As related by The Australian, the third Newspoll since the fall is unchanged on the second, conducted three weeks ago, in showing the Coalition with a two-party lead of 51-49. The primary votes are Coalition 43% (41.4% at the election), Labor 35% (33.4%), Greens 12% (10.4%) and One Nation 5% (3.1%, although they did not contest every seat at the election). All four are up a point compared with the previous poll, reflected in a four point drop in “others” to 5%. I’m struggling to identify the last time Newspoll had the Greens at 12% – certainly not at any point in the last term (UPDATE: It was in March 2016).
Scott Morrison is up a point on approval to 49%, after dropping three points last time, and his disapproval is up three to 39%, which is still three down on the first poll after the election. Anthony Albanese records a net negative rating for the first time, being down six on approval to 35% (after gaining two last time), and up six on disapproval to 40% (after dropping two last time). Morrison’s preferred prime minister lead is reportedly at 20%, compared with 18% last time, although the exact numbers are not yet provided (UPDATE: Morrison’s lead has increased from 48-30 to 48-28).
The poll comes with a glimmer of improved transparency, in that we are told exactly how many respondents came from its online survey (956) and automated phone poll (705) components. It was conducted from Thursday to Sunday.
Apologies if this has already been posted – research analysis smashes the myth that cutting penalty rates would result in increased employment and/or more hours for those already employed.
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It’s only increased total demand (read increased disposable income) that will bring about increased employment in the hospitality area. And we know what’s happened to that don’t we!
35 to 32 National Integrity Commission Bill passes the Senate
What does it say?
https://parlinfo.aph.gov.au/parlInfo/search/display/display.w3p;page=0;query=BillId:s1154%20Recstruct:billhome
If the ICAC bill passes the senate, I guess it needs to be sent to the HOR?
According to the RFS site the Yamba fire has just gone to emergency warning level.
The Clarence valley catchment now has out of control bushfires in its northern (Drake) and southern (Ebor) headwaters, and just south of its mouth at Yamba right on the coast. I think the Clarence is the biggest river catchment in coastal NSW, east of the dividing range.
Fantastic win for the Greens re the federal ICAC.
Surely the duopoly will pass it in the HOR ..???
If you have a look at the batting averages of the Aussie bats that have so far played top six in this series you will see the reason Australia has retained the ashes and it has nothing to do with Justin Langer or inspired selections.
This has been a very entertaining and exciting series but it has been a series played between two mediocre teams with the only real CONSISTENT difference between them being Smith.
Anyway, congratulations to Australia and Tim Paine. Under his captaincy Australia has achieved what teams led by Ponting and Clarke could not.
Shellbell – totally disagree with you on that one about Langer.
It is 18 years since we have been in this position with the Ashes……in that time Ponting failed to bring them home as did Michael Clarke. And come to think of it, Ponting had Warne with him – the greatest spin bowler for generations – and he could still not win if for us. I suggest your comparison of Smith with Bradman is a pointless exercise as the eras in which they played are getting on for 80 or more years apart………Might as well throw in W.G Grace if this is the case…………..
Langer was a steely and tough opener and he has, in a relatively short period of time, managed to get the very best out of what he has to work with. Even the Poms admit we have had the better of the series to date……………..
Gee, that the cricket is more interesting than politics at the moment says it all I suppose.
The wisdom of Pawline.
I suppose only a self-styled polymath like Malcolm Roberts can follow Hanson-logic.
Smug alert.
Albanese should make a captains call and back the Greens ICAC bill in the HoR.
If he tries to wriggle out of this, he’s finished.
Tricot I expect Warner will play. He shouldn’t.
I suspect the Langer critics are depriving themselves of the full pleasure this great win should provide.
Tim Paine in the history books. Great climax to his troubled career.
Labuschagne showed the poise of a Captain in waiting.
Steve Smith is an extraordinary talent.
Cummins resilience after an injury riddled early career is clear to see.
Langer managing all the jigsaw pieces comes out a winner …again.
edit
delete to reformat
beguiledagain
Bernstein is interesting – West Side Story is keeping Opera Australia afloat at the moment, and his Candide segues into operetta land.
It (the format) almost defines ‘American’. It took from the music halls, and pumped it full of the endless American capacity to energise to excess, the stylised self conscious camp of Berkeley and the outrageous twenties musicals. They became all but a parody of themselves. This clip is interesting, and I wonder if there are some echoes of the public synchronicity of totalitarian states, and in a few early frames a nasty reminder (in hindsight) of what was happening in Germany. Or am I overreaching; more likely.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yx6s-YReOJY
Apologies for going so far off the important issues of today.
In the category of ‘tells you more about the writer than the writer’s subject’:
Warner should not play. His record in England is no good. Langer’s ideas not to play him against Derbyshire and have Marsh bat at 3 in the tour game were just stupid.
Bancroft looks like a modern day Robbie Kerr. Who remembers him? Harris can be saved to NZ/Pakistan matches. If he cannot make runs against them in Oz, then we know he is not good enough.
Khawaja should open and Labuschagne might as well open with him and bat Paine at 6, Starc at 7 and Pattinson at 8.
Why Patterson and Pucovski are not in the squad is unfathomable.
Does any other country have anything like the Indue Card? A quick Google of “Welfare Card” only yields references to Australia’s scheme.
The Indue card is a 21st century equivalent of the Workhouse, except that work houses were run by parishes, not private rent seekers.
steve777
As someone pointed out earlier, it is the equivalent of food stamps in the US.
Gee Rex, your comments on the cricket I found to be similar to my own view of things. Not sure if this is a good or bad sign…………………..
You mention Ponting and Clarke but didnt mention the coaches names.
Langers contribution, be it positive or negative, large or small, will be forgotten. We will remember Smith and Cummins….. and Paine.
Tricot @ #149 Monday, September 9th, 2019 – 12:24 pm
I’m not sure Steve Smith wants to be captain again. He praised Paine’s captaining and made the pointed observation, “I just love batting”. I think he’s in a better place mentally not being captain. I mean, look what happened last time.
The cricket?
Winners are grinners.
“Larissa Waters on that victory:
After 10 years of attempts by the Greens to clean up politics, the Senate has just passed a Greens bill to set up a federal corruption watchdog with real teeth.
Now the pressure is on the government to back this bill in the House, where the crossbench and opposition also want a strong corruption body, not the weak, toothless government proposal, which hasn’t moved an inch for almost a year.”
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2019/sep/09/parliament-returns-coalition-labor-morrison-albanese-politics-live
***
Well done to Senator Waters and the rest of the Greens! A federal ICAC is so long overdue.
Great Newspoll for The Greens; the real opposition to the extremist Morrison government.
One of my first jobs after leaving school was working in the kitchens at Parliament House in Canberra. I know for a fact that an enormous amount of alcohol is consumed in that building, much of it DURING WORK HOURS. If the fascist far-right want to drug test people on Newstart then they should be subjected to mandatory breath testing before they are allowed to enter the houses of parliament and vote on laws that impact people’s lives. If you are too drunk to drive a car then you’re too drunk to be in parliament. How dare these raging alcoholics try and make out that struggling job seekers are the ones doing the wrong thing when they’re there getting pissed at our expense.
Rex Douglas @ #160 Monday, September 9th, 2019 – 12:39 pm
It’s still in the Senate, and Labor are backing it! I don’t see why things would change if it goes to the HoR.
So, remind me again, now that Labor have to do the heavy lifting on a FICAC in the HoR, how many Cross Benchers need to vote with Bandt and Labor to get it across the line?
In fact, not just the two houses themselves, but they shouldn’t even be allowed in the damn building. Equip the AFP cops that guard the place with some breath testers. Nobody gets in if they’re over the driving limit. If they’re busted trying to get in drunk then they should face the same penalties as if they were caught drink driving. No alcohol should be allowed in the building at all so they can’t have their very long lunches and then spend the rest of the day voting on laws while drunk. They’re a bunch of hypocrites.
Arrogance, too.
So any old rubbish thought that enters Morrison’s head could be called the Voice of God.
Yep, absolutely right. People don’t realise that across the economy as a whole, spending equals income. To the dollar. If you cut workers’ incomes, you are cutting consumer spending. If consumer spending falls, total spending can only remain the same if someone else increases their spending – the federal government, businesses, or foreigners. Whether foreigners increase their spending on our exports depends on economic conditions in other countries and the global supply of certain goods and exchange rates – things we don’t control. Businesses have no reason to increase their spending if consumer spending is falling. Austerity and wage suppression cannot create economic activity and jobs.
lizzie
That’s frightening shit!
lizzie @ #178 Monday, September 9th, 2019 – 1:12 pm
Someone should plant a speaker under his pillow.
Every time an MP includes “keep Australians safe” in a sentence I know they’re covering up for something. It could be their ignorance, or maybe the truth, but whatever it is, I stop listening.
Australian milk production hits a twenty year low.
All of the cross bench, plus two Government MPs would need to cross the floor.
(Or three Government MPs might forget to show up.)
The pro corruption LNP Abbott/Turnbull/Morrison has institutionalised its business model throughout levels of government. The worrying aspect of it all, is media in all its modern guises, seems unwilling or unable to prosecute a case for or against corrupt practices.
Enough voters, immune to the punitive style of a LNP government, remain docile, removed and disinterested from the various forms of corruption which passes for working policy direction.
At some point, the shenanigans badly named as policy will devolve with huge ramifications and associated hurt for the most vulnerable.
The foul winds of corrupt government wiil at some stage stop and the carnage all around will be examined by a awakening public as they all exclaim in unison ‘what happened?’
It could be avoided. But do enough people care?
I guess that nothing Pauline ever does could possibly be classed as a political stunt to get attention?
The one thing about cricket is that we can all be, in victory, magnanimous and hold different points of view. This, of course, is in stark contrast to real life politics.
‘Firefox says:
Monday, September 9, 2019 at 1:12 pm
In fact, not just the two houses themselves, but they shouldn’t even be allowed in the damn building. Equip the AFP cops that guard the place with some breath testers. Nobody gets in if they’re over the driving limit. If they’re busted trying to get in drunk then they should face the same penalties as if they were caught drink driving. No alcohol should be allowed in the building at all so they can’t have their very long lunches and then spend the rest of the day voting on laws while drunk. They’re a bunch of hypocrites.
Why not make it retrospective? Almost none of the legislation since Federation would meet your test.
But I don’t mind. I would extend the regime in several useful ways.
1. It extends to all reps, their staffers, their lobbyists, their clients and their visitors.
2. It extends to drug testing dope, coke, scag and speed etc, etc, etc.
3. It extends to electorate offices.
4. That electorate offices are closed down after repeat violations.
5. It extends to state parliaments and to local governments.
6. It extends to when MPs and their staffers travel on the taxpayer.
7. It extends to attendees at branch meetings and national conferences.
1-7 would clean out the Greens quite nicely.
Except for the ones who not hypocrites, of course.
Good one.
The important thing to remember is that Morrison did not win power by being ethical, by telling the truth or by appealing to the better nature of Australians. Nor did he bother his head with science.
It is good to see that the Greens have dropped their policy proposal to kill off the thermal coal industry completely by 2030.
It is now on the Never Never.
Brave stuff!
It is also great to see that the Greens have quantified the numbers of jobs thus destroyed, the locations from which they will disappear and the consequent trashing of dozens of local economies.
Truth in advertising?
Rex Douglas @ #161 Monday, September 9th, 2019 – 12:39 pm
Albo is finished anyway. Out of his depth.
Not long to go now.
“So, remind me again, now that Labor have to do the heavy lifting on a FICAC in the HoR, how many Cross Benchers need to vote with Bandt and Labor to get it across the line?”
Ahahaha! How can you honestly say this with a straight face? Labor “doing the heavy lifting”? Hahaha! They’ve been voting against a Federal ICAC for about a decade! I seriously laughed out loud when I read this. Almost as funny as when Labor supporters in denial try and claim that support for the Greens has decreased over the last decade, despite the hard evidence from the AEC which proves otherwise. Too funny.
Tricot @ #187 Monday, September 9th, 2019 – 1:29 pm
I wanted Australia to lose.
No pillow. He sleeps in the palm of Gods hand.
Or is it directly onto pine boards?
Rex Douglas says:
Monday, September 9, 2019 at 12:31 pm
Fantastic win for the Greens re the federal ICAC.
Surely the duopoly will pass it in the HOR ..???
Pathetic.
It will just be another Green stunt that will not amount of hill of beans.
It probable won’t even get put on the HOR agenda paper.
Bill pretty much followed Labor policy, the difference is, if Labor had of won it would be legislation from the HOR for the senate to consider.
The Greens under the illusion that their impotency amounts to something just because Labor supported one of their stunts.
According to these figures, for every 100,000 people, there are 91.6 avoidable deaths in major cities, compared to 248.7 avoidable deaths in very remote parts of the country.
Horrible story of a boy who died of an infected toenail:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-09-09/alex-braes-death-still-haunts-doctors/11470424
Makes you think how good our hospitals could be if we didn’t spend 50 billion dollars on stupid submarines.
“Does any other country have anything like the Indue Card? A quick Google of “Welfare Card” only yields references to Australia’s scheme.”
Someone posted a link here last night i think that equated the Indue card with the US “food stamp” system. Quite plausible comparison i reckon.
“The Indue card is a 21st century equivalent of the Workhouse, except that work houses were run by parishes, not private rent seekers.”
This could go well beyond normal “rent seeking”. Say 80% of the funds paid out as Newstart were only redeemable through and Indue card?? That would be an awful lot of $ to be skimmed off in fees to run the system. Honestly, we really need an ICAC or Integrity Commission.
“Someone should plant a speaker under his pillow.”
Sounds like a job for the ALP Black Op Division. 🙂
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2019/09/08/shawn-rosenberg-democracy-228045
Seriously thought provoking. A direct counter to Fukuyama’s thesis of the end of history. I wrote an essay kinda similar to a uni Q on Fukuyama, I mixed politics with anthropology, and got this response from the tutor (who I got on well with); ‘very thought provoking ….. but terribly written’. I got a few of those.
Now there’s a statement I can agree with.