As related by The Australian, the third Newspoll since the fall is unchanged on the second, conducted three weeks ago, in showing the Coalition with a two-party lead of 51-49. The primary votes are Coalition 43% (41.4% at the election), Labor 35% (33.4%), Greens 12% (10.4%) and One Nation 5% (3.1%, although they did not contest every seat at the election). All four are up a point compared with the previous poll, reflected in a four point drop in “others” to 5%. I’m struggling to identify the last time Newspoll had the Greens at 12% – certainly not at any point in the last term (UPDATE: It was in March 2016).
Scott Morrison is up a point on approval to 49%, after dropping three points last time, and his disapproval is up three to 39%, which is still three down on the first poll after the election. Anthony Albanese records a net negative rating for the first time, being down six on approval to 35% (after gaining two last time), and up six on disapproval to 40% (after dropping two last time). Morrison’s preferred prime minister lead is reportedly at 20%, compared with 18% last time, although the exact numbers are not yet provided (UPDATE: Morrison’s lead has increased from 48-30 to 48-28).
The poll comes with a glimmer of improved transparency, in that we are told exactly how many respondents came from its online survey (956) and automated phone poll (705) components. It was conducted from Thursday to Sunday.
BK @ #98 Monday, September 9th, 2019 – 7:43 am
That make sense to me.
C@tmomma says:
Monday, September 9, 2019 at 9:28 am
So Lambie’s condition for blocking the legislation is wrong as I said at the beginning.
Diogenes @ #94 Monday, September 9th, 2019 – 9:40 am
I think the Ensuring Integrity Bill is immoral but it will be legal if Lambie votes for it. 😐
Everyone needs to read Lizzie’s post about Lambie’s last presser.
I am opposed to the demonising of unemployed people. The truth is we have an unemployment rate because of simple mathematics.
More people than jobs. Punishing people because of those numbers is just stupidity. Its not their fault. No matter what the religion says. Be that moral or economic religion. The numbers are clear.
Edit: Also make it clear to Lambie that demonisation just makes it harder for parents to reach their children to get them into rehabilitation and away from drugs.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #101 Monday, September 9th, 2019 – 9:50 am
That’s your personal opinion. Why? A circuit breaker which provides a fast track to getting Setka to stand down may not get your approval but it seems as though Setka’s former deputy might agree with me rather than you. I forget his name, but he had had enough of Setka and so resigned his position.
If Lambie’s stance achieves the blocking of the Ensuring Integrity Bill AND the removal of Setka, whom even the head of the ACTU has called on to resign, then that’s the best outcome I can think of.
Guytaur, further to your point that Number of jobs < Number of potential employees….
It's Gov't policy that this is so.
The RBA is explicitly instructed to maintain an unemployment rate of at least 4.5%
It's no accident that people are unemployed, and it's certainly not their fault.
I repeat, it's Gov't policy.
Just as it's Gov't policy to demonise and persecute them.
Essential for those eking out an existence on low wages to feel superior to those on NewStart. If we raise NewStart then it will create a new wage floor for part-time workers, and upset the balance.
Cat
The best outcome is Setka gone and no Indue Card. Lambie blocking anti union legislation because it attacks human rights of freedom of assembly.
What we get could be different. Reality is like that but be under no illusion of what is the best outcome.
Does Sarah Henderson immediately take her place in the Senate? I assume there are certain formalities to go through.
I was unaware of this prelude to the East Timor spying. Hard to justify if you want to be seen as a good Global citizen.
But then again, we are talking about the Liberals.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/sep/09/crossbench-senator-pushes-to-fix-shameful-historic-wrong-against-timor-leste
@GGeoffwitha tweets
Dear PM @ScottMorrisonMP
Pride & Punishment.
You proudly show how much you want to hurt the poor and weak.
No to the #backtobilo family.
#IndueCard for the poor.
Costs $10,000 per card to the taxpayer.
But keep sending $16,000,000 per day of tax refund to non-taxpayers. #auspol
I sometimes think that TV shows from every other developed country, which talk about Human Rights such as Freedom of Speech and Feedom of Assembly, should come with a warning that Australians have no such rights.
lizzie says:
Monday, September 9, 2019 at 10:07 am
The last step is for it to be approved by the Victorian parliament.
Thanks Barney.
So weeks after the election – status quo – kind of………. A government which does not have a policy to bless itself with, other than concentrate on “What Labor will do…if….” and an opposition, to all intents and purposes, missing in action……………
Interesting the West newspaper is now regularly reporting Newspoll………..with, of course, the same emphasis as the Oz newspaper….that being the increase in the PV for the LNP and the LOTO falling a long way behind in the ‘better PM’ race.
All this from a poll that got it so wrong for three years and still with a tiny sample………….
Maude Lynn
There is a reason why Labor should always fight for human rights.
That poem from the Nazi era is part of the reason of why Doc Evatt was so prominent in his role with the UN and the Declaration of Universal Human Rights.
First they came for the Gays. Then they came for the Jews. Then they came for the Catholics. Then they came for the Unionists. Then they came for me and no one was left to help me.
The Indue card breaches Article 1 of the UN Declaration of Human Rights.
https://www.un.org/en/universal-declaration-human-rights/
Cummins and Smith are top notch. But Nadal is truly great. At 33, he is on the cusp of winning his 19th major.. in a 5 setter.
Simon Katich @ #118 Monday, September 9th, 2019 – 10:49 am
He’s come back from serious, potentially career-limiting injury as well.
Although, at 33, he’s still a young pup compared to the incomparable Roger Federer. Let’s see if he’s still winning majors at the same age Federer won his last one. 🙂
IMO, Federer is a pretty boy and one of the luckiest players on the tour. Time and again on crucial points he seems to rely on luck. But yes, a great of the game.
Medvedev not giving up without a fight. Pushing Nadal all the way.
The latest word on Setka. He is under pressure as those occupying the offices of the unionbuilding, including the national office have moved in an action to distance themselves.
The union has now lost this big revenue stream.
Setka is stubbornly hanging on and there is the belief now that unless he departs stage left, He is bringing down the union with him.
Divided Nation say no to ICAC.
Under their logic the Courts will soon be abolished.
The Guardian blog
For Dio and OC and other surgical snobs, really and truly, what’s the matter with you people. Liking musicals is a potential job stopper? I know a brilliant surgeon who actually likes Andrea Bocelli. I know of another who knows bugger all about the Adrenal Gland and its physiology.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8MEjKeIxirs
Never seen a great Cabaret? Chicago? Kiss of the Spider Woman? Sunday in the Park with George? Jesus Christ Superstar? Rocky Horror? Sweeney Todd?
Loosen up guys. Appointment committees are serious stuff, not clone filters.
I don’t care at all for cricket, but I was enthralled with this Ashes series.
We can surprise ourselves sometimes!
ItzaDream
I got the impression that it was the generation gap that was the problem.
“Bernardi has not yet responded to Guardian Australia’s request for clarity on his position, but we will keep you posted. ”
Will Bernardi back Labor and the Greens? Yeah, I’m on the edge of my seat… 😛
That Dignity in Article 1 of the UN Human Rights Charter is of course the reason why we should have Social Security. A Liveable Wage.
Self Determination is part of human dignity and rights. The Indue card is a direct attack on this fundamental right. It takes away self determination.
Like any good advertising guru, Scott practises and refines his slogans in private before going public.
Slightly more apocalyptic skies today than last couple, with windy smoke filled sky over NE NSW, for the 4th day. Kind of lucky current conditions are cooler than friday for these fires right now. About 100,000 hectares burnt so far in 3 still out of control fires from around Ebor to Drake and now around Yamba. Watch and act only because not directly impacting villages or towns currently, just national parks, forests, wildlife.
Aside from being cooler today’s wind and smoke seem to add up to a continuing difficult situation for residents and RFS, even many kms away visibility is low, aroma of fire in the air. Same for those just over border as well. Barely water to use for fighting fires as well.
Clarence river stopped running around this area last summer, at least never seen in any local living persons memory before.
Fire weather on PB
Climate and ecological emergency? nothing to see here.
Quoll
Well, that’s OK then. 🙁
Unfortunately there is no way Bernardi will back a Federal ICAC.
Guytaur,
Re: Human rights – I could not agree more.
I first came across Doc Evatt when I found a book by him on my grandfather’s bookshelf called “Australian Labour Leader – the story of WA Holman and the Labour Movement”
A great man.
Edited book name
Also, 51 / 49 is not exactly a Newspoll that the Government should feel good about.
All it will take is for one of the major media outlets to break ranks with the Government love-in and Labor could easily become competitive.
My best hope for this is Channel 10 / CBS. They do not have as much (if anything) invested in maintaining a Coalition government.
One Nation squibbed the final senate vote on a federal ICAC – probably after Larissa Waters exposed their stupid stance for what it was.
Simon Katich @ #120 Monday, September 9th, 2019 – 10:59 am
Roger couldn’t help being born with great genes as well as immense tennis talent! 😆
And if you saw his Aus Open win a couple of years ago, and his campaign this year where he almost got there again, you could only conclude that the guy is capable of tennis magic, match after match after match, all the way to the final. That’s a long haul.
Also, it was observed that, up until recently, Federer had been virtually injury-free and so didn’t suffer the setbacks many other top players, like Nadal, have.
lizzie @ #130 Monday, September 9th, 2019 – 11:37 am
Isn’t Quoll a Green? 😆
ItzaDream says:
Monday, September 9, 2019 at 11:05 am
For Dio and OC and other surgical snobs, really and truly, what’s the matter with you people. Liking musicals is a potential job stopper? I know a brilliant surgeon who actually likes Andrea Bocelli. I know of another who knows bugger all about the Adrenal Gland and its physiology.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8MEjKeIxirs
Never seen a great Cabaret? Chicago? Kiss of the Spider Woman? Sunday in the Park with George? Jesus Christ Superstar? Rocky Horror? Sweeney Todd?
——————————————————
And not to mention, for us really oldies, Rodgers and Hart’s The Boys from Syracuse, Cole Porter’s Kiss Me Kate and Kismet (with apologies to Borodin)
And on the movie musical front, Rouben Mamoulian’s incomparable Love Me Tonight from 1932, the Fred Astaire and Ginger Rogers art deco confections of the 1930’s, Leonard Bernstein’s On the Town, and Vincente Minelli’s An American In Paris from 1950, the apogee of the MGM musical, or all movie musicals for that matter.
What reason does the government give for opposing the federal ICAC? They said they’d introduce one.
PNON’s stance is no surprise given the stench around some of their dealings.
Let’s hope Corgi has some scores to settle with libs he knows are corrupt (not likely, I know, but I can hope)
So now the Senate has passed the ICAC Bill what excuses will the LNP use to block it?
Is there a bingo card?
C@t
Irrelevant.
Congratulations to Justin Langer and the team. Retaining The Ashes in England is a massive feat.
They’ve proved the doubters wrong too – that’s always fun.
Like you and many Australians feel Lizzie, I think it’s not OK at all. Watch and act is the rural fire service classification not mine. I was just pointing that rationale out to emphasise the likely wildlife and ecological damage being wrought. Already busy wildlife volunteers will no doubt be doing what they can, those I know are already exasperated by the circumstances often.
I know some of that country pretty well, rugged and amazing
Had fires in the same area near Drake last summer as well that swept right through a local indigenous community destroying some houses and buildings. Last summer’s fires and burnt grounds probably inhibited this fires spread a little.
sustainable future:
Make me pure, Oh Lord – but not yet.
Quoll
I understand that the firefighters would put human life and assets as a priority, but the media rarely report on the many, many animals that are killed with each fire. It was not so many decades ago that we all felt that defending our homes was possible. Now fleeing is the best option.
Larissa Waters
@larissawaters
My bill passed the second reading stage and we are now on the third reading vote – bells are ringing and we will see in less than two minutes if the Senate has agreed to set up an anti-corruption body via a Greens bill!
Justin Langer has not proved jack. His reputation is being preserved by having the greatest test batsman after Bradman in his side against the worst English batting line up since 1948.
Apologies if this has already been posted – research analysis smashes the myth that cutting penalty rates would result in increased employment and/or more hours for those already employed.
Agree Kate…………..there were plenty here who bucketed the Marsh boys and WA’s so-called favoured position over the mighty Vics and NSW mob not so long ago – due to the WA Cricket Mafia led by Justin Langer no doubt – who now have considerable egg-off-face-wiping to go one with.
Meanwhile, there is now talk about reinstating Smith as captain…………all, apparently is forgiven….What a difference a week or so makes……..Paine was being white-anted by some in the press after the last Test due to some kind of “panic” which set in in the last few moments of that Test. Now, having led the side to victory (and the Smith phenomenon is just great) Paine is considered expendable. Meanwhile, I supposed we can assume that show pony Warner’s place is safe?