A ReachTEL poll for Sky News finds Labor maintaining its 54-46 lead from the last such poll a month ago. However, the primary votes are not quite as strong for Labor as last time, when Labor’s two-party lead was subdued by a strong flow of respondent-allocated preferences to the Coalition. This time the Coalition is up one on the primary vote to 34%, while both Labor and the Greens are down a point, to 36% and 10% respectively, and One Nation are steady on 7%.
The poll also finds 56% of respondents opposed to company tax cuts, with only 29% supportive, and only 26% thinking it likely the cuts will be passed on to workers, compared with 68% for unlikely. Not surprisingly, a question on whether Tony Abbott should return as Liberal leader after the next election finds little support, with 25% for yea and 64% for nay.
Together with the Newspoll and Essential Research, the ReachTEL results have been included in the lastest BludgerTrack update, which once again records essentially no change on voting intention, with ReachTEL’s strong result for Labor cancelling out a weak one from Essential Research. However, Labor is up two on the seat projection for Queensland, mostly because Galaxy’s 52-48 lead for the Coalition in that state in a Courier-Mail poll a month ago is no longer exerting its pull. Also included are the latest leadership ratings from Newspoll, which take a small bite out of Malcolm Turnbull’s net approval and preferred prime minister lead. We should have Newspoll’s quarterly state breakdowns next week, which will make the BludgerTrack state breakdowns a little more robust.
If you’re a Crikey subscriber, you can enjoy my piece today on how the recent halt to the rise of minor parties might play out in the Senate over the coming years. Below is a chart I knocked up to illustrate it, which I decided not to use. It combines federal and state election results, so that the reading at any point in time uses results from the most recent elections federally in each state, with each election weighted by its voting population.
Bool, exactly my point!
People got hysterical. Everyone and his dog came out of the woodwork suddenly ‘knowing’ all about cricket, moralising.
My anger/hysteria stems from my belief the crowd reaction was over the top.
Yes it is just a game. I love cricket but I recognise it is just a game. I also recognise these men made a mistake/mistakes but the way so many ‘nailed these guys to the cross’ (someone above made that allusion) when the ICC gave them a single match suspension shows how over the top the crowd outrage is was.
My other observation is that without personally knowing these men, we’ve had people saying things like ‘I never liked him anyway’ ‘he’s a Prima donna’ … claiming corruption (evidence?), claiming nastiness, claiming that because they lived ‘in a bubble of superiority’ they must somehow have a warped view of the world. Judgmental bullshit, in other words.
Most of it is throwaway hearsay. It is a demonstration of the “Twitter/Daily Telegraph uneducated mentality” where as human beings, we are fed ‘impressions’ from various sources and take them away as gospel (pun intended).
LU not logged in @ #141 Friday, March 30th, 2018 – 12:27 am
Thanks for this, LU. Very interesting. It highlights just how much the misinformation from certain sources is hindering our ability to put proper solutions in place.
lizzie @ #257 Friday, March 30th, 2018 – 6:32 am
Still early here, but thanks lizzie.
Enjoying unaffected sport. Woodchopping at the Easter show
It passed under the radar, but one of the closest results in the SA election occurred in the seat of Morphett, which the Liberal candidate (and former Collingwood footballer) Stephen Patterson won with some 60% of the 2PPP vote.
If the hard-working Labor candidate had got about 300 fewer votes, or former Liberal Duncan McFettridge and all the other candidates who preferenced him had gained about 300 more votes between them, McFettridge would have retained the seat he lost by a hair’s breadth in the preselection.
Welp, you’re certainly entitled to your view Jen, as are others.
And FWIW I’ve been watching and enjoying cricket since as long as I can remember. I have never approved of Smith as captain as I don’t believe he has the leadership skills required for the role. This episode has proven my opinion has merit. Ditto Warner.
Fess
Sorry! What ‘ist’ applies to forgetting the different time zones, I wonder? 😆
jenauthor @ #201 Friday, March 30th, 2018 – 9:33 am
I think peoples’ reaction to the blatant cheating was a manifestation of years of watching on as our high profile cricketers went about their careers in a less than respectful manner.
From my point of view, Bancroft and Smith have shown genuine remorse. They now ‘do their time’ and come back when/if their form warrants… and we all move on.
Victorian upper house still working through fire rescue bill. It’s been going for 20hrs. Both sides very determined 😆
All sport should be played in Dunlop Volleys
Well said jenauthor
Just a game and hysteria food for the tabloids. Lots of talk and people standing in judgement of others making bad decisions when dealing with what is a lucrative business for some.
Glenn Dyer’s TV Ratings
Mar 27, 2018
https://www.crikey.com.au/2018/03/27/glenn-dyers-tv-ratings-387/
I posted a screen shot of TV audiences a couple of days ago. The above may be of further interest (or not).
☕ Plus toast and vegemite – breakfast of champions.
Not sure if this is sarcastic or genuine. Apparently in the new release of Roseanne she’s an ardent Trump supporter!
William,
I’ve tried to use this site on mobile the past few days and I’m getting rouge hijacking adds that take over the page. I dont click on anything but they automatically load and redirect the page.
And remember that yesterday it was reported that Trump’s lawyer said Trump would pardon Manafort and Gates…
booleanbach @ #190 Friday, March 30th, 2018 – 9:20 am
If you think battery prices are going to halve in 6-12 months, you have not read the article you posted very closely.
You install solar + batteries to reduce your C02 emissions, not to save money.
KayJay @ #212 Friday, March 30th, 2018 – 9:49 am
Plus mushrooms – breakfast of champignons 🙂
I’ve been reading about Lithium batteries halving in price in the next 6-12 months for a least a decade.
Diogenes says:
Friday, March 30, 2018 at 12:35 am
…”No one gives a toss about the Commonwealth Games. It’s a third rate side show”…
Definitely.
But a fourth rate city like Adelaide hasn’t a chance of ever hosting one.
Player One @ #217 Friday, March 30th, 2018 – 10:00 am
I love it ❗ 😂😂😂
🐘 Elephant Stamp
Ides of March. not logged in @ #214 Friday, March 30th, 2018 – 9:50 am
Good I am glad I am not the only one experiencing that on my mobile
This ball tampering meme has got out of control.
https://twitter.com/twitter/statuses/979138955181371393
phoenixRed:
If you’re still around, it would seem the emoluments clause might still be in play. I had no idea courts were still hearing the cases.
Constitutional expert Laurence Tribe’s take on the court ruling:
laughtong @ #221 Friday, March 30th, 2018 – 10:09 am
Are you using an Ad Blocker ❓
Ides of March
I got one for the first time when I went to PB last night. I think I’ve defeated it, however. Seemed to be connected to Samsung (my phone).
lizzie @ #226 Friday, March 30th, 2018 – 10:18 am
Mine is a samsung as well. I think I have got rid of it. I don’t have an ad-blocker on the mobile as its very short on memory. I might try to get something on it though now.
A couple of dozen Syrian children have been murdered since David Warner fondled Captain What’s-his-face’s balls…
“But a fourth rate city like Adelaide hasn’t a chance of ever hosting one.”
Kevin Foley said we wouldn’t want it.
Confessions says: Friday, March 30, 2018 at 10:11 am
phoenixRed:
If you’re still around, it would seem the emoluments clause might still be in play. I had no idea courts were still hearing the cases.
**********************************************
From what I can gather Confessions – it has been a contentious issue that Trump has flouted constitutional safeguards against corruption by maintaining ownership of his business empire while in office. Trump has failed to disentangle himself from his hotels and other businesses, making him vulnerable to inducements by officials seeking to curry favor.
Trump, has ceded day-to-day control of his businesses to his sons. Critics have said that is not a sufficient safeguard.
…. and in todays news :
Emoluments Lawsuit Against President Trump Allowed To Proceed
A federal judge has ruled that a lawsuit alleging President Trump is violating the anti-corruption sections of the Constitution, known as the emoluments clauses, can proceed.
Federal District Judge Peter Messitte, in Greenbelt, Md., ruled that Maryland Attorney General Brian Frosh and District of Columbia Attorney General Karl Racine have legal standing to sue Trump. They allege that Trump wrongly profits when foreign officials do business at the hotel he owns near the White House.
https://www.npr.org/2018/03/28/597734486/emoluments-lawsuit-against-president-trump-allowed-to-proceed
The Independent Australia article from BKs Dawn Patrol , on Turnbull’s office signing off on Campion’s new position focuses on the point that didn’t arise this week. Why did the PMO have to sign off on the job if at the time she wasn’t a partner of Joyce?
Or from the other perspective, Joyce and Campion being partners had to get approval from the PMO for the position to go ahead, therefore Turnbull’s office knew of the relationship and so he (Turnbull) lied to parliament when asked if he was aware of it.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/joyce-campion-and-turnbulls-approval-when-is-a-partner-not-a-partner,11343
Lizzie, Laughtong
Samsung as well. I close the browser completely and reload the page. Open it back up and boom, same thing.
Also P1 on mushrooms, Gary Lincoff died, there was an obituary for him in today’s SMH.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/gary-lincoff-fungi-fanatic-was-pied-piper-of-mushrooms-20180328-h0y382.html
The sledging involving Warner’s wife raises interesting questions. Sledging is bad and sledging of relatives/slut shaming is absolutely deplorable BUt Warner is a public figure and sportsman, who I hope has had some training and support in negotiating difficult situations. Was the violent reaction appropriate?
Diogenes says:
Friday, March 30, 2018 at 10:23 am
…”Kevin Foley said we wouldn’t want it”…
.
I have no idea who that is, but someone should tell him that Adelaide is bidding for 2028.
Good luck.
Ides of March. not logged in @ #214 Friday, March 30th, 2018 – 9:50 am
I had the same thing last night on my mobile – not a Samsung but a Chinese brand, Ulephone.
It was very aggressive and I had to repeatedly close the browser to get rid of it.
phoenixRed:
It’s such a rort. Apparently DoJ officials use Trump hotels whenever they travel and this is some edict from above to do so.
Definitely misuse of public money.
shellbell says:
Friday, March 30, 2018 at 9:46 am
All sport should be played in Dunlop Volleys
Many years ago, that was the only shoe that Sydney Bushwalkers ever used.
And they worked just fine. Cheap, light, good grip, breathable.
But wear them or something similar on the Overland Track in summer (I use a very light ‘cross trainer’ which sadly is no longer available, grips on wet rock, (which ‘proper’ boots do not!), a delight to wear) and I am here to tell you that the local Tassie self-appointed Boot Police will give you hell.
I just told them to get stuffed.
sprocket_ says:
Friday, March 30, 2018 at 8:58 am
Fun quiz (no googling)
Q: Who are these people?
David Peever
Earl Eddings
Dr Bob Every
John Harnden
Tony Harrison
Jacquie Hey
Michelle Tredenick
——————
People who did something constructive?
Probably not related to bloody cricket.
** But a fourth rate city like Adelaide hasn’t a chance of ever hosting one. **
Hee hee.
Hey! Dissing Adelaide is MY GIG!
I personally benefit from the poor rating people in other states give Adelaide. I can afford acreage with a large modern house in a leafy ruralesque suburb only 20minutes from the CBD and an international airport. So dont you EastCoasters ever think of moving into this 4th rate city and ruining my lifestyle!
I googled, they’re all cricket pod people.
A of E
Very lucrative for some!
I know how Peever is so that provides a clue to the others. But I won’t spoil it.
In his Previous life Peever was a senior Rio executive and that attitudes that he brought to his current role caused some angst last year.
54-46. Hmmmm, when one of these repuatable pollsters hit a 55-45 (regardless of if it is just an anomaly MOE type reading) there will be a lot of huffing and puffing from the little engine that could.
Not sure Turnbull can survive it, even considering the lack of contenders.
sprocket_ says:
Friday, March 30, 2018 at 8:58 am
Fun quiz (no googling)
Q: Who are these people?
Remember how Labor is run by a group of faceless men (+/- women)?
…”So dont you EastCoasters ever think of moving into this 4th rate city and ruining my lifestyle!”…
.
I’ve honestly never been, but have heard nothing but bad things.
And it is relatively easy to purchase your fantastic plonk at my local bottle shop, which is a five minute drive from here, and a million miles from there.
Yeeesss.. I don’t think you can talk about people getting hysterical and then equate what’s happening with ‘being nailed to the cross’.
Brian_Boru @ #245 Friday, March 30th, 2018 – 10:48 am
It’s hard to say that any more when Bill Shorten is out front of the show. 🙂
Disputes between cricket players and the cricket board have included violence
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Six_cricket_dispute_of_1912
Too many people know about my bit of paradise now. So I’ll probably have to put up with that obnoxious nob, Rowan Dean, when he comes to our Easter Sale again this year. 🙁