American pollster Morning Consult’s current read on various international leaders’ domestic approval credits Anthony Albanese with an approval rating of 57%, up six on his debut showing last month, with disapproval up one to 26% and the balance accounted for by a drop in the uncommitted. It seems this poll is conducted on a daily basis and its published numbers are seven-day rolling averages – I’m not sure how often updates are published, but this one came out a week ago, from polling conducted between June 15 to 21.
In the absence of anything to tell us on voting intention or leadership approval, the most interesting finding of the fortnightly Essential Research survey for mine is that 67% support the Fair Work Commission’s decision to increase the minimum wage by 5.2%, with only 15% opposed. It appears Essential Research now has a regular question on whether Australia is headed in the right or wrong direction, the latest figures of 47% and 29% differing little from the result a fortnight ago, which registered a post-election surge of optimism.
The survey also features questions on the gas crisis and emissions targets, which to my mind are flawed by a lack of response options capturing anti-renewables climate skeptic sentiment. Forty-five per cent blamed the gas crisis on “years of neglect and of successive governments” when given a choice between that and “factors that couldn’t have been predicted, like the war in the Ukraine and the pandemic” and the “fossil fuel lobby and the LNP” having “deliberately fought against the transition to renewables”, which scored 35% and 20% respectively. Forty-nine per cent felt the government should implement the emissions reductions target it took to the election and 30% felt it should go further, with “unsure” the only option for those of neither opinion.
There were two questions on foreign policy, one of which found overwhelming majorities felt it important to have close relationships with the United States, Pacific nations and European Union nations, with a more modest 58% feeling the same way about China and 33% doing so about Russia. Sixty-two per cent believed “Australia should take a more assertive role in protecting our national interest”, compared with 38% who favoured the alternative option of “Australia should look for opportunities to increase global cooperation”. The poll was conducted Thursday to Monday from a sample of 1087.
For a lot more on the foreign policy front, the Lowy Institute has published its annual in-depth poll on the subject, which I haven’t had time to look at properly yet. It would seem declining confidence in Joe Biden is not a purely domestic affair, with 58% having confidence in him to do the right thing in world affairs, down from 69% last year. This places him effectively level with Boris Johnson on 59% and behind Jacinda Ardern on 87%, Emmanuel Macron on 67% and Japan’s Fumio Kishidia (who I’m guessing respondents weren’t required to recognise by name) on 65%. Vlaidimir Putin was down ten points to 6%, placing him on par with Kim Jong-un on 5%. The survey was conducted March 15 to 28 from a sample of 2006.
Player One
Well, I hope you accepted my apology.
I wonder who it was, then.
Player One
Thanks for that. I hope you accepted my apology then.
I wonder who it was, then.
75% is what the climate council came up with and no doubt the mining industry came up with the LNP’s 28%, Realistically somewhere in the middle is what is possible… but yes let’s pull an amount out of
nowhere like what flagman attempting another crazy flag like stunt would do.
kezza2 @ #1102 Sunday, July 3rd, 2022 – 2:39 pm
Accepted and no worries. I don’t know who it was, but I know I did not say it because we didn’t even have a suitable independent running in our electorate. Also, I would never have said to just flip a coin – I was saying at the time I would choose who I thought would be the best member for the electorate. Which I did. But boy, didn’t I get some stick for even saying anything as radical as that! 🙂
davo @ #1103 Sunday, July 3rd, 2022 – 2:42 pm
And you really think these are at all comparable? If so, I have a cryptocurrency you may be interested in. Just post your email address here and I will send you details.
it is dissapointing the greens wont work with labor on climate change and are pushing foor a unachievable targit how ever it is in the greens and liberals interists to stop climate change if labor ends climate wars the greens support will fal
a rsays:
Sunday, July 3, 2022 at 1:43 pm
More importantly it provides a road map that can guide developing countries who don’t have the money to waste on a trial and error approach.
looks like duttons captains pick at aspi the ledading defence think tank might not last much longer he is still running with liberal party talking points abbout how bad china is and how its terible that marles met with him minds well resign and becomes duttons cos if labor cant remove him aspi may go the way off aat
Tge Climate Council is certainly entitled to pluck a figure from the sky. The true scientific answer is zero net now. Anything more is not good enough. Bidding at 75% is not good enough.
Boerwar @ #1109 Sunday, July 3rd, 2022 – 3:01 pm
Except they didn’t. Read the link.
An impossible answer is not a scientific answer. It is an answer for those who don’t actually want to achieve.
That’s not really true. If we’ve spent too long doing too little and it’s now too late to achieve a satisfactory outcome no matter what we do…well, that doesn’t make the science wrong for pointing out that we’ve fucked outselves through laziness and intransigence.
Granny Annysays:
Sunday, July 3, 2022 at 12:55 pm
Taylormade, you seem to be well informed about Liberal Party internal affairs.
Where is the Hon. Scott Morrison. Former PM’s have gravitas don’t you know. This bloke is a former tourism guru in a couple of countries, political party manipulator (oops I meant manager) and then senior Minister, Treasurer, and then Prime Minister. Surely he has some interesting views on world affairs. Where is he? Why won’t he speak?
_____________________
Probably the most pathetic post I have read since the election.
It’s definitely a contender.
a r @ #1111 Sunday, July 3rd, 2022 – 3:31 pm
Ok, fair enough. if it were truly impossible then that would be the case. But it is not. There still is an answer to keeping warming below 2 degrees that is both achievable and realistic. This is not me saying this, this what the science, and the scientists themselves, are telling us.
But there are also a lot of people who don’t want to see it adopted, because it would inconvenience them or cost them money.
So they claim it is impossible. This is the last stage of climate denial.
No, one is a completely rosy unrealistic target, the other a do the bare minimum target, 43% is a start to somewhere in-between which will be passed by the Teals, Pocock and JNL rather than nothing at all, and flagman will look like a denier this time round if he tries to block it.
Let’s face it, this morning Pocock handed flagman the biggest wedge since… ever…
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/floor-not-a-ceiling-pocock-backs-43-per-cent-2030-emissions-reduction-target-20220703-p5ayn3.html
Goodness the weather is quite dangerous in NSW. Stay safe people
Dog’s Brunch says:
Sunday, July 3, 2022 at 12:10 pm
My wife caught Probyn’s comments on ABC News last night on Albo and Macron, she couldn’t believe how shitty he is…”It was mission accomplished for both leaders in Paris. They both implicitly savaged Scott Morrison’s character to resume a seemingly friendly relationship.”
Sad little man.
—————————————————————————-
Let’s talk about Scomo’s character then.
Miserable, selfish, dishonest, smarmy, lazy egotist.
Macron nailed him in two sentences.
green votes will crash as fast as the aus democrats in ’98 if they block the 43% target Pocock backs.
flagman has to seriously ask himself today, is he a constructive help to action on climate change, or will he forever be known as a hinderance to further effective action on climate change, by blocking the changes Pocock, JNL, and surely the Teals back?
Aaron newton says:
Sunday, July 3, 2022 at 2:53 pm
“looks like duttons captains pick at aspi the ledading defence think tank might not last much longer he is still running with liberal party talking points abbout how bad china is and how its terible that marles met with him minds well resign and becomes duttons cos if labor cant remove him aspi may go the way off aat”
Agree entirely, ASPI was very poorly served by a Liberal staffer with no genuine pedigree or strategic expertise whatsoever. Neither he nor his organisation offered any value whatsoever. This was simply and sadly a sinecure and the results show as much.
ASPI needs to go. It is purely undermining Labor foreign policy and defence standing. It is given legitimacy by media (que Uhlmann) who quote it as an outside policy think tank and there so called experts just grandstand on the topic of the day undermining the Government supporting the special interests who fund them.
Taylormade, I’ll stop writing “pathetic” posts when you produce that list of Morrison achievements.
Andrew_Earlwood @ #1093 Sunday, July 3rd, 2022 – 2:08 pm
On Offsiders today the only one to be dismissive of Nick Kyrgios was that old lag cricket writer for The Australian, Gideon Haigh. Everyone else was, Nick Kyrgios is the man! Also, Stefanos Tsitsipas was over-egging the pudding to call him ‘a bully’.
Granny Anny @ #1123 Sunday, July 3rd, 2022 – 4:59 pm
Taylormade has a hide as thick as Jessie after that truly offensive post he wrote last night.
Anyone think, or know, whether we’ll get a Newspoll tonight?
Between stunt morrison and stunt flagman, their list of achievements appear to be nothing but… stunts
Have the Greens actually said they will vote against the government’s 2030 43% emissions reduction target? I understand the government doesn’t have to legislate such a target anyway, but the parliament approving such a sentiment would send a good and much-needed message to investors.
It would have been good to set a much higher target, 75% according to the scientists, but Labor was obviously frightened such a figure would be misrepresented into the sort of scare campaigns that’s seen it lose votes in the past.
What really matters is policy to reduce emissions as much as possible, such as rewiring the grid with renewables and encouraging renewable energy where possible. There is no reason why Labor and the Greens cannot work together on this and who knows, emissions might fall faster than expected.
That is why the change of government has been so important for climate action. We do need more ambitious targets, but what a start; a beginning we would not have seen under any Coalition government.
The only ones doubting this are some Greens supporters who prefer to see Labor as inadequate so as to justify their position, as well as, interestingly, some Liberal supporters who are smart enough to believe in climate change, but who don’t want to change the habits of their lifetimes.
I know we all love to hate her, but this is pretty good:
Farewell to Leigh Sales: A 7.30 Special: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TdOYN01cc5w&ab_channel=ABCNewsIn-depth
I blame the Chris Uhlmann pre-recorded interview with Abbott for the start of her troubles here.
Watched the Insiders interview with Pocock this morning. The only concern for Labor was his rejection of any new coal mining projects in principle but he would not let that barnacle stop him from putting his vote behind legislating Labor’s emisssion’s reduction target {43%}. Let’s hope the Greens take the same real world approach and don’t reject Labor’s policy because its not their idealistic target which would be zero and now.
“ The Coalition has conceded China does appear to be aiming to establish a military base in Solomon Islands, a change of tack from former prime minister Scott Morrison’s insistence no such thing would happen.”
They couldn’t lie straight in bed could they?
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/opposition-now-claims-china-is-gunning-for-military-base-in-solomon-islands-20220703-p5ayn2.html
A few times today, Australia has been referred to as ‘small.’
We rank 55th in countries ranked by population (out of 200+).
Our population is .34% of the planet’s.
Our nominal GDP is 13th in the world…
https://globalpeoservices.com/top-15-countries-by-gdp-in-2022/
Our carbon pollution level is 15th in the world…
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/co2-emissions-by-country
(I assume the above DOESN’T include fossil fuels mined here but purchased and burned by other countries.)
We’re 10th in per capita carbon emissions – just ahead of Canada and the US…
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/carbon-footprint-by-country
(Most of the first 9 are Gulf oil countries like Saudi Arabia.)
We may ‘feel’ small due to our population, but our economic footprint (including carbon impact) is quite large. Our economy is, for example, larger than Indonesia’s, and that country has more than 10 times our population. Our economy is about 80% the size of South Korea’s – they have about double our population.
When our neighbours look at us, they see very, very rich people who produce a lot of carbon pollution. When we refuse to act on climate change, as our govt has for 9 years, it makes a difference to decisions other countries make.
Snappy Tom @ #1132 Sunday, July 3rd, 2022 – 5:23 pm
I would guess they mean in intellect, achievement, empathy and/or compassion.
Hope Bludgers impacted by the rising waters in Sydney are safe. They said on the news it’s going to get worse overnight and tomorrow morning!
Pocock and Lambie coming out in support of the 43% target complicates the argument the Greens sent forth. Claims of “my way or the highway” are now easily parried by pointing out that independents critical of the government support it.
The 43% target ironically also serves the Green’s political interests. The desire to both raise the target and beat it keeps the “climate wars” alive and well for their purposes.
Personally I’d like to see the Greens start pressuring the government on Medicare. The Greens have some good policies around health and they have been successful in the past (e.g. dental for kids).
BiltongCinematicU @ #1135 Sunday, July 3rd, 2022 – 5:40 pm
Personally, I’d like to see the Greens start pressuring the government on the environment.
I guess he also won’t apologise for the snide and juvenile taunts he spat upon me late last year, regarding covid. As it happened, we easily exceeded 50,000 cases per day in NSW. That’s recorded, not actual cases. And of course now another grim milestone. Consider this an actual “I told you so”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jul/03/australia-surpasses-10000-covid-deaths-as-authorities-warn-of-another-wave-of-infections.
He wasn’t the only culprit.
This is a damn fine article on the War in Ukraine, with expert prognostication, by Isabella Higgins of the ABC:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-07-03/is-russia-or-ukraine-on-track-to-win-the-war/101198290
Pretty harrowing rescue
Woman rescued from raging flood waters in Holsworthy: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16V8rB-mEyo&ab_channel=7NEWSAustralia
Stay safe nswelsh-people
Confessions @ #1134 Sunday, July 3rd, 2022 – 5:40 pm
Holding the line here at sea level on the Central Coast. 😯
https://www.pollbludger.net/2022/06/30/polls-morning-consult-essential-research-lowy-institute-open-thread/comment-page-23/#comment-3947724
Even with JLN and Pocock on board, the ALP is still 10 Senators short.
It is the ALP, not the Greens, with the “my way or the highway” approach. The Greens have indicated a willingness to negotiate with the ALP on the target. That means they are not saying 75% or nothing, unlike the ALP saying legislated 43% or no legislated target at all. The ALP demanding the Greens rubber stamp their proposed legislation without the ALP having to compromise with the Greens is, quite reasonably, often unsuccessful.
It’s almost like some bludgers want the Greens to block the 43% legislation.
To everyone affected by flood risk tonight, it sounds like it’s getting tricky. Hope you stay safe. (Be careful. Stay alert. Keep your mobiles charged. …)
Re the NSW flooding. It is simply astonishing how fast a “1 in 100 year” occurrence has become “3 times in 2 years”.
I wonder when people will start to realize that this is no longer “business as usual”? 🙁
Rex Douglas @ #1142 Sunday, July 3rd, 2022 – 5:58 pm
Some people will never give up hope, Rex.
I wonder if the new Federal Government will follow precedent and wait until a private photo opportunity in the middle of the latest flood emergency can be organised?
Oh, that’s right, the ADF is on standby already.
Rex Douglas says:
Sunday, July 3, 2022 at 5:58 pm
It’s almost like some bludgers want the Greens to block the 43% legislation.
______________________________
Dead right. For starters, every Green on this site – and Rex.
To convert ‘we will keep our promises to the electorate that elected us’ into ‘my way or the highway’ is a level of sophistry that Scott Morrison would be very proud of.
No, Rex.
I’d just like to see them get out the way and allow Labor to implement their plans, so as a country we can finally begin a structured transition towards renewables.
It is the ALP, not the Greens
Nice story bro, it was Labor that blocked the CPRS I see…