Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

Further improvement in Scott Morrison’s personal ratings, but otherwise little change in the latest Newspoll.

Courtesy of The Australian, Newspoll has the Coalition leading 51-49 on two-party preferred, unchanged on three weeks ago, from primary votes of Coalition 43% (steady), Labor 36% (up one), Greens 11% (steady) and One Nation 2% (down one, and their weakest result since at least the 2019 election). Scott Morrison is up two on approval to 66% and down two on disapproval to 30%, while Anthony Albanese is up one to 44% and up two to 41%, with Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister out from 58-29 to 60-28. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1511.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

915 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

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  1. Torchbearer @ #204 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 11:46 am

    Q: right and a duty to call out egregious human rights abuses in Hong Kong, Xinjiang…..

    OK, lets get real…..does ANYONE think Morrison is motivated by his visceral concern over the Muslims of Xinjiang? HK sure, but to think he would stick his neck out for the Muslims of Xinjiang, even when the Islamic word has been relatively quiet is a stretch.
    His outrage is directed at a domestic audience, and the LNPs blind reverence of the military.

    Who the fuck cares what Morrison’s motivations are!?! Don’t try and triangulate this issue through an Anti Morrison political lens. That also plays into the hands of the Chinese to put the focus on HIM and not THEM.

  2. poroti @ #194 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 11:34 am

    Non

    Western Australia is very trade-exposed to China.

    The ‘Ginas’ and ‘Twiggys’ will be very nervous, no wonder…..
    .
    Trade experts slam China photo, but resources silent

    Trade experts slam ‘deranged’ China photo, but WA’s peak resources body declined to comment on the ramifications.
    https://thewest.com.au/business/trade/trade-experts-slam-deranged-china-photo-but-wa-resources-leaders-silent-on-ramifications-for-industry-ng-b881735033z

    I hope they suffer a very painful erosion of their fortunes. Most especially Xi’s quisling, Andrew Forrest.

  3. poroti
    “Drawing a very long bow there. The Middle Kingdom is from 3,000 years ago. Every large kingdom back then would have thought of themselves the ‘centre’ or “middle” of the world.:

    No argument there. Nonetheless, the name of modern China in Mandarin is ‘Zhong-guo’, meaning literally Middle Kingdom (or Country).

  4. Q; Who the fuck cares what Morrison’s motivations are…… anyone who wants our international relations to be conducted in an effective and responsible manner. If they are being conducted for base political purposes, and not for the interests of our nation that is vitally important.

  5. It is a difficult situation which the corrupt foreign owned and controlled Morrison and his propaganda media units cronies has put Australia in.

    The libs/nats propaganda media units are falsely claiming Australia has been transparent on the war crimes , and are holding these people to account.

    It is not helping, because nothing happen to those who sent Australia to the illegal war in Iraq on a lie , Howard should have been sacked with his libs/nat government and punish for lying and sending Australians to a country where they had no right to be.

  6. Torchbearer @ #597 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 7:39 am

    I love all the latest justifications why our murder , torture and inhumanity are in the OK/ acceptable/ explain away barrel, but China’s are all in the unacceptable barrel.

    I don’t think anyone is saying that, the difference comes down to the Government sanctioning of it.

    In the case of Afghanistan, it’s clear that, while the Government tried to sweep it under the carpet, they were certainly not directing the actions.

  7. “And people like Sohar et al who are trying to equate Australia with China are trying to compare a mountain to a molehill.”
    Did I say Australia and China are the same? All I said was Australia lost the right to lecture anyone because it lost the respect of the world community a while ago (Aboriginals, refugees, Climate). I would have thought the moral views of New Zealand would carry far more weight than Australia’s on the world stage.

  8. Sohar @ #606 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 7:51 am

    “murderous behaviour of rogue soldiers”
    Why did the Australian government attempt to suppress information about these crimes by ‘rogue’ soldiers being made public? Successive Australian government have been complicit in these vile acts. Why does the Liberal party select military people accused of war crimes for public office?

    Andrew Hastie was in the SAS and served in Afghanistan.

    From February to July 2013, Hastie was deployed to Afghanistan as an SASR officer with Special Operations Task Group Rotation XIX, largely targeting Taliban forces in partnership with other Afghan forces. His unit was awarded a Meritorious Unit Citation in the 2015 Australia Day honours.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Hastie

  9. So, it wasn’t Government directed, it was just some Australian Defense Forces in a foreign country deciding to arbitrarily kill people” ….. this is convenient spin and it would not been seen like that to foreign countries.
    Defense Forces represent our country full stop. We dont have the Rogue ADF and the regular ADF!

  10. Kakaru
    Officially , since 1949, Zhonghua Renmin Gonghe Guo -中华人民共和国 . Supposedly “People’s Republic of China” but I did see one place that said the literal translation is “middle glorious people’s republican country”
    .
    Having fun with google translate with the pictograms by adding one at a time i got
    中 = In
    中华- China
    中华人-Chinese
    中华人民 – People of China
    中华人民共 -Chinese People’s Communist Party
    中华人民共和国-People’s Republic of China

  11. @BelindaJones68
    ·
    5m
    Amazing how the technology exists for
    @ScottMorrisonMP
    to virtually attend the Teddy Sheean Victoria Cross Ceremony, yet last week General Angus Campbell stood alone & faced media about Afghanistan atrocities, PM was nowhere to be seen.

    It’s all about the photo op

  12. Torchbearer @ #661 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 9:10 am

    So, it wasn’t Government directed, it was just some Australian Defense Forces in a foreign country deciding to arbitrarily kill people” ….. this is convenient spin and it would not been seen like that to foreign countries.
    Defense Forces represent our country full stop. We dont have the Rogue ADF and the regular ADF!

    Yes, we do.

    And those responsible are being dealt with.

    An important question is how far up the knowledge of those acts went!

  13. “rogue soldiers”, another version of the traditional “a few bad apples” that gets rolled out to protect institutions caught being norty.

  14. Sohar
    “Did I say Australia and China are the same? All I said was Australia lost the right to lecture anyone because it lost the respect of the world community a while ago”

    So we just STFU then. Pro-democracy activists in Hong Kong get thrown in jail, but Australia should remain silent because we’re not perfect either?

  15. Lenore Taylor
    @lenoretaylor
    ·
    1m
    Apparently Joel Fitzgibbon argued in caucus that Labor’s default should be to oppose crossbench bills – would have thought seriously considering them on their merits was a more reasonable approach, but there you go… Australian politics live

    This bloke rivals the worst sitting MP’s ever to con their way into the parliament.

  16. Barney
    “In the case of Afghanistan, it’s clear that, while the Government tried to sweep it under the carpet, they were certainly not directing the actions.”

    Yes.

  17. “You’re a hypocrite so shut up” or wtte is the line that the Coalition and their backers in the media routinely trot out to silence or dismiss Labor’s criticism of the government.

    By the way, it works, and so we end up with a government that is never held to account.

    We seem to live in a world which holds to a sytem of mutual destruction of accountability and avoidance of change rather than one where we mutually hold each other to account and work on fixing our poor behaviours.

    Australia’s best response would be to acknowledge our failures, work on addressing and provide redress for them, and then say “we’re doing our bit, how about you?”

  18. Rex Douglas says:
    Tuesday, December 1, 2020 at 12:19 pm
    Lenore Taylor
    @lenoretaylor
    ·
    1m
    Apparently Joel Fitzgibbon argued in caucus that Labor’s default should be to oppose crossbench bills – would have thought seriously considering them on their merits was a more reasonable approach, but there you go… Australian politics live

    This bloke rivals the worst sitting MP’s ever to con their way into the parliament.

    He is proposing to use the Bob Brown/Tony Abbott method….give the other guys nothing at all for as long as possible. The politics of intransigent refusal….works well for the Liberals and their shotguns.

  19. Labor caucus has finished – and of most interest was a debate on a Rex Patrick bill to give parliament the power to revoke judges’ pensions if they engage in “serious misconduct” while a judge.

    Recent backbencher Joel Fitzgibbon spoke up against the bill.

    An independent investigation found that Heydon had sexually harassed six junior court staff – he’s not been charged with anything but it’s the sort of conduct that parliament could use to revoke a pension.

    Fitzgibbon’s contribution went down like a lead balloon, with female MPs upset and others describing it outside the meeting as tone deaf.

    In caucus, several spoke in favour of the bill – including one that said it is important to stand against poor treatment of women; and another explaining it is the “right thing to do” to further equality.

  20. “So we just STFU then. Pro-democracy activists in Hong Kong get thrown in jail, but Australia should remain silent because we’re not perfect either?”
    Many worthy countries condemned China for Hong Kong and the persecution of the Muslim minority in China. However, Australia was the only country to take Trump’s brain farts on China seriously, and carry them out. That’s the difference.

  21. Kakuru @ #667 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 11:18 am

    So we just STFU then. Pro-democracy activists in Hong Kong get thrown in jail, but Australia should remain silent because we’re not perfect either?

    Well, we STFU insofar as loudly demanding apologies for pictures posted on Twitter is concerned. And make sure we actually address the issues alluded to by those pictures (and our inhumane treatment of asylum seekers, which seems to have disappeared as a thing lately).

    Beyond that, I don’t think anyone is saying we can’t criticize China for their legitimate wrongs.

  22. There are many tens of thousands of workers in WA who rely, one way or another, on unimpeded trade with China. The State budget is substantially reliant on mineral royalties related to the China trade, as indeed is the Federal budget.

    This has been put in jeopardy by Morrison and his Liberal predecessors, who have shown nothing but indifference to the economic and other welfare interests of this State. To gratify partisan prejudice, Morrison has put the country’s economic interests in peril. He is an absolute idiot. He has aroused the very worst in the Australian psyche – the xenophobes and the jingoists – without any apparent forethought whatsoever.

    Not so deep down, the Liberal Party has always been suspicious of China. They see the betterment of relations with China as a Labor project. It’s a project they’ve been prepared to sacrifice to their own vanity. This is a fuck up. Morrison should go. He has placed us in a completely untenable position.

  23. Distraction for Lizzie.

    My wife would get lost in audio books but as a momentary series of thoughts please consider the following.

    In the first blink after the “Big Bang” annihilation of particle and anti-particle occurred leaving the Universe as observed today.

    Logically ( ❓ ) one could assume that, considering the multiverse theory there will be Universes where the balance tipped in favour of ant- particles.

    What would happen if two universes such as described (particle/anti-particle) collided?

    In particular Heaven in this best of all possible Universes is located

    Across the bridge.
    Over the rainbow.
    The other side of the wall.

    The commonly held understanding that within heaven is an area bounded (girt if you will) by a high wall. This is said to be where Roman Catholics reside serene in the certain sure knowledge that this little corner is all there is of Heaven.

    One could assume that in an anti-particle universe Heaven wall enclosed area would be anti-Catholics.

    What, I now ask you, would happen when, during the merging of the annihilating merging of Universes, the two Heavens met 😕

    Possibility – a small remnant of either particle Catholic or ant-particle Catholic would survive becoming, maybe, a forever Phantom Zone.

    Re reading – I note no area for possible confusion.

    In the meanwhile – think green or blue and everlasting freedom from malicious bullshit.

    Peace be with you. 😇

    P.S. If the above seem in any way a reasonable exposition – please seek assistance – I gratefully acknowledge the posting re the following by other Poll Bludgers –

    P.P.S. I often think that dogs may be the best part of humanity.🐕

  24. @BelindaJones68
    ·
    58s
    OMG now Pauline Hanson is addressing the Senate on Australia-China relations

    It’s not gonna end well but I suppose she couldn’t do any worse than Morrison did yesterday

    This China thing is only gonna get worse with undiplomatic dropkicks like these mouthing off

  25. One of the underlying ideas that inform the choice of a PM is that of “safe hands”….that the occupant should be fundamentally reliable and sound in their judgments. Abbott failed because he demonstrably unsafe, even in the eyes of his own party. Morrison has shown several times now that he’s also “unsafe”.

    His judgements in relation to the bush fires, covid, quarantine and China all produce examples of his basic incompetence. If his stupidity registers with the coal provinces in Queensland and the export facing resources outfits in WA, then he will be suitably rewarded for his idiocy.

  26. Non
    Thats my feeling too. I heard there was 500,000 jobs reliant on China in this country. I think Morrison just shouldnt engage with China on this level. Just ignore them.He just cant help himself trying to be a big man though.

  27. It would be a great joy if the coal-minded voters of Queensland were to turn against Morrison because he failed to manage his own conduct in relation to China.

  28. Puppy news.

    I distracted myself by paying all my monthly bills. Now things are looking up. Rowley the Cavalier walked very slowly into the garden and did both whoopsy and wees. He then ate a tiny bowl of rice/milk, so he’s not feeling nauseous. I’ll still take him to the vet.

  29. Spray.

    Liverpool LGA still listed as an area for increased tesing.

    Surveilance report for week ended 21st Nov lists detections in sewage in Liverpool, Moss Vale, North Head and Batemans Bay.

  30. Steve777 @ #677 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 12:36 pm

    If you don’t travel much and rarely go to big crowded events things have been near normal in NSW for a while.

    Agree Steve, we’ve breezed through this whole thing in our part of Sydney.

    But some of my offspring live in Perth, so the easing of WA border restrictions is a big deal for us. Just booked the flights. Thank you Mr McGowan, I think you timed it pretty well.

  31. DisplayName @ #225 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 12:20 pm

    “You’re a hypocrite so shut up” or wtte is the line that the Coalition and their backers in the media routinely trot out to silence or dismiss Labor’s criticism of the government.

    By the way, it works, and so we end up with a government that is never held to account.

    We seem to live in a world which holds to a sytem of mutual destruction of accountability and avoidance of change rather than one where we mutually hold each other to account and work on fixing our poor behaviours.

    Australia’s best response would be to acknowledge our failures, work on addressing and provide redress for them, and then say “we’re doing our bit, how about you?”

    Exactly.

  32. The impending relaxation of travel to WA is very welcome in my family. Four members of the extended family from both sides of the country and in between are gravely ill. A fifth also died just a couple of months ago. The prospects of our loved ones are really very poor and this has been made much more difficult for us all by the obstacles to travel. MacGowan was right to close the borders. He’s right to open them up again. It can’t come too soon for us.

  33. “Nice promos of Amy MacMahon, hands on hips.”

    ***

    Not energetic enough for you? Try this then lol…

    “Oh What a Feeling, South Brisbane!”

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