BludgerTrack: 52.1-47.9 to Labor

The BludgerTrack poll aggregate continues to record a voteless recovery in Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings.

Two new polls this week, a particularly strong one for Labor from Essential Research and a stable one from ReachTEL, produce a 0.4% shift to Labor on this week’s reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate. Labor gains two on the seat projection, those being in Victoria and Western Australia. Essential provided a new seat of leadership ratings, and these conformed with the existing impression of an upswing in personal support for Malcolm Turnbull that has so far done little to improve his party’s voting intention. Full results through the link below.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,845 comments on “BludgerTrack: 52.1-47.9 to Labor”

Comments Page 5 of 37
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  1. BW

    Nope you dug the hole you own it. You are the only one claiming calling out hypocritical Christians is branding all Christians with the same brush. Not I.

  2. frednk
    I don’t have a problem with writing critiques of selected groups of people for whatever reason.

    What I have a serious problem with is the careless use of sentences that start with ‘Christians…’

    The first reason is that such sentences are almost always wrong in fact.

    The second is that there are many, many christians who vote Labor and I would like them to stay that way.

    Pissing off your friends is as dumb as.

  4. But wasn’t the paid interview going to,stop the hounding of Barnyard?

    Paparazzi lurking outside his church on a Sunday morning? Well guess what, there was cheering from Barnyard when the media were pursuing Craig Thomson, Peter Slipper, those making the walk of shame into the TURC… any number of staged raids on union offices, Conroy’s office media in tow, Sam Dastayari hounded….

    You’ve made your bed Barnyard. Lie in it.

  7. g

    I imagine that you were a tad more sensitive to sentences that began ‘Gays… ‘ and ended up with some ratbag criticism of gays.

    Apply the same logic to ‘Christians’ and we will be on the same page.

  8. it must be tiresome to constantly have the media in your face, esp when you’re on leave.

    Please define ‘leave’, especially of the medical variety. I thought it meant you did not pursue your normal employment. Barnaby is cheating.

  9. Boerwar @ #199 Sunday, June 10th, 2018 – 11:27 am

    So, Trump reckons that the Russian invasion of Crimea was a democracy thing?

    Putin must have a video of Trump chewing on some sex workers’ excrement.

    ‘There’s always a tweet’ is used to demonstrate that Trump always contradicts himself. Either a Trump tweet of his own, or words he said in the recent past that totally counter what he is saying today.

  11. BW

    Wow what a defence!

    How weak of you. Just another way to try and discredit and demean me because I pointe out the hypocrisy of those pretending they love gay people and not standing up for their rights.

    Woohoo! What got you so upset? Is it the Queens Birthday Weekend during Pride Month?

    Is it seeing men hugging each other on the football field wearing rainbow colours?

    What a hill to choose to die on!

  14. Rule No.1 with paps: Never respond, as annoying as they might be. All you do is given them exactly what they want.

  15. This is a a genuine video by the NRA to mark national best friends day. How crazy is America!

    NRAVerified account@NRA
    In honor of #NationalBestfriendsDay, we celebrate the friendship of firearms and suppressors. It is vital that we make suppressors more accessible.

    Who’s the suppressor to your firearm? Tag your best friend!

    https://twitter.com/NRA/status/1005239036817141760

  16. g

    I am glad that you have now come to your rational senses and that you have decided never to use counter-productive sentences that begin with ‘Christians…’

    It took me a few posts to get it through to you but the effort was worth it.

  17. There is an “activist” tradition in Christianity. The ideas of “vocation” and of “calling”, the invocations to missionary action, their professed acts of “witness” are all examples of this.

    At its most ardent, this tradition at least gave an excuse to the Crusades and to many campaigns of conquest, subjugation and expropriation, not to mention the history of inquisition and bloody internecine religious sacrifice.

    This is not theology as contemplation, communion and scholarship – a Quaker’s path. It is not the comedy of Rowan Atkinson. It is predatory, acquisitive, reactionary and punitive. It is militant. It is political. It is warlike.

    After all, Christianity is a faith premised on the necessity of a public act of human sacrifice. Tell me it’s not all about fear.

  19. My wife gave birth to our daughter on Thursday afternoon to our daughter. She weighed 3,130 grams (6 pounds 9 ounces) and came home yesterday. Mum and baby are doing well.

  21. b
    He set up a rude demand before he arrived. He arrived late. He left early. As soon as he leaves he goes out of the way to insult the host personally.
    He is destroying the West on behalf of Putin and Xi.

  25. If there is a Newspoll sue beware of what it may present on polling numbers

    The Murdoch media has vested interest

    The Editorial in the Sunday Herald Sun is headed “Give silent majority a break”, detailing in the opening words hard working families are being hit week after week with rising bills and they wait for pay rises which never come

    But from there the 4 columns are devoted to the government’s tax legislation concluding “Reducing the tax rate and addressing bracket creep will incentivise work”

    And “hard work and success is properly rewarded”

    Not by wage increases but by tax cuts

    At the expense of what and who tax revenue is appropriated to, no doubt

    Murdoch will be looking to Newspoll numbers to prosecute the “silent majority” line, no doubt

    So beware

    They may even be writing to a result which is known to them

    And no doubt there will be an ancillary question on tax cuts – you can back it in

    There are other puff pieces on the government’s proposed tax legislation

  26. g
    Your lack of logic will do that for you.
    This is my last post to you on the topic of insulting Christian Labor voters.

  27. grimace @ #219 Sunday, June 10th, 2018 – 11:44 am

    My wife gave birth to our daughter on Thursday afternoon to our daughter. She weighed 3,130 grams (6 pounds 9 ounces) and came home yesterday. Mum and baby are doing well.

    I did try to upload a couple of photos (from TinyPic), they appeared when I previewed the post, but didn’t appear. Any guidance?

  29. Well, I just finished watching the ABC Landline episode on “vertical farming”. Interesting, in a “through the looking glass” kind of way. It quite ably demonstrated why most vertical farming startups go bankrupt.

    But, at least they were not as unrealistic as I expected. They did acknowledge that they were not going to be able to feed the world with this technology, and it is only commercially viable in places where there was a concern for “food miles”, an emphasis on “quality” and “purity”, and no concern about cost.

    I had to laugh out loud when they claimed that they produced “pharmaceutical-grade food”. I’m sure the starving billions will be pleased that the elite consumers of the rich nations are being protected from nasty impurities as they scoff their kale and lettuce.

    Because that’s the other thing that came out of this program. Vertical farming is only really commercially viable for “leafy greens”. Basically, garnish.

    Also, they are not yet using renewables to power these vertical farms. Clearly that would push the capital costs -already high! – up dramatically. And, as one vocal critic of vertical farming has pointed out ** the idea of using solar panels to convert sunlight to electricity, so that you can then convert the electricity back to artificial light to grow crops is not just a little silly – when you add up all the inefficiencies and losses in such a system, it is also incredibly wasteful. Someone should do the maths as to how much area you would need to cover with solar panels to power your farm. I am fairly sure the answer will be that you could more cheaply grow more crops on that same amount of land if you just used soil and sunlight.

    ** https://www.alternet.org/food/why-growing-vegetables-high-rises-wrong-so-many-levels

  31. b

    I know some devout christians who would read your post and disagree with it. They would say that it is all about love.

    I don’t really want to get into theology, or sects, or any of G’s increasingly bizarre crap.

    All I want people to do is to tread very carefully when they start as sentence thus ‘Christians… ‘.

  32. BW

    Nope this is you showing your homophobia. How dare a Gay person point out the hypocrisy of the Christians who profess to love someone who demonise and persecute them.

    In the case in Russia even denying their existence to let the killing go on.

    I don’t see equivalence to Christians who preach hate are hypocrites really. It just shows you are crazy to try and make this a hill to die on. Crazy with homophobia is the only explanation I can think of.

  40. Grimace

    Congratulations to you and your wife.

    Is this Grimette No.1? If so I pass on the advice given to me on the birth of my first: You have embarked on the greatest adventure of your lives.

  41. Grimace

    If its your own image you are trying to upload you need to install an app to do that like Imgr I think its called

  42. Perhaps if Barnaby moved to a desert island he might enjoy the sort of privacy he demands. Otherwise he’ll just have to get used to it, at least while he remains a MP.

    Despite Barnaby Joyce’s tell-all interview with Seven’s Sunday Night program just a week ago, it appears the former Deputy Prime Minister is still attracting attention from paparazzi who want to know more.

    The backbencher took to Twitter on Sunday to plea for privacy after apparently spotting a man with a camera “hiding in the bushes” outside a church that he attended for Sunday mass.

    “We did the Sunday program to stop this, this is why we need a tort of privacy,” Joyce said in one of two posts on Twitter.

    The man with a camera, who did not identify himself or who he worked for, accused Joyce of “sizing him up” to “punch him” in footage of the incident.

    “You pulled your right hand back and if I hadn’t of actually walked away, you would have clubbed me,” the man said.

    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/politics/federal/barnaby-joyce-turns-camera-on-paparazzo-hiding-in-bushes-to-snap-him-leaving-church-20180610-p4zkm6.html

  48. grimace – that’s a far nicer photo than the one from the G7.
    Congratulations – all the potential in the world.

  49. grimace

    Congrats on the expansion of the grimace tribe. More name suggestions for the grimette ‘Grimbalina’ or for more traditional the Old Norse , Grimilde . Now get back to your sleep deprivation 🙂

  50. The employers of a photographer who accused Barnaby Joyce of sizing him up to punch him in an extraordinary altercation outside an Armidale church are considering filing a police report.

    The former deputy prime minister this morning took to Twitter to post footage of the run-in between him and the photographer, who has been identified as Matrix Picture Agency employee Guy Finlay.

    The Australian understands Matrix are considering whether to file a police report.

    Mr Joyce is currently on medical leave, following a public backlash over his decision to accept $150,000 from the Seven Network for a television interview with his media adviser-turned-partner Vikki Campion.

    Mr Joyce defended the interview, which screened last Sunday, saying the money would go into a trust for their baby son, Sebastian.

    This morning he posted two videos of Mr Finlay in an Armidale street.

    “We did the Sunday program to stop this, this is why we need a tort of privacy,” Mr Joyce posted alongside the first video, which showed him repeatedly asking Mr Finlay for his name.

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