Resolve Strategic: Labor 39, Coalition 32, Greens 10 (open thread)

A dent to Labor’s still commanding lead from Resolve Strategic, as it and Essential Research disagree on the trajectory of Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings.

The Age/Herald has published the second of what hopefully looks like being a regular monthly federal polling series, showing Labor down three points on the primary vote 39%, the Coalition up four to 32%, the Greens down two to 10%, One Nation up one to 6% and the United Australia Party steady on 2%. Based on preferences from the May election, this suggests a Labor two-party lead of 57-43, in from 61-39 last time. Anthony Albanese’s combined good plus very good rating is down one to 60% and his poor plus very poor rating is up two to 24%. Peter Dutton is respectively down two to 28% and up three to 40%, and his deficit on preferred prime minister has narrowed from 55-17 to 53-19.

The poll also finds 54-46 support for retaining the monarchy over becoming a republic in the event of a referendum, reversing a result from January. The late Queen’s “time as Australia’s head of state” was rated as good by 75% and poor by 5%, while David Hurley’s tenure as Governor-General was rated good by 30% and poor by 13%, with the remainder unsure or neutral. Forty-five per cent expect that King Charles III will perform well compared with 14% for badly. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1607.

Also out yesterday was the regular fortnightly release from Essential Research, which features the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings, though still nothing on voting intention. Its new method for gauging leadership invites respondents introduced last month is to rate the leaders on a scale from zero to ten, categorising scores of seven to ten as positive, zero to three as negative and four to six as neutral. Contra Resolve Strategic, this has Albanese’s positive rating up three to 46%, his negative rating down six to 17% and his neutral rating up three to 31%. Dutton’s is down three on positive to 23%, steady on negative at 34% and up four on negative to 34%.

The poll also gauged support for a republic, and its specification of an “Australian head of state” elicited a more positive response than for Resolve Strategic or Roy Morgan, with support at 43% and opposition at 37%, although this is the narrowest result from the pollster out of seven going back to January 2017, with support down one since June and opposition up three. When asked if King Charles III should be Australia’s head of state, the sample came down exactly 50-50. The late Queen posthumously records a positive rating of 71% and a negative rating of 8% and Prince William comes in at 64% and 10%, but the King’s ratings of 44% and 21% are only slightly better than those of Prince Harry at 42% and 22%. The September 22 public holiday has the support of 61%, but 48% consider the media coverage excessive, compared with 42% for about right and 10% for insufficient. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1075.

The weekly Roy Morgan federal voting intention result, as related in threadbare form in its weekly update videos, gives Labor a lead of 54.5-45.5, out from 53.5-46.5 and the pollster’s strongest result for Labor since the election.

Finally, some resolution to recent by-election coverage:

• Saturday’s by-election for the Western Australian state seat of North West Central produced a comfortable win for Nationals candidate Merome Beard in the absence of a candidate from Labor, who polled 40.2% in the March 2021 landslide and fell 1.7% short after preferences. Beard leads Liberal candidate Will Baston with a 9.7% margin on the two-candidate preferred count, although the Nationals primary vote was scarcely changed despite the absence of Labor, while the Liberals were up from an abysmal 7.9% to 26.7%. The by-elections other remarkable feature was turnout – low in this electorate at the best of times, it currently stands at 42.2% of the enrolment with a mere 4490 formal votes cast, down from 73.8% and 7741 formal votes in 2021, with likely only a few hundred postals yet to come. Results have not been updated since Sunday, but continue to be tracked on my results page.

• A provisional distribution of preferences recorded Labor candidate Luke Edmunds winning the Tasmanian Legislative Council seat of Pembroke by a margin of 13.3%, out from 8.7% when the electorate last went to polls in May 2019. Labor’s primary vote was down from 45.2% to 39.5% in the face of competition from the Greens, who polled a solid 19.3% after declining to contest last time, while the Liberals were up to 28.8% from 25.3% last time, when a conservative independent polled 18.4%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,935 comments on “Resolve Strategic: Labor 39, Coalition 32, Greens 10 (open thread)”

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  1. An Optus core competency should be managing customer data. That includes keeping it secure.

    The only valid use case I can think of for retaining ID information is for verification at the start of a phone call with a customer. And that information should be kept in a separate database, and could be unrelated to personal ID, such as a pass phrase, or first boyfriend’s middle name sort of thing. It shouldn’t need to be a drivers’ license number or passport number. And if police really have a need, then a lookup code into a police database should be all that telcos need to keep.

    As for Know Your Customer (KYC) requirements, how much does a telecom need to know? When I moved from Melbourne to Brisbane, no-one cared but the Qld Main Roads Department and the Electoral Commission.

    Right now, something Optus could do for its customers is provide them with a way to examine what of their private information was stolen.

  2. Eston Kohver, I take your point on two factor identification, but my mobile phone number is all that I’ve ever been asked for. Maybe I’m missing something. For the more secure stuff I use an Authenticator app. Microsoft and Google both make one.

  3. Morrison went to the PMs Xiii and acted like an idiot – the photo of his apparent incontinence comes from there.
    Abbott and Turnbull, as far as I know, never went to the PM XIII – a more accurate version of the NSW Liberals view of Rugba League

  4. C@t, and nath, just for the record, referencing nath’s bemoaning the absence of messaging, my main post was primarily about the reactions to a major programme change in a major concert in a major hall caused by the knighted Scottish conductor inserting an English composition in a tribute the the death of QEII, and the reaction by the players, and the audience. I thought it was interesting, that it even happened, and topical, compared, say, to jockeys’ dick sizes.

    I then threw in a (voluntary, of course, as is everything here) youtube showing a soloist with a badly scarred and deformed face, in front of 2000 people, playing some music, totally in another place, with a time stamp just to watch the best it, for anyone interested. The man is from a higher level, in a world of skin deep beauty. For me, there is much to learn from this.

    I’m not sure why I’m defending myself. But there you go. I guess because I ‘started it’. As for nath, I checked my post for big pretentious words, and found two descriptors – astounding and beautiful. Is struggling with words like those a Melbourne thing? Hang on, I also used ‘cadenza’. Ok, that might be a stretch for some, but an enquiring mind could have jumped to the time stamp, and found out what a cadenza is.

  5. I’m not sure if I can do anything for you, Yabba. Whatever it is that’s happening to your comments, they are not going into my spam folder, which is to say that they’re not reaching my system at all.

  6. ItzaDream says:
    Sunday, September 25, 2022 a
    As for nath, I checked my post for big pretentious words, and found two descriptors – astounding and beautiful. Is struggling with words like those a Melbourne thing?
    ____________
    My comment was directed at Yabba, not your good self.

  7. yabba:

    Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 8:11 pm

    [‘Help please, William. Short ‘test’ posts are immediately accepted. Anything that is a response gets put into limbo.’]

    In my view, you’ve likely to been relegated to the sin-bin for posting far too much classical music. If I’m wrong, perhaps it’s a matter of getting your email wrong. In any event, I’m off.

  8. The Ukrainian Army is on the move again, having created a spearhead that broke through the Russian defensive line near Lozove.
    ———————————
    “it’s so romantic on the borderline – Tonight, tonight”

    I feel a little numb to this. Putin will soon announce the results of the referenda and possibly crazy enough to back himself into a corner and threaten nuclear strikes on Kyiv if Ukraine attacks the oblasts he claims. Where to from there? Will Ukraine stop the advance or call bluff? Will Putin be taken out from inside? The Russians don’t have a great record of removing rotting heads as that fish tends to rot evenly.

  9. Late Riser @7:54

    For legal reasons I’m not permitted to go into further details.

    I found this article to be the most incompetent garbage I’ve ever seen by truly clueless idiots: https://theconversation.com/how-not-to-tell-customers-their-data-is-at-risk-the-perils-of-the-optus-approach-191258
    (TLDR: go public first, then follow up with your customers. Otherwise your targeted mea culpa itself looks like a cyber attack. Sheesh!!)

    But this chap seems to know what he’s talking about: https://theconversation.com/everyone-falls-for-fake-emails-lessons-from-cybersecurity-summer-school-81389

  10. nath @ #1559 Sunday, September 25th, 2022 – 8:24 pm

    ItzaDream says:
    Sunday, September 25, 2022 a
    As for nath, I checked my post for big pretentious words, and found two descriptors – astounding and beautiful. Is struggling with words like those a Melbourne thing?
    ____________
    My comment was directed at Yabba, not your good self.

    Yabba was having a bit of a chat. There was an interesting intersection. It’s like a cocktail party here – a lot going on. We can go out on the verandah if it’s a problem, yarn about the old days in Fisher Library music room. It was something else. Somewhere you could have a reason to just sit and look at other people. You’d have liked it. And when headphones were very new and cool. Big comfortable leather chairs, headphones on, wondering what that person with the good legs opposite was listening to. Catching an eye, a nervous half smile. You’d have liked it. Anyway, more in the verandah night air.

  11. Eston Kohver:

    Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 8:37 pm

    Late Riser @7:54

    [‘For legal reasons I’m not permitted to go into further details’]

    Oh, please!

  12. Simon Katich @ #1561 Sunday, September 25th, 2022 – 8:27 pm

    The Ukrainian Army is on the move again, having created a spearhead that broke through the Russian defensive line near Lozove.
    ———————————
    “it’s so romantic on the borderline – Tonight, tonight”

    I feel a little numb to this. Putin will soon announce the results of the referenda and possibly crazy enough to back himself into a corner and threaten nuclear strikes on Kyiv if Ukraine attacks the oblasts he claims. Where to from there? Will Ukraine stop the advance or call bluff? Will Putin be taken out from inside? The Russians don’t have a great record of removing rotting heads as that fish tends to rot evenly.

    It feels really nasty, that some point of no return has been crossed. Exactly how big wars get started. Iran now upping the anti. And the referenda results – did you see the footage of soldiers alongside door knocking surveyors, or whatever they’re called. And who’s overseeing things, well, this guy for starters:

    One of the monitors sent at the invitation of the Russian state to assess the legitimacy of the referendums under way in occupied areas of Ukraine has been revealed to be none other than the CEO of a publicly owned German energy provider, Stefan Schaller.

    BBC Monitoring’s Francis Scarr posted an interview Schaller gave to Russian state media in occupied Melitopol in German, in which he says that he’s impressed by the transparency of the referendum and will be communicating this to his media contacts in Germany.

    Schaller, CEO of Energie Waldeck-Frankenberg (EWF) in northern Hesse, which provides several hundred thousand residents in the region with electricity, gas and heating, confirmed to his local newspaper, HNA.

    “I wanted to gather my own on the ground impressions about the situation there. Not least because I believe that objective information can never be wrong,” he said.

    Acknowledging the danger of being instrumentalised for Russian propaganda purposes, Schaller said that he was “always at pains in my statements to concentrate on facts and not on political valuations. I assess what I see, in the full knowledge that I am only being allowed to see what I should see.”

    Schaller added that his visit had nothing to do with his role as the CEO of EWF. “It is a purely private matter. I took holiday in order to do it”.

    (guardian live)

  13. Simon Katich @ #1561 Sunday, September 25th, 2022 – 8:27 pm

    I feel a little numb to this. Putin will soon announce the results of the referenda and possibly crazy enough to back himself into a corner and threaten nuclear strikes on Kyiv if Ukraine attacks the oblasts he claims. Where to from there? Will Ukraine stop the advance or call bluff?

    Call bluff, 100%. The only sane answer from day zero has been call bluff.

    Sadly Zalensky has been the only one willing to actually do it. If not for him, Ukraine would have been Putin’s months ago, and the rest of the world would be pretending not to notice, just like with Crimea in 2014.

  14. It feels really nasty,
    ——————————
    It does. To quote another song….

    Putin is slowly walking down the hall, faster than a cannonball.

  15. Mavis @8:44pm

    Can I humbly suggest you educate yourself on the legalities and consequences of publicly detailing the specific details of how to commit cyber crimes?

    The best I can do publicly, legally, is to advise you how to defend yourself.

    Suffice it to say:
    1. Optus needs strong KYC to guard against identity theft of a phone account
    2. The consequences of such identity theft go well beyond the phone account
    3. Optus should have done better
    4. Having been compromised, they took the responsible action of going public first, then following up with customers.

  16. The thing is … Putin has been REMARKABLY predictable.

    Following the first month of the
    War there was a lot of discussion about his strength as a tactician but flopping as a strategist. Someone who loves putting the chess pieces on the board, but is fundamentally incapable of the strategic thought and flexibility required.

    The tactics are pretty clear.
    1. Hold referenda – like in Crimea. This serves two purposes. The first is it gives Russia the right in its mind to surge forces into the area and completely suppress local non-sympathetic actors. The second is to buy time – thinking the threat of a possible nuke will slow Ukraine OR put pressure on Ukraine’s allies to force Zelenskyy to come to the table.

    2. Move forces en masse into the Donbas and force Ukraine to the table on their terms – cede the Donbas and agree neutrality.

    The point being there is basically no way for Russia to “win”. They are – in practice, losing this war and doing so in a humiliating way.

    China and India both clearly have given Putin a short leash to get this done quickly and as painlessly as possible. This has failed. Both now see a negotiated settlement is the only way out of this. The issue is Ukraine is actively doing well enough for negotiations to yet be attractive.

    Putin CANNOT lose – if he does, he’s gone. Maybe not “disappeared” but supervised exile is the best he could hope for. The reality is this is contrasted to the fact Russia cannot win.

    Which IS dangerous … but I don’t believe for a second the danger is massive in the short term. The real danger in my mind is in 10 years if and when they get their shit together.

    If you want one of the real lessons from the 20th Century … a humiliated people is a dangerous one.

  17. Kenyan great Eliud Kipchoge has beaten his own world marathon record by 30 seconds, running 2hr 01min 10sec in Berlin on Sunday. At the halfway point the back-to-back Olympic champion in Rio and Tokyo looked set to become the first to officially run under the elusive two-hour mark. But despite slowing slightly the 37-year-old held on to best his own record from Berlin in 2018.

  18. Earlier today I said early supply of US built Virginia SSNs would be a solution to hthe looming sub capability gap risk for the RAN. It still would be.

    However I also said I had been skeptical in the past that this was possible.
    Here is further evidence to justify my skepticism. Both the USN SSN construction and maintenance programs are behind schedule.
    https://news.usni.org/2022/09/21/navsea-navy-struggling-to-get-attack-subs-out-of-repairs-on-time-as-demand-increases


  19. sprocket_says:
    Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 6:53 pm
    Not sure about ‘fat liberals’, but only one of these is still standing – as we speak…

    According to LNP the fat lady is yet to sing.

  20. Simon Katich @ #1561 Sunday, September 25th, 2022 – 8:27 pm

    The Ukrainian Army is on the move again, having created a spearhead that broke through the Russian defensive line near Lozove.
    ———————————
    “it’s so romantic on the borderline – Tonight, tonight”

    I feel a little numb to this. Putin will soon announce the results of the referenda and possibly crazy enough to back himself into a corner and threaten nuclear strikes on Kyiv if Ukraine attacks the oblasts he claims. Where to from there? Will Ukraine stop the advance or call bluff? Will Putin be taken out from inside? The Russians don’t have a great record of removing rotting heads as that fish tends to rot evenly.

    Which Lozove are they referring to? There are at least three in eastern Ukraine.

  21. It is quite interesting to observe others celebrating their lack of knowledge and appreciation of a very significant part of human achievement.

    MTV being juxtaposed to Brahms is like Dagwood comics being touted vs Shakespeare. Dagwood comics are good examples of their genre, but they are not literature. In the same way as McDonalds is not actually decent, tasty food. Dan Whitford is not quite Eric Clapton. Each to their own, of course, but disdain based simply on a lack of knowledge is not, in my view, admirable.

    It reminds me of someone who insisted that Northeast was actually Northwest, and that Lion Island was visible from the Hardy’s Bay wharf.

  22. Oakeshott Country on Sat at 10.15 am re Sydney launch of Happy Together by Walker and Li

    Thanks for the notice. I had noted the event as I get the Gleebooks gleaner. David and Roger and their staff run a great bookshop. I recall that Roger and his late wife chose to visit South West WA so as to avoid the Sydney Olympics, such is his love of quality. I am rarely in Sydney. However, if you are able to report what you gleaned from the launch I would be grateful. It is possible that, after the second Foreign Ministers meeting in a few months, the Chinese will get serious about rebuilding the diplomatic relationship. They knew it was impossible under ProMo the muppet. It will be 50 years since diplomatic relations in December. The book is very timely in that context, showing the depth of cross-cultural learning in 50 years, despite the utter crudity of the mass media, now more crass than it was in Adelaide in 1967 (see p 166). It is a wise book. E.g. p 251: “All societies are prone to think their own ways are the right ways. Listening is both an act of courtesy and a way of learning. Too often we fail to do this.”

  23. Learnt something new today .. Liverpool City Council will be running ‘Warmbanks’ this winter – heated spaces where people can go to keep warm instead of turning the gas on at home 🙁

  24. Mavis re Optus

    Relying on a phone account for authentication (two factor authentication) is the problem, in that once you’ve stolen someone’s phone account (their mobile number becomes yours) you can fool a bank that you are that person. Imagine you’ve lost your phone (overboard, stolen, etc.), but you’ve now got a new one with a new SIM card in it. What do you do next if you want to keep using your old phone number? That’s where the Know Your Customer stuff comes in.

    But it doesn’t apply to people who aren’t your customer, like sprocket_. And I wonder if rigidly known personal information is the best way to ID an account holder, because once someone else knows it, you can’t change it like you can a password.

  25. Ray (UK) @ #1579 Sunday, September 25th, 2022 – 11:12 pm

    Learnt something new today .. Liverpool City Council will be running ‘Warmbanks’ this winter – heated spaces where people can go to keep warm instead of turning the gas on at home 🙁

    We have them here. Except for hot summer days. The Senior Citizens Centres put out the Welcome mat and turn on the air conditioning. I imagine it’s Reverse Cycle air conditioning and so they probably have it on in winter too.

  26. Keir Starmer appears to have gotten the Labour (UK) Conference off to a good start:

    Liverpool: Keir Starmer has opened the Labour conference with a rousing rendition of God Save the King – a move that went off without a hitch, defying fears that the UK Opposition Leader could be heckled by ultra-Left members of the party.

    The show of patriotism – the first time Labour has opened its conference with the national anthem – came as polling showed a surge in support for both the monarchy and the Labour Party, which is hoping to bring an end to what will be 14 years of Tory rule at the time of the next election.

    The opposition leader, addressing party members in Liverpool in England’s north-west – a part of the country that often touts itself as “scouse, not English” – said he was proud to lead a tribute to the late Queen.

    “Between the history we cherish and the history that we own, she was the thread, a reminder that our generational battle against the evil of fascism and the emergence of a new Britain out of the rubble of the Second World War don’t only belong to the past, but are the inheritance of each and every one of us,” Starmer said.

    “[She was] an example that taught us that whatever challenges we face, the value of service endures.

    “As we enter a new era, let’s commit to honouring the late Queen’s memory. Let’s turn up our collar and face the storm, keep alive the spirit of public service she embodied. And let it drive us toward a better future.”

    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/flags-and-anthems-at-the-ready-starmer-rides-wave-of-support-for-the-monarchy-20220926-p5bkxg.html

    He also appears to have a good speech writer. 🙂

  27. Australians are, in the main, sensitive, intelligent and sympathetic to a thoughtful argument:

    Australians overwhelmingly want the Voice to succeed. They want First Nations people to have a say on government decisions that shape their future. They want a new federal body to make this happen, and are willing to amend the Constitution.

    These are essential findings at the start of a tortured journey to a successful referendum that is now within sight after years of argument about fairness for Indigenous Australians.

    The Resolve Political Monitor asked voters their views on the exact wording of the Voice proposal aired by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese in July and found 64 per cent support to a “yes” or “no” question.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-s-biggest-enemy-on-the-voice-to-parliament-is-confusion-20220925-p5bkw1.html

  28. Peter Dutton really doesn’t have anything new or original to say. he’s dragged out the old ‘red tape’ line again to criticise the government. And don’t forget, he was the guy in charge of this department just a few short months ago, so if it’s anyone’s fault that efficient systems aren’t in place, it’s his:

    Marles also pushed back at claims by Opposition Leader Peter Dutton that red tape within the Defence department was slowing down the deployment of Australian military resources to Ukraine.

    He said the next provision of Australian military hardware was on schedule.

    “It’s not being held up by red tape, and certainly there’s no complaint coming from Ukraine in respect of any of that,” he said.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/russia-needs-to-stop-marles-says-australia-will-stand-by-ukraine-20220925-p5bks5.html

  29. Thanks, Soc. 🙂

    The thing that stuck out to me from that Voice article was that about 3/4 of Greens’ voters don’t agree with silly Lidia Thorpe’s position. Also that Peter Dutton is slipping and sliding around having to fully commit to his party’s position while pushing Jacinta Price out to argue ridiculous positions such as the Voice won’t allow the government to walk and chew gum at the same time on Indigenous issues.

  30. Soc,
    I read today that Putin has 5 million Police and Security personnel in Russia. It’s a Police State. Among many other disgusting things as a result of that man’s rule.

    Slava Ukraini!

  31. I’m still catching up on Sunday’s debates from UK Labour conference in Liverpool

    Currently watching a pep talk from an ALP person on the victory in May (Wayne Swan is in the hall as well) 🙂

  32. The Teal movement is coming for the NSW state election. But doesn’t the OPV make it harder for them to get elected?

    North Shore Liberal MP Felicity Wilson is the next confirmed target of a burgeoning grassroots movement to unseat sitting government members and make way for teal candidates at the March state election.

    Discontent over government integrity, environmental issues and urban planning has ignited the push to install an independent voice to represent one of Sydney’s wealthiest and most highly educated electorates on Macquarie Street.

    Community volunteer group North Sydney’s Independent has fired the starting gun on its search for a candidate to seize Wilson’s seat of North Shore, which includes suburbs such as Mosman, Kirribilli, North Sydney and parts of Crows Nest.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/north-shore-seat-in-firing-line-of-teal-army-mobilising-for-state-election-20220925-p5bkt5.html

  33. In 20 years’, time, or longer, I am sure a future Labor Opposition Leader can use the Hume argument to deflect any criticism of his or her lack of a policy position on any proposition.

    Great to see the Liberal cartel defending Hume on Insiders.

  34. This is good to see. And Labor have clearly learned from 2007 when they didn’t go hard enough on the coalition’s waste and mismanagement. After all, it was the Howard government that has given us the current budget’s structural deficit.

    A series of federal government programs worth billions of dollars that funnelled money into Coalition-held seats ahead of the past three elections will be the focus of a parliamentary investigation that could back new regulations to prevent future pork-barrelling.

    The parliament’s joint House and Senate audit committee on Sunday revealed it would look at six separate funds as part of an inquiry that will drag into next year, causing political headaches for Coalition MPs who oversaw some of the contentious programs.

    The Commuter Car Park fund, the Building Better Regions Fund, the Safer Communities program, the Urban Congestion Fund, the Regional Growth Fund and the Modern Manufacturing Initiative will all come under the focus of the audit committee.

    Labor MP Julian Hill, the committee chairman, said the inquiry wanted to ensure future grant programs were consistent with federal grant rules and in line with community expectations.

    “The government inherited a budget riddled with waste and rorts. Dodgy grants have further inflated nearly $1 trillion of debt,” he said.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/car-parks-and-pickleball-courts-7b-of-coalition-handouts-in-crosshairs-20220923-p5bkkg.html

  35. Ray (UK) @ #1279 Monday, September 26th, 2022 – 6:36 am

    C@tmomma @ #1592 Sunday, September 25th, 2022 – 9:31 pm

    Ray (UK) @ #1590 Monday, September 26th, 2022 – 5:59 am

    I’m still catching up on Sunday’s debates from UK Labour conference in Liverpool

    Currently watching a pep talk from an ALP person on the victory in May (Wayne Swan is in the hall as well) 🙂

    May be Paul Erickson?

    That’s the one

    Federal National Secretary of the ALP and architect of the campaign along with Tim Gartrell.

  36. Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    A series of federal government programs worth billions of dollars that funnelled money into Coalition-held seats ahead of the past three elections will be the focus of a parliamentary investigation that could back new regulations to prevent future pork-barrelling. Shane Wright tells us that yesterday the parliament’s joint House and Senate audit committee revealed it would look at six separate funds as part of an inquiry that will drag into next year, causing political headaches for Coalition MPs who oversaw some of the contentious programs.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/car-parks-and-pickleball-courts-7b-of-coalition-handouts-in-crosshairs-20220923-p5bkkg.html
    Michael Pascoe says that everyone knows what’s needed for serious taxation reform, but none is game.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2022/09/26/michael-pascoe-tax-reform-jim-chalmers/
    David Crowe reports that Australians have backed the idea of an Indigenous Voice by a clear majority of 64 per cent in favour of draft wording from Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to give First Nations people a more powerful say in national affairs
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/voters-back-the-voice-but-there-s-doubt-over-what-they-re-backing-20220923-p5bklx.html
    He says the poll shows many people are willing the Voice to succeed even though the details remain unclear. That’s where the work begins for Labor.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-s-biggest-enemy-on-the-voice-to-parliament-is-confusion-20220925-p5bkw1.html
    The SMH editorial says that Australia wants the Voice and tt’s time for the campaign to begin.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/australia-wants-the-voice-it-s-time-for-the-campaign-to-begin-20220925-p5bkw9.html
    Interest rates aren’t just climbing on household mortgages. Rates on government debt have soared, carving a fresh $120 billion hole in the federal budget, explains Shane Wright.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/skyrocketing-interest-rates-carve-new-120-billion-hole-in-budget-20220923-p5bkg5.html
    Ross Gittins argues that monetary policy is no longer fit for purpose.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/monetary-policy-is-no-longer-fit-for-purpose-20220925-p5bkto.html
    Jacob Greber writes that Chris Bowen has effectively told the Greens he will not be held ransom by demands to turn a key emissions reduction mechanism into an anti-gas crusade, with the most material changes to be done by regulation.

    Optus customers are frustrated with a lack of information from the telco and getting the run-around when trying to change their driver’s licence number and other personal information to prevent identity theft, reports Anna Patty.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/consumer-affairs/frustrated-optus-customers-get-the-run-around-20220925-p5bksf.html
    North Shore Liberal MP Felicity Wilson is the next confirmed target of a burgeoning independents movement aimed at unseating government members at the March NSW state election.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/north-shore-seat-in-firing-line-of-teal-army-mobilising-for-state-election-20220925-p5bkt5.html
    And Matthew Knott reports that recriminations have continued to flow over the defeat of controversial candidate Katherine Deves at the May election, with Liberal Senator Andrew Bragg telling local members the way they were treated by party head office ahead of polling day was a “complete disgrace” and “outrage”.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/disgrace-and-outrage-liberal-bloodletting-continues-over-warringah-defeat-20220924-p5bkoo.html
    The government wants to make good quality financial advice more accessible. But while everyone agrees the system is broken, there’s less agreement on how to fix it, says Jennifer Hewett.
    https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/how-to-make-good-financial-advice-affordable-20220925-p5bkvk
    Kate Aubusson reports that almost half the trainee doctors in NSW hospitals are so overworked and exhausted that they have made medical mistakes, raising grave concerns that the burnout affecting the state’s junior medicos is putting patients at risk.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/the-doctors-sleeping-under-desks-because-they-re-too-tired-to-drive-20220922-p5bk5i.html
    Simon Kuestenmacher tells us what the census tells us about mental health in Australia.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/life/2022/09/24/the-stats-guy-census-mental-health/
    State governments which have dragged their heels on delivering on their commitments under the Murray-Darling Basin plan are now risking a federal government takeover of water policy after June 2024, writes Anne Davies.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/sep/25/time-is-running-out-on-the-murray-darling-plan-should-tanya-plibersek-reach-for-the-big-guns
    Melissa Heagney writes that a typical working couple can spend $260,000 less at house auctions than five months ago – and the falls aren’t over yet.
    https://www.theage.com.au/property/news/home-buyers-budgets-slashed-by-hundreds-of-thousands-pushing-property-prices-down-20220923-p5bkjw.html
    Elenie Poulos explores the question, “Did the Morrison government change the relationship between religion and politics in Australia?”
    https://theconversation.com/did-the-morrison-government-change-the-relationship-between-religion-and-politics-in-australia-190650
    Toyota has been identified as a major roadblock to electric vehicle transition, delaying climate action by refusing to set phase-out dates for fossil fuel engines, writes David Ritter.
    https://independentaustralia.net/environment/environment-display/toyota-tanks-on-clean-cars-while-coasting-on-climate-friendly-reputation,16793
    According to Jocelyn Choy, Australia’s defence policy is based on an assumed “China Threat”. If this assumption is maintained, it will be used to justify increased defence spending and a closer defence engagement with the United States and other “like-minded” countries, including Quad and AUKUS partners.
    https://johnmenadue.com/defence-strategic-review-china-is-not-a-military-threat/
    A secretive torture training program has caused debilitating and unnecessary trauma to some Australian soldiers by forcing them into shocking acts of humiliation, including the simulated rape of child dolls and masturbating sex toys over bibles, a whistleblower has alleged.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/sep/26/australian-soldier-alleges-torture-survival-course-involved-simulated-child-and-left-him-with-ptsd
    Corporate greed, not wages, is behind inflation. It’s time for price controls, urges Robert Reich.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/sep/25/inflation-price-controls-robert-reich
    In a world first, NASA’s DART mission is about to smash into an asteroid. Professor Steven Tingay tells us what we might learn.
    https://theconversation.com/in-a-world-first-nasas-dart-mission-is-about-to-smash-into-an-asteroid-what-will-we-learn-189391
    George Brandis writes that Vladimir Putin is fighting two wars, only one of them with bullets.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/putin-is-fighting-two-wars-only-one-of-them-with-bullets-20220922-p5bk91.html
    Marin Farmer tells us about a Ponzi scheme by any other name, the bursting of China’s property bubble.
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/sep/25/china-property-bubble-evergrande-group

    Cartoon Corner

    Peter Broelman

    Badiucao

    Glen Le Lievre

    Mark Knight

    Leak
    https://content.api.news/v3/images/bin/3aa7fda5a2a4f4da9c9804a3a6ed51e7?width=1024#image/jpg

    From the US



  37. I think that today marks a return to normality post-Queen, rather like the day after Australia Day marks a return to normality after the Christmas break / slowdown / truce.

  38. Steve777 at 7:24 am
    It’s the Queen’s King’s Birthday long weekend out here in The Cave so we’re off and running in the post Liz era.

  39. I don’t see the benefit in qualifying the corruption to be investigated by words such as systemic or serious.

    That would lead to a right on the part of someone to challenge entitlement to investigate because it doesn’t satisfy whatever those qualifying words intend to mean. Presumably it means that there are corrupt activities which fail the serious or systemic test such as they cannot be investigated.

    I would’ve thought that a preferred approach would be to allow the commissioner to investigate allegations of corruption as he or she believes fit leaving any complaint about what is being investigated to more narrow bases such as whether there any grounds for the commissioner to hold that belief.

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