Essential Research and Redbridge Group Victorian poll

One pollster records nervous attitudes towards China, another a modest lead for the Labor government in Victoria.

The fortnightly Essential Research poll offers questions on foreign relations that include the finding that 51% believe Australia should become less close to China, down three points since December, with 24% believing relations should stay the same and only 12% believing they should get closer. By contrast, respondents were positive about relations with, in ascending order of enthusiasm, the United States, the European Union, the United Kingdom and New Zealand. Further questions record a surge for the influence of the United States since May last year and the intervening presidential election result.

An occasionally recurring question on climate change also found 56% believing it to be caused by human activity against 27% for normal fluctuation, suggesting a slight shift to skepticism since a few years ago. Forty-five per cent rate that Australia is not doing enough on climate change compared with 30% for enough and 12% for too much. Assessments on this question appear to have become more lenient since the onset of COVID-19, prior to which “not doing enough” was at upwards of 60%. A series of related questions record enthusiasm for renewable energy and a zero emissions target. The poll was conducted online from Wednesday to Sunday with a sample of 1087.

We also had a Victorian state poll yesterday in the Herald-Sun from Redbridge Group, which is run by former Labor operatives Simon Welsh and Kosmos Samaras. The primary votes are solidly better for the Coalition than last week’s Resolve Strategic poll in The Age, showing them with a lead of 41% to 37%, but Labor is nonetheless credited with a lead of 52.4-47.6 on two-party preferred, reflecting a Greens vote of 12% compared with Resolve Strategic’s 9%. These come with regional breakdowns that can be viewed here.

The poll also has a preferred premier question had Daniel Andrews at 42.4%, Michael O’Brien on 23.1% and neither on 28.2%; Andrews leads James Merlino 67.5% to 32.5% in a head-to-head question on preferred Labor leader, and O’Brien trails his predecessor Matthew Guy by 63-37. The poll was conducted June 12 to 15 from a sample of 1484.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,486 comments on “Essential Research and Redbridge Group Victorian poll”

Comments Page 23 of 30
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  1. Small business owners and tourism operators must be frustrated with the ongoing Morrison outbreaks that cause so many consumers to be locked down isolating at home.

  2. Labor should use that infighting between the liberal and National party during the election campaign

    Do Australians really want this mob in government , they do not work together , they will not work for Australians


  3. BKsays:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 1:29 pm
    @AmyRemeikis tweets

    Love that after the Liberals moved to shut down the Nationals in the parliament, the Nationals then moved to shut themselves down.
    Just a normal government, doing normal things
    _____
    Is this what the Coalition loves to say is that they are “getting on with the job”?

    How did Nats shut themselves down? By getting COVID19. 🙂

  4. Recon

    I still recall clearly Scomo’s ‘early mark’. That’s when we took a big step backwards.

    Victoria made a big mistake reopening and it made a big mistake waiting to lock down again.

    As for NSW, we already have undetected carriers.All we need now is a superspreading event somewhere in Sydney where testing rates are still low and people are complacent. Goes undetected for a week. Suddenly a dozen new clusters. Contact tracing immediately overwhelmed.

    What might have been a 10 day lockdown becomes 6 weeks, because we waited.

  5. Barnyard…
    Guardian Blog..
    Barnaby Joyce finally acknowledges himself as the elephant in the room and says he has taken advice and is not considered a close contact, so can sit in the parliament.

    From whom ? Would anyone in their right mind believe a word he says?

  6. Victoria

    They obviously missed that 60yo that went to the party.

    And from the figures they have at least one unknown carrier.

    It only takes 1.

  7. More on Barnaby.

    Likes
    Matthew Doran’s Tweets
    Matthew Doran
    @MattDoran91
    ·
    42s
    An update – apparently he’s all good, because he was just a contact of a close contact of a case.

    Once removed etc etc #

  8. If I read this correctly, BRS has (a) admitted breaking at least one national security law and (b) has argued that he had any potential security consequences under control. I am not a legally trained person so I am not at all certain about that.

    BRS has previously admitted punching a soldier and has expressed regret for so doing.

    The stamp evidence seems to be being led in order to establish that he did send at least one threatening letter. The gist of the letter seems to have been an alleged attempt to suppress evidence in relation to a matter which was nevertheless subsequently raised in the Brereton Review, and which has now popped up as one the matters being assessed as a matter of truth in the BRS defo defence case.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-06-24/ben-roberts-smith-kept-classified-information-at-home/100240920

    As noted above, I am not legally trained and I have no idea whether I have got it right.

  9. Cud chewer

    They wouldn’t be concerned. It has been reported this man had attended superspreader party, but was not contacted by NSW health to be tested.
    It’s Victoria’s problem now.

  10. Recon:

    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 2:04 pm

    [‘Just to remind people that the sainted Dan Andrews didn’t announce a full lockdown until there was 191 cases in one day.’]

    Not one of your most compelling posts. That was the early days in the pandemic when everyone was still on a very steep learning curve.

  11. Why is Barnaby Joyce allowed to take questions on national cabinet , when he has no involvement in

    And not allowed to take questions like the lib/nats agreement , which Joyce is involved in

  12. Every now and then I get reminded that Damian Drum still exists, and is no longer a footy coach. I’m starting to get the idea he’s about as good as politics as he was at coaching (I’ve been a Freo supporter for a long time, I remember 2001). If I’d known 20 years ago he would later become a right-wing politician, I might’ve found the weekly ritual of explaining to Dennis Cometti how the Dockers managed to get belted yet again slightly more amusing.

    That segment on the channel 7 news every Monday night was nicknamed “Drum Beat”, which got an unwanted double meaning when Freo went 17 rounds without a win. There’s probably a political slogan in that somewhere.

  13. Good question.

    Rafael Epstein
    @Raf_Epstein
    ·
    11m
    NSW CHO Kerry Chant-don’t need lockdown
    “…we are not that situation where we are not getting to people in terms of the contact tracing.”

    Haven’t spoken to Vic positive case yet. Which is fine.

    But Vics not SURE if he was at party or his daughter was.

    Fingers crossed.

  14. So, Keith Pitt doesn’t believe in environmental regulation and protection.

    Do all Lib partisans agree with this yokel donkey ?

  15. Kristina Keneally
    (@KKeneally)
    BREAKING: @birmo confirms in response to @jennymcallister in Senate #QT -@Barnaby_Joyce will replace @M_McCormackMP on the Cabinet Taskforce on the Status of Women

    Yes, you read that correctly

    Barnaby Joyce will be on the Morrison Govt’s Status of Women Taskforce

    Seriously

  16. An Australian entry in the International Portrait Photographer of the Year competition. Now this is a keen mad fisherman.

  17. Sceptic @ #1120 Thursday, June 24th, 2021 – 3:00 pm

    Kristina Keneally
    (@KKeneally)
    BREAKING: @birmo confirms in response to @jennymcallister in Senate #QT -@Barnaby_Joyce will replace @M_McCormackMP on the Cabinet Taskforce on the Status of Women

    Yes, you read that correctly

    Barnaby Joyce will be on the Morrison Govt’s Status of Women Taskforce

    Seriously

    It’s ok, Barnaby says he’s a changed man.

  18. a r says:

    Wait until it’s Elon, then sign.
    ______________
    What’s your problem with Elon? You don’t like re-usable rockets slashing the cost of space exploration and the best EVs in the world? Bezos I can understand. But Elon has actually done things.

  19. Mavis @ #671 Thursday, June 24th, 2021 – 2:52 pm

    Recon:

    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 2:04 pm

    [‘Just to remind people that the sainted Dan Andrews didn’t announce a full lockdown until there was 191 cases in one day.’]

    Not one of your most compelling posts. That was the early days in the pandemic when everyone was still on a very steep learning curve.

    Nor was it the highly infectious Delta Variant. But hey, straw men and false equivalency seem to be his specialty.

  20. Why does Hunt still have a job given his catastrophic failings in providing a range of vaccines when he had the chance in 2020.

    Because that’s not his job. His job is to lie with a straight face for the team and to deliver a blizzard of meaningless stats. Then to abuse and intimidate behind the scenes.

  21. “porotisays:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:00 pm
    An Australian entry in the International Portrait Photographer of the Year competition. Now this is a keen mad fisherman.


    Nah
    That is Barnaby for you. 🙂

  22. The majority of Elon Musk’s rocket launches have failed mid flight. Some freaking genius. And very expensive experiments.

  23. Cud Chewer says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:04 pm

    Recon

    Elon is a shithead. Google that.
    _________
    Oh yes the Covid stuff. Yes that was pretty dumb… But he’s a unique thinker and bound to get a few things wrong.. like calling that guy a pedo. Still overall, he’s good value I believe.

  24. Morrison must be thinking of the election date , ruffling papers and he gave a irrelevant answer to the question which was asked

  25. I haven’t watched all of QT, thank goodness, but saw Barnaby making a complete pig’s breakfast of an answer about Vax centres. He doesn’t know much, had to be prompted with a bit of paper, tried to hand the Q over, and still stuffed up. Deputy PM, folks.

  26. DisplayName at 3:00 pm

    Let’s all just hope that NSW’s (and now the other states’) contact tracing systems can get on top of it.

    The Gladys Outbreak has gone International. . Sinny –>57 hour visit to Wellington , visit as many shops/venues/galleries/eateries/tourist spots as possible then back to Sinny. Did Gladys send the guy to NZ “on a mission” ? 🙂

    Deadly ‘virus could be anywhere in New Zealand’ after Sydney man’s weekend in Wellington

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-19-coronavirus-deadly-virus-could-be-anywhere-in-new-zealand-after-sydney-mans-weekend-in-wellington/T2HZY6OR77QAUEJAXEO4TA3RZ4/?ref=readmore

  27. Also.. go to Youtube and type ‘debunking elon musk’ into the search. There is a two part video that shreds him and his carefully prepared public image. Nasty piece of work that he is.

  28. C@tmomma says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:06 pm

    The majority of Elon Musk’s rocket launches have failed mid flight. Some freaking genius. And very expensive experiments.
    _______________
    Hilarious. Almost all of those explosions were designed to do so, or are experimental test flights designed to test new rocket versions. SpaceX supplies the International Space Station and have received a huge contract with NASA for the new moon program Artemis.

  29. C@tmomma:

    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:04 pm

    [‘Nor was it the highly infectious Delta Variant. But hey, straw men and false equivalency seem to be his specialty.’]

    Yes, that too. Absent the early tragic losses, Andrews
    has been a stand-out, and he’s back in four days to resume duties. It appears that Recon has the same set against Andrews as he has for Shorten.

  30. Amy Remeikis
    Anthony Albanese to Scott Morrison:

    This week, members of the Government in both the Senate and the house moved amendments to a bill which directly contradicts a decision of cabinet under the Murray Darling Basin plan.

    Is the only way to ensure implementation of the plan for the Prime Minister to take the water portfolio away from the National Party and will he do so when he reshuffles his frontbench?

    Scott Morrison:

    I did not agree with the leader of opposition characterisation of that issue.

    I’m still shocked by the news that Barnaby Joyce will be on the Morrison government’s taskforce for the status of women, but it has to be said that just disagreeing with the characterisation of the issue doesn’t mean it’s not actually true.

    I mean, I disagreed with the characterisation that I was a distraction to others and easily distracted, while at school. But it was true. I disagreed with the characterisation of my parents of my sneaking out at night, but it was still true.

    Can someone of influence get Amy on the ABC every night parliament sits… that woman is always on fire..

  31. Cud Chewer says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:10 pm

    Also.. go to Youtube and type ‘debunking elon musk’ into the search. There is a two part video that shreds him and his carefully prepared public image. Nasty piece of work that he is.
    _______________
    I will do that but recognising that haters are gonna hate a successful person. No doubt he isn’t Mother Theresa, but even Mother Theresa was accused of being a monster. 🙂

  32. Recon

    Read further. He’s a spoiled, entitled, rich bitch whose gotten where he is through corporate backstabbing.

    Paypal wasn’t his invention. He didn’t found Tesla. Nearly all of the ideas you could uniquely attribute to him are idiotic – like hyperloop.

    Check out those videos! Its an eye opener.

  33. lizzie:

    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:08 pm

    After Joyce’s performance for the last few days, I’m thinking McCormack wasn’t that bad after all, despite his obvious flaws.

  34. Recon

    Musk is a billionaire. By definition he is a monster. You have to be to accumulate that much wealth.

    That said he is doing the world a favour in transforming earth based industries to green solutions.

    So in my opinion both you and Cud are correct.

  35. RW commentator Chip Le Grand takes a potshot at Victoria but is then scuttled by the news item below.

    (Adjacent SMH headlines at the moment)

    Why we should all be barracking for Sydney right now
    That NSW is allowing businesses to stay open and people to leave their homes should give hope to lockdown-weary Victorians that there may be another way.
    Chip Le Grand

    and

    Westfield Bondi Junction is virtually empty.
    ‘Ghost town’: Shoppers desert Westfield Bondi Junction as cluster grows
    Retailers at the busy shopping centre in Sydney’s eastern suburbs have reported a drastic drop in foot traffic and plunge in sales in recent days.

  36. guytaur

    Check out the videos. 🙂

    Elon has been very good at selling himself to adoring fans. He doesn’t deserve it.

    Check out how he stiffed the real founders of Tesla.

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