The ten-week silence of Newspoll – and indeed Australian polling in general, so far as voting intention is concerned – has ended with a result of 53-47 to the Coalition, as reported by The Australian. To this, naturally, must be added the qualification that the pollster never once recorded the newly re-elected government with a lead in the entire three years of the previous parliamentary term. The poll has the Coalition at 44% of the primary vote (41.4% at the election), Labor at 33% (33.3%) and the Greens at 11% (10.4%). The report seems to be saying One Nation is at 3%, which compares with the 3.1% they scored at the election when contesting 59 out of 151 seats.
The leadership ratings have Scott Morrison’s approval at a new high of 51%, up five on the pre-election poll, and down nine on disapproval to 36%. Anthony Albanese’s Newspoll ratings are 39% approval and 36% disapproval, which is a) “the first net positive approval rating for an Opposition leader since 2015”, as noted in the report since Simon Benson, b) the worst Newspoll debut for an Opposition Leader since Andrew Peacock in 1989, as illustrated in this earlier post, and c) the equal lowest uncommitted rating for an Opposition Leader on debut, perhaps mitigating b) a little. Morrison leads 48-31 on preferred prime minister, compared with 47-38 in the pre-election poll, which we can now presume was flattering to Bill Shorten.
No indication at this point as to whether and how Newspoll is doing anything differently. Certainly it looks like business as usual to the extent that the poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1601, with The Australian’s report trumpeting a 2.4% margin of error that is less than the size of its error at the election.
“Senior figures in WA Labor and the WA Liberal Party said the Australian Electoral Commission was likely to delete the eastern suburbs Perth seats of either Hasluck, held by Mr Wyatt, or Burt”
The seats get deleted, but the voters don’t. Abolition of either seat would seriously alter the margins of the surrounding seats. The name Hasluck (as a former GG) could be retained for a seat, but the seat could be drastically altered in its composition.
PeteButtigieg: “I’m not scared of this president. This is a guy who was working on Season 7 of Celebrity Apprentice when I was driving armored vehicles outside the wire in Afghanistan. I’m not afraid to take him on.”
https://edition.cnn.com/videos/politics/2019/07/30/pete-buttigieg-2020-election-donald-trump-cuomo-cpt-vpx.cnn/video/playlists/this-week-in-politics/
poroti:
Given his working-class background, Chester’s in the wrong party. Anecdotally, he’s well respected in the Veteran community.
@Confessions
“The only way to get a federal ICAC is to elect a Labor government. The coalition will never implement one.”
Greens will never do one either.
E. G. Theodore says:
Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 2:19 pm
So your initial claim about Costello was a lie and you know nothing about the matter.
Thanks, Rex. I was unaware that Morrison had promised an integrity commission, but it seems it will be essentially toothless.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/sen-rand-paul-offers-to-buy-rep-omar-a-ticket-to-somalia-so-shell-appreciate-america-more/2019/07/29/b875dfb4-b24a-11e9-8f6c-7828e68cb15f_story.html?utm_term=.431e95364af9
Says the man who spends more of his time in the senate looking after Russian interests than American interests.
@KK
New FOI documents have revealed that only @PeterDutton_MP and ten other people had access to classified advice that was leaked to the media at the height of the Medevac debate.
Remember- this was a leak the head of ASIO described as “seriously damaging”.
Read more here
Good to see Shorten coming out of the trenches. The immediate post-election period must’ve been very hard for him.
Mavis Davis
He worked so very hard for so long. I feel extremely sorry for him and am glad that he still has a role in fighting unfairness.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/joel-fitzgibbon-joins-forces-with-craig-kelly-to-spruik-coal/news-story/c9bdcbda7dc738808723ba949932b0e3
Mungo Maccallum’s latest – Labor accepts ritual humiliation
https://johnmenadue.com/mungo-maccallum-labor-accepts-ritual-humiliation/
One, two, three, four
Keeping faith’s a dreadful bore.
Five, six, seven, eight
Tap the mat, capitulate.
This, it appears, is Labor’s new tribal chant. And needless to say, it is less
of a battle cry than a muted whimper.
The party that once boasted of the fire in its belly is now too cowed by electoral defeat to resume the battle of ideas – it has no stomach for further conflict. Surrender is, at least for the moment, the preferred option.
But let us be clear, it is not a realistic option. Politics is inherently an antagonistic process – if you like, a war without blood. There are times when it can be, and should be, bipartisan but such truces are rare; if bipartisanship was the norm, there would be no need for parliamentary democracy in the first place.
Politics is not about avoiding conflict, but managing it: resolving disputes without killing people. But it does not mean the disputes disappear, or that the protagonists should be silenced. As the man said, maintain the rage.
And this is where Anthony Albanese needs to be remain relevant. It is one thing to be careful, to settle into his new role and bring his troops to order. But if he continues to be too cautious, he will end up giving them nothing to fight for,
:::
Okay, it has not got the numbers. Oppositions never have – that is why they are oppositions. But they owe it to their supporters, only a small number fewer than those who supported the coalition, to give them a decent show. And to date, they haven’t.
:::
But once again, Albanese has taken the approach that if you can’t beat them on the numbers, you might as well join them in the chamber. And so the chickens come home to roost, and we do mean chickens. And as everyone knows, chickens are there to be plucked – or something that sounds very similar.
:::
It has now got to the stage where Albanese needs to stand up simply in order to remain in touch with his own side – if he does not believe in his own policies, why should he expect anyone else to.
And the crunch is about to come. The government’s wedge of the week will be the bills spun to remove Albanese’s enemy John Setka. but are in fact far wider measure to neuter or even eliminate entire trades unions, the final solution to the centuries-old war between laissez faire capitalism and organised labour.
Surely Albanese cannot duck this one. Watch this space.
lizzie:
[‘He worked so very hard for so long. I feel extremely sorry for him and am glad that he still has a role in fighting unfairness.’]
Wholeheartedly agree. I guess time heals. I would add that the Tories don’t seem to be indulging in too much hubris.
Mavis Davis
In their own scattergun way, I think they are suffering election shock, too.
Adam Bandt says Libs and Labor are same-same on coal, just because that fool Fitzgibbon is siding with Craig Kelly.
I think it’s time Albo pulled him into line.
As a distraction, last night on Netflix I watched the last episode, so far, in a series called Travelers. Loosely based on time travellers being sent back to the 21st Century to prevent events which put the human race on to the path to extinction, it tells the stories of the Travelers attempts at changing history. They can only go back as far as the computer age as they need to know the exact time of death of a person so the Traveler, as a consciousness, can move into the ‘host’ immediately after they pass away.
In one of the last episodes the leader of the team, (they always come in a team of five specialists) was asked about how the human race became under such threat, and why only this time in the 21st was important.
He said it was only in this time things could be changed. It started with climate change, leading to weather change, starvation, mass migrations, virus and such released from the permafrost and to chaos. Now humans live in domes on yeast-based sludge and endlessly recycled water, (Each traveler who arrives is delighted and amazed by the food, such as a hot-dog or stale doughnut).
My point is that this is the first direct reference to climate and human extinction I have seen on popular television. It is a good show, interesting script, good production values, good acting and plenty of twists and turns in the story line and good character development.
I have seen oblique references to climate change in some movies and shows, but not as direct as this one. Especially as the only solution is to send Travelers back to change things in our real time, otherwise we are doomed.
It is about tim
e this started to show up in our storylines and I believe it is a significant change in social attitudes.
Perhaps there are others who might have seen similar in other shows?
Pegasus:
Poor old Mungo’s losing the plot. Labor is regaining its mojo, with Taylor and Robert in its sights. It’ll obviously have trouble with the Crown scandal. But at least the trouble will be shared – Howard through to Abbott.
😡
Puffy
A new development in science fiction? No longer about the wonderful benefits of the future, but more realistic. 🙂
If Rand Paul doesnt like members of congress speaking their mind on matters of national importance then he can go back to authoritarian Germany where his antecedents came from.
And hasn’t Pegasus been having a gleeful old time posting any old anti Labor dross she can get her hands on while I’ve been away?
She’s right, you know, she’ll never give up. No matter how trite it all seems. 🙄
Pegasus, can you only post anti-Labor dross while C@tmomma’s here please.
William Bowe @ #722 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 3:47 pm
Good luck with that. 😆
Still, you’ve got to have something to pad the blog out with when I’m not here posting my ‘1000 word screeds’. 😉
SK:
I’m extremely disappointed with Rand Paul, as I am with Mitt Romney. I never expected much from the Republicans, but I always thought of those two as moderately sane members of their party. Not so as it has turned out, they are evidently happy following Trump down the drain and into the swamp and now we have a new low: echoing his racist, anti-democracy baiting.
‘fess,
To the extent that the people who voted for Mitt Romney must be wondering why they bothered?
For a brief moment I was confused about this TV series and the Movie “Passengers” which I quite liked.
I am currently downloading the series and searching for subtitles to go with same.
Thanks for the reference. 🤗 That’s either a hugging face or a dopey look.
Adam Bandt:
We are in a climate emergency and governments around the world are recognising it. Thermal coal exports need to be phased out by 2030 and we need to urgently support coal workers and communities during the transition.
I wish Mr Bandt would give us the benefit of his wisdom as to how you get the Coal Communities that you want to help so much to vote for you? 😐
It’s all very well for Mungo to talk tough, but Labor was bitterly disappointed about the election loss. Bit like being promised – from all those they relied upon to give an accurate reading of the political climate – that the mild reformist agenda would get up. Three years of leading in the polls. Five minutes of, “Exit Polls suggest a Labor win”, only to see it all turn to dust.
Labor’s supporters were also bitterly disappointed, with a mixed reaction of anger and frustration of seeing 3 years wasted with another 2-3 to come. Nothing can assuage the feeling.
Reaction from those here has been to (among other things) just go away for awhile, be in a mood of seething anger about Labor being “spineless”, giving time for the new leader to become established and keeping its powder dry and/or biding their time for the government to trip and wait for 2022.
As Mungo, stating the bleeding obvious says, Labor does not have the numbers and for the time being there is not so much they can do. Let’s face it, the government has no real policies so there is not much to attack. This will change.
My view is a bit of mongrel/acid/attack should be part of the game……….Labor is more often on the right side of history but this means sod all unless you hold office.
I was disappointed the likes of Tanya P went AWOL as she was the face that Labor needed.
I am sure Albo is a “good bloke” but then that is what Morrison is passing himself off as so the part in the game has already gone.
Mavis Davis
says:
Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 3:22 pm
Good to see Shorten coming out of the trenches. The immediate post-election period must’ve been very hard for him.
______________________
I hope so. But we are still not done with this malicious force in Australian politics just yet.
Well well well. Someone has discovered where fake christian Scrott got his “unfunded empathy” word turd from. Sounds a nice book.
.
2017 book ‘Retaking America; Crushing political correctness, by Nick Adams.
………..In my world, traditional American masculinity, predicted on masculine toughness and stoicism with doing the right thing, has no peer. It’s erosion is one of the most untold tragedies of the last half-century………Many of these people are afraid of their own shadow, incapable of leadership, dispensing tough love, and enacting painful reform, for fear of offending groups considered ‘victim groups’ by politically correct elitists……….Economic reform, for example, is almost impossible, when one side of politics is all about unfunded empathy.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2019/jul/30/spotlight-on-newstart-after-survey-reveals-poverty-rise-politics-live
Confessions says: Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 3:54 pm
I’m extremely disappointed with Rand Paul, as I am with Mitt Romney. I never expected much from the Republicans, but I always thought of those two as moderately sane members of their party. Not so as it has turned out, they are evidently happy following Trump down the drain and into the swamp and now we have a new low: echoing his racist, anti-democracy baiting.
**********************************************************
The ‘cult of personality ‘ has taken down even these 2 ….. and they have joined the rest of the GOP full of spineless morons, with their thumbs up their bums, stupifiedly looking on as their country is destroyed day by day by a narcissistic racketeering buffoon who could give two f***cks about the US rather than his own image ….
For me – Trumps greatest crime is to pit American against American – the last time that happened it cost 620,000 American lives ….. I hope it never comes to this again
We have to be real here – Shorten has been an absolute disaster for Labors electoral aspirations.
C@tmomma @ #726 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 1:59 pm
Esp as mormons (Romney’s mob) were the one religious bloc of voters who did not vote for Trump.
Tim Wilson is a pig. He swears that Robodebt is perfect and Husic is being dishonest in suggesting reform.
phoenixRed:
An interesting insight into how Trump is energising his base by race baiting. It’s sickening that more Republicans aren’t standing up to it, but as the commentator says, they go along with Trump and they don’t get his criticism, they are seen to be in lockstep with the GOP base, which ultimately translates into their retaining office.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/how-trump-is-doubling-down-on-his-race-baiting-base-strategy/2019/07/29/4a81872e-cda0-417a-a8ad-d6c14b06ab9c_video.html
Oh boy, another potential scandal brewing? The concept of ‘arms length’ really means nothing to these ministers.
Confessions says: Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 4:15 pm
phoenixRed:
An interesting insight into how Trump is energising his base by race baiting. It’s sickening that more Republicans aren’t standing up to it, but as the commentator says, they go along with Trump and they don’t get his criticism, they are seen to be in lockstep with the GOP base, which ultimately translates into their retaining office.
**************************************************************
I often wonder – is it just me that thinks these things about Trump ?????? ……..
Damn it, the washing machine has bloody well broken down. I have an 3E Samsung error message which means electrical. FFS, stop fucking beating me up, world. I bet it is just out of warranty too.
In other news, a friend I made through the ALP/Pollbluder/The Pub is helping me get my house livable, She and I have spent the last two days sorting my house out. It has been neglected while I was living with Mum. Her house is a rental so things must be done. Also another friend I made through the ALP has offered some man power to move stuff. All my things and Mum’s things in the rental have to be sorted and moved. There is much to do in my house as it has just been a storage space, in essence and maintenance is overdue.
Maybe the activity is a good thing for me, I am really trying hard to put a lid on grief. As I said before, I do not know how anyone can put that emotion on anyone else. How can Morrison and Dutton do things and neglect people to the point their families must suffer this. Why would you not do anything you could if you had that sort of power, to save people and make them happy?
Happiness is not finite, It is not a pie, where someone’s slice means less for others,
Happiness is infinite and giving it makes more. It is truly the real Magic Pudding.
lizzie @ #735 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 4:14 pm
And he’s defending a government, of which he is a part but which is led by an Evangelical Christian who won’t promote him to the Ministry because he is a homosexual. And after the sterling job he did attacking the Franking Credits policy of the Labor Party.
PTMD,
Would it make you feel worse to tell you that I have an old faithful Hoover ‘analog’ washing machine that has been doing my family’s washing with barely a hiccup for about 15 years now? 😀
Puffy
Switch off the washing machine and unplug it from the power point for about 10 minutes and then see if error message is gone
phoenixRed:
I’m always fascinated to see Trump rally people interviewed. It’s like a cult with the stereotypical conman front person. They all love him and believe 100% in what he says. Trump could be a televangelist and rake in the money bigly!
Confessions says: Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 4:26 pm
phoenixRed:
Trump could be a televangelist and rake in the money bigly!
*********************************************************************
Or alternatively Trump can be a Queens New York Con Man and rake in the money bigly! ……..
lizzie @ #737 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 4:14 pm
Why I do declare that Mr. Wilson is a true patriot, handsome, dashing and debonair with just a touch of panache thrown in for effect.
The above is not my opinion but that which I suspect is that of Mr. Wilson – I guess i am blathering again – I find Mr. Wilson an extremely unlikable person.
Note – on the other hand – I like pigs. 🐖
C@t
I don’t know the correct name of the type of argument Wilson was using, but I recognised it. He’s probably good at debating. It’s the one where you take the opposition’s point (Husic: there should be additional checks by a human, not just a computer) and home in on one aspect, exaggerating it and then dismissing the argument (Wilson: has Husic any idea how long it would take if every piece of information was checked manually?).
Victoria
Ah, the switch off then on trick. 😆
Puffy’s experience is why I’m sticking with my old washing machine for as long as I can.
PTMD
Some depressing reading here but it does offer a glimmer of hope at the end with……………………..
.
.
NOTE: Error 3E can also be caused by the wash drum being overloaded from too many clothes or a piece of clothing jammed between the drum.
https://removeandreplace.com/2016/12/03/samsung-washing-machine-error-code-3e/