statement for the new poll is here. It shows a smaller gap than previously between the actual and effective sample size (the final YouGov Newspoll having been fairly typical in this respect), such that the latter is much the same as before and the effective margin of error little changed (indeed slightly lower) at a bit over 3%. Casey Briggs of the ABC notes this may reflect a simpler weighting frame than the one used previously, which encompassed income and AEC region (inner metropolitan, outer metropolitan, provincial and rural) as well as age, gender, education and location (the specifics of the latter are undisclosed).
Sorry Bill for the offence.
Out of interest if that is misogyny in its purest form, what would be an example of it in its most diluted form?
Just for future reference
‘The Port of Dover wants to reclaim some of the English Channel to build more space and avoid the lengthy queues which have marked border controls since Brexit .. building out in the sea could help avoid “unacceptable” delays, with yet more post-Brexit controls planned for 2024’
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/brexit-dover-port-to-reclaim-land-from-sea-to-prevent-long-queues/ar-AA1gg29z?ocid=winp2fptaskbar&cvid=c1e32bff524c4306bcf9216aebd57df4&ei=11
Evan says:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 5:02 pm
Today’s Daily Telegraph in Sydney printed all 26 pages of the Uluru Statement, yes 26 pages, and urged readers to digest it and make up your own mind on October 14.
———————————-
Not sure what you think your credibility is like but be assured that quoting the Daily Telegraph doesn’t help. Best you do just a little actual research.
OC, what’s really troubling is the esteemed position of the Lord Warden of the Cinque Ports has been vacant since November 2022. Unbelievable
Its the English equivalent of sedevacante
Has anyone read the Guardian’s annotated fact checked yes and no pamphlet today.
I can’t understand how the no stuff ever made it to print.
The average punter is a sitting duck.
In regards Qantas and the kindergarten carry on by the Opposition, I trust the prime minister was watching the ABC News Service tonight and has access to the graphics the ABC presented
No money made
No tax paid
And the pie chart of government support – including the JOBkeeper payments the Company is now under pressure to repay to us (us being taxpayers)- this government support keeping the toxic Company afloat
And in regard the Opposition, across politics, industry and commerce you remain well met
Being well met goes with the territory
It does not signal favour or advantage
Mind you, once you retire you can pick and choose those you associate with!!
And just on the ABC, in regards Joyce we are fed the commentary of someone from The Australian (so Murdoch) and a Coalition MP who did not have the graphic of government support put to her in response to the immature allegations she makes
The ABC has a problem – a major problem
I have put on these sites previously that there are Company Directors who speak to the strength of their business not being on the Balance Sheet but on the Profit and Loss being Wages and Salaries
Joyce was not one of these
Anyway, she who controls the remote has exited the ABC – for a program on home renovations
Help!!!!
Bomanicious says:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 7:21 pm
C@t momma that is some strong Karen energy there.
I’m going to guess you’re a HRC supporter.
“Yes” vote was always doomed to fail with the rump of volunteers dominated by menopausal, suburban women with a white saviour complex and too much time on their hands.
——————
Your comments are consistent, insulting and unworthy of this blog.
In my country PO Box today I got a hard paper flier – business envelope size – well presented in black and yellow listing ten reasons to vote no. Numbered 1 to 10 Bold Heading and smaller print short expansion.
Prominent Don’t Know? Vote No.
Link to riskyvoice.com with QR code
Authorised by A. Hirst, Liberal Party, Barton ACT
01 THE VOICE IS LEGALLY RISKY
02 THERE ARE NO DETAILS
03 IT DIVIDES US
04 IT WON’T HELP INDIGENOUS AUSTRALIANS
05 NO ISSUE IS BEYOND ITS SCOPE
06 IT RISKS DELAYS & DYSFUNCTION
07 IT OPENS THE DOOR FOR ACTIVISTS
08 IT WILL BE COSTLY AND BUREAUCRATIC
09 THIS VOICE WILL BE PERMANENT
10 THERE ARE BETTER WAYS FORWARD
The small explainers are as potent. I tell you, if this is all you read, and believed it, you’d vote a big fat No. If all you saw with this and the Farnham ad (as brilliant as it is, I think), you’d still vote a big fat No.
This packs a punch.
I shied away from saying what I think the Yes campaign should do, but these lies have to be addressed, one by one, over and over, all media and outlets, including snail mail, with equal, at least, finesse. There’s a lot of money behind this.
Lars Von Trier says:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 7:46 pm
OC, what’s really troubling is the esteemed position of the Lord Warden of the Cinque Ports has been vacant since November 2022. Unbelievable
John Winston Howard is available
Texas tax law attorney and 2024 Republican presidential candidate John Anthony Castro took to social media Monday, September 4 to warn his opponent, ex-President Donald Trump of upcoming legal action against him over his role in the Jan. 6 attack, Newsweek reports. The GOP leader shared screenshots of legal filings via X — formerly known as Twitter — writing, “Happy Labor Day! About to unleash legal hell on @realDonaldTrump in what he thought was secure red states… but they’re in blue circuits. Zero path to 270.”
Per Newsweek, “The filings showed that he is filing challenges to Trump’s candidacy in Wyoming, Utah, Oklahoma, North Carolina, West Virginia, Montana, Kansas and Idaho. Of these states, analysts only view North Carolina as being competitive in the 2024 election, but Trump not having access to any of these ballots would complicate his path to winning the Electoral College.”
According to the report, “Former federal prosecutor Neama Rahmani told Newsweek on Monday that Castro’s attempts to have Trump disqualified are a ‘long shot,’ but may be ‘worth a ‘Hail Mary’ for Trump opponents, as the section three of the 14th Amendment has not been litigated in this manner.”
The candidate also wrote on social media Saturday, September 2, “You think this intimidates us @realDonaldTrump? Think again. We’re not gonna rest until you’re behind bars; caged like the uncivilized animal that you are.”
Itzadream
The Guardian did a pretty good job today.
It is an unfortunate fact that constitutional change affecting the rights, lives and livelihoods of minority groups are inevitably decided by a majority made up of other people who will not be impacted by or, in some cases, even interested in the proposal.
The result of the same sex marriage plebiscite was rightly celebrated around the country. However, it’s worth remembering that less than 80% of eligible voters participated and approaching 40% of those voted against allowing same sex couples the right to legal marriage.
The Voice referendum directly impacts a tiny 3% of our people but the outcome will be decided largely by the other 97% of us. Why should we care?
Perhaps the Constitution also needs an empathy clause.
In my heart, I know that, being born in 1960 to a 10-pound pom and convict descendant, I have had the benefit of the many opportunities baby boomer Australia offered.
I also know that, had I been born that same day to an indigenous family around Walgett or Brewarrina, Tennant Creek or Kununurra, my life experience would have been vastly different. Almost certainly, I wouldn’t have the health, wealth and comforts I enjoy today.
I can scarcely imagine the challenges, hardships and sometimes despair that ‘other me’ would have experienced growing up and growing older over the last 63 years. Nor the lasting trauma his parents, grandparents and extended family likely suffered under the practices of the preceding years in post-colonial Australia.
When my grandmother was giving birth to her first child, a grandmother or Auntie of ‘other me’ may well have been among the (at least) 30-odd indigenous victims who met brutal deaths at the hands of the NT police in the Coniston massacre.
I’m certain that ‘other me’ would also be desperately hoping that enough Australians are willing to acknowledge his mob’s history as the first custodians of this ancient land and guarantee them the agency to simply make representations on issues affecting them.
Whatever the outcome of the upcoming referendum, the reality is that it will not have an ounce of practical impact on my day-to-day life.
There is however, at least some chance that a yes vote would lead to better outcomes for a small proportion of our people where past efforts (however well intentioned) have failed and left them behind. Why would I stand in the way of that chance?
And when (hopefully sooner rather than later) the gap is closed, the Voice can stand as a permanent custodian to the continuity of the world’s oldest surviving human cultures.
For me, I’ll be a much prouder Australian when, to be Australian encompasses the 60,000+ years of indigenous history and not just the last 250-odd years of colonial and multi-cultural development. And when the most disadvantaged segment of our population has the opportunity to share responsibility for improving their lot in life and maintaining their remarkable culture for future generations of all Australians.
I’ll vote ‘yes’.
The government attempting to block a Senate inquiry into the Qantas Protection Racket is a terrible look. Obviously the government is trying to hide something. The government have spoilt the Voice campaign with this nonsense. What a shame.
Sceptic
My thought also
Although I should add that as one of my forebears was sentenced to be hanged in one of the Cinque Ports (Rye), there would be a certain irony in me being appointed.
‘Ray (UK) says:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 7:42 pm
‘The Port of Dover wants to reclaim some of the English Channel to build more space and avoid the lengthy queues which have marked border controls since Brexit .. building out in the sea could help avoid “unacceptable” delays, with yet more post-Brexit controls planned for 2024’
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/brexit-dover-port-to-reclaim-land-from-sea-to-prevent-long-queues/ar-AA1gg29z?ocid=winp2fptaskbar&cvid=c1e32bff524c4306bcf9216aebd57df4&ei=11‘
————————————————
How would making more space for trucks to park avoid lengthy queues?
Perhaps a mud berm to France?
Mundo @ #911 Tuesday, September 5th, 2023 – 8:01 pm
OK for starters. But I wouldn’t count on the locals around here, for example, to be big Guardian readers. What struck me was the well targeted penetration – hand delivered to a lot of people from a single distribution point with not a lot of personal involved, and the clarity of the information presentation. The PO btw is currently looking to make unaddressed mail as more opt-in than current opt-out.
Lars von trier
The Lord Warden of the Cinque Ports has been vacant since November 2022. Unbelievable
______________________________________________________
I don’t think that post has ever recovered after it was filled by Robert Menzies
Old Spoke says:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 8:02 pm
+1
okay laz you could start poasting relivant poasts wonder if ok will bring up eddey obid the fact labor exbelled him in 2014 does not ocur to theanti labor poasters it is suprising just because you lost a preselection and could not get a parliament seat you would turn against the party
Lars
Speaking of sede vacante.
Is it not odd that the English monarchy is the only one in Europe that still does dress ups with a coronation.
Even the Vatican, not known for its progressiveness, last had a coronation in 1963. (Which admittedly is an issue for the sede vacantists)
Pretty much the words in which I think most active ‘No’ campaigners think.
https://youtu.be/-DynNUg8uaQ?feature=shared&t=435
Breaking news
‘Birmingham City Council has effectively declared itself bankrupt as it says it will stop all but essential spending .. Europe’s largest local authority has issued a Section 114 notice – which means it will spend only to protect core services’
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/national/birmingham-city-council-declares-effective-bankruptcy/ar-AA1ggjOT?bncnt=BroadcastNews_BreakingNews&ocid=winp2fptaskbar&FORM=BNC001&cvid=81c67e7fc7ec4bc3afd416de34e0b96c&ei=42
”
Bomanicioussays:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 7:21 pm
C@t momma that is some strong Karen energy there.
I’m going to guess you’re a HRC supporter.
“Yes” vote was always doomed to fail with the rump of volunteers dominated by menopausal, suburban women with a white saviour complex and too much time on their hands.
”
This kind of misogynistic talk is happening because some people have issues with women identified with Labor cause.
For example, take Clem Atlee. He calls C@tmomma ‘Catcrank’ and he calls yourself a progressive.
Or the way nath behaves with zoomster and C@tmomma.
Ray (UK) says:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 8:28 pm
Breaking news
‘Birmingham City Council has effectively declared itself bankrupt as it says it will stop all but essential spending .. Europe’s largest local authority has issued a Section 114 notice – which means it will spend only to protect core services’
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/national/birmingham-city-council-declares-effective-bankruptcy/ar-AA1ggjOT?bncnt=BroadcastNews_BreakingNews&ocid=winp2fptaskbar&FORM=BNC001&cvid=81c67e7fc7ec4bc3afd416de34e0b96c&ei=42
_______________
Anything to do with a recent sporting event held there? 😉
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2018/sep/16/commonwealth-games-2022-could-bankrupt-birmingham
Sorry Aaron I can’t engage with you . I promised sprocket .
”
Griffsays:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 8:50 pm
Ray (UK) says:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 8:28 pm
Breaking news
‘Birmingham City Council has effectively declared itself bankrupt as it says it will stop all but essential spending .. Europe’s largest local authority has issued a Section 114 notice – which means it will spend only to protect core services’
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/national/birmingham-city-council-declares-effective-bankruptcy/ar-AA1ggjOT?bncnt=BroadcastNews_BreakingNews&ocid=winp2fptaskbar&FORM=BNC001&cvid=81c67e7fc7ec4bc3afd416de34e0b96c&ei=42
_______________
Anything to do with a recent sporting event held there?
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2018/sep/16/commonwealth-games-2022-could-bankrupt-birmingham
”
And I read somewhere or saw it on TV, that city Mayor said that he can look into the request to host that event again in 2026.
I think Andrews government paid to much money to avoid court case.
Lars Von Trier says:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 7:46 pm
“OC, what’s really troubling is the esteemed position of the Lord Warden of the Cinque Ports has been vacant since November 2022. Unbelievable”
Shocking. An unfulfilled sinecure. Surely there is stipend that needs trousering!
Actually, I had/have no idea what this “role” entails. I know that a few ex pollies would be good at sinking ports …….. but as a job??
Mind you, the old Queen Mother managed when she held the title!!!
There are six (6) vacancies in the Order of the Garter.
You’d have to think the Rodent would kill for one of those spots. Maybe the Palace wont do it for fear of causing offence to the current Australian Government?
Still you’d have to think spreading some of those around the Commonwealth might be on the cards? Maybe they’ll balance the Rodent with Arden?
Sounds like one of those titles that were important in the middle ages but now just exist to appoint UK MPs to, so they can legally resign from Parliament.
Everybody knows thats the Chiltern Hundreds Wat.
Bomanicious @ #901 Tuesday, September 5th, 2023 – 7:41 pm
How about calling someone a “pearl clutcher”? I believe I recall this term being used on PB (not by me, I should hasten to add) and it attracting little or no opprobrium.
Lars – You’d have to think the Rodent would kill for one of those spots
_________________________________________
The rodent already is on the Order of Merit, which I think has a vacancy as well, so I don’t think he’s gonna get the Garter
I come back after The Block and I am assaulted with visions of John Howard putting a purple garter on his 80+yo spindly legs! 😆
Order of the Garter takes precedence over other Awards in UK order of precedence.
Mr Squiggle says:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 9:28 pm
Lars – You’d have to think the Rodent would kill for one of those spots
_________________________________________
The rodent already is on the Order of Merit, which I think has a vacancy as well, so I don’t think he’s gonna get the Garter
_____________________
Give one to Tony Abbott, pretty fitting pompus, no nothing job with a fancy title, he deserves something for making Price Phil an AK afterall.
Re ItzaDream @7:57, some ripostes to the ten points:
01 THE VOICE IS LEGALLY RISKY. Bullshit.
02 THERE ARE NO DETAILS. The Parliament decides those.
03 IT DIVIDES US. The “No” campaign is dividing us.
04 IT WON’T HELP INDIGENOUS AUSTRALIANS. Whitesplaining, or would be if the author of these 10 points cared.
05 NO ISSUE IS BEYOND ITS SCOPE. So what?
06 IT RISKS DELAYS & DYSFUNCTION. Everything risks delays and dysfunction, not least a Coalition Government. Why worry about it here?
07 IT OPENS THE DOOR FOR ACTIVISTS. So what are “Advance” members then?
08 IT WILL BE COSTLY AND BUREAUCRATIC How do you know? Evidence please. Of course, pretty much everything is costly and bureaucratic. Why is it specifically a problem for the Voice? Is it a privilege reserved to Whites?
09 THIS VOICE WILL BE PERMANENT That’s the general idea.
10 THERE ARE BETTER WAYS FORWARD. Like what? More whitesplaining, as if the author cared.
”
Steve777says:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 9:49 pm
Re ItzaDream @7:57, some ripostes to the ten points:
01 THE VOICE IS LEGALLY RISKY. Bullshit.
02 THERE ARE NO DETAILS. The Parliament decides those.
03 IT DIVIDES US. The “No” campaign is dividing us.
04 IT WON’T HELP INDIGENOUS AUSTRALIANS. Whitesplaining, or would be if the author of these 10 points cared.
05 NO ISSUE IS BEYOND ITS SCOPE. So what?
06 IT RISKS DELAYS & DYSFUNCTION. Everything risks delays and dysfunction, not least a Coalition Government. Why worry about it here?
07 IT OPENS THE DOOR FOR ACTIVISTS. So what are “Advance” members then?
08 IT WILL BE COSTLY AND BUREAUCRATIC How do you know? Evidence please. Of course, pretty much everything is costly and bureaucratic. Why is it specifically a problem for the Voice? Is it a privilege reserved to Whites?
09 THIS VOICE WILL BE PERMANENT That’s the general idea.
10 THERE ARE BETTER WAYS FORWARD. Like what? More whitesplaining, as if the author cared
”
Thumbs up emoji.
Lars Von Trier says:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 9:43 pm
Order of the Garter takes precedence over other Awards in UK order of precedence.
______
I’d much prefer a Dukedom.
And as a descendant of Edward III I think I’m entitled to one.
I’m voting YES because I believe it is the decent, respectful and honourable thing to do.
One experience that affected me was watching the film “Rabbit Proof Fence”. At the end of the film they showed silent footage of some gracious older ladies going about their tasks. These ladies had been among the stolen children depicted in the film. This made their story very real to me, as obviously intended by the director of the film.
Here’s Nath wearing his Duke regalia:
Douglas and Milko at 6.48 am re postal vote campaigns
You said: “I know that Labor does not have the money for these mail outs, and I suspect that neither do the Greens.”
I presume that’s hearsay. An unreliable source, almost always. Check the results of the 4 July 2020 Eden-Monaro by-election, when Kristy McBain won because of a strong Labor postal vote campaign.
Here are the figures for Eden-Monaro in 2019 and the 2020 by-election, by postal votes percentage:
2019 Labor candidate Mike Kelly (well known incumbent) received 42.86% of postal votes
2020 Labor candidate Kristy McBain (determined first timer) received 46.74% of postal votes
So there was a swing in postal votes to McBain of nearly 4%. The overall swing against McBain was just under half a per cent. She won by 735 votes = 0.39% of formal votes. The postal campaign worked.
Labor certainly has the resources to replicate that elsewhere, if they have good candidates like McBain.
Re Birmingham
I think the main reason is a huge bill for an Equal Pay class action going back decades
“900 people killed or injured by Russian cluster bombs in Ukraine last year, says monitor
More than 900 people were killed or injured by cluster munitions in Ukraine last year amid broad Russian use of the widely banned weapons, propelling global casualty figures to record levels, according to the Cluster Munition Coalition (CMC)…
… Mary Wareham, the arms advocacy director at Human Rights Watch, who participated in the report, said:
‘The vast majority of the cluster munition rocket missile and artillery attacks in Ukraine … have been conducted by Russian forces. That is I think the major reason for the uptick in civilian casualties.’
The Ukrainian casualties accounted for the vast majority of the global figure, which rose to 1,172 in 2022 – the highest since CMC began reporting in 2010. A full 890 of the casualties registered in Ukraine – 294 deaths and 596 injuries – happened during attacks using cluster munitions, the monitor said.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/sep/05/russia-ukraine-war-live-updates-drone-attack-moscow-suburbs-putin-kim-jong-un-latest-news
Russian cluster bomb attacks on Ukrainians during this invasion caused nearly 80% of all cluster munition casualties around the world in 2022.
Latest federal Redbridge poll has Labor still comfortably ahead in 54-46 2PP with primaries Labor 37, Coalition 36, Green 13, others 14. Their last poll had primaries at 38-32 to Labor. Only groups Coalition in front is age 65+, less than year 12 and earning over 200k.
My view is that the Coalition has got a polling bump because of their support of the No campaign. Despicable politics over better lives for indigenous people. Beneath contempt.
I see Troy Bramston has been scathing of the Coalition and the No camp in today’s Australian.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/the-no-camp-is-playing-politics-and-offers-nothing-to-improve-the-lives-of-indigenous-australians/news-story/7ca581ef15070ac3513f021c41081e6e
Not usually a fan of Joe Hildebrand’s work but he wrote an intelligent article the other day explaining the reasons why doubters can vote yes and then get on with their lives.
https://www.news.com.au/national/politics/reasons-you-can-just-vote-yes-and-get-on-with-your-lives/news-story/8a6c51eff216461404389264cd4d16a9
Then you have arch-conservative Chris Kenny on Sky News over the past few weeks giving the no camp both barrels. Also this from him in The Australian.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/inquirer/indigenous-voice-to-parliament-busting-eight-myths-of-the-no-campaign/news-story/817723cfd407942d44da948d437e6b8c
Phew! Thanks for that, Charles. 🙂
The commuter operates the blades as a usual turnstile. it drives a series of multiple gears which rotate a flywheel powering a direct current motor prototypes were installed in the metro station near menil in the heart of Paris generating. more than 2 000 watts per day deployed.21 May 2023
https://m.youtube.com › watch
Iberdrola – Turnstile Turbines (case study) – YouTube
citizen at 10.04 pm
Here is an obituary, in the NYT no less, for the remarkable author Doris Pilkington Garimara, who researched her family members’ heroic efforts to escape the draconian policy of forced assimilation, and who wrote the book on which the film Follow the Rabbit-Proof Fence was based:
https://www.nytimes.com/2014/04/21/arts/doris-pilkington-garimara-novelist-is-dead-at-76.html
How many Australians have seen and been moved by that remarkable film? Not enough. That is part of the social context of the current debate. It was J.W. Howard who strangled truth-telling in 1997.
”
Enough Alreadysays:
Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 10:18 pm
“900 people killed or injured by Russian cluster bombs in Ukraine last year, says monitor
More than 900 people were killed or injured by cluster munitions in Ukraine last year amid broad Russian use of the widely banned weapons, propelling global casualty figures to record levels, according to the Cluster Munition Coalition (CMC)…
… Mary Wareham, the arms advocacy director at Human Rights Watch, who participated in the report, said:
‘The vast majority of the cluster munition rocket missile and artillery attacks in Ukraine … have been conducted by Russian forces. That is I think the major reason for the uptick in civilian casualties.’
The Ukrainian casualties accounted for the vast majority of the global figure, which rose to 1,172 in 2022 – the highest since CMC began reporting in 2010. A full 890 of the casualties registered in Ukraine – 294 deaths and 596 injuries – happened during attacks using cluster munitions, the monitor said.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/sep/05/russia-ukraine-war-live-updates-drone-attack-moscow-suburbs-putin-kim-jong-un-latest-news
Russian cluster bomb attacks on Ukrainians during this invasion caused nearly 80% of all cluster munition casualties around the world in 2022.
”
Usage of cluster bombs by Russia is not acceptable.
Dune sequel pushed back to 2024. God dam.