What is presumably the last Morgan federal voting intention poll for the year maintains the recent trend of this series in favour of Labor with a 56.5-43.5 lead on two-party preferred, out further from 55.5-44.5 last time. Also as per usual with this series, this credits Labor with what seems an improbably strong flow of preferences, the primary votes being Coalition 34.5% (down one), Labor 36% (up half), Greens 12.5% (up half) and One Nation 3.5% (steady). A result is provided for the United Australia Party for the first time, and it’s all of 1%.
The state-level two-party preferred breakdowns include a number of eyebrow-raisers, with Labor leading 55.5-44.5 in New South Wales (unchanged on the last poll, for a swing to Labor of around 8% compared with the 2019 election; 58.5-41.5 in Victoria (out from 58-42, a swing of around 5.5%); 54.5-45.5 in Queensland (out from 51.5-45.5, a swing of 13%); 50.5-49.5 in Western Australia (in from 53.5-46.5, a swing of around 6% and 64.5-35.5 in South Australia (out from 55.5-44.5, a swing of 14%). The Tasmanian result, from a particularly meagre sample, lands well off the path at 51.5-48.5 in favour of the Liberals, a swing in their favour of around 7.5%. The poll was conducted over the past two weekends from an online and phone sample of 2805.
Also out this week was the fortnightly Essential Research survey, on this occasion offering neither voting intention nor leadership approval. The regular question on COVID-19 management found the federal government’s good rating up two to 47% and bad down four to 25%, its best result since July. The New South Wales government’s good rating was down one to 56%, Victoria’s was up one to 51%, Queensland’s was down four to 56%, South Australia’s was up nine to 60% and Western Australia’s was down five to 74%, small sample sizes being the order of the day in the case of the last few.
The poll also finds 34% agreeing with Scott Morrison’s attack on ICAC over Gladys Berejiklian’s resignation with 31% disagreeing and 36% on the fence. However, 53% supported the establishment of a federal commission, with no indication of how many were actively opposed. Other questions find 61% in favour of compulsory vaccination for all adults without a medical exemption, with only 20% opposed, and 28% support for the proposition that governments should on no account impose lockdowns, with 48% opposed. Forty-nine per cent want more evidence on omicron before changing requirements and restrictions, compared with 34% who want proactive tightening and 16% no change regardless. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1094.
Also out this week was a Redbridge Group poll Victorian state poll for the Herald Sun that targeted eight marginal seats: Eureka (formerly Wendouree), Eltham, Brighton, Bentleigh, Evelyn, Carrum, Kalkallo (formerly Yuroke) and Melton. This was rather less good for Labor than other recent polling, with primary votes of Labor 36% (down 9.5% from the results in these seats at the 2018 election, adjusted as appropriate for the new redistribution), Liberal 28.8% (down 2.3%), the Greens 8% (down 0.7%) and, strikingly 8% for the United Australia Party and 5% for One Nation, neither of whom contested last time, quite apart from an unchanged 11% for independents and other minor parties. The latter development makes preference projections particularly uncertain, but a result is provided of 54-46 to Labor, a swing against them of around 4%. The poll was conducted November 26 to 28 from a sample of 2442.
Former White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham says ‘Trump’s anger level’ with Mark Meadows ‘has got to be through the roof right now’
https://www-businessinsider-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.businessinsider.com/stephanie-grisham-says-trumps-anger-over-meadows-has-got-to-be-through-the-roof-2021-12?amp=&_gsa=1&_js_v=a6&usqp=mq331AQIKAGwASCAAgM%3D#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=16395365498802&csi=0&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&share=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.businessinsider.com%2Fstephanie-grisham-says-trumps-anger-over-meadows-has-got-to-be-through-the-roof-2021-12
“Though I thought under Richard Di Natale the Greens were moving very much onto the turf the Teals have staked out.”
***
RDN was a good leader and grew the Greens vote considerably during his time (by around +300,000 from memory). However it was often said that he shifted the party a bit more towards the centre. Still not “Teal territory” but closer to it than we are now. There has certainly been a shift back to the left under Bandt.
Firefoxsays: Wednesday, December 15, 2021 at 2:35 pm
I ventured into the local Coles just a few hours ago. Probably about three quarters of people in there without a mask on when only a few weeks ago everyone was wearing one.
***************************************
Went into town for week shopping marathon – I reckon 10% of people I saw were wearing a mask ….. some of those projected numbers related to omicron may not be as far-fetched as they sound at the moment
[‘Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese has blasted as a “disgrace” analysis that found Coalition-held seats got nearly four times as much grant funding as Labor ones, claiming the federal government is “rotten to the core”.
But Prime Minister Scott Morrison has shrugged off the controversy, claiming Coalition seats received far more than nearby similar Labor seats because they “have a good local member”.
It was a defence rejected by one Labor MP, who claimed every single one of her funding proposals had been rejected by the government at the last budget, despite months of work in her Brisbane electorate. In contrast, Defence Minister Peter Dutton’s neighbouring seat got more than 46 times as much government funding.
“They’ve completely corrupted the granting process … these rorts need to stop,” Mr Albanese said.’]
Flagrant, unapolgetic rorting is Morrison’s Achilles’ heel. Labor should keep highlighting it until the day of the election, and then create a commission of inquiry to rectify it.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/12/15/scott-morrison-funding-liberal/
By the way, Morrison bowled a better line & length than Howard.
U.S. COVID update:
– New cases: 114,456 ……………………. – New deaths: 1,731
– In hospital: 66,233 (+1,005)
– In ICU: 15,823 (+61)
821,335 total deaths now
The guy who threatened to shoot Pelosi gets 24 to 28 months in the slammer, despite showing remorse – Aunty.
RDN’s best move was the black turtleneck. It had an incredible reaction upon Labor stooges. It angered a lot of people, just the sight of it.
“RDN’s best move was the black turtleneck. It had an incredible reaction upon Labor stooges. It angered a lot of people, just the sight of it.”
***
lol I’ll say this now – I don’t know what the hell he was thinking, or what the photographer who set it up was thinking. That photo was asking to be mocked. I’m sure even RDN himself would find it a bit amusing.
Am shook about Michael Slater. Courts don’t look kindly on AVO breaches. At all.
Firefox @ #1855 Wednesday, December 15th, 2021 – 1:35 pm
Didn’t you hear? Everyone has given up. Or at least NSW, Vic, Qld (and probably SA+ACT?) have. That’s nearly everyone.
Nearly had it back under control, too. More’s the shame.
“RDN’s best move was the black turtleneck. It had an incredible reaction upon Labor stooges. It angered a lot of people, just the sight of it.”
RDN trying to do a Steve Jobs look was pretty funny
FF. I think it was the photographers version of the famous Nirvana suit and tie photoshoot. ??Maybe.
Nicko says:
Wednesday, December 15, 2021 at 3:13 pm
“RDN’s best move was the black turtleneck. It had an incredible reaction upon Labor stooges. It angered a lot of people, just the sight of it.”
RDN trying to do a Steve Jobs look was pretty funny
___________________
Yes the incongruity of it all. A Greens leader in Techno King clothes. Nirvana in corporate attire.
It has been 3 months since i had my second AZ vaccination. Being over 70 it seems that its effectiveness is severely in decline.
This occurs just as the Liberal Party is implementing its universal infection policy.
I’m forbidden to have a “booster” for two more months.
With the general abandonment of covid restrictions in NSW and no information about where there are recent infections the only safe option seems to be to go into social isolation for two months.
Rikali says:
Wednesday, December 15, 2021 at 3:17 pm
AZ should last 5 months not 3 months.
“With the general abandonment of covid restrictions in NSW and no information about where there are recent infections the only safe option seems to be to go into social isolation for two months.”
I think it is prudent to continue to wear a mask when going out in public, and also probably wise to avoid crowds for now.
I suspect if the numbers do get out of hand then the government will change tack.
Kos samaras
No. It’s not a parody account. When the Left joins the Right. The snake eating its tail.
——-
Jeremy Corbyn
Tonight I will oppose both compulsory vaccines for NHS staff, and the introduction of vaccine passports. Both measures are counterproductive and will create division when we need cooperation and unity.
When AUKUS was announced I missed this very well reasoned piece by Gareth Evans on the prospect of nuclear subs for Australia. Like Keating, he has greater concern about the sovereignty aspect, which is another of the reasons why I personally hope we go with the UK option.
He also talks about nuclear safety and proliferation, with some further logic I agree with on why we would not go with the French option.
https://www.apln.network/news/member_activities/the-real-risks-of-australias-submarine-deal
Mundo sticking to his guy Morrison like shit to a blanket. Some things never change…
Interesting observation.
My mum has been in aged care for several months.
She had her first dose of AZ before going into care.
Therefore she had her second dose of AZ whilst in care.
All the other residents who have been in care when first dose was being administered, all got Pfizer.
Her whole unit became covid positive 6 weeks ago. All Pfizer. Apart from her who was the only AZ recipient. Go figure.
‘Firefox says:
Wednesday, December 15, 2021 at 2:57 pm
“Though I thought under Richard Di Natale the Greens were moving very much onto the turf the Teals have staked out.”
***
RDN was a good leader and grew the Greens vote considerably during his time (by around +300,000 from memory). However it was often said that he shifted the party a bit more towards the centre. Still not “Teal territory” but closer to it than we are now. There has certainly been a shift back to the left under Bandt’
—————————-
I doubt whether there was much change in the Greens policies, principles and actions as detailed in the Greens official policy site. I track those and there has been little real change, IMO.
DiN pretended that there had been a shift to try and lift a few votes from Labor. It probably worked, IMO. He even fooled some of the comrades into believing there had been a substantive shift. But there was no real shift. Smoke and mirrors. Bandt might be abusive whenever he starts talking about the Labor space, but the Greens comrades have got one thing right. Bandt’s public utterances and the substance of the Greens policy documents are much better aligned.
Victoria says:
Wednesday, December 15, 2021 at 3:26 pm
Kos samaras
No. It’s not a parody account. When the Left joins the Right. The snake eating its tail.
——-
Jeremy Corbyn
Tonight I will oppose both compulsory vaccines for NHS staff, and the introduction of vaccine passports. Both measures are counterproductive and will create division when we need cooperation and unity.
===============================
Corbyn never fails to do a bit of confirmation bias. He’s absolutely bloody hopeless.
V
What’s she like on prayer?
Socrates
By the time the comrades have replaced our iron ore and coal and by the time they have switched off student and tourism services for Chinese people in Australia we will just about be able to afford a bark canoe. And some peace studies.
Nicko
I think it is prudent to continue to wear a mask when going out in public, and also probably wise to avoid crowds for now.
———
Yes, i do, but recently, I’m the only one now wearing a mask. While offering some protection non-mask wearing covid positive people are still a real risk even to mask-wearers.
Victoria
“Jeremy Corbyn
Tonight I will oppose both compulsory vaccines for NHS staff, and the introduction of vaccine passports”
Always thought Corbyn was a nutter. I’m not yet sold on the ‘horseshoe theory’ – but Corbyn gives me pause.
“Yes, i do, but recently, I’m the only one now wearing a mask. While offering some protection non-mask wearing covid positive people are still a real risk even to mask-wearers.”
Yeah getting rid of the mask rule is a mistake. I guess avoiding crowds is the best option we have right now
Vaccine mandates work. Anyone opposes it are just arguing for more sick and dead people.
The virus doesn’t give a crap about your feelings!
I will never, ever understand the anti-mask stuff. Like, sure, they’re annoying, but it’s just such a trivial sacrifice to make to keep yourself and others safe.
Vibe in Adelaide now is fear and anger. Lots of people I’ve spoken to don’t want to go out and then be put in quarantine for Xmas through bad luck. Small business owners fear having to shut at their busiest time of year. 26 cases announced today, highest since April last year (when it was mostly international travellers).
The TEALs are Australias Lincoln Project.
If you’re Sydney, you can’t hide it.
Although no longer compulsory in most situations in Queensland, I observed quite a few wearing masks at a number of venues this morning. Why they’ve been dispensed with where the latest variant is starting to run rampant is hard to fathom.
I’m over wearing masks but this is yet another case of Morrison failing to see the big picture of protecting the domestic economic over allowing free cross border travel.
In a pandemic getting more people vaccinated (and keeping out the unvaccinated) is way more productive than any amount of “cooperation and unity”.
Also why do these calls always seem to involve the smart people cooperating and uniting with the loud idiots? When’s their turn to shut up, unite, cooperate, and get vaccinated? Loud, borderline-violent stupidity shouldn’t be the winning strategy.
“Welcome to Melbourne Albo. We call them trams”
Melbourne has both trams and light rail. Trams that run along city streets and also continue part of the journey on old rail tracks (e.g. to St Kilda) are light rail.
Boerwar
“By the time the comrades have replaced our iron ore and coal and by the time they have switched off student and tourism services for Chinese people in Australia we will just about be able to afford a bark canoe. And some peace studies.”
I expect any day now Morrison will be announcing that Australia’s new subs will be delivered fitted with extra vaccine supplies, ensuring that Covid will be completely resolved in Australia no later than 2045. Win-win.
“Jeremy Corbyn”
***
Silly Labourites 😛
Sorry Jezza, you’ve lost me on that one I’m afraid.
Ah, but we do have a national policy. It’s called “Let it rip”.
Boerwar
Sorry need clarification
(Wednesday, December 15, 2021 at 3:36 pm
V
What’s she like on prayer?)
Asha:
So a bit like bike helmets, really. And in a less enlightened time or place, seatbelts.
Did she have a direct line upstairs which protected her?
He was appealing to the doctor’s wives, and the young, upwardly mobile professionals
‘Socrates says:
Wednesday, December 15, 2021 at 3:58 pm
Boerwar
“By the time the comrades have replaced our iron ore and coal and by the time they have switched off student and tourism services for Chinese people in Australia we will just about be able to afford a bark canoe. And some peace studies.”
I expect any day now Morrison will be announcing that Australia’s new subs will be delivered fitted with extra vaccine supplies, ensuring that Covid will be completely resolved in Australia no later than 2045. Win-win.’
——————–
The thing that gets me about the surreal is that it can be realer than the real.
Let them eat Covid.
The red-ragger Bandt is under serious threat – losing the RDN Teal cohort is not only numbers, but donations as well.
By now, the Teal-leaners would be disappointed with the Greens inability to do anything about the environment and integrity issues which matter to them. Perhaps the Greens will get their preference, but not their $4 per vote of public funding.
Bandt could sue for peace with Labor.
A dumb arse city on the way to meeting the Karma bus
.
.
Third of people in London have not had any jabs
A third of Londoners are completely unvaccinated, as a surge of Omicron cases sweeps the capital.
The proportion of the population without a single jab is three times as high in London as in the country as a whole, and the 14 areas with the country’s lowest vaccination rates are all London boroughs. In Westminster four in ten people have not had a single jab.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/third-of-people-in-london-have-not-had-any-jabs-crgcj5g7c
“He was appealing to the doctor’s wives, and the young, upwardly mobile professionals”
***
Was waiting for someone to post it lol surprised it took so long!
Yeah nah whatever he was doing he just looks silly.
The photo was taken by GQ’s Edward Mulvihill for their article on him. All the photos from the shoot look a bit weird TBH but that’s the worst by far.
Can you stuff up the vaccination process twice?
Scomo says “Hold my beer!”
‘General practitioners and pharmacies are reporting a sudden increase in demand for vaccines, after federal health advice changed to allow boosters five months after the second primary dose.
Representatives of the aged care sector said the rollout for residents and staff was improved from earlier this year, with more than 1,000 booster clinics conducted in aged care facilities already.
But rollout problems are emerging in other areas.
Some GPs caught off guard by the weekend’s announcement said they were left without enough supply to meet demand. Demand on pharmacies also increased suddenly and significantly.
The Australian Medical Association said it was “extremely concerned” at the lack of support for both GPs and pharmacists, and warned the booster rollout was already falling behind.’
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/dec/15/a-shambles-fears-rural-and-disadvantaged-areas-will-lag-behind-in-australias-covid-booster-rollout