Still no sign of Newspoll, despite today’s resumption of parliament, nor of voting intention from the latest fortnightly Essential Research poll. As reported by The Guardian, the latter turns out to be the most discouraging set of numbers for the Albanese government so far, in that 40% were already prepared to rate the government as doing a poor job on relieving cost of living pressures, compared with 23% for good and 37% for neither. Apart from that, all the unusually spare report from The Guardian has to tell us is that “a majority of respondents believe the Albanese government can influence the direction of inflation and interest rates”, which seems unlikely to bode well. The poll was conducted from a sample of 1082, presumably from Thursday to Monday – the full report should be on the pollster’s website later today.
UPDATE: While “neither good nor poor” responses are high in each case, the poll also finds the government rated good on the pandemic by 36% and poor by 25%; good on education by 35% and poor by 18%; and good on climate change by 33% and poor by 21%. Forty-four per cent supported the government’s carbon emissions target while 40% said it did not go far enough, but no option was provided for those who felt it went too far. Fifty per cent said the Greens should support the government, with a question that emphasised Labor had been elected on that basis, while 25% said they should only do so if Labor agreed to changes consistent with its own policies. Full report here.
Also of note:
• Latika Bourke of the Age/Herald reports that Liberals Andrew Hastie and Simon Birmingham are looking at the example followed by David Cameron after the Conservatives’ 2005 election defeat to improve diversity in the party’s parliamentary ranks, which involved producing a leadership-backed “A-list” of diverse candidates and encouraging local party associations (which lack a clear equivalent in Australian party structures) to choose candidates through primaries open to non-members.
• The Australian Electoral Commission has deregistered the Liberal Democrats, belatedly giving effect to legislation passed last year that effectively prohibited minor parties from having the words Liberal or Labor in their names. The party was cleverly able to keep the existing name at the May election after withdrawing its application to change its name to the Liberty Democrats (officially the Liberty and Democracy Party) in late March, which compelled the AEC to initiate a lengthy deregistration process that has only now come to fruition.
• Two days after a Daily Telegraph report suggesting he has designs on Marise Payne’s Senate seat should she soon vacate it, the Milton Ulladulla Times reports Andrew Constance plans to run again in Gilmore at the next federal election, after falling 373 votes short of taking the seat from Labor’s Fiona Phillips in May.
Even tacdickly makes litle sence as albaneses first move was to exbell setca from the labor party not shore whiy the new government is abolishing the commition but it seems dutton is a one dementional figure just attack and has no ability to advicate foor policy or be poseitive at least abott had some apeel as a fire fighter which gavesome likability somthing dutton does not have plus fletchertacdick of geting the minister responsible foor energy tayler who covered up rising energy costs to attack government of not lowing prices after nine weeks was a real own goal the opposition arnt very smart
Ray (UK) @ #1292 Friday, July 29th, 2022 – 3:16 pm
Tim Ryan looking OK in Ohio too. Dems could flip both Ohio and Pa senate spots (amazing if they get Ohio considering how hard it swung to Trump). Both Dem candidates actively supporting a rise in the minimum wage amongst other pro worker policies. interesting candidates these two.
Aaron newton at 4:07 pm
Back in the day premier Bob Carr used to have a regular tummy rub on 2GB. He seemed to say all the ‘right things’ to appeal to the ‘shoutback radio’ demographic. In between letting us know how well read he was Stan Grant style. 🙂
dutton seems to lack any likability as a pertentiol leader seems to be be constantly on attack with out abilityof a show man or a sense off humir i wonder when will get to see his softer side his question abbout cfmeu leaders seemed like he was making up stuff with out any evidence littleproud also struggild on foot and mouth arguing that the government should shut down the borders when the borders desbuite using the desition in 2011 after 4 corners to acuse gillard government off rushing
A positive story to counter the 70 year old ignorant white male demographic(not all, of course, just Pauline’s people), as demonstrated in Late Riser’s post @3.34pm.
So, in the run-up to the May federal election the Anti Vaxxer Freedumb brigade had the wind in their sails and much energy to burn to try and co-opt as many gullible and fearful citizens to their cause as possible. Thus there was much speculation about what was in the vaccine and what would be even better than getting vaccinated if you did catch Covid-19, such as Hydroxychloroquine and Ivermectin. Though if Covid-19 was the ‘Hoax’ they loudly and proudly proclaimed it as, then you wonder why they bothered proffering treatments for it. But I digress.
So, at that time signs to the effect of the ‘Hoax’ mantra started popping up around the electorate, and, as I said the people making the signs appear to have been possessed of an uncommon zeal as they took to their task of proselytising to those unconverted to ‘their truth’. Thus it was that expertly-crafted signs began to pop up on the major thoroughfares around the electorate, informing us about the ‘Covid-19 Hoax!’. They were initially printed on thin sheets of metal that were screwed onto the fences on the sides of the road that stopped rocks falling onto the road from the hills above. Screwed on tight with a cordless screwdriver so that they couldn’t be easily ripped off the fence. Though someone eventually came along with their own cordless screwdriver and undid them, probably the Council after they had received complaints.
These zealots were not to be deterred though. As, before you could say, lickety split, the signs had returned! However, no Council Ranger was going to put them off their game this time. This time they crafted wooden signs with chains to hang them from the branches of overhanging trees along the same roadways, put up so high that they must have had very tall ladders to get up there to put them where people couldn’t help but see them and couldn’t easily get to them again either.
And there they hung, for month after month, even after the election because the ‘Covid-19 Hoax!’ goes on. With their apocalyptic language warning us against vaccination.
Until one day, when I was headed down to town to go and do the weekly shop and the car went ca-thunk! over something on the road. So I made a mental note to check out what it was on the way back. And there it was, the bigger of the two wooden signs (I recognised it because of the chains attached to it and it’s white painted wood with black writing). Someone had finally made the effort themselves to get up the tree and take it down and then make their feelings known by throwing it onto the road.
The other sign lasted about three more weeks until it, too, is now gone. Hopefully for good. 🙂
In understanding the various demographics of Trump voters – Ohio could be the insight. Obama won it fairly comfortably in 2012. Trump easily won it in 2016 and 2020 (by 8pts in 2020). And here we have a Democrat running for the senate in a mid term with an unpopular Democrat president who is ahead of the Trump backed rural GOP candidate. If he wins, they might like to bottle his campaign. Similarly in Pa where the Trump backed GOP candidate is well behind Fetterman in a state Trump only narrowly lost.
An
Watt has learned from the sudden ban on live cattle exports to Indonesia. The universal support from peak industry bodies – traditionally not Labor fan clubs- is particularly telling.
Jan 6 @ #1306 Friday, July 29th, 2022 – 4:37 pm
The Dude!
‘Rockland County in New York is home to a large Orthodox Jewish community. An unvaccinated young Orthodox man was recently diagnosed with the first case of polio in the United States since 2013, according to the New York Department of Health .. Local health officials said they would begin a drive to increase vaccination against the potentially deadly virus. They said the victim was experiencing paralysis, a hallmark of the disease, and that he had not been vaccinated against it’
______
Ray
They all need to have their brains vaccinated.
C@t – Duderino. Here is a nice article on Fetterman from last year. it goes into his relationship with the DNC.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/04/16/john-fetterman-profile-2022-senate-politics-pennsylvania-481259
He has a record of taking it to Trump. He isnt working class but is becoming a figure head for policies for them. And he just had a stroke. Very interesting race this one.
I might be getting ahead of myself…. but I reckon Fetterman is an outside chance running for Democrat POTUS candidate in the not too distant future, and in Ohio we have a failed POTUS Dem candidate – both doing well trying to flip GOP senate seats.
Cat glad you liked it, thought is illustrated Socrates’s point well.
We have to change our thinking, trying to relive the 50’s as the Liberals wish to do is not the solution.
Jan 6 at 4:37 pm
Re the ‘Trump demographic’ and the ‘working class’ . It was not what it was portrayed as . The’stereotyping’ seems hard to kill.
.
It’s time to bust the myth: Most Trump voters were not working class.
Trump supporters didn’t look overwhelmingly “working class” during the primaries. To the contrary, many polls showed that Trump supporters were mostly affluent Republicans. …………Far from being a magnet for the less educated, Trump seemed to have about as many people without college degrees in his camp as we would expect any successful Republican candidate to have.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/06/05/its-time-to-bust-the-myth-most-trump-voters-were-not-working-class/
.
Trump voters earn a lot more than you might think
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/onpolitics/2016/05/05/donald-trump-average-voter-income-72000-middle-class/83972800/
BK @ #1309 Friday, July 29th, 2022 – 4:46 pm
As yet there is no cure for religion. 😐
As yet there is no cure for religion.
_____
Separation at birth perhaps?
Jan 6 @ #1310 Friday, July 29th, 2022 – 4:51 pm
Have you seen his tattoos? One is the zip code for Braddock, Pa and the other for every citizen of Braddock who was killed with a gun while he was Mayor. Imagine him running against Trump in 2024! Someone, finally, who was taller than Trump! Fetterman just has to stay alive. Being a big guy comes with its physiological problems. Though I’m sure he has had the best treatment recently.
I’d love to see Val Deming win the Governor’s race in Florida as well. Though Ron De Santis is a bigger mountain than Dr Oz in Pa to climb. 🙂
BK @ #1314 Friday, July 29th, 2022 – 5:11 pm
I’m constantly reminded of the Jesuit’s creed: ‘Give me the child till he is seven years old,’ said St Ignatius Loyola, ‘ and I will show you the man. ‘
David Rowe
C@t
SNAP!
Poroti, I was careful to say ‘Trump voting demographics’. Trump voters are a mixed bunch. Some of them are potential voters for Democrat candidates in the mid terms. It aint likely to be the redneck rurals. Or the cashed up crazies. Pitching to the right and worthwhile demographics that voted Trump last time is an important option for Democrats in certain seats they need to flip.
I would also be keeping an eye on Missouri.
Thoughts’n’Prayers started favourite and laughingly ran last in race 6 at Echuca today.
”
aaron newtonsays:
Friday, July 29, 2022 at 3:54 pm
Hollind and yatsenlee cant be leader they won in a bi ilection and no one is heard off him minns seems like he does not even want to winn and basickly there as a do nothing leader richardson told 2gb this when he advicated replaceing mckay saying minns would be good because he would nottriy and replace the liberals in government rose jackson sharpe and graham are good in upper house and carr was good until becoming deputy minns right hand man walt secord should resign from upper house completely uselis was an advisor to last labor government should leave his upper house seat along with lallick in cabramatter
”
Aaron Newton
Like you posted it increasingly appears Minns doesn’t want to win next year’s State election.
AN & Dr. D
Although they are new state parliament new The reason I mentioned Dr. Holland and Mr. Jason Y as leader and deputy leader is because they are clean skin, they look credible, they are from important electorates (one regional and another the most diverse electorate), the are trustworthy.
People are not willing to vote for NSW Labor at state level because they lack the above characteristics.
Re Aaron @4:27. “ dutton seems to lack any likability as a pertentiol leader seems to be be constantly on attack with out abilityof a show man or a sense off humir…”
Dutton certainly is a very dour soul. He could probably play the role of Adam Sutler in “V” (the one about a dystopian future England, not the one with the Lizards). He lacks Abbott’s blokey bonhomie and zaniness. Nor does he seem that bright.
Jan 6 at 5:23 pm
The only Missouri I kept an eye on ……………..and put a foot on.
.
poroti, nice boat. Got some good looking guns.
I stood underneath this one.
Lots of twitterers carry on about Dutton as if he’s some evil mastermind, on par with Hitler, and give dark warnings that he’s about to do the Australian equivalent of invading Poland if we’re not eternally vigilant.
I don’t get it.
I can’t see an evil mastermind type, for example, being foiled by Scott Morrison in a leadership contest.
Steve777 at 5:32 pm
Re Dutton, perhaps he could surprise us all. I heard a clip of him on the radio this morning and he sounded very unDutton in tone and style . A definite improvement . A freakish one off event or the start of ‘Dutton the Reboot’ ?
Jan 6 at 5:36 pm
Bloody big bastards. Got some great photos of it moored just off Freo. An unexpected highlight was being able to stand right where this happened.
.
“An important covid warning from an immunologist who has had covid.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/health/2022-07-29/covid-19-three-myths-challenge-lies-ahead/101274980”
Thanks cronus.
I’ve had myocarditis, but I haven’t had covid. This worries me.
Getting my 4th jab on Monday
Trump’s constituency would comprise a number of strands:
– The small government / minimum tax / anti-regulation crowd. This would include much of the business community
– Traditional conservatives – they may hold their nose when they vote for him but their votes are just as effective for all that.
– Angry whites (the talkback / Fox News crowd)
– Gun nuts
– racists, misogynists, conspiracy theorists, neo Nazis and crazies
– followers of authoritarian / patriarchal forms of Christianity. In spite of his heathenish ways he promised them what they wanted and delivered
He’s built a sort of Coalition of the… what? Discontented? Crazy? Angry? The deplorable? The discontented, the angry, the greedy and the crazy?
”I can’t see an evil mastermind type, for example, being foiled by Scott Morrison in a leadership contest.”
Dutton is no type of mastermind, as his failure to gain the leadership in 2018, Border Farce at the start of his time in Home Affairs and other instance of general mediocrity and incompetence attest.
Dutton will be gone by Christmas.
It’s worth remembering that Morrison rumbled Dutton to get a shot at stardom.
That didn’t work out well for Morrison, Dutton, the liberals or the nation.
The next lot of pretenders, most obviously Taylor, bobbed around this week as Dutton displayed his lack of credentials.
Some of the pretenders will be mopped up by a decent FICAC, while some other liberal members have gone to ground, aware of their predicament and willing to let it all settle before bolting the big house.
The coalition will not gain any advantage having Morrison hanging around attempting to forge a legacy as an elder statesman.
Barnaby will do as National DPMs do and go for gold once his bereavement leave is finished.
There are very few positives ” bleating to fed ” by a leftover Morrison/ Joyce LNP failure.
2025 is looking an impossible grail for a decimated liberal mob undone by its own forces.
The teal thingie hard to guage at this early stage, largely dependent on the Greens willingness or otherwise to shoot themselves in both feet.
The Greens may well consider their success in Brisbane and the absence of teal candidate alternatives in their successful seats.
Has Nath highlighted this morning the qualifier “peri” could easily become “peril”
Goll at 6:04 pm
Of course Dutton is merely a run of the mill proto-fascist. While no mastermind we should always remember the ‘banality of evil’.
The Mighty Mo.
I would also be keeping an eye on Missouri.
Also, the Governor’s race in Maryland. The Term Limited Republican Governor, Larry Hogan, is backing the Democratic candidate, Wes Moore, over the Republican candidate, Dan Cox, an Insurrection-supporting, Trump-backed zealot.
There’s a long interview with Wes Moore in this video clip from about the 18:00 minute mark:
https://youtu.be/XZjOwQ2PFk0
nath
Nah, ‘the banality of evil’ required an evil mastermind to set up the system.
zoomster says:
Friday, July 29, 2022 at 6:20 pm
nath
Nah, ‘the banality of evil’ required an evil mastermind to set up the system.
___________
The banality of evil thesis argues that those who create evil appear quite ordinary, normal and far from the demonic figures they are purported to be.
Ch 7 news: The Australian livestock industry has slammed the LNP opposition for creating mass hysteria over foot & mouth. Spokesperson says Australia exports $300m of meat every week and buyers are now querying whether Australia may already have foot & mouth. Another Dutton Disaster™.
nath
It originated as a description of Eichmann, who was ‘just following orders’, but set up quite a beautiful and efficient system for killing Jews. As an exercise in bureaucracy, it was an exemplar.
…my point was, he needed an evil mastermind to set the agenda.
Dandy Murray-Honeydew says:
Friday, July 29, 2022 at 5:50 pm
“An important covid warning from an immunologist who has had covid.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/health/2022-07-29/covid-19-three-myths-challenge-lies-ahead/101274980”
“Thanks cronus.
I’ve had myocarditis, but I haven’t had covid. This worries me.
Getting my 4th jab on Monday”
Similar for me, I have coagulation issues but haven’t had covid. I had my 4th jab last week but after reading this am aware that avoiding covid utilising all means (jab, mask and social distancing) where possible is all still necessary. I thought this article was a salutary warning from an expert.
Ms King said “Australians had zero tolerance for misuse of grant funds, after the sport rorts saga and the $660 million commuter car parks program used to boost Liberal Party re-election prospects in 2019.
Mr McCormack, who served as infrastructure minister from 2018 until last year, said elected politicians knew better than public servants about where government funding should be directed.”
They’re still not getting it are they! We Coalition politicians know best apparently. I’m surprised they didn’t disband the public service altogether given this attitude.
Paywalled
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/kafkaesque-labor-to-redesign-regional-grant-rules-20220729-p5b5nk
The Australian livestock industry has slammed the LNP opposition for creating mass hysteria
Situation normal for the federal Coalition. Dutton’s just not very sophisticated about the way he does it, though. So he screws it up.
At Garma..
Mr McCormack, who served as infrastructure minister from 2018 until last year, said elected politicians knew better than public servants about where government funding should be directed.
… Because politicians know better than Public Servants that it’s all about winning and keeping their comfortable tushies on the government benches. 😐
I really wanted to go to Garma this year. Sadly I couldn’t make it work with work deadlines and projects. Next year hopefully.
zoomster says:
Friday, July 29, 2022 at 6:34 pm
…my point was, he needed an evil mastermind to set the agenda.
_______
The thesis was designed to argue against the ‘evil mastermind’ idea, including for Hitler, Himmler et al, who were in many respects very ordinary people and hardly intellectual powerhouses, lacking anything that could be called a ‘mastermind’.
Neil seems ashamed of our LGBTIQ veterans.
https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/neil-mitchell-slams-rainbow-light-plans-for-shrine-of-remembrance/video/7bba7e6cb24161cf6db7bcca66d7696f
Great to see Julian Leeser at Garma.
The US Ambassador, Caroline Kennedy is there as well.