BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor

The BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintains its steady course overall, but with signs of the Greens losing ground.

Another fairly uneventful week in the world of BludgerTrack, which has only nudged 0.1% in favour of Labor on two-party preferred and one on the seat projection (the gain being in New South Wales), despite their one-point improvements in the week’s Newspoll and Essential Research polls. If there’s anything worth noting, it’s that the Greens have fallen below 9%, and One Nation are back up after a recent dip. Both pollsters also produced new numbers for the leadership trends, the only observable movement on which is that Scott Morrison’s net approval is slightly improving, for no immediately obvious reason. Full results through the link below.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,561 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor”

  1. sprocket_ says:
    Friday, March 15, 2019 at 3:35 pm
    And the garbage is always good to put out on a Friday afternoon..

    I should have known it would be another chum bucket incident Sprocket earlier in the week when i wondered what the Coalition had left to toss out. They certainly seem to be loading the public service with Coalition talking heads especially in the Arbitration Tribunal.

    On the positive side it signals they are heading for the exits and thumbing their noses at accountability on the way. I have to wonder how many plumb jobs like HOCKEY in the US and Brandis can be reversed.

  2. BB
    The geese are probably Canada Geese.
    They are an introduced species and are a serious pest of agriculture.
    From time to time one flies across the ditch to Australia.
    As soon as they are located they are despatched by the authorities.

  3. C@tmomma says: Friday, March 15, 2019 at 4:26 pm

    Has any of our moronic apologists for the gun death industry come out with the line yet, that, ‘Guns don’t kill people. People kill people’ ?

    ***************************************************

    Or the NRA classic absolve – ‘The only thing that stops a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun’

  4. rhwombat says:
    Friday, March 15, 2019 at 4:25 pm
    Scott @ #2698 Friday, March 15th, 2019 – 4:15 pm

    Barney in Cà Mau

    Are you talking to me or someone else

    i have not mention anything about guns
    That was me ScottBot. I think you may be a nutter. By all means prove me wrong.

    ————

    Point to where i mention anything about guns

  5. Scott.

    United States of America is politically correct.

    So is calling themselves Americans. Just as you can be Greek. German French and European.

    The only problem is that when people say American thanks to media people assume United States citizen.

  6. Simon² Katich® says:
    Friday, March 15, 2019 at 4:28 pm

    Thank goodness the politically correct mouthful of FYROM is now North Macedonia.

    And

    tUKoGBaNI

    is

    the UK! 😆

  7. pR

    Or the NRA classic absolve – ‘The only thing that stops a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun’

    Yes, if only the people in the mosque were all carrying guns,think of the lives saved 🙁

  8. Guytaur says:
    Friday, March 15, 2019 at 4:32 pm
    Scott.

    United States of America is politically correct.

    —————-

    No its not , if the United states was in central America , yes it would be

    Its like saying South Africa ,calling it self Africa as politically correct

  9. BW, my point was that even the people over here you’d think would be least likely to own guns, own them, and use them.

  10. On a day when we have an Australian carrying out a terrorist attack on NZ citizens, and the Morrison government appointing yet more “jobs for the boys”, and yet another government MP announcing he’s jumping ship … we have some noob here arguing about the correct name of the USA?

    PB is a weird place sometimes 🙁

  11. ajm says:
    Friday, March 15, 2019 at 4:29 pm

    What’s the bet some idiot will say that all “foreigners” need to be driven out so there is no temptation for poor oppressed white people to attack them

    That might make the Maori happy.

  12. poroti
    Which reminds me. I get the sense that you would rather like to see Haasts Eagles out and about to this very day perhaps having transferred their attentions from moa to dachshunds?

  13. This from the Coalition talking head still lamenting the ‘knifing’ of his hero Tony Abbott-

    @chriskkenny

    “Laundy does what he was always going to do after buying a mansion outside the electorate long ago. Knifed a PM in his first term, spat the dummy in his second”.
    The Australian

    @australian
    Craig Laundy has let the Prime Minister know that he will quit politics at the next election https://trib.al/l3qhkOn #auspol
    9:08 PM – 14 Mar 2019

    That is going to help the Coalition hold on to Page, NOT. Keep gnashing and thrashing Chris, please.

  14. michael @ #507 Friday, March 15th, 2019 – 4:37 pm

    To think this creep will sit in a cosy cell for the rest of his life. Bring back the death penalty for mass murderers.

    Absolutely not. They need to be treated like Bryant. How NZ and Australia respond to the perpetrators of this atrocity will have significance far beyond our respective societies’ anger and fears. Read Åsne Seierstad’s book about Breivik, One of Us, to see how a civilized country does it.

  15. Boerwar

    I have long wished the buggers were still out and about. Which of course means the moa also running around. Would make for some very nervous hikers and climbers in the South Island 🙂 Moa and Haast died off recently enough that one day we may resurrect them from the dna left behind.

  16. rhw
    Do you think that treatment of individuals like Brevik makes any difference at all to the chances of a future mass murder?
    FWIW, in terms of not rewarding current Look at Mois, and in terms of not feeding future glory hunters, my general preference is to lock them up, throw away the key, prevent them from talking to anyone, and not to talk about them.

  17. Wow.

    Morrison Just labelled it as extremists right wing terror attack.

    If there is an Australian connection as widely reported he may regret that.

  18. This NZ massacre is shaping up as a counter intelligence cock up. Apparently, there are social media vids from days ago of this murderer fondling the weapons and boasting that something big was about to happen.

  19. zoomster says:
    Friday, March 15, 2019 at 4:47 pm
    Scott

    I have no idea what your posts have to do with political correctness.

    ———————————————————

    to be honest , i was only trying to lighten up the mood

    anyway i won’t be commenting any more , since i will be attacked as a troll , weirdo etc

  20. Rhwombat, Hitler was responsible for the deaths of say 20 to 30 million people. Are you saying Hitler should have been spared the death penalty if he hadn’t killed himself.

  21. Citizens of the USA are called “Americans” by convention. This practice is not ideal (because two continents make up the Americas, and the USA only makes up part of one). But “American” has stuck for a United States citizen, and very little can be achieved by arguing that it’s wrong or should be stopped.

    A patriotic American might say that the United States was the first nation to be founded on a principle, not a people or geography. So there was no readily available toponym or ethnonym. “American” filled the gap.

  22. Boerwar says: Friday, March 15, 2019 at 5:00 pm

    What, exactly, is a gringo?

    **************************************************

    …….. an American, who is not Hispanic or Latino 🙂

  23. My guess is that was agreed when both PM’s spoke. It’s better coming from our PM. I don’t see any need to make anything more of it.

  24. Listening to ABC news radio today that 50% of US states have banned or as in about 6 cases, not used capital punishment for at least 10 years.

  25. Boerwar @ #522 Friday, March 15th, 2019 – 4:54 pm

    rhw
    Do you think that treatment of individuals like Brevik makes any difference at all to the chances of a future mass murder?
    FWIW, in terms of not rewarding current Look at Mois, and in terms of not feeding future glory hunters, my general preference is to lock them up, throw away the key, prevent them from talking to anyone, and not to talk about them.

    Yes. I suspect the treatment of Bryant and Breivik have probably deterred some mass murderers in some countries – probably more than state-sanctioned capital or corporal punishment do. I agree that state-sanctioned isolation for decades, possibly life, is the most appropriate response.

    I listened to an interesting podcast on Big Ideas about the evolution of less aggressive humans. It included the idea that most hunter gatherer societies practiced capital punishment as a major arm of this process.

  26. guytaur says:
    Friday, March 15, 2019 at 5:00 pm

    Its now official. We have right wing terrorism in this country

    Actually, to be technically correct, we seem to be exporters of terrorists, which would put us up there with Saudi Arabia.

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