The ten-week silence of Newspoll – and indeed Australian polling in general, so far as voting intention is concerned – has ended with a result of 53-47 to the Coalition, as reported by The Australian. To this, naturally, must be added the qualification that the pollster never once recorded the newly re-elected government with a lead in the entire three years of the previous parliamentary term. The poll has the Coalition at 44% of the primary vote (41.4% at the election), Labor at 33% (33.3%) and the Greens at 11% (10.4%). The report seems to be saying One Nation is at 3%, which compares with the 3.1% they scored at the election when contesting 59 out of 151 seats.
The leadership ratings have Scott Morrison’s approval at a new high of 51%, up five on the pre-election poll, and down nine on disapproval to 36%. Anthony Albanese’s Newspoll ratings are 39% approval and 36% disapproval, which is a) “the first net positive approval rating for an Opposition leader since 2015”, as noted in the report since Simon Benson, b) the worst Newspoll debut for an Opposition Leader since Andrew Peacock in 1989, as illustrated in this earlier post, and c) the equal lowest uncommitted rating for an Opposition Leader on debut, perhaps mitigating b) a little. Morrison leads 48-31 on preferred prime minister, compared with 47-38 in the pre-election poll, which we can now presume was flattering to Bill Shorten.
No indication at this point as to whether and how Newspoll is doing anything differently. Certainly it looks like business as usual to the extent that the poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1601, with The Australian’s report trumpeting a 2.4% margin of error that is less than the size of its error at the election.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-30/home-affairs-deal-crown-casinos-to-fast-track-chinese-visitors/11365068
Pegasus at her unrealistic Botherism best today. 🙄
@Alpo
There is a lot of cynicism towards and distrust of our politicians in this country. So many people don’t care how corrupt the Morrison government is, so long as the economy is functioning, along with getting their tax breaks such as negative gearing and franking dividends.
For the complacency of many Australians to be broken, we would need an economic crisis, with lots of people losing their houses, the banks needing to be bailed out and unemployment rising to as high as 20%.
It would be absolutely hilarious to sit back and watch a Greens Minority government when it came to taking action against Gaming Interests. The look of abject defeat on their faces when they couldn’t get the numbers either to pass Gaming Reform would be a joy to behold. 🙂
@C@tmomma
With the leadership in the current party, I can’t see the Greens getting more than say 15% of the primary vote, along with a few House of Representatives seats.
The Guardian
In the Senate today, the Greens will be aiming to get a motion up to get an inquiry into the Crown issue, raised by the Nine network and newspapers, through the legal and constitutional affairs committee.
No word on whether Labor or the crossbench will be supporting it as yet, but the Greens are “hopeful”.
Gambling and organised crime seem to go together, often drawing in Government officials that try to regulate it into the game. The whole premise of gambling is corrupt – money for nothing. I never saw the attraction – I’ll keep my money thank you and I don’t want yours.
That being said, prohibition never worked, any more than it did for alcohol and is now not working for drugs. It needs to be allowed but limited with harm minimisation measures. Pokies should never been legalised except in casinos or clubs with limited memberships, but that horse has long since bolted. Next best would be maximum bets. Precommitment would probably have worked. How do we know? The strength of the resistance.
Labor are trying to gain power, not grandstand.
Hence the focus on the “weakest link.”
And the corruption and criminal activity will continue unabated. That of course is irrelevant as the country will gain so much from having the Greens getting egg on their faces.
Swings and roundabouts I guess.
Yay, crime and corruption! Boo Greens!
C@t.
There are other ways…
How about Gaming locations can operate only without the provision of telecommunications and electricity 😉
I like the sound of that
_____________
|*win*|*win*|*win*|
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Alpha Zero @ #609 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 12:00 pm
You could still play Bingo during the day! It would become very popular all of a sudden. 😀
Dan Gulberry @ #608 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 11:59 am
No, not at all. Simply, if The Greens here didn’t take such a negative position towards Labor and Julia Gillard (‘screwed over Andrew Wilkie’, fcs! when she bent over backwards to accommodate him), then it would be unnecessary to imagine them getting a taste of their own medicine.
Tristo @ #604 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 11:50 am
I think you are being generous giving them ‘a few HoR seats’.
Referring the high rollers being invite to stay a “Dude Ranch” where they will have the opportunity to shoot at wild animals including wombats. In Murrindindi Shire. https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/vic/2019/07/29/crown-zhou-wombat-hunting/
From memory Trump also had high praise for Dubai. Just like Trump loves on dictators and hates on democratically elected leaders.
The Greens have pulled so many anti labor stunts, one that is dealing with a real issue gets ignored.
It looks like Labor are taking up the robodebt issue. Ok, thanks to the Greens they don’t have the numbers to deal with it.
I await with interest the Greens post trying to blunt Labors campaign, and blame labor for Robo debt.
So what is his beef wit that comment. The following headline is pretty ‘normal’ for ‘not out of control’ ? Chicago.
.
.
56 people were shot in Chicago over the weekend, including four fatally
BY BRIAN PASCUS
JULY 1, 2019 / 12:39 PM / CBS NEWS
This is the second time in the last month that at least 50 people in Chicago were injured by gun violence in the same weekend and comes right before the Fourth of July holiday, which saw more than 100 people shot in the city two summers ago.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/chicago-gun-violence-56-shot-this-weekend-four-killed/
Thin skinned Lab partisans getting angry about others posting media about the actual public actions and words from their party over the years.
Like the bully’s they seem to wish to emulate, better to try and smash and attack anyone raising evidence for what both the LNP and Lab have done, have colluded on, or not done, over recent decades.
This is the kind of mercenary bastards that it seems the LNP and ALP have both been supporting to fast-track into Oz and hand their $ over to Crown. Where ex-ministers (Lib or Lab at least) find a wonderful new home once put out to pasture from the Parliament.
Gutless Laborites, ask no questions recieve no lies, thanks to their ex-members in the Crown family now?
Limousines, and wombats as targets: Inside Crown partner’s shooting range for Chinese high-rollers
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/vic/2019/07/29/crown-zhou-wombat-hunting/
“The appearance of luxury cars on the dirt road has attracted the attention of nearby residents in the past year. Gun fire ringing out from the property had them curious.
Then a dead animal in a nearby paddock raised their suspicions.
Now, an investigation by Channel Nine media has revealed the owner of the mysterious hunting lodge to be Tom Zhou, a wealthy Chinese businessman, international fugitive and associate of Crown casinos.
Locals are scared.
Zhou has strong ties to the Chinese Communist Party and, according to the newspaper reports, is wanted in China for financial crime that has netted him tens of millions of dollars.
He is the subject of an Interpol notice and is supposed to be arrested immediately if he crosses a country’s border.
Instead, he owns luxury houses in Melbourne and the high-end shooting range on a 809-hectare (2000 acre) property backing on to Murrindindi Scenic Reserve, in the state’s north-east.
“They’re not just rich; they’re rich high-rollers coming in luxury cars,” one neighbour told The New Daily.”
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6136229/greens-benefactor-duncan-turpie-reclusive-high-end-gambler-emerges-as-acts-largest-donor/
“Greens convenor Sophie Trevitt said Mr Turpie did not meet Mr Sheikh.
She said the party’s donations review body approved taking the money despite his gambling profits.
“Mr Turpie is a private individual, has donated money to a range of philanthropic causes and the sole purpose of the donation was to support the aims of the Greens party. The donation was accepted no strings attached,” Ms Trevitt said.
Future donations from Mr Turpie would be considered on a case-by-case basis she said.”
[‘The Department of Home Affairs confirmed it has “stakeholder arrangements” with a number of large international organisations for the quick processing of short stay visas, but insisted there was no special treatment given to applicants.’]
What a stupid statement by the Department of Home Affairs. Quick processing of short-stay visas is giving applicants “very” special treatment. A great-nephew-in-law of mine has been waiting over two years for a permanent resident visa.
Helicopter government?
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-30/northern-territory-liquor-licensing-affecting-household-product/11365674
poroti @ #616 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 12:20 pm
That headline is pretty normal for the U.S., yes. They get about 107,000 shootings per year, and going by population alone Chicago should contribute at least 900 shootings annually to that figure.
You can’t (fairly/accurately) single out a city for being “out of control” when really it’s the entire country that’s out of control with guns. Chicago is just doing what the rest of the nation is doing.
Yeah, Quoll, whatevs. 😐
It won’t be long until an ALP stooge blames this whole Crown/China affair on the Greens.
I guess we now know what Karl Bitar does at Crown! 🙂
facilitating high rollers if the ALP is in government. helping to shut down any inquiry if the ALP is in opposition.
Bucephalus:
Peter. Costello said all the right things but found it very difficult to get paid positions (outside of government) until he realigned his price from what he.thoughtr he was worth to what the market thought he was worth.
It’s alll about price (and risk, as in PC’s case), not about who says what.
Mavis Davis says:
Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 12:25 pm
You don’t see a difference between a Short Stay Visa and a Permanent Residence Visa?
E. G. Theodore says:
Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 12:41 pm
How do you know about Costello’s personal applications for Directorships?
Kate
I assume your point was to imply the Greens have accepted tainted money?
An Australian citizen who made money from the legal act of gambling and then donating some of it to, amongst other organisations, The Greens is nothing like a corporation actively involved in money laundering for foreign criminals donating to a political party, no matter which party that is.
And what I find most offensive from The Greens’ supporters contributions, as seen in Quoll’s diatribe, is the automatic assumption and outright lie that, simply because Labor haven’t asked any questions in parliament about Crown, YET, that that equates with Labor not loving Wombats, fcs, and supporting the Chinese bastard who wants to shoot and kill them!
No wonder The Greens don’t win over Labor when they spew garbage like that at us.
The ALP are trying to figure out WTF happened to their PV considering they had good well thought out policies that matched general public sentiment and were up against a rabble of joke of a government full of profiteering mugs and thugs.
a r
Chicago must be a bit of a stand out even by yank standards.It is v. regularly featured in their meeja for mass shootings , especially holiday weekends. Yeee haw a holiday, let’s go shoot somebody Yeee haw !
Perhaps Trump’s comments may accidentally reflect a reality, the decay from within of the American empire ?
Bucephalus,
I honestly can’t see why young men (and possibly women), dying at work isn’t as serious as young men (and possibly women) dying as a result of being in the Armed Forces.
Actually, our young people dying as a result of suicide, for whatever reason, and domestic violence, is just as monumental a loss as those in the Armed Forces who commit suicide due to PTSD, or who are killed on the battlefield.
Any loss of life is tragic and no particular loss of life assumes more importance than another.
https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/breaking/ct-chicago-homicides-data-tracker-htmlstory.html
For a Democrat controlled city with some of the tightest gun laws in the US the gun deaths are out of control and it is young black males getting killed by each other:
Simon Katich says:
Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 12:49 pm
And there I was thinking you were more in touch with reality than most here.
Bipartisan unity ticket once again:
The Guardian
The Greens are trying for one in the Senate, but Andrew Wilkie is trying to get an inquiry into Crown in the House.
Christian Porter is responding to the cross bench calls for an inquiry – he says he has referred the allegations to the Australian Commission for Law Enforcement Integrity, which he says is the correct place for the inquiry to take place.
Mark Dreyfus says Labor will also be opposing the parliamentary inquiry, given the referral to the law enforcement integrity commissioner.
Pegasus doing Bothism again. 😐
abc730
@abc730
Tim Cahalan has been on a full disability pension since he was 18. Last month he received a $3,000 debt notice from Centrelink. His mother wants answers. “You can’t just tell people they owe thousands of dollars without providing any actual proof,” Penny Cahalan says. #abc730
@Greens taking money from gambling and claiming it is legal while attacking Labor on gambling casinos lol.
Hypercrits !
States with the most (and least) gun violence
Based on deaths per 100,000 people Illinois is at position 34 – 11.6 per 100,000
The highest are
Alaska – 23.0 per 100,000
Alabama – 21.4 per 100,000
Louisiana – 21.2 per 100,000
MORE : https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2018/02/21/states-most-and-least-gun-violence-see-where-your-state-stacks-up/359395002/
Greens using liberals excuses, they are in bed with each other!
The Guardian
Adam Bandt is on his feet and he is QUITE cranky over the government and Labor refusal to back the parliamentary inquiry.
He says the parliament is running “a protection racket for ministers and former ministers with connections to Crown casino”.
C@tmomma says:
I know, so annoying I mean this totally different
to this……………
@peg
Says the person accepting money from a gambling addict
Hypercrits
Oh dear. He’s thinking about coming after us next:
President Donald Trump’s threat to label anti-fascism protest movement Antifa a terrorist organization has prompted a backlash in Germany, where thousands of social media users have pledged solidarity with the group.
Trump tweeted on Saturday that the activist group was made up of “gutless Radical Left Wack Jobs who go around hitting (only non-fighters) people over the heads with baseball bats.” He said a move was being considered to label the movement a “major Organization of Terror (along with MS-13 & others),” referring to the international criminal gang the Mara Salvatrucha.
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/07/29/europe/germany-antifa-trump-twitter-scli-intl/index.html
Pegasus @ #643 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 1:08 pm
That’s just his normal self. Like all Greens, he’s only happy if he can be miserable, snarky and irrelevant.
Greens gone back to their pre election attack lib lab same same.
Boring bat shit hypercrits
Tim Costello and Alliance for Gambling Reform media release, 29 July:
https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/gx/pages/2163/attachments/original/1564378854/Crown_allegations_statement_from_Alliance_for_Gambling.pdf?1564378854
The Alliance for Gambling Reform today called for public hearings to be held into the suitability of Crown Resorts to continue holding casino licences in Australia after revelations the company suffered the biggest data leak in recent Australian corporate history.
Alliance spokesman Tim Costello made the following comments:
“The revelations made in The Age, Sydney Morning Herald and on 60 Minutes are disturbing, particularly in regards to money laundering and other criminal allegations.
“The Alliance believes Australia needs a Royal Commission into the wider Australian gambling industry, and these latest Crown scandals are one of the many topics which it should examine.
“It is time for the apparent special political and regulatory protection for Crown Resorts to end, with a ban on political donations from the company and the Packer family, and no more hiring of politically-connected figures such as Karl Bitar, Mark Arbib, Helen Coonan and Peta Credlin to protect its interests.
“We cannot minimise gambling harm when operators are not held to account for failing to run their venues according to regulations.
“It is incumbent on governments, including the Victorian Government, to ensure regulators are resourced properly and can pursue their work independently and unhindered.
“Toothless tigers do not work when it comes to gambling regulations.”