The ten-week silence of Newspoll – and indeed Australian polling in general, so far as voting intention is concerned – has ended with a result of 53-47 to the Coalition, as reported by The Australian. To this, naturally, must be added the qualification that the pollster never once recorded the newly re-elected government with a lead in the entire three years of the previous parliamentary term. The poll has the Coalition at 44% of the primary vote (41.4% at the election), Labor at 33% (33.3%) and the Greens at 11% (10.4%). The report seems to be saying One Nation is at 3%, which compares with the 3.1% they scored at the election when contesting 59 out of 151 seats.
The leadership ratings have Scott Morrison’s approval at a new high of 51%, up five on the pre-election poll, and down nine on disapproval to 36%. Anthony Albanese’s Newspoll ratings are 39% approval and 36% disapproval, which is a) “the first net positive approval rating for an Opposition leader since 2015”, as noted in the report since Simon Benson, b) the worst Newspoll debut for an Opposition Leader since Andrew Peacock in 1989, as illustrated in this earlier post, and c) the equal lowest uncommitted rating for an Opposition Leader on debut, perhaps mitigating b) a little. Morrison leads 48-31 on preferred prime minister, compared with 47-38 in the pre-election poll, which we can now presume was flattering to Bill Shorten.
No indication at this point as to whether and how Newspoll is doing anything differently. Certainly it looks like business as usual to the extent that the poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1601, with The Australian’s report trumpeting a 2.4% margin of error that is less than the size of its error at the election.
LOL how’s that for karma?!
C@tmomma says:
Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 9:33 am
I would suggest the adjective before empathy is superfluous and can be applied much more widely than just Newstart.
Confessions @ #552 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 9:43 am
Exactly. Who OWNS the ‘rat infested’ houses the poor people of Baltimore live in?
True dat, BiM. 😐
Good get by Ronni Salt:
Ronni Salt
@MsVeruca
·
11h
@AngusTaylorMP
I’m confused about your statement today, you met with a farmer from Yass on Feb 21 2017 to discuss “long & detailed concerns” on native grass legislation.
You were tweeting from a conference in Sydney 3pm that day.
What time did you meet the farmer 286km away?
Domestic Violence:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-30/the-women-behind-bars-breaching-domestic-violence-order/11330408
There’s probably a few rats in the White House too.
AI is coming and disruption is on the way:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-30/ai-is-coming-so-we-need-ethical-artificial-intelligence/11363992
Indeed.
Confessions says: Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 9:43 am
LOL how’s that for karma?!
Exactly. Who OWNS the ‘rat infested’ houses the poor people of Baltimore live in?
***********************************************************************
Bill Palmer :
While Trump is busily doubling down on his attacks, which he also does well, Huffington Post is reporting that part of the problem in Baltimore is Jared Kushner.
For some reason, the saying “people in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones” is coming to mind right now. As reported by HuffPost, Kushner is one of the worst perpetrators of “rat-infested” areas in Baltimore. Residents of “Kushnerville,” as they refer to his disgusting housing projects, call Kushner a “slumlord” and would be glad to see him leave their district to someone who actually cares about housing for the low income and poor. In fact, Kushner owns several Baltimore area housing projects and continues to own them while working as a “senior adviser” at the White House.
Not only have Kushner and his company been hit by fines for multiple code violations they make up the money by adding “mystery” and late fees to rent payments, which they use to evict tenants. Kushner then sues these tenants and secures judgments, garnishes their wages, and drains their bank accounts, according to the Baltimore Sun.
https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/baltimore-uglier-turn-scandal-trump/19604/
Something Trump-Bashed Baltimore Area Would Like To Ditch: ‘Kushnerville’ Homes
If the president wants to see “disgusting” maybe he should check out some of his son-in-law’s Maryland apartments.
https://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/entry/jared-kushner-elijah-cummings-donald-trump-baltimore-kushnerville_n_5d3cf3e0e4b0c31569ebebf6
Everything Trump Touches Dies.
Wilkie take on being screwed over by Gillard:
https://www.smh.com.au/national/pm-unveils-compromise-deal-over-pokies-reform-20120121-1qb1m.html
FMD that Taylor family are “Eddie Everywhere” when it comes to sus events.
Fess
Trumps continuing distractions is being matched by his deterioration in health. Hearing him talk and walk, there is something not right physically and of course mentally
poroti
If it walks like a duck………
Vic:
The distractions are definitely coming thick and fast.
Poverty:
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/jul/29/poverty-is-rising-again-in-australia-and-expert-cites-welfare-changes-as-likely-cause
Successive governments of both political stripes screwing over the unemployed, single parents and people with a disability.
Why? The quest to maintain a surplus takes priority and pandering to the prejudics of the swinging aspirationals in marginal seats is more important than treating the impoverished and vulnerable with dignity.
Fess
Yep. And of course it works. They all continue to get sucked in.
It is so frustrating.
Pegasus,
Wilkie was not screwed over by Gillard…it was clear at the time that the numbers were not there to get Wilkie’s proposal up. All that would have been achieved by Gillard proceeding with Wilkie’s proposal was an embarrassing defeat on the floor of the house.
I know that the Greens are inclined to reject the concept of numeracy (e.g. complaining that labor didn’t negotiate the CPRS with the Greens when the Greens couldn’t deliver the numbers!?!) but in Parliament that approach won’t get you far.
The Guardian
Anthony Albanese also says Labor won’t be letting the Angus Taylor matter dropped. Asked why the opposition didn’t pursue the Nine Crown revelations in question time yesterday, the Labor leader had this to say:
C@tmomma @9.47 am
Re the Ronni Salt /Ms Verucca tweet:
It is just possible that Taylor and the farmer from Yass were at the same conference in Sydney on that day, particularly if it had some agricultural or party political basis.
(Note: this should in no way be read as any support for Taylor)
Good morning and thanks to BK for the News Roundup particularly the cartoons.
Thanks Lizzie for The Key to Happiness
and the
Caffeinated Owls.
In my quest to find signs of intelligence in the Murdochracy I have found this —-👇👇👇👇👇
In an effort to add a little music to the above – the best I can come up with on short notice is this 👇
♫Fuck this!
♫Cross my heart ♪ I hope you ♫♪ die
Left by♫ the road ♪ side
Karma’s a ♫ bitch, ♪ right?
And then —
Clearly this last is an exercise in demonstrating the superiority of the speaker when he has imported from the illiterate right side of his brain a new blind slug (unfunded empathy * ) which slithered its way into semi cognition and burst upon a totally unprepared public in a blaze of pyrotechnics the like of which previously only noticed breaking out from Sydney Harbour Bridge on New Years Eve.
Prize for decoding (unfunded empathy) available from the Managing Director of Pole Dancers R’Us.
*What are the 3 types of empathy?
In fact, empathy also comes from a German word, Einfühlung, meaning “feeling in.” And just as there are many ways to feel; there are multiple ways to experience empathy. The three forms of empathy that psychologists have defined are: Cognitive, Emotional, and Compassionate.
Pegasus says:
Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 10:12 am
Yes, and??? 😆
Comrades-in-arms – Craig Kelly and Joel Fitzgibbon
The Guardian:
Labor, after their shellacking in coal country – Queensland and the Hunter region included – are partway through the “we should have spoken up more in defence of coal” stage, led by Joel Fitzgibbon, who has done many a mea culpa on the issue.
In the Parliamentary Friends of Australian Coal Exports, both Craig Kelly and his co-chair want to celebrate the $68bn in export revenue in the last financial year – which is 208m tonnes of thermal coal and 179m tonnes of metallurgical coal.
In terms of jobs though, coalmining is not the mecca it is often held up as – the latest Labour Force Survey showed that in the four quarters to February this year 52,600 people were employed by the coal industry. In coalmining, for the last financial year, it was just over 38,000.
What Peg, no doubt, “inadvertently” forgot to include.
The Guardian blog
Peg:
[‘Wilkie take on being screwed over by Gillard:’]
Unless it has a death wish, no government would take the club industry on. I remember at the time of Wilkie’s proposed reforms, clubs urged members to sign a petition against any changes. Clubs are a very powerful lobby group and have millions of members. And, look at the Tassie experience. The only way of reform is to have a bipartisan approach but that won’t happen.
Jommy Tee – electric HiLux owner
@jommy_tee
Replying to
@MsVeruca
@Jarrapin
and
@AngusTaylorMP
He certainly used a ComCar in Sydney that day as his travel records below indicate (see bottom line)
And more proof from
@pmc_gov_au
that he was at this roundtable:
If Scott Morrison continues to let this guy be in his Ministry then it will need renaming to ‘The Morrison Crooks and Liars Government’
Mavis Davis @ #576 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 10:18 am
Exactly. Yet, here we are, almost 10 years later, and all Pegasus can do is slag and bag Labor for something that was essentially beyond the Gillard government’s control.
The other Cross Benchers wouldn’t support the legislation.
But you won’t hear Pegasus acknowledge THAT.
Also, how many times has Pegasus slagged off Labor for this over the past few days?
A. Lot.
She has no shame when it comes to her crusades, nor an ability or desire to tell the WHOLE story.
I hope Labor continue to escalate pressure on Angus Taylor. There’s something extremely whiffy about his involvement in the whole affair, and his threats to sue journalists just makes it even more smelly.
Jolyon Wagg @ #570 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 10:09 am
Yes, the emotive and misleading language Pegasus employs is truly galling.
Confessions @ #579 Tuesday, July 30th, 2019 – 10:26 am
And this is exactly why Labor need to keep pursuing this through parliament, even at the expense of the Crown stuff, because Angus Taylor can’t threaten anyone with a Defamation law suit there.
So, technically, it’s business as usual but now the Coalition magically jumps to 53% 2PP?
Was the thought of another win for the ALP in spite of their loss at the election just too unbearable to consider by Newspoll?
Unfortunately we have entered a dark age of information in Australia, where just about anything you get from the MSM has little or no credibility!!
Anyway, looking forward to see whether Essential produces an opinion poll on voting intentions….
C@t:
I was pleased to see Labor secured a Senate review of Newstart allowance. I look forward to hearing Scotty’s unfunded empathy excuses in the face of the tales of poverty and hardship which the review is bound is raise.
Taylor’s in more strife than the First Fleeters. If you’re going to lie in the public sphere you’ve got to be a good one. Clearly, Taylor’s not… He has to go.
Lock the Gate Queensland on the job:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/jul/30/new-acland-coalmine-caught-drilling-illegally-at-27-sites-and-fined-just-3152
Julia Gillard tried to carry out her promise to introduce pokie precommitment. She encountered a shitstorm when trying to do so and lost a lot of skin in the attempt. Vested interests mounted a massive scare and disinformation campaign. Funnily enough, the Australian “Christian” Lobby did not come out in support of Gillard in this endeavour, while the clubs lobby were effectively saying that the economy would collapse if pokie losses were limited, there would be no more sport (just as there is no sport in WA?) and ex-servicemen would starve.
Should it have been put on the floor of the House? A moot point, it would have lost.
“because we are a party of government and The Greens aren’t”
I would’ve thought you would have avoided saying this, considering you said it so many times in the lead up to the election. This born-to-rule mentality really isn’t a good look, especially when Labor aren’t in government, haven’t been in government for some time, and the last time you were in government you engaged in a three year civil war. Some “party of government” you’ve got there, Cat.
I suggested you were part of the Labor Right because there’s not a progressive cause that you won’t attack if it is politically convenient for Labor for you to do so. For example, just in the last day or so you’ve mounted an unprovoked attack on the Greens over abortion. Like hello? We’re on the same side here? I think? You should be fricking happy that we’ve finally arrived at this point but ohhh no you’ve gotta have a go at the Greens who’ve been fighting for this since day dot. That’s the typical behaviour of the Labor Right.
And it doesn’t matter if you’re actually an active part of the Right Faction or not. Your continued attacks on the progressive left reveal where you stand ideologically.
There’s lots of excuses in that post for decades of entrenched homophobia. “Oh we were a big party with lots of conservatives” doesn’t exactly help your argument.
Look. I am really glad Labor is where it is now on SSM and abortion. Better late than never, and I honestly mean that. These issues are far too important and drastically impact people’s lives. But for you to come out and mount an unprovoked attack on the Greens over this was just uncalled for and only highlighted Labor’s poor track record on this issue and others.
Steve777
“Funnily enough, the Australian “Christian” Lobby did not come out in support of Gillard in this endeavour, ”
Yes, hilarious isn’t it. My guess is that the ACL was subscribing to ‘prosperity theology’, under which anyone who was impoverished by problem gambling probably deserved it. Or the ACL are just arseholes, which is the simplest explanation.
I remember the “Won’t work, will hurt” campaign by the gaming lobby against poking reforms. Everything from children’s sports to veterans would be smashed by curtailing gambling in clubs. The campaign was mendacious, but effective.
Labor is a party of opposition.
Firefox,
*sigh* It appears I have to lay it out simply for you.
You claimed credit for The Greens for the Abortion Bill success in NSW.
I pointed out that, if Mehreen Faruqi was all she is regularly cracked up to be on this blog by The Greens’ contingent, then she would have succeeded with her original 2017 Bill when she was in the NSW Parliament. I was simply stating an obvious fact. Something you seem to object to simply because she is a Greens MP. That just looks thin-skinned to me, I’m sorry.
I merely pointed out that it took the parties of government (statement of fact, not a boast), and an Independent MP, Alex Greenwich (who doesn’t even have party status but could still do a better job than The Greens), to get together and craft a Bill that would stick and which the AMA (major stakeholders & original objectors to the Faruqi Bill), approved of.
Yes, of course I am pleased that a Bill to end criminality of Abortion in NSW has been enacted. Such a pity it couldn’t have been done sooner. The Greens could have had a really big win in 2017 but they screwed up. Just admit it, stop being so thin-skinned when someone criticises your beloved party and MPs, and enough already with the ad hominem at me just because I pointed this out.
I note also that nath is at his inane and unfunny best this morning.
Why does he bother?
This looks eerily like the boom before the bust (stock market boom in 2007, global financial crisis in 2008):
[‘But for you to come out and mount an unprovoked attack on the Greens over this was just uncalled for and only highlighted Labor’s poor track record on this issue and others.’]
Not at all. There’s a core of contributors to this blog whose posts invariably bag Labor, rarely critical of the common enemy. That’s their right. But, by the same token Labor supporters have the right to counter The Greens propaganda.
citizen,
So much cheap credit sloshing around the global economy and the Fed about to make it worse. Something’s gotta give eventually.
The Wilkie/pokies example really serves to prove one thing above all. In politics, it’s folly to promise to deliver the undeliverable. Gillard tried to implement the deal she’d made with Wilkie and was outnumbered in the Parliament. She carried the can twice. Once in getting the hell beaten out of her by the clubs, their lobbyists, their members/gamblers and the Liberals. And then a second time for having to bail out.
There’s no doubt at all that gaming is anti-social but it serves constituencies that can fight. In a democracy, a party can only pick so many fights at once. And it pays to pick fights that can be won. There’s nothing good about picking fights that only result in defeat.
Very fortunately, in WA pokies are a lot less accessible than they are in other States. There would be very few voters who would argue that pokies should be widely and easily available. But having said that, there are of course many opportunities to gamble no matter where you live. Even PB, a salon of the politically respectable, hosts a gambling outfit among its advertisers.
And it pays to pick fights that can be won.
Yep. Now see Labor apply to blowtorch to Angus Taylor.
Labor should go after Crown too. The Government appears to have been serving as the unpaid ushers of the casino/s. The gaming business really relies on high-rollers for its profitability. On the face of it, Crown shareholders have been donating to the Liberals who have used their influence to bring in the dollars for Crown. There’s more than a hint of the involvement of organised criminals in this. Politics, money, the suspension of usual processes, extra-territorial crime, interaction with China. There’s plenty to investigate.
Crown
Regulators’ ‘nothing to see here’ approach to Crown scandal defies belief:
https://www.theage.com.au/business/companies/regulators-nothing-to-see-here-approach-to-crown-scandal-defies-belief-20190729-p52bub.html
nath says:
Tuesday, July 30, 2019 at 10:58 am
Labor is a party of opposition.
The Greens campaign has been very successful.