BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor

The BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintains its steady course overall, but with signs of the Greens losing ground.

Another fairly uneventful week in the world of BludgerTrack, which has only nudged 0.1% in favour of Labor on two-party preferred and one on the seat projection (the gain being in New South Wales), despite their one-point improvements in the week’s Newspoll and Essential Research polls. If there’s anything worth noting, it’s that the Greens have fallen below 9%, and One Nation are back up after a recent dip. Both pollsters also produced new numbers for the leadership trends, the only observable movement on which is that Scott Morrison’s net approval is slightly improving, for no immediately obvious reason. Full results through the link below.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,561 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor”

  1. Christchurch city centre is a sad place already with the broken buildings from the 2011 Earthquake, particularly the Cathedral, remaining in ruins.

    Once away from there, and close by, Hagley common and the Botanical Gardens are very pretty and enjoyable to visit.

  2. Dog’s Breakfast @ #547 Friday, March 15th, 2019 – 5:10 pm

    GG, Morrison probably saw Shorten’s response and had to lift his game

    I thought Shorten’s response was very good.

    Morrison has obviously been in meetings all afternoon and will be across a lot more detail. That he’s come out and delivered those words is to his credit. I’m not going to be looking for opportunities to snark him. The issue cuts across all politics.

  3. That was good from Morrison. Bang-on response and glad he called it out for what it is. They’re showing his q and As now and to his credit he’s basically thanked Shorten and said they basically tried to contact each other at the same time, and shared the same sentiments, and Shorten will get a full briefing.

  4. I expect the race is on to find Australian associates of the man named in Christchurch

    Will be interesting who is turned up and which media organisations have given them oxygen in the past.

  5. Barney

    Yes. Now however the denial stage of grief of belief we were immune somehow from right wing terrorism is destroyed.

    We will have to take right wing extremism connection to violence just as seriously as we do the Muslim connection

  6. ajm @ #497 Friday, March 15th, 2019 – 3:29 pm

    What’s the bet some idiot will say that all “foreigners” need to be driven out so there is no temptation for poor oppressed white people to attack them

    Yep. One of the usual suspects

    Senator Fraser Anning on Twitter: Does anyone still dispute the link between Muslim immigration and violence?

  7. Rossmcg @ #554 Friday, March 15th, 2019 – 5:20 pm

    I expect the race is on to find Australian associates of the man named in Christchurch

    Will be interesting who is turned up and which media organisations have given them oxygen in the past.

    Fraser Anning is already disgracing himself.

    Apparently, the perp is from Grafton.

  8. Awhooga ! Awhooga ! PM Morrison has upgraded his “thoughts and prayers” to
    .
    “I particularly want to express my sincere prayers and thoughts
    .
    Were the previous ‘thoughts and prayers not sincere ?

  9. Why doesn’t Murdoch just give up? This is a worldwide movement and he has no hope of stopping it.

    Student strike a walk in park
    JACK THE INSIDER
    By the morning, our new overlord could be a 15-year-old girl who likes hip-hop, chatting with friends on FaceTime and global conquest. (Oz headline)

  10. guytaur says: Friday, March 15, 2019 at 5:20 pm

    We will have to take right wing extremism connection to violence just as seriously as we do the Muslim connect

    **************************************************************

    …… and if we want to take to task all those responsible for the killing of **innocents** – how about those politicians in the West who could/should be charged with war crimes and crimes against humanity ?????

    Jump in Poroti – you have names in your blackbook …..

  11. Okay, so Morrison and Shorten are on song, but where is Andrew Bolt? And, while I am at it, all the other hairy-chested nut jobs from the other side of the aisle? I wonder when the call go out for Christian/White people to be asked (a) admit their religion is essentially a terrorist organisation and (b) work to curb the power of the leaders of these radical groups. Whoops! I forgot, one is in the slammer already.

  12. ajm @ #557 Friday, March 15th, 2019 – 5:22 pm

    ajm @ #497 Friday, March 15th, 2019 – 3:29 pm

    What’s the bet some idiot will say that all “foreigners” need to be driven out so there is no temptation for poor oppressed white people to attack them

    Yep. One of the usual suspects

    Senator Fraser Anning on Twitter: Does anyone still dispute the link between Muslim immigration and violence?

    That from a guy whose antecedents committed mass murder of Aboriginals.

  13. citizen @ #560 Friday, March 15th, 2019 – 5:25 pm

    Why doesn’t Murdoch just give up? This is a worldwide movement and he has no hope of stopping it.

    Student strike a walk in park
    JACK THE INSIDER
    By the morning, our new overlord could be a 15-year-old girl who likes hip-hop, chatting with friends on FaceTime and global conquest. (Oz headline)

    JtI showing his age there.

    Anyway, she couldn’t possibly do a worse job than the klutz we have leading the country now.

  14. Zoomster: “Why do these things always happen on Friday afternoons?”

    You have my sympathy. At least it’s not Christmas Eve or the day before Good Friday.

  15. Senator Fraser Anning on Twitter: Does anyone still dispute the link between Muslim immigration and violence?

    Yes, I do.

    Here’s a question for you.

    Does anyone still dispute the link between RWFWs and violence?

  16. From stuff.co.nz updates:

    Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern says that those arrested are not on watch lists.

    “I think we should be vigilant against extreme ideology and extreme violent acts,” Ardern says when asked if too much focus has been placed on Islamic-terror instead of white supremacist views.

    Ardern says security agencies are and need to be blind to where it comes from – they simply need to be vigilant against violent extremism.

    The Prime Minister says she will be asking questions of her security agencies about not seeing this earlier and about access to firearms.

  17. “Does anyone still dispute the link between RWFWs and violence?”

    Only dickheads like Anning the little rodent. 🙁

    Sad day. But…good to see that it has so far been seen as above politics by the mainstream here.

  18. Thanks to this piece of work and the people he attacked, this is going to probably create issues in Australia, let alone Australians travelling abroad.

  19. I see a controlled white hot rage in Ardern when she speaks directly about the offenders who did this. She is taking this personally.

  20. On the subject of NZ firearm laws, a woman I was friendly with some years ago had a brother who was a keen outdoorsman. Huntin’ and fishin’ etc. in Africa and NZ.

    Fortunately she was not similarly inclined.

    He actually kept guns in NZ for his trips there. After his death it fell to her to sort out some of his affairs, including the guns. Some, she was told by authorities, could not be licensed in WA.

  21. And the death penalty is too good for these people. It turns them into martyrs. Let them rot in jail for the term of their natural lives.

  22. New Zealanders can be very proud of their Prime Minister.

    Strong determined totally rejecting hate. Not a millimetre given to the terrorists

  23. Have read some of the responses by Morrison and Shorten to the NZ shootings.

    To their credit both spoke well to this.

    Fwark but there are some sad case idiots in the world though that made this happen.

  24. citizen+C@t

    You misread Jack the Insider. He is actually taking the piss out of the ‘Murdoch’ fogies in particular the IPA’s John Roskam. Following that paragraph he writes.
    .

    In response to the national and global rallies, Australian commentators invoked Stalin, Lenin and Mao. Boil them all up in your Pol Pot and we’re good to go.

    More particularly, the arguments went, the spotty-faced ones should be sent to their rooms and be given no Marxist dialectics for supper……………..

    ………………………………….If John’s argument is anything to go by, it is only a matter of time before we are dragged out of our cars while waiting at the drive through of fast food restaurants, and torn limb from limb. The newspaper boy could be planning to burn our houses to the ground.

    It has all got a bit silly.

    My question to John(Roskan) is, when did the IPA become opposed to freedoms of assembly, association, movement and expression?

    https://outline.com/95NpDV

  25. Thanks for the heads up citizen and poroti. It’s all too easy to grab the wrong end of the stick today. I still reckon she could do a better job leading the nation than the klutz we have running it atm. 🙂

  26. I am reminded of my Grandfather, over 60 years ago, telling me that the Right is more dangerous than the Left

    At times such as this I am reminded of his words – unfortunately not for the first time

  27. imacca @ #583 Friday, March 15th, 2019 – 5:54 pm

    Have read some of the responses by Morrison and Shorten to the NZ shootings.

    To their credit both spoke well to this.

    Fwark but there are some sad case idiots in the world though that made this happen.

    Some people have too much time and money on their hands. Idle hands are the devil’s playthings.

  28. You have the lowest creature (cockroach is a good description) Anning trying to raise his own profile on the back of tragedy.

    And SKY news plays the YouTube vid by the terrorist. I mean seriously, how can they be Australia Network? They should be stripped of that and it should be given back to ABC

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