The Australian brings us what is apparently the first ever Newspoll conducted over the Easter break, presumably portending weekly polling throughout the campaign. In what can only be a morale-booster for Labor after the troubled first week of its campaign, it records no change on two-party preferred, with Labor maintaining a lead of 53-47. Both major parties are down a point on the primary vote, Labor to 36% and the Coalition to 35%. The Greens are up two points to 12%, their best result since May last year, with One Nation and the United Australia Party both on 4%, respectively up one and steady.
The strains of the first week have shown on Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings, his approval rating down five to 37% and disapproval up six to 51%. Scott Morrison is respectively up one to 43% and down two to 52%, and his lead as preferred prime minister is out from 44-39 to 44-37. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1510.
@steve777 – sometimes it’s best to just sit back and see how it plays out, rather than be concerned how it might not work.
This thing could be the most Queensland thing ever put on tv.
nath @ #941 Tuesday, April 19th, 2022 – 8:10 pm
and no integrity
Scott , we are on a unity ticket! I think even Labor should win from here! It’s there’s to loose!
Tom, did you get your wish of more news/ comments from Grace and Brittany?
“Sneaky Scott” must be hurting given his attempts to counter-attack.
#ScottyFromSnarketing
”
Lars Von Triersays:
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 7:43 pm
Ven, how many members of Parly are of Indian heritage? Do you know?
”
Sorry I genuinely don’t get what you are asking? What is Parly?
[‘…it will be for a member of a sort of electoral college that determines the Executive.’]
Do we have an electoral college of even sorts? It’s numerical, cobber. Pepys.
I don’t watch a lot of the Project. But, this has to be a classic!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1516345037810020353
Ven, Parly = Parliament.
Palmer says HoR preferences will be decided in coming days. Some Liberals that backed Craig Kelly will get preferenced over Labor. By the sounds of it any moderate looking Liberal might cop it.
Final enrolment figures are yet to be released but more than 700,000 applications were submitted this week alone.
And well over 3/4 of these registrants will vote against the LRP. Half a million Not-A-Lib young voters who know Morrison is not on their side.
Briefly I’m struggling to keep up with your daily change of position on the election.
”
Lars Von Triersays:
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 8:00 pm
You asked ven , and I deliver.
Essential: I reckon 38 Libs , 36 Labor
”
Okay. Noted, filed and locked away. 🙂
Scott says:
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 4:47 pm
There is no way a hung parliament is likely with a 6.5% swing against the lib/nats
A significant share of the missing Lib vote will compile for the Runaway Lib/3rd voice candidates. It remains to be seen whether – should they win seats – they will keep the LRP in office or not. If they fail to win their contests, their prefs will almost certainly re-elect Lying Reactionaries.
Lars Von Trier says:
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 8:24 pm
Briefly I’m struggling to keep up with your daily change of position on the election.
Me too.
One thing has not changed so far: voters will far and fast from the LRP.
Lars,
Briefly wins over thugs like you every day of the week!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1516360064617312257
Queenslander bringing up the Bradfield Scheme. Turn the rivers inland!
Grow the most expensive tomatoes in history!
The breakdown in the Senate is largely academic. Labor will be in a minority. Their opponents – the Lying Reactionaries and their various mimics, clones, interns, delegates and substitutes, including in particular the Greens – will collude when it suits them to defeat Labor. This is foregone.
GG
Oh my goodness. Cray cray doesnt even begin to describe it
Hanson wants to divert tropical Queensland water down to the Darling and eventually the Murray.
Evaporation might hamper this plan.
Foreigners own our water!
Vic,
And you doubted me.
”
Tomsays:
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 8:13 pm
nath @ #941 Tuesday, April 19th, 2022 – 8:10 pm
Palmer, Hanson, Katter, Newman
its being billed as No Sooks, No Lefties,
and no integrity
”
And no shame.
Sneaky Jim is a dumb name….. Snake Charmer Chalmers works so much better…..
GG
Its beyond parody. Lol!
@Bludg – I repeat the comment from one of my Liberal friends in NSW… “if these ancestral Libs aren’t going to give us a #1, no guarantees there’ll be a #2 or #3 either”.
Clive Palmer on Sky tonight when asked who his party will be preferencing said and I quote ‘We won’t be preferencing any of the bastards’. You can’t be much clearer than that. He also had a whack at the government over the trillion dollar debt.
Fairman,
Jim the Treasurer resonates for me!
Greensborough Growlersays:
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 8:19 pm
I don’t watch a lot of the Project. But, this has to be a classic!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1516345037810020353
—
Wow they WERE literally laughing in the face of the fossil from John Howard’s era … that was some train wreck for the Coalition integrity department. Laughed my head off. Thanks GG.
You couldn’t pay me to watch that Sky shitshow.
“I do think the dr Jim / Albo tandem will ultimately hurt Albo” – look, if we get another Kirribilli Agreement fight during Albo’s 3rd term I think that’s a small price to pay.
Every election campaign Bolt has a moment of clarity where he can’t be bothered to do anything but tell it straight and only includes incidental ad hominem attacks on Labor and today was probably it for this campaign for him. The main difference between Bolt and some others on the right wing propaganda side is Bolt does it for pay, he doesn’t believe his own shit. Whether that makes him better or worse depends on your point of view. But it does mean he’s actually a very capable political analyst once in a blue moon when the fancy takes him.
”
Lars Von Triersays:
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 8:20 pm
Ven, Parly = Parliament.
”
Then I don’t know because I don’t care about those things. I only care if a MP or Senator is good for the country or not irrespective of their heritage.
Hence, I don’t like Morrison hand picked candidate for McMahon electorate, who is of Indian heritage. For crying out loud, Morrison selected a candidate who congratulated a Indian Legislative member who won on Communist party ticket. I posted that article sometime in the morning on this thread and you are welcome to read it.
Bystander says:
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 8:39 pm
Clive Palmer on Sky tonight when asked who his party will be preferencing said and I quote ‘We won’t be preferencing any of the bastards’. You can’t be much clearer than that.
__________
He was talking about the Senate in relation to that. He said HoR prefs will be done by Craig Kelly, basically the crazier Libs are getting UAP prefs.
Bystandersays:
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 8:39 pm
Clive Palmer on Sky tonight when asked who his party will be preferencing said and I quote ‘We won’t be preferencing any of the bastards’. You can’t be much clearer than that. He also had a whack at the government over the trillion debt.
Last time (2019) Palmer made a preference deal with the Coalition and ran anti Shorten ads over and over in the final weeks of the campaign.. IF Palmer sticks to his word that will be good for Labor in QLD particularly and in Bass (4.9 % pv), Braddon (3.7% pv) and Hunter (4.3% pv) from memory.
The last Essential Poll was released on 4 April. Can we assume that there is another one to drop this week?
The last one had the coalition on 37% primaries, labor on 36%, Greens on 10%, ‘Others’ at 12% and ‘uncommitted on 5%. Their 2PP+ Result was 50% Labor, 45% Coalition and 5% uncommitted, which I’m guessing worked out at around 53/47 2PP in reality.
Bystander says:
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 8:39 pm
Clive Palmer on Sky tonight when asked who his party will be preferencing said and I quote ‘We won’t be preferencing any of the bastards’. You can’t be much clearer than that. He also had a whack at the government over the trillion dollar debt.
_____________________________
Who knows with Sir Clive?
The only certainty is he will take a self interested Clive P.O.V
GG – I was playing devil’s advocate.
The fork in the sausage moment for the Libs maybe the Reserve bank putting up interest rates on May 3.
@A_E it’s been discussed all day (due out tomorrow)- mostly on the assumption it will probably be 52-48 or 51-49, just so PB can have it’s semi-regular panic as a form of cardio.
@GG:
“The fork in the sausage moment for the Libs maybe the Reserve bank putting up interest rates on May 3.”
Or
In the absence of a coherent economic narrative in Labor’s campaign it could actually save ScoMo, as uncertain economic times may bring out folk’s natural conservatism.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/us-warns-that-china-s-soldiers-could-be-stationed-in-solomons-20220419-p5aeib.html
____________________________________
Who lost the Solomons?
Greensborough Growler
Many thanks for the Project clip.
Does me ‘eart good to see Graham Morris frothing at the mouth. Usually means Labor is doing him in.
The rant about trans women in sport leading to more conflict with China and Russia was hilarious.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1516345037810020353
And it gets better. Katter has just said that he can’t think of a single thing that this government has done to deserve to be re-elected
Greensborough Growler says:
Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 8:46 pm
The fork in the sausage moment for the Libs maybe the Reserve bank putting up interest rates on May 3.
________________________
Our Rear-Admiral declared it on March 13. Once again ur late.
Do not think meny even traditional liberal voters are to concerned with trans gender sport it is an other dead cat from crosby texttor which are the liberal and uk torey campaign machine to take atention away from the failing economy do not believe job rate is at 4 percent when meny people on isolation due to covid and warringe had one of the highest votes fore gay marige at 70 percents
For obvious reasons this made me think of Nath and also the MSM’s love of Scomo. He isn’t much of PM but he is a glorious campaigner who almost certainly deserves to beat that other bloke we’ve never heard of, because idiots:
https://youtu.be/z0PHv3E8jpY
AE,
Interest rate movements hit the hip pocket. Telling already stressed family budgets they are up for another $200 a month rent right now will not go down well.
Fraser tried the Bradfield Scheme as he was going down the gurgler in 1983.
I think it was Laurie Oakes who said “he has pulled that one out of his third form social studies text book”
well palmer realy is the most un beliveble politician aftor spending 3 years acting as a liberal party properganda out fit now says in his add that hill re introduce free education and clames he may preferents the greesns desbite clameing to not believe in climate change and most of his candadates being x libs such as the now invizable craig kelley
Lars,
You are jabbering incoherently.
Please explain.
“ Interest rate movements hit the hip pocket. Telling already stressed family budgets they are up for another $200 a month rent right now will not go down well.”
Sure, sure, but what’s Labor’s plan to tackle it? Do the punters trust labor? After all, it is accepted – and uncontested by modern Labor gospel truth – that the Liberals are better at managing money and the economy? Also gospel truth: internet rates will always be lower under the Liberals than labor. Labor: Boo!
You see, this is what happens when these tropes, memes and rubes are allowed to fester and run riot: counter factually, there is a better chance of an interest rate rise helping and not hurting the Liberal party because Labor simply hasn’t contested that space. Sneaky Jim may have harrumphed in ScoMo’s general direction about inflation and cost of living, but where is the actual plan to tackle these issues?