Happy trails: episode two

Another look at where the campaign has taken the two leaders, and what that might tell us about the state of play.

Click on the image at the bottom of the post and you will see an updated account of the electorates visited by the leaders during the campaign, more or less (there is an element of subjectivity as to what constitutes a visit). One of the salient points to emerge is the rather intensive focus on Tasmania, which remarkably played host to both leaders yesterday. Scott Morrison has spent three days over two visits – exactly equal to his record for Victoria, where he has targeted the five Liberal-held seats on margins of up to 6.4%, but not wasted effort on Dunkley, which is Liberal-held but notionally Labor. Bill Shorten’s visit to the state was likewise his second, but so far he’s spent two days in the state to Morrison’s three.

Western Australia also logged up some points this week, but this is largely due to the debate having been held there on Monday, and the practicality of hanging around afterwards given the distance involved. Nonetheless, it is notable that Morrison spent fully three days campaigning their compared with Shorten’s two, and that Morrison felt it worth his while to conduct a street walk in the electorate of Canning, situated well up the pendulum at 6.8%.

Bill Shorten is overdue for a visit to New South Wales, where he hasn’t been since he spent the first three full days of the campaign in Sydney. Nonetheless, the prize for the most targeted seat of the campaign so far would appear to be the Sydney seat of Reid, which has been visited three times by Scott Morrison, most recently on Sunday, and was also visited by Shorten on each of his three days in Sydney.

And while you’re about, note also the other new post below this one: episode three of Seat du Jour, covering the Melbourne seat of La Trobe.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,298 comments on “Happy trails: episode two”

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  1. Bill talking about his mum who was a teacher for 35 years – now onto special needs, spend more on education

  2. Does anyone know if this will be on that free-to-air “Win Sky News” which is broadcast to regional areas. If so, it sounds like they may cut the feed if it keeps going the way it sounds it’s going.

  3. Re the English local elections and the general reading of the entrails on what it means for Brexit: I wouldn’t read too much into it at all. Turnout it about 35%, which is both dire and,more importantly, shedload less than the 68% turnout for the last General election.

  4. BB

    This debate is forcing Morrison to talk about policy.

    Gotta be a good thing.

    Yep – Morrison flounders because they have pretty much presented zero policy for the next term, and most of his senior ministers have been hiding in the Bunker for the whole campaign.

  5. I have just tuned into the people’s forum. What a farce. Scotty talking a mile a minute and talking over everyone else, including the moderator!

  6. “Does anyone know if this will be on that free-to-air “Win Sky News” which is broadcast to regional areas.”

    Yeah it is being simulcast on both the versions of Sky.

  7. Speers: Do you agree, Mr Morrison, that a lot of these benefits are going to higher income earners?’

    Morrison: ‘No I don’t.’

    !!!

    That’s a flat-out lie.

  8. Bill writes down $77b on a piece of paper and holds it up!

    Now saying the top3% gets all,the tax breaks. Scotty cloundering

  9. Dee Madigan
    ‏Verified account @deemadigan
    2m2 minutes ago

    Shorten: Its not a tax to stop giving wealthy people money #PeoplesForum

  10. Bill says ‘you’re a classic space invader’ cause Scotty keeps on walking in front of him

    Back in your box. Bill is laughing

  11. Just saw Shorten and the ‘this money doesn’t grow on trees’.

    Glad to see Labor sharpening their lines on this – when more people understand what their hard-earned taxes are going to (a nice yacht?), they may be less likely to fall for Morrison and Frydenberg’s lies.

  12. ‏Verified account @samanthamaiden
    2m2 minutes ago

    “You’re a classic space invader”
    Bill Shorten on ScoMo debate tango

    :large

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