Still no sign of Newspoll, despite today’s resumption of parliament, nor of voting intention from the latest fortnightly Essential Research poll. As reported by The Guardian, the latter turns out to be the most discouraging set of numbers for the Albanese government so far, in that 40% were already prepared to rate the government as doing a poor job on relieving cost of living pressures, compared with 23% for good and 37% for neither. Apart from that, all the unusually spare report from The Guardian has to tell us is that “a majority of respondents believe the Albanese government can influence the direction of inflation and interest rates”, which seems unlikely to bode well. The poll was conducted from a sample of 1082, presumably from Thursday to Monday – the full report should be on the pollster’s website later today.
UPDATE: While “neither good nor poor” responses are high in each case, the poll also finds the government rated good on the pandemic by 36% and poor by 25%; good on education by 35% and poor by 18%; and good on climate change by 33% and poor by 21%. Forty-four per cent supported the government’s carbon emissions target while 40% said it did not go far enough, but no option was provided for those who felt it went too far. Fifty per cent said the Greens should support the government, with a question that emphasised Labor had been elected on that basis, while 25% said they should only do so if Labor agreed to changes consistent with its own policies. Full report here.
Also of note:
• Latika Bourke of the Age/Herald reports that Liberals Andrew Hastie and Simon Birmingham are looking at the example followed by David Cameron after the Conservatives’ 2005 election defeat to improve diversity in the party’s parliamentary ranks, which involved producing a leadership-backed “A-list” of diverse candidates and encouraging local party associations (which lack a clear equivalent in Australian party structures) to choose candidates through primaries open to non-members.
• The Australian Electoral Commission has deregistered the Liberal Democrats, belatedly giving effect to legislation passed last year that effectively prohibited minor parties from having the words Liberal or Labor in their names. The party was cleverly able to keep the existing name at the May election after withdrawing its application to change its name to the Liberty Democrats (officially the Liberty and Democracy Party) in late March, which compelled the AEC to initiate a lengthy deregistration process that has only now come to fruition.
• Two days after a Daily Telegraph report suggesting he has designs on Marise Payne’s Senate seat should she soon vacate it, the Milton Ulladulla Times reports Andrew Constance plans to run again in Gilmore at the next federal election, after falling 373 votes short of taking the seat from Labor’s Fiona Phillips in May.
Rex Douglas:
Friday, July 29, 2022 at 12:54 pm
[‘I thought the Victorian Ombudsman Deborah Glass over-stepped the mark yesterday publicly calling for VicPol to apologise. She’s been overly outspoken a number of times IMHO.’]
It’s well within the remit of an Ombudsperson to be outspoken.
poroti @ #1153 Friday, July 29th, 2022 – 12:51 pm
Pfft! Happy the Corbynites lost the Red Wall, poroti?
nath @ #1251 Friday, July 29th, 2022 – 1:11 pm
Sure, but I feel that it belongs in the report and left at that. No need for the megaphone.
When the media travels with a politician (say like the media travelling with DoPe at the moment) does their employer pay for that travel or does the Government cover it? Same at the Commonwealth level. Who pays?
Rex Douglas
Some may say she ‘understepped’ and that calls for some arse kicking and or DCMs are warranted. Calling for an apology is a bit ‘wet lettuce’ .
poroti says:
Friday, July 29, 2022 at 1:20 pm
Some may say she ‘understepped’ and that calls for some arse kicking and or DCMs are warranted. Calling for an apology is a bit ‘wet lettuce’ .
__________
I think so. The practice is a form of corruption, but so marginal and widespread that you would think that police would have avoided anything to do with it.
frednk,
You find some very interesting videos. 🙂
poroti @ #1258 Friday, July 29th, 2022 – 1:20 pm
Bottom line if there’s an adverse finding in the report it’s going to be addressed.
Megaphoning on ABC774 only creates more unnecessary angst, IMHO. VicPol have a difficult enough job as it is and largely do a great job.
Rex,
You don’t seem to be able to discriminate between a few police officers and the entire force.
If they had arrested Dan Andrews Rex would be demanding the police be publicly executed.
nath @ #1263 Friday, July 29th, 2022 – 1:46 pm
True. 😆
Dandy Murray-Honeydew and Socrates
I note Qld achieved 61% (RenewEconomy) of energy supplied via renewables on Wed at midday in the middle of Winter. So much apparently that QLD was supplying other states. Some positive signs at least.
this sam tarry thing is a beat up the only unions cicking up a fus were the pro corbin wons the rail union blare had no real labor values and was basickly believed in nothing but ascobin nelly won in 2017 and properly would have if the blareites did not sabetage his campaign he was only 20 or so seats away from winning starmer failed however in not exbelling lord ian mcnickol the general secretary in 2017 who covered up anti semitizm to distroy corbin from the party and only targiting the left wing
However in starmers defence like the cfmeu can you emagin the outrage if one of our mps went ona picket lynn with cfmeu the liberals or tories in this case would say labor is the pupits of miletent unions i actualy the labor abandond progresive before the fatcher light plare with kennick blare hatid the unions and wanted labor to abandon all links
Albo would never sack a minister for attending a picket line.
Dyuring corbins term as leader dont know whiy he didnt emeditly clear out the blairites like mcnickol from hq as general secretary like starmer did getting rid of all corbin loilalists after winning if he appointed a suporter as gen sec he could have won 2017 eklection but the labormachine mcnikol was never punished foor covering up anti semitizm to distroy corbin but corbin was susbendid
wranslide says:
Friday, July 29, 2022 at 1:18 pm
When the media travels with a politician (say like the media travelling with DoPe at the moment) does their employer pay for that travel or does the Government cover it? Same at the Commonwealth level. Who pays?
The media pay for journo costs if they hitch a ride on the PMs or other federal minister’s jet. Not sure about the State junkets.
oh dear…
+1 on frednk’s video.
https://youtu.be/uxykI30fS54
As an irrelevant aside, I note with approval that the speaker correctly pronounces “Toron’o” when referring to the big Canadian city. 🙂
Cronus @ #1262 Friday, July 29th, 2022 – 1:19 pm
That was yesterday. Not so good atm. SA currently has about 60% but it hasnt been a great 48hrs here either for renewable production.
https://www.qld.gov.au/health/conditions/health-alerts/coronavirus-covid-19/government-response/statistics
Federal intervention in Tassie:
[‘Years of damaging infighting and bitter spats have culminated in Labor’s Tasmanian branch being effectively taken over by the party’s national executive, in order for it to “improve the culture” and reinstate “trust”.
The move — described by the national executive as an “intervention” — follows consecutive Tasmanian state election losses, repeated changes of leadership, and damaging public rows at the local party’s highest level.
After presiding over two consecutive election losses in 2018 and 2021, Rebecca White made way for successor David O’Byrne, only for that to come apart after a few weeks due to allegations he sexually harassed a junior union employee more than a decade ago.
Ms White then returned to the leadership in 2021.
The party was also rocked by the resignation of Ben McGregor, who stood down as a candidate during last year’s state election campaign over inappropriate text messages he sent to a colleague seven years ago.
Mr McGregor — the party’s former state president — went on to threaten Ms White with legal action over comments she made that he was not fit to sit in state parliament.
The party’s woes worsened when Labor’s health spokesman Bastian Seidel quit the party after only a year in the job, stating he “can’t work in a toxic environment”.
“I can’t work with people who constantly leak information to the media out of pure selfishness,” Dr Seidel said in December.
In a statement today, the Australian Labor Party’s (ALP) national secretary Paul Erickson said Tasmanian Labor needed a “circuit-breaker to rebuild”.
“This intervention is about improving the culture of the branch, reinstating trust, respect, transparency and a party-first approach to internal decision-making,” he said.’]
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-07-29/labor-national-executive-takes-over-labor-tasmanian-branch/101282366
The referendum for an Aboriginal voice in parliament however worded will do two things one it will lose by the greatest margin in Australian history possible as high as 67% and secondly make this a one term ALP Government.
Why is Matthew Guy even bothering to defend his R/W extremist candidate …?
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/jul/29/in-the-past-matthew-guy-dismisses-concerns-over-new-victorian-liberal-candidates-attacks-on-transgender-rights
Steelydansays:
Friday, July 29, 2022 at 2:36 pm
Why do you think this?
What is the problem with consulting with people before enacting legislation that will directly affect them?
“ The referendum for an Aboriginal voice in parliament however worded will do two things one it will lose by the greatest margin in Australian history possible as high as 67% and secondly make this a one term ALP Government.”
_____
Some premature gloating from the steam phallus of bludger.
_____
Edited to add:
The last two referendums (1988 and 1999) were both lost with the Government of the day returned at the subsequent election.
Jan 06
“I have a lot to gain from a heavy vehicle bypass starting near Murray Bridge. However, I would like to see it (or any other fix) make good sense – not just good politics.”
A fair question but unfortunately a road freight bypss to the east of Adelaide has been studied to death and it doesn’t work. The most geographically feasible route would be to take off from the SE Freeway at about Monarto and skirt the edge of the Hills to the north then cut in through the Eden Valley to meet the Sturt Highway and then connect to the Port Augusta Highway. Nothing less misses the steepest hills.
There are two basic problems:
– huge cost and
– most of the trucks are stopping in Adelaide or headed to the Port, so it won’t remove most of the trucks.
To be fair to the State government, they have done all they can with the current decline, which meets all relevant design standards. Without commenting on fault in the current crash, each previous truck fatality involved either an untrained driver and/or an unroadworthy vehicle
It really needs careful study. It might be possible to grade separate the tollgate intersection, taking Portrush Road under to connect to Cross Road, with on/off ramps from the SE Freeway continuing at grade to meet Glen Osmond Road. That would not eliminate crashes but eliminate the risk of trucks hitting a stationary queue.
That would cost over $100 million though, so would need Federal assistance. Current safety funds allocated to the States are far too small to do works of that magnitude.
Our whole approach to planning and funding transport projects is no longer fit for purpose. We waste billions on unnecessary projects and stuff like this never gets done.
Andrew Earlwood
Further to our discussion the other day about frigates vs AWD, I recommend the ASPI report arguing for cancelling the Hunters. It argues the whole purpose of the frigate project is misconceived and the ADFs reasoning for only having 3 AWDs is flawed. I found it persuasive.
Article
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/australias-hunter-class-frigate-program-must-be-stopped-and-redirected/
Report
https://www.aspi.org.au/report/hunter-frigate-assessment
The 2nd question in the 1967 referendum was to determine whether two references in the Australian Constitution, which discriminated against Aboriginal people, should be removed.* It overwhelmingly passed, garnering the support of 90.77%, and in all states – the most successful referendum since we came of age. Steelydan is clearly not a student of history, there being a great deal of support for First Nations people.
* [‘The 1967 referendum did not give Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples the right to vote. This right had been legislated for Commonwealth elections in 1962, with the last State to provide Indigenous enfranchisement being Queensland in 1965.’]
Late Riser at 2.30 pm
The ignorance displayed in the bottom right hand corner of that Qld Health table is one part of a big problem. ATAGI has said 3 vaccine doses is now an absolute minimum, for adults, but Qld Health is pretending in that table that 2 doses are enough. Otherwise they would give the 3 dose figure, which for Qld is 59.6% of those aged 16+, significantly lower than the laggards in NSW at 65.6%. The ACT is running second at 80.6%, just behind WA at 81.1%. No surprise that WA still leads Australia in health.
The Covid per capita death rate in Qld is now 295 per million, significantly above the world leader as a country, which is Singapore at 251. The figure for WA is currently 172. The SA figure is 373. The figure for Tasmania is 260. The NSW figure is currently 497 (above South Korea at 487). The Victorian figure is now 679, already above the worst European country (excluding Iceland) which is Norway at 658.
The Covid per capita death rate in New Zealand is now 419 and rising fast. Within two to three weeks it is likely that the Covid death rate in NZ will be worse than South Korea. Note: Japan is a special case, since the official Japanese figure (now 257) greatly understates Covid deaths there in the first wave.
An important covid warning from an immunologist who has had covid.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/health/2022-07-29/covid-19-three-myths-challenge-lies-ahead/101274980
We can see that the Liberal Right and their media allies are gearing up to oppose the referendum on the Voice. Given that the “Liberal” party is now lead by one of the five MP’s (all Liberals) who boycotted the Apology, I expect that the Opposition as a whole will campaign against it.
EDIT: https://www.buzzfeed.com/markdistefano/dutton-didnt-go
”
porotisays:
Friday, July 29, 2022 at 12:29 pm
Rex Douglas at 12:23 pm
Tony Blair and Maggie T were married and to them a son was born, Sir Keir Rodney Starmer KCB QC .
”
Like it was reportedly said about Tony Abbott when John Howard was PM that Abbott was political child of Howard and Bronwyn Bishop.
Experts for alleged criminals charged in one of Australia’s biggest criminal sting operations will be given access to the coding of a messaging app built by the Australian Federal Police (AFP) to catch those allegedly involved in organised crime.
The specialists are working for three men charged by police who were working on Operation Ironside.
Those specialists will be given access to the source code for the encrypted messaging platform AN0M but only under “controlled and secure conditions”, Justice Sandi McDonald said in the South Australian Supreme Court on Friday.
A year ago — in one of the most-significant policing operations in Australia’s history — Operation Ironside saw thousands of police across multiple agencies execute hundreds of search warrants, arrest more than 200 people and seize more than 100 guns, tonnes of drugs and $45 million in cash.
The sting was only possible because the AFP was able to intercept millions of messages through AN0M, an encrypted communication platform that enabled users to send messages, photos, videos and voice clips.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-07-29/court-orders-afp-to-grant-access-to-an0m-app-coding/101281212
”
Dr Doolittlesays:
Friday, July 29, 2022 at 12:43 pm
Ven at 9.38 am and 12.08 pm
Minns seems unfamiliar with basic principles of argument, at least for those who are leaders.
Re Georgia Steele, she has Mr Holmes A’Court’s backing but she may have a reputation as a bit of a splitter in Hughes and surrounding areas. There was a process for choosing a local Teal candidate with community backing. She vaulted around the process to promote herself. She would be much better than Scotty from Truancy, but she might have an outsized ego.
”
Dr. D
Whereas Minns was not asking for Ayres resignation for Barilaro scandal a LNP Senator demanded federal Agriculture Minister Mr. Watt resignation in Senate for tardy response to non-existent ‘Foot and Mouth’ decease in Australia.
IMHO Minns and Prue Car should be replaced as leader and deputy leader of NSW Labor with Dr. Holland, Bega MP and Mr. Jason Y , Strathfield MP
Mavis at 3.04 pm
A decade of strong activist effort helped to create the eventual 1967 referendum success, led by the indomitable Faith Bandler and her colleagues in FCAATSI, the Federal Council for the Advancement of Aborigines and Torres Strait Islanders. A good book on FCAATSI is by Sue Taffe, Black and White Together (2005). A brief background overview of FCAATSI is at:
https://dictionaryofsydney.org/entry/federal_council_for_the_advancement_of_aborigines_and_torres_strait_islanders
One might be hopeful about a new referendum to enshrine the Indigenous Voice to Parliament in the Constitution succeeding, but Pat Dodson and other leaders know the political context now is harder than it was in the mid-1960s. There are several aspects to this comparison, including Bandler’s key message in the lead up to the 1967 vote, that “the eyes of the world are on Australia”. A key difference comes down to the political legacy of J.W. Howard, whom Dodson once described to me as a “thug”. If the new referendum succeeds, it will show that Howard’s constraint on Australian history has ended.
Dr Doolittle
“The ignorance displayed in the bottom right hand corner of that Qld Health table is one part of a big problem.”
+1
Yes, I can’t fathom it. We (Qld) had been doing well, but something changed in January. Targets were met? Care was abandoned? Something…
John Birmingham (Alien Side Boob) publishes a semi-regular opinion piece on Fridays. This week he muses on the loss of care.
https://aliensideboob.substack.com/p/appeasing-the-deranged
Despite Dutton and his right-wing media pals most likely being be opposed to the proposed referendum, the result of the election gives promise that it will get up. But it needs to be explained in clear terms that it will not create a third chamber of parliament. It will simply be a way of articulating the voice of First Nations peoples re. legislation that has the potential to negatively affect them.
Cronus
Thanks.
Ven at 3.33 pm
Dr Michael Holland has a much bigger margin than Mr Minns, albeit in a seat Labor never held until the February by-election. It seems newbies have less chance of leading NSW Labor than UK Tories, although Minns was elected in 2015. One would expect much more gumption from a man who was a firefighter.
‘A SurveyUSA Poll of Georgia has Senator Raphael Warnock leading in his reelection bid 48% to 39% over Republican Herschel Walker, with 5% supporting minor candidates .. The survey has a statistical tie for governor of Georgia with the current Governor Brian Kemp at 45% to 44% for Democrat Stacey Abrams’
https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=74cea6ef-e41d-4401-a1ac-982f5d687026
Jan 6 says:
Friday, July 29, 2022 at 2:14 pm
Cronus @ #1262 Friday, July 29th, 2022 – 1:19 pm
Dandy Murray-Honeydew and Socrates
“I note Qld achieved 61% (RenewEconomy) of energy supplied via renewables on Wed at midday in the middle of Winter. So much apparently that QLD was supplying other states. Some positive signs at least.
That was yesterday. Not so good atm. SA currently has about 60% but it hasnt been a great 48hrs here either for renewable production.”
I should qualify, it’s good for QLD, the perennial laggard. SA gets these figures very regularly and is the gold star of renewable states. It just goes to show what could happen if only the QLD government would get serious about renewables. In the meantime, we can only look on jealously with admiration at SA.
Hollind and yatsenlee cant be leader they won in a bi ilection and no one is heard off him minns seems like he does not even want to winn and basickly there as a do nothing leader richardson told 2gb this when he advicated replaceing mckay saying minns would be good because he would nottriy and replace the liberals in government rose jackson sharpe and graham are good in upper house and carr was good until becoming deputy minns right hand man walt secord should resign from upper house completely uselis was an advisor to last labor government should leave his upper house seat along with lallick in cabramatter
Mavis
“ Steelydan is clearly not a student of history, there being a great deal of support for First Nations people.”
Like most RWNJs, Steelydan is out of touch and just doesn’t get it. Climate change, corruption, women’s issues, massive defence failures were all a major surprise for the Steelydans at the last election, they just didn’t realise there was so much support for addressing these issues. If it’s not an issue for the Coalition then it’s not an issue for Australians apparently.
i found mckkay to negative at the time but now believe her push on anti ceruption would have gaind momentam with this current sarilarow scandle and gladys resigning after all of graham richardsons failures whiy would any labor suporter liston to his sbinn on sky newsimo is largily responsible foor labor strugiling to win gave us the disasters of obead dastyari and minns how he has credability as a so called factional leader is a joke has not been in politics sinc 1994 on federal think trade minister farell is labors weak leak along with butler and maybi cathryn king
imo penney sharpe and john graham would be labors best loto options minns hoes not want to winn and carrr is strong on education parke is okay problim is shape and graham are in upper house but miuinns who campaigned heavily since 2015 to undermine his leaders and build his profile to become leader as labors savier but when given the job failures to attack the liberals desbite scandles arguing its to hard and airs would not be sacked any way which is whiy ho forcedminns and refused a rank and file ballit knowing the membership and membership would not vote foor him
I am not sure weather Minns actually wants to winnext years election in march
his argummenttduring elliott took ages to call on him to resign and seems the unions and theww media main motive in geting rid of mckkay was resotoring the power of the union bosis and having a weak opposition leader that would not give the government any trouble seems normal that when your bigest backers are 2gb maybi you are not labors best leaders plus his labor allies are people like yemma who wanted to sell electrisity against unions and richo who isprotends to still to be a labor suporter to be sky 2gbs tocan labor voice seems care or ryan park will take over after the election los
One thing I would say about the referendum regarding the Voice to Parliament for First Australians is that it would be very helpful if the vast majority of indigenous folk were to publicly sing from the same song sheet on this issue. Any division will be used by the Coalition to ensure its failure.
Ddesbite sky news sbinn imo dutton seems to be off to a bad start as opposition leader going in to attack dogg mode his question on albanese and cfmeu was way over the top asking him if he has met with any cfmeu oficials what have been acused of a crimewith out any evidence was a own goal as it made dutton looksstupid plus i thought you were inosent until provin guilty plus building watch dog is not a main stream ishue that voters care abbout
‘Rockland County in New York is home to a large Orthodox Jewish community. An unvaccinated young Orthodox man was recently diagnosed with the first case of polio in the United States since 2013, according to the New York Department of Health .. Local health officials said they would begin a drive to increase vaccination against the potentially deadly virus. They said the victim was experiencing paralysis, a hallmark of the disease, and that he had not been vaccinated against it’
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/7/28/2113132/-The-Dangers-of-Being-Anti-Vax-Unvaccinated-Man-Gets-Polio-in-Large-NY-Orthodox-Jewish-Community