No further national voting intention polls this week after the weekend Newspoll. Presumably this means the monthly Resolve Strategic will be along next week in the Age/Herald. Roy Morgan has for some time come along fortnightly and did not report last week, but the manner of its reporting is notoriously hard to predict. Together with the ongoing New South Wales by-elections count, which is covered in the post below this one, that just leaves the following:
• Roy Morgan did have an SMS poll of 1080 respondents conducted on Monday and Tuesday which found Josh Frydenberg favoured to lead the Coalition by 38.5%, ahead of Scott Morrison on 31% and Peter Dutton on 12.5%. The question specifically asked, “if you were a Liberal or National Party voter and helping to choose the Coalition Leader for the next Federal Election, who would you prefer”.
• The West Australian had a poll by Painted Dog Research on Wednesday which found Mark McGowan’s approval rating in Western Australia had fallen from 77% to 64% since December, having peaked at 91% in September 2020, with disapproval up from 14% to 25%. The poll was conducted Friday to Tuesday from a sample of 654.
• Recommended viewing and listening: Antony Green explains the dark art of election night results projection, while pollsters Peter Lewis and John Utting discuss the even darker art of opinion polling on 2SER’s Fourth Estate program.
E. G. Theodore @ #1546 Monday, February 21st, 2022 – 1:07 pm
You got me. How’s it going? You dodge the Covid bullet?
From that Lawyers poll – they can see the cash register kaching kaching…..
Elsewhere, 46 per cent of lawyers pointed to the establishment of a Federal ICAC as something that is most important to them, while 45 per cent pointed to housing affordability and 38 per cent referenced the federal management of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Interestingly, legal professionals in Australia seem substantially more invested in the establishment of an ICAC than other professional sectors, with just 24 per cent of respondents from across the seven sectors noting this as an issue of importance.
https://www.lawyersweekly.com.au/biglaw/33685-revealed-who-lawyers-are-voting-for-in-the-federal-election
Torchbearer @ #1539 Monday, February 21st, 2022 – 12:29 pm
Spending on military has gone from 1.5% of GDP to over 4% in 10 years. Australia – 2%.
sprocket:
You have your McCarthys confused.
Eugene Joseph McCarthy (March 29, 1916 – December 10, 2005) was an American politician (Senator) and poet from Minnesota.
Joseph Raymond McCarthy (November 14, 1908 – May 2, 1957) was an American politician and attorney who served as a Republican U.S. Senator from the state of Wisconsin from 1947 until his death in 1957. Beginning in 1950, McCarthy became the most visible public face of a period in the United States in which Cold War tensions fueled fears of widespread communist subversion.
sprocket
“Interestingly, legal professionals in Australia seem substantially more invested in the establishment of an ICAC than other professional sectors”
Something something hammer, something something nail.
Putin is threatening to invade Ukraine to help the Democrats in the mid-terms. Pass it on.
EGT
Damn right. The ‘horror’ interest rate spiked even higher in the Tory and Repug lands than they did here. Also as Mega George pointed out a long time ago. House prices have gone up so rapidly that under the ‘low’ Coalition interest rates people are paying a greater % of their income in interest than they were during Labor’s ‘horror’ rates.
Joseph Power-Feeds-On-Fear McCarthy
Joe Whiskey-and-porn-in-his-briefcase McCarthy
ItzaDream @ #1528 Monday, February 21st, 2022 – 12:41 pm
And what sort of thing do you believe it is? A good thing or a bad thing? Would you rather Trump were in power and abandoning the Ukrainians to their fate? That way would lie a lot of spilt Ukrainian blood on the snow. But we’d all be safe in our homes here in Australia as we watched on, in horror or bemusement. If we bother to watch on at all. Except maybe for 5 minutes a night on the 6pm News. 😐
Boerwar at 1:14 pm
Correction, the Democrats are telling us Putin will invade 👿
Meanwhile your mate Xi has been doing his bit to help SfM get back in. 😉
Thank you E.G. Theodore, something did not seem right when I typed it…
jt1983 @ #1559 Monday, February 21st, 2022 – 1:18 pm
Wat, no stockings?
Putin is about to allow the Ukraine back into the two areas he was forced by the West to grab from the Ukraine previously. Pass it on.
China is not meddling in the internal affairs of the Ukraine. Pass it on.
Rewi,
I’m well aware of what sort of manipulation of citizens’ thought processes the West is also capable of. Everyone’s doing it since Frank Luntz and George Lakoff demystified and weaponised social media.
It is why I am doing my civic duty and making my way through ‘Severance’ right now. 😉
The real question is, can we afford to put up with another three years of a government with no idea and thus has to resort to this sort of rubbish to win an election.
Albo went to a meeting 40 years ago. We are really into serious bullshit new.
ItzaDream @ #1548 Monday, February 21st, 2022 – 1:08 pm
China’s Foreign Minister also publicly berated Russia for its behaviour. What to think?
The seven-bedroom, 13-bathroom mansion is set on the Vaucluse hillside……
This the sort of ostentatious tasteless house you get in Sydney for $60m.. vendor was a corporate lawyer… goes to show.. they are way way overpaid.
I’d be surprised if there were an office or courtroom big enough to accommodate the overblown ego that goes with a house like this.
ABC has a “he said she said” article on the Sydney Trains matter, certainly much more balanced than 9Fax and Murdoch.
The last para is interesting, quoting Elliott and Perrottet. Elliott is now less bellicose than earlier and this gem from Perrottet – perhaps the lockdown was an Elliott effort without Perrottet’s blessing? Do we know how the two get on? Also, is the lockdown somehow related to the NSW Liberals’ factional warfare?
C@tmomma @ #1560 Monday, February 21st, 2022 – 1:18 pm
C@t, I’m ignoring your third sentence; you know me better than that. I can raise the thought that Biden has politics to consider without that as the only alternative. (Oh, I just didn’t ignore it!)
Putin is playing at keeping NATO at bay. It’s a dangerous game, both sides. Bleedin’ obvious.
E. G. Theodore
Wewak?
Sceptic
After a hard day at the office they like nothing more than coming home, slipping out of office clothes,and into something comfy.
Rupert Murdoch at Oxford had a bust of Lenin on his desk. In later life he married a woman from communist China.
Was it 1957?
SMH has a reader poll on Sydney Train Shutdown updates. Whose fault: Govt 67%, Unions 21%, Don’t know 11%.
Interesting that it is described as a “Shutdown” and not a Strike. Morrison’s intervention on 2GB this morning is looking like yet another wedge coming back to whack him on the rear end.
The Toorak Toff at 1:35 pm
Daddy Murdoch was so worried that he hired a private detective to check out Rupert.
Rupe however followed in the footsteps of the ‘founding fathers’ of the rwnj Neocon movement. They had been marxists.
Gasp! Murdoch bombshell! Albanese attended a forum 40 years ago………at the time of the fall of the Berlin Wall…..
Declaration:
I attended Young Libs dos as they had the best parties with the prettiest girls in attendance….Young Labor (or was it Labour then?) were much too serious in my frivolous years……
Jeepers, just how desperate are the Liberal mouth-pieces in the Murdoch world?…..
Fortunately, fewer and fewer people actually read this stuff, let alone by influenced by it in any way…..
‘poroti says:
Monday, February 21, 2022 at 1:19 pm
Boerwar at 1:14 pm
Correction, the Democrats are telling us Putin will invade
Meanwhile your mate Xi has been doing his bit to help SfM get back in. ‘
—————————————
That is a strange way of putting it. Putin has already grabbed two bits of the Ukraine. He is now the one who is threatening to invade the Ukraine if his demands are not met. I asssume that even the most myopic Western Intellectual would accept that that is the case.
The Dems are trying to dissuade him by all means short of offering to fight Russia if it invades Ukraine. (I would have thought that Western Intelligentsia would have been queuing up to praise the Dems for trying to talk Putin out of war. But, no.)
IMO, if the Dems are manipulating the negotiating frame by announcing that they know that Putin has decided on war, go for it.
BTW, here is what the West’s Intelligentsia has been focusing on: grainy images, not seeing any raw data, Putin withdrawing tanks from the Crimea, the size of the Ukrainian Army, the positioning of the Ukrainian army, what Pilger says… Now, as it turns out, every single one of those foci is one that helps Putin in the negotiating frame. Putin WANTS to wedge the US from Europe. Putin WANTS us to believe that he is being forced against his will to utter threats of war. Putin WANTS the intelligentsia to focus on totally irrelevant stuff: like grainy photos.
BTW, Xi is the one who has made 14 demands of Australia and is continuing with this trade punishment until those demands are met. Cost to date in the order of $20 billion plus.
One of the 14 demands is that the Australian Government manages the MSM so that, presumably, references to the Uigher Genocide and the Wuhan start for Covid are not mentioned.
As I have been saying for over two decades, Australia has a Two Hegemon Problem. Neither the Coalition nor Labor will go near that formulation. FAIL.
As for the laser incident, we know as much about that as we know about how Immigration Minister burnt the arms of that boat person way back when. It is yet another on water matter being manipulated by the Sicko who runs around pretending to be Australia’s prime minister.
Rewi @ #1545 Monday, February 21st, 2022 – 12:07 pm
Those were the parts I disagreed with. I agree in principle with much of the rest. People should question the intel their political class and/or the media makes public, people generally shouldn’t rush to war, etc., etc.. That’s all fine.
But specifically in relation to what’s happening with Russia right now, they already have form in terms of invading and annexing nearby territory. That factors too, and meeting Putin with further pacifism only emboldens him. He’s been appeased too much already; 2014/Crimea should have been the final straw.
I don’t conflate the two. It’s more that being anti-war even to the exclusion of defending against an armed invasion only lets the first despot willing to invade take whatever they feel like. I’d agree that it’s always wrong to start a war. It’s not always wrong to finish one. Russia is trying really hard to make the latter thing necessary.
@Alpha Zero says:
Monday, February 21, 2022 at 1:30 pm
E. G. Theodore
Fun (not fun) fact – only dirty bomb in history was in Australia – guess where and when!
Wewak?
_________________________________
Engardine Maccas? – No wait, that was a Dirty protest
Ben Eltham
Bevan Shields blocked me for pointing out he misreported the Sydney train lockout https://t.co/f5fUp7KYjX
a r
Putin has been appeased for too long.
Obama stuffed up with Russia when he was President, and look at where the world finds itself as a result.
My hope is that Putins own people are going to get rid of him.
In any case, Biden and Putin have agreed to have a meeting with France. Fingers crossed.
This is a great example of why Labor is always at a disadvantage, when we have media willing to dig up absolutely anything to smear Labor no matter how ridiculous it is.
An Aboriginal convicted of the rape and murder of a child , a confession made and a death sentence handed down. Rupert took up the fight. Imagine the Tele and the Hun today reporting this case
.
The 1959 true crime stories that saved a man’s life and launched Rupert Murdoch’s career
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-12-18/max-stuart-rupert-murdoch-true-crime-case/10614666
A meeting! 40 years ago! consider my vote changed
Nicko @ #1583 Monday, February 21st, 2022 – 1:53 pm
Maybe they are saving the last 20 years for when the real election coverage begins.
Boerwar
Have you a link where he says “Agree or I invade Ukraine”?’
”
Confessionssays:
Monday, February 21, 2022 at 7:17 am
Trains on strike in NSW today. Again.
This is the worst state government I’ve ever experienced. They can’t keep essential services like public transport running. Essential workers like nurses are threatening industrial action because they’re overworked and under valued. This government double taxes residents by making you pay road tolls on top of the taxes you pay that build the roads in the first place. Even roads that aren’t new are the subject of toll speculation by the govt. Brand new buildings fall down because they haven’t been built to appropriate standards (this is what happens in developing countries!).
Just hopeless!
”
They are striking now just before an election because they want to maximise the impact of their strike. If they do it any other time, the politicians will come out and condemn them and general public will curse for the inconvenience. But if they do it now, public will curse the government and it could have impact on how people vote.
No doubt, Scotty right now with no record to spruik is instead going on an Albo smear tour, and will be heating it up further as we get closer to the election
”
A public relations expert standing as an independent candidate in the Liberal-held seat of North Sydney says she has raised $684,000, a huge sum for a political outsider that demonstrates the threat posed in inner-city seats to the Morrison Coalition government, reports Aaron Patrick.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/independent-amasses-684-000-for-tilt-at-zimmerman-s-liberal-seat-20220220-p59y1p
”
U antava Mava
U U antava Mava
(meaning: do you want to say yes patron, do you want to say No Patron )
It is huge Bollywood hit song enacted by a Woman.
Ask David Werner, the cricketer. He dances to these tunes.
The Toorak Toff says:
Monday, February 21, 2022 at 1:35 pm
Rupert Murdoch at Oxford had a bust of Lenin on his desk. In later life he married a woman from communist China.
The latter only so he could get his Star Satellite network intrenched in China.. turned out to be a dud investment ..
“They are striking now just before an election”
Just who is striking, comrade Ven?
Bwave Sir Robin
.
Sharma accuses ABC’s Q+A of Climate 200 ‘set-up’
Wentworth MP Dave Sharma pulled out of an appearance on the ABC’s Q+A on Thursday night, because he felt he was being ‘set-up’ in a debate with Climate 200 candidates.
Dan Tehan at Melbourne Airport has been dragooned into Stunts-R-Us. Looks thrilled…
A s(h)it down protest?
All the dirty bombs are at the Taxi Club. And they regularly go off – so I am told.
Chicken Shawarma is a tasty dish.
Best eaten wearing a teal coloured bib.
It can be messy.
”
“How much longer do we have to pretend that Brexit might work?”, asks William Keegan.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/feb/20/how-much-longer-do-we-have-to-pretend-that-brexit-might-work
”
Till UK splinters into 3 countries?
Ven @ #1599 Monday, February 21st, 2022 – 11:20 am
3?
Which one won’t run away?