Essential Research and Redbridge Group Victorian poll

One pollster records nervous attitudes towards China, another a modest lead for the Labor government in Victoria.

The fortnightly Essential Research poll offers questions on foreign relations that include the finding that 51% believe Australia should become less close to China, down three points since December, with 24% believing relations should stay the same and only 12% believing they should get closer. By contrast, respondents were positive about relations with, in ascending order of enthusiasm, the United States, the European Union, the United Kingdom and New Zealand. Further questions record a surge for the influence of the United States since May last year and the intervening presidential election result.

An occasionally recurring question on climate change also found 56% believing it to be caused by human activity against 27% for normal fluctuation, suggesting a slight shift to skepticism since a few years ago. Forty-five per cent rate that Australia is not doing enough on climate change compared with 30% for enough and 12% for too much. Assessments on this question appear to have become more lenient since the onset of COVID-19, prior to which “not doing enough” was at upwards of 60%. A series of related questions record enthusiasm for renewable energy and a zero emissions target. The poll was conducted online from Wednesday to Sunday with a sample of 1087.

We also had a Victorian state poll yesterday in the Herald-Sun from Redbridge Group, which is run by former Labor operatives Simon Welsh and Kosmos Samaras. The primary votes are solidly better for the Coalition than last week’s Resolve Strategic poll in The Age, showing them with a lead of 41% to 37%, but Labor is nonetheless credited with a lead of 52.4-47.6 on two-party preferred, reflecting a Greens vote of 12% compared with Resolve Strategic’s 9%. These come with regional breakdowns that can be viewed here.

The poll also has a preferred premier question had Daniel Andrews at 42.4%, Michael O’Brien on 23.1% and neither on 28.2%; Andrews leads James Merlino 67.5% to 32.5% in a head-to-head question on preferred Labor leader, and O’Brien trails his predecessor Matthew Guy by 63-37. The poll was conducted June 12 to 15 from a sample of 1484.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,486 comments on “Essential Research and Redbridge Group Victorian poll”

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  1. Sceptic

    Barnaby Joyce will be on the Morrison Govt’s Status of Women Taskforce

    Seriously

    Hmm, is

    that better or worse than their Minister for Women’s Issues ? 😆

  2. Gloomy drum beat out of Canberra today. Word is The Australian’s ace columnist Niki Savva has quit and will file no more for that publication. Sad.— Dennis Atkins (@dwabriz) June 24, 2021

  3. Bill Gates was once the most hated man on the internet, a monster, a vile etc etc… And he probably wasn’t very nice at times. Still, donating almost all of your wealth to humanitarian causes certainly changed the narrative. Now only loony right wing nuts think he’s evil.

  4. The Annual Hillsong Conference Sydney
    Start Date

    Tuesday, June 29, 2021

    End Date

    Friday, July 2, 2021

    ————

    Subject of theories on why the delay of the lockdown in nsw

  5. Mavis

    Mickmack filled a necessary space without actually doing anything, for good or bad. In the circs that now seems a Good Thing.


  6. porotisays:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:00 pm
    An Australian entry in the International Portrait Photographer of the Year competition. Now this is a keen mad fisherman.



    The caption for the above picture should be “Fishing in troubled Waters”. Now who does that in current environment?

  7. Recon

    Billionaires are monsters. There are no exceptions.

    Promoting philanthropy to avoid taxes is no excuse.

    Edit: Good to see you are no slavish Green robot. I disagree with you and agree with the Greens. Tax the billionaires

  8. I suspect alot of the anti-Elon stuff on the internet has been initiated by Tesla short sellers who have an obsessive hatred of Musk and have lost untold billions betting against him.

  9. guytaur says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:22 pm

    Recon

    Billionaires are monsters. There are no exceptions.

    Promoting philanthropy to avoid taxes is no excuse.
    __________
    Guytaur, Gates has given away his entire fortune, there is not much left to claim tax rebates on when it’s all said and done!

  10. morisson with joyce on zoom the other day had the look of a guy who’s learned his performance review has been brought forward and he’s got till c.o.b. friday to show why he shouldn’t be let go; its not looking good. me ? i reckon the restoration of joyce is rinehard’s vote, murdoch’s is already in, via all the recent negative publicity from key opinion pushers in the radical conservative media, the likes of bolt, albrechtsten, sky after dark, &c. so, i ask, how long’s he got ? who’s vote, among the plutocrats with controlling shares in the coalition, is still pending ? -a.v.


  11. Rex Douglassays:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:19 pm
    Gloomy drum beat out of Canberra today. Word is The Australian’s ace columnist Niki Savva has quit and will file no more for that publication. Sad.— Dennis Atkins (@dwabriz) June 24, 2021

    Could it be because the environment at that place became batshit crazy?

  12. Recon at 3:20 pm

    People are People Guytaur. Even billionaires.

    Exactly, which means they have stabbed lots of backs and trampled over alot of other people who were also trying to back stab and gouge their way to the top of the same mountain. As the saying goes “Behind every great fortune lies a great crime.”

  13. I see Wesley College in Melbourne is teaching Socialism.

    A @GuardianAus exclusive: An elite Melbourne private school (with assets of $192m) gave its parents fee rebates, waived other costs and made a $5m transfer to its scholarship fund after it received nearly $20m in jobkeeper last yearhttps://t.co/SjnCKZYFeY— Naaman Zhou (@naamanzhou) June 23, 2021

  14. So overnight chaos in NSW at inept government.

    Thanks to Federal Government for slack ‘don’t give a shit routine’.

    1 MP tested positive, premier tested negative but casual contact.

    WHAT THE ACTUAL FUCK.

  15. Hopefully everyone wearing masks and using qr codes

    Bridget Rollason
    @bridgerollo
    Jeroen Wiemar believes the positive man had a customer facing job at the Sandringham dry cleaner. QR code was being used and customers will be contacted
    @abcmelbourne
    #springst

  16. poroti says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:18 pm
    Sceptic

    Barnaby Joyce will be on the Morrison Govt’s Status of Women Taskforce

    Seriously

    Will he be able to keep his fly done up?

  17. boerwar:

    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 2:49 pm

    It may not always be evident but the essence of the law is to establish the truth. And you don’t need to be a lawyer to determine this. Take, for example, one of your points that Roberts-Smith ‘has previously admitted punching a soldier and has expressed regret for so doing.’ If the digger he admitted he punched was junior in rank to him, that of itself is court-martial material. His evidence thus far has not surprisingly been exculpatory. This trial will turn of his credibility and that of his witnesses. But I will add that officers and senior NCOs are not going to come out of this well. It was their duty to pull into line an obviously out of control regiment. They’ve appeared to fail in this endeavour. This defamation trial is a harbinger for a criminal trial. And from Roberts-Smith’s perspective, it doesn’t auger well for him, though it’s early days.

  18. Recon

    We know that’s a lie. The divorce argument over money is pretty public for Gates. It’s how we learnt about the Epstein association

  19. @AaronDodd tweets

    BREAKING: A covid virus is being forced to undergo 14 days quarantine after coming in to close contact with Deputy PM Barnaby Joyce. The virus stated “It was horrible. Joyce reeked of cheap beer, unwashed jocks and stale meat pies. I wanted to die”. #auspol

  20. Bureaucracy always wins over common sense.

    @correzpond
    19h
    I had my #CovidVaccine at a large Eastern Sydney public hospital clinic today & saw them literally turn away a homeless guy who wanted to be vaccinated because “we aren’t taking walk-ins” instructing him to “book online”.

  21. I don’t get the hate for Elon of all people.
    Why do people never crap on Tim Cooke or Steve Jobs, when you could argue they have done almost nothing useful for humanity, except sell expensive tech products.

  22. sprocket_ says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:50 pm
    I see Australia’s true leader has to be beamed in to Question Time
    ————-

    Lol Sprocket

  23. citizen says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:36 pm
    Scott says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:19 pm
    The Annual Hillsong Conference Sydney
    Start Date
    Tuesday, June 29, 2021
    End Date
    Friday, July 2, 2021
    ————
    Subject of theories on why the delay of the lockdown in nsw
    It’s been postponed again until 2022
    https://hillsong.com/conference/sydney/#

    ————

    Lol hence why Morrison didn’t look too happy

  24. Dr Cameron Webb
    @Mozziebites
    ·
    45m
    A warm and wet spring ahead? Particularly interesting to see relatively high “minimum” temperatures, this is likely to help create suitable conditions for early season mosquito activity in many regions…

  25. Nicko says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:46 pm
    I don’t get the hate for Elon of all people.

    Maybe something to do with him accusing others of being a “Pedo”.

  26. Nicko says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:46 pm

    “Why do people never crap on Tim Cooke or Steve Jobs, when you could argue they have done almost nothing useful for humanity, except sell expensive tech products.”

    Almost nothing useful?

    Really?

    #HeadDesk

  27. Sceptic

    Yes the ‘pedo guy’ comment was what awakened me. Didn’t find out till later that Elon had virtually nothing to do with Paypal as we now know it and that he didn’t found Tesla. He’s gotten where he has with a series of corporate coups.

  28. Cud Chewer says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:50 pm

    Recon

    Don’t be a fanboy. Watch the videos, then tell me what you think.
    ________________
    I will. get back to you tomorrow.

  29. Cud Chewer says:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 4:00 pm

    Sceptic

    Yes the ‘pedo guy’ comment was what awakened me. Didn’t find out till later that Elon had virtually nothing to do with Paypal as we now know it and that he didn’t found Tesla. He’s gotten where he has with a series of corporate coups.
    _________________
    Cud, as far as I know it his company merged with PayPal. And Tesla was basically a garage and a few enthusiasts when he took it over. Even the original founders are amazed at what he has done with it.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eblPwXFb7TE

  30. I also fault Elon for buying into the Mars colonisation delusion. This has made it nearly impossible to have sensible discussions about realustic Mars exploration missions. Elon has a cult.

  31. guytaursays:
    Thursday, June 24, 2021 at 3:22 pm

    “Billionaires are monsters. There are no exceptions.”

    You are an almost complete waste of oxygen. Is this your stupidness level on maximum or is there more?

  32. Rex
    “Gloomy drum beat out of Canberra today. Word is The Australian’s ace columnist Niki Savva has quit and will file no more for that publication. Sad.— Dennis Atkins (@dwabriz) June 24, 2021”

    With Alan Kohler also having just left The Rupertarian, there are now very few credible journalists left at all. Laura Tingle has also left the AFR. The discerning won’t care, but it seems clear those who value their professional reputation are going, even when there is not much to go to.

  33. I think one of Elon’s problems is in regard to some of his tweets. People need to know if , when making tweets, he is also ………………………….

  34. @joshgnosis tweets
    The health department said Greg Hunt would table reports on the operation and effectiveness of the Covidsafe app in the winter sitting period…which ends in an hour… No report tabled yet.

  35. Socrates at 4:06 pm
    Heading down the Sky Gnus path. Dwindling numbers until all that are left are nutter ideologues who nowhere else to go.

  36. Buce

    I know it makes you butthurt to acknowledge the hurt accumulating wealth inflicts on people but it’s true.

    Ignoring that makes billionaires monsters.

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