More affairs of state

More evidence of a tight contest looming in Queensland while Mark McGowan reigns supreme in Western Australia; and a parliamentary committee in Victoria kicks the upper house electoral reform can down the road.

Not every state this time, but half:

Victoria

The Victorian parliament’s electoral matters committee has tabled the report of its inquiry into the 2018 state election, of which the greatest item of interest is a full chapter devoted to reform of the upper house electoral system. Together with Western Australia, Victoria is the last hold-out of the group voting ticket system that is electing ever-increasing numbers of preference-harvesting micro-party candidates. This reached a new height at the 2018 election, at which parties other than the Coalition, Labor and the Greens won 10 out of the 40 seats in the Legislative Council, including two elected with less than 1% of the vote. However, the report recommended only that a further parliamentary inquiry be held into the matter. The report also recommends no change to the two-week period for pre-polling, which the Liberals and Nationals called to be shortened.

Queensland

Polling of the marginal state seats of Currumbin, Mansfield and Aspley by YouGov for the Australian Conservation Foundation shows a combined two-party result of 52-48 for Labor, compared with an almost exact 50-50 for these three seats in 2017. The primary votes are Labor 37%, LNP 37%, Greens 10%, One Nation 4% and 10% don’t know, compared with 2017 election results of Labor 41.2%, LNP 38.4%, Greens 10.6% and One Nation 8.5%. The poll was conducted from August 17-19 and targeted 200 respondents in each of the three electorates.

Western Australia

A poll for The West Australian by Painted Dog Research showed Mark McGowan with an approval rating at 91%, up four from an already stratospheric result in June. Support for the state’s border closure was at 92%, up from 89% in May. The poll was conducted from a sample of 837, with field work dates not provided.

Northern Territory

As related in the dedicated post, the CLP sneaked home in an eighth seat in the Northern Territory election as the count concluded last night, producing a final result of Labor 14, CLP eight, Territory Alliance one and independents two.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,560 comments on “More affairs of state”

  1. Lizzie

    “Australian epidemiologist working in Sweden tweeted “wish I was back in Melb” we have 100,000 post covid patients on extended sick leave coping with the ongoing symptoms”

    Our PM is called “Scotty from Marketing” not “Scotty from Epidemiology” and with good reason. We don’t call him “Scotty from the Ethics Centre” either.

  2. The latest MAGA fashion accessory :

    Face masks with a gun pocket is the new right-wing couture

    The latest in right-wing couture is a coronavirus mask with a pocket for your handgun.

    While some open-carry holders prefer a safe holster on their hip or a hidden ankle strap, a new fashion statement is upon gun-lovers. The gun pocket on your face mask can help show people that you not only believe the coronavirus is real and care about others, but you’re also willing to shoot anyone who bothers you about it.

    https://www.rawstory.com/2020/09/face-masks-with-a-gun-pocket-is-the-new-right-wing-couture/

  3. If the two clowns we keep seeing (O’Brien and Smith?) are reflective of the standard of opposition in Victoria, I think Labor can plan on a couple of more terms in office there.

  4. Dan Andrews has shown dedication, commitment and genuine leadership in the face of a hostile and clueless state Liberal Party opposition and more recently by the likes PM Morrison lecturing the Victorian Premier about how to do his job. Its time Morrison gave more attention to providing genuine and supportive leadership to Andrews instead of singing the same song of his Victorian resident Liberal critics and of course the predictable anti Labor bile from the “Herald Sun” and past his use by date Andrew Bolt.

  5. Spray
    I believe some countries give up,when numbers exceed 50 new cases a day for that reason. The fact that when Victoria was trying to get on top of this initially they didn’t know the initial wave came from hotel quarantine made it much more difficult than the NSW experience. They were starting blind and working backward, NSW knew to start at the hotel,and work forward much easier.
    I also think NSW is sitting on a knife edge, they are doing well but it will only take one super spreader in the wrong place and they might find its not so easy. Colac went from one case to 24 in a week, and they were under stage three restrictions. Mind you knowing Colac I am not surprised.

  6. phoenixRED @ #1202 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 12:26 pm

    The latest MAGA fashion accessory :

    Face masks with a gun pocket is the new right-wing couture

    The latest in right-wing couture is a coronavirus mask with a pocket for your handgun.

    While some open-carry holders prefer a safe holster on their hip or a hidden ankle strap, a new fashion statement is upon gun-lovers. The gun pocket on your face mask can help show people that you not only believe the coronavirus is real and care about others, but you’re also willing to shoot anyone who bothers you about it.

    ” rel=”nofollow”>

    https://www.rawstory.com/2020/09/face-masks-with-a-gun-pocket-is-the-new-right-wing-couture/

    And now watch Darwin take its course.

    Shaking head emoji.

  7. I see the government has announced its plan to deal with the crisis in corporate executive bonuses, which have been so threatened by the economic slowdown from Liberal policy and Covid19. This hydrogen plan, the Hindenberg Plan, on top of jobkeeper payments, should ensure that all relevant gas, construction and finance industry executives will achieve their bonus targets in the 2020/21 financial year. It will achieve nothing else.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/enormous-opportunities-nsw-s-green-economic-recovery-from-covid-19-20200906-p55srz.html

  8. In SA it’s dead set easy to manage registration….

    I was trying to be polite. I am sure the system is the same in other states. You just need to register for autopayment.

    If you dont want to have an autopayment, you can use your online banking on the day you get the reminder notice… but set the date of payment for the due date on that notice.

    I learnt the hard way. Got pinged with my second car – parked in a quiet street (hadnt been driven for the entire time it was unregistered). I argued my way out of the fine but decided the fine was too big to risk it happening again and went straight to autopayment. It was a surprisingly large weight off the shoulders.

  9. Assantdj
    What’s the matter with Colac that makes you not surprised. Deplorables are they ?
    Inner city elites seem to think Victoria stops at the Westgate.

  10. Victoria
    I agree I believe Andrews to be smart, compassionate, principled, across his brief and extremely hard working. He is everything you want in a leader. I also think throw enough mud and some sticks.
    The decision to recontest his seat will ultimately be his and he may want to stay to rebuild the state economy. He may also think that new blood will be better able to do that, and because he is principled and as he said today he makes the hard decisions not the easy popular ones.

    As for the Prime Ministers day coming, he is rat cunning and he will some how come out of this looking fine. Karma happens just not necessarily as soon as I’d like.

  11. Oh! Hang on. Do you still need to donate to your mechanics Christmas bonus and have your car inspected in NSW prior to rego? I forgot about that.

  12. Assantdj @ #1207 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 2:47 pm

    Victoria
    I agree I believe Andrews to be smart, compassionate, principled, across his brief and extremely hard working. He is everything you want in a leader. I also think throw enough mud and some sticks.
    The decision to recontest his seat will ultimately be his and he may want to stay to rebuild the state economy. He may also think that new blood will be better able to do that, and because he is principled and as he said today he makes the hard decisions not the easy popular ones.

    As for the Prime Ministers day coming, he is rat cunning and he will some how come out of this looking fine. Karma happens just not necessarily as soon as I’d like.

    Shorter version.
    Scrooter comes out sticking like a rose.
    Dan doesn’t.

    The rat cunning thing stymies Labor over and over again.
    With Scrooter’s ilk it’s all or nothing.

  13. Simon Katich @ #1210 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 12:41 pm

    In SA it’s dead set easy to manage registration….

    I was trying to be polite. I am sure the system is the same in other states. You just need to register for autopayment.

    If you dont want to have an autopayment, you can use your online banking on the day you get the reminder notice… but set the date of payment for the due date on that notice.

    I learnt the hard way. Got pinged with my second car – parked in a quiet street (hadnt been driven for the entire time it was unregistered). I argued my way out of the fine but decided the fine was too big to risk it happening again and went straight to autopayment. It was a surprisingly large weight off the shoulders.

    I only notice I get for the equivalent to council rates is when they stop picking up my rubbish. 🙂

  14. Taylormade
    I worked in Colac for a number of years and found it frustrating to say the least. It is one of those it’s not what you know but who you know places that is somewhat averse to change. I lived the first 35 years of my life in Victoria and moved around a fair bit, never lived in Melbourne it was just a nice place to visit.
    My daughter maintains contact with the friends she made whilst going to school there and let’s say some of the stories do not reflect well on the town.

  15. Labor is just going to sit on the sidelines and wait for this administration or the next or the one after that to run out of puff…..as their patron saint Steve Bradbury watches over them.

  16. Robert @ #1200 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 2:28 pm

    Dan Andrews has shown dedication, commitment and genuine leadership in the face of a hostile and clueless state Liberal Party opposition and more recently by the likes PM Morrison lecturing the Victorian Premier about how to do his job. Its time Morrison gave more attention to providing genuine and supportive leadership to Andrews instead of singing the same song of his Victorian resident Liberal critics and of course the predictable anti Labor bile from the “Herald Sun” and past his use by date Andrew Bolt.

    Dan Andrews ain’t going to survive this.
    Blind Freddie can see it coming.

  17. ABC afternoon News….’the Prime minister has delivered a stong crtitique of Victorian premiers plan…’ and on it goes.

    Dan is a dead duck.
    It’s not fair but with no help from Albanese he’s out there on his own.
    Where’s the passion.
    The rage.
    The enthusiasm.
    The confidence.
    The fight.
    The guts.

    What’s happened to Labor?

  18. Mundo

    What’s there to survive?
    If we can get to a near normal for 2021 whilst we wait for a vaccine, it will be a good outcome
    You do realise we are in a pandemic and despite every state managing things.
    Restrictions and business as usual is not occurring anywhere
    Morrison and co can pretend all they like, a reckoning is coming

  19. Victoria
    My concern is the current Prime Minister will jump ship, to something more lucrative and the Liberals will endorse another leader. Depending on the current circumstances of the time they will pick whoever gives them the best chance of beating Labor especially if they time this to disrupt whatever campaign the Labor party is prosecuting.
    It is their strategy for staying in power, Abbott had to go he was hated. Turnbull was more moderate and thus electable. The current PM was a marketing whizz and able to win the race, not on policies or past success but on a new start and spin.
    Time will tell, I’m just losing hope.

  20. zoomster
    Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 2:15 pm
    Comment #1186

    His personal ratings skyrocketed in the early days of the pandemic, and have come down since, but they’re still at levels most pollies would sell their souls for.

    For many this would involve a second mortgage. Noting Lizzies last post, also applies to pseudo journalists.

  21. Assantdj @ #1218 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 3:05 pm

    Victoria
    My concern is the current Prime Minister will jump ship, to something more lucrative and the Liberals will endorse another leader. Depending on the current circumstances of the time they will pick whoever gives them the best chance of beating Labor especially if they time this to disrupt whatever campaign the Labor party is prosecuting.
    It is their strategy for staying in power, Abbott had to go he was hated. Turnbull was more moderate and thus electable. The current PM was a marketing whizz and able to win the race, not on policies or past success but on a new start and spin.
    Time will tell, I’m just losing hope.

    Mundo recommends losing hope asap.
    Get it over and done with.
    And venting makes it better.

  22. Operators are frustrated by delays to a federal government domestic violence grants program when welfare payments are also being cut back.

    The story of the Morrison Coalition government.

    Promise big. Deliver little to nothing at all.

  23. Colac used to be full of thieves years back.
    We had a weekend hobby farm & ended up selling due to thefts.
    The police said it was a terrible problem.
    Things may have changed.
    Very pretty around Beauchamps.

  24. C@tmomma
    As with all of the Prime Ministers announcements all talk no action.
    Today’s announcement of the vaccine is already being called into question, the only way that timeline will be met is to reduce safety and testing. It’s another announceable to look as if you are in control whilst you sit and twiddle your thumbs.

  25. I hope Dan Andrews is saving up a massive serve for Morrison for the day he announces his retirement after this is over.
    And I mean tearing him a brand new arsehole.

  26. Assantdj @ #1237 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 3:19 pm

    C@tmomma
    As with all of the Prime Ministers announcements all talk no action.
    Today’s announcement of the vaccine is already being called into question, the only way that timeline will be met is to reduce safety and testing. It’s another announceable to look as if you are in control whilst you sit and twiddle your thumbs.

    And it’ll work a treat.

  27. Mundo,
    Where’s Albo, What a good question.

    Surely there’s not actually that much ALP stuff going on that Albo can’t find his way to Tweet or call or speak to someone about something like a fair go for all the Victorians who are going to get pushed off jobkeeper at the same time the lockdown’s been extended.

  28. I think some posters have given little thought to the power of being perceived as the “ underdog “.

    Being pressured by the federal government ( and that is how the media will conflate it in their rush to show how tough Morrison is ), hounded by business and attacked constantly by a disgraceful MSM may well blow back onto those throwing the shit.

    Not being a Victorian I will leave any deeper analysis to those posters with skin in the game but to an outsider such as I it is , I ponder, possible Andrews could actually benefit from the ongoing pile on which clearly will continue day after day even as the numbers decline.

    Whatever the outcome I do think it is a bit early for all the hand wringing from the usual suspects here. Never unestimate your average Victorian.

    Cheers.

  29. I would suspect the upcoming unemployment statistics to be released within the next week or so will show a turn for the worse.

    Not a good time to be reducing jobkeeper and jobseeker.

  30. Doyley

    Andrews is getting support from around Australia.

    From people who don’t normally support Labor as well.

    This includes and of course is not limited to all who support science.
    In fact the Murdoch media is taking great credibility damage. Soon their credibility will be worse than that of that Melbourne institution of old The Truth.

    Business as well is doing itself no favours for the upcoming tax cuts battle.

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