First up, BludgerTrack has proudly moved into the twenty-first century with a new fully interactive feature, offering hitherto hidden detail on state-level primary votes and the seat result probability estimates that are used to calculate the final result. Also included are the leadership rating trends, and there’s a facility for viewing raw opinion data throughout the current term.
The results as shown are updated to include the ReachTEL and Essential Research results, and the former has had a particularly big impact on voting intention, the primary numbers being even worse for the Coalition than the headline two-party result suggested. However, despite the 1% lurch to Labor on two-party preferred, there is little change to the seat projection, as the Coalition has had some stronger numbers lately from all-important Queensland, and Labor was largely punching into thin air with its gains in New South Wales and Victoria this week.
Then there’s the regular fortnightly result for Essential Research, which is notable in having both major parties at the low ebb of 35% on the primary vote, with the Coalition down one on a fortnight ago and Labor down two. This helps One Nation recover two points to 8%, with the Greens steady on 10%. Also unchanged is Labor’s two-party lead of 53-47.
Further questions relate mostly to the Barnaby Joyce situation, with a question conceived before his resignation on Friday finding 34% wanting him to leave parliament, 26% thinking he should resign as leader but stay in parliament, and only 19% thinking he should remain leader of the Nationals. Forty-four per cent expressed approval of “media reporting on politicians’ private affairs”, with 41% disapproving.
The poll also finds more respondents than not in favour not only of the ban on sex between ministers and their staff, but also on politicians having extra-marital sex altogether, and between managers and staff in the workplace. Twenty-two per cent even favoured a “ban on sex between workmates in general”, with 55% opposed. A rather particular question on health insurance policy finds 48% supporting removing the subsidy on private health insurance premiums and using the funds to include dental care in Medicare, with 32% opposed.
Just when you think we’ve reached Peak Stupid….
https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/Car-Explodes-When-Cigarette-Lit-After-Body-Spray-475644053.html
There’s no electron microscope powerful enough to discern an object the size of my interest in the paternity of Barnaby’s “partner’s” baby. In fact, the less I know about it, the better.
However, why isn’t Barnaby being hounded out of Parliament for accepting a gift valued at tens of thousands of dollars from a party donor who greatly benefits from a bizarre decision to mave the pesticide authority to his electorate. Because the donor isn’t Chinese?
And why isn’t Bishop being hounded for getting the taxpayer to pay for her boyfriend to accompany here on various junkets to fashion shows and sporting events. Why can’t he pay for himself?
Who said the age of entitlement is over? Whatever, it wasn’t meant to apply to Coalition mates, just everyone else.
Steve777
You couldnt get more of a sense of entitlement than from the coalition.They think that they are bloody royalty.
Steve777
No need for an electron microscope. Your interest can be seen with with the naked eye 🙂
.
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2161094-a-single-atom-is-visible-to-the-naked-eye-in-this-stunning-photo/
Thanks for correction, Jeff Kennet assumed office 5 months after the pokies were introduced.
SNL’s Trump backtracks on his ability to save ‘everybody’: ‘I can only run into so many schools’
Saturday Night is back from its Olympics hiatus and ready to pick up where season 43 left off.
Trump has a bold plan for gun control: “Maybe we should take everyone’s gun away. Nobody is allowed to have a gun, not even whites.”
The alternative? Trump overcomes his debilitating bone spurs in to save children while unarmed and facing down a crazed gunman with an AR-15.
“I can only run into so many schools and save everybody,” Trump says. “I’m actually very fast runner, people don’t even know… I’d run to North Korea, totally unarmed… I’d pick up Little Rocket Man and throw him over the Great Wall of Korea.”
Trump’s mood was dampened by losing some of his most trusted allies.
“I hate seeing her go but I love watching her walk away,” he said of Hope Hicks, who he loves like a daughter. “Jared Kushner’s probably the hottest chick left in the place and he’s going to jail soon.”
https://www.rawstory.com/2018/03/snls-trump-backtracks-ability-save-everybody-can-run-many-schools/
Steve 777, so eloquent
This affair highlights the gilded cage that Canberra politicians and their entourage live in, where money is showered upon them as unpoliced daily living away from home allowances, barely questioned travel expense accounts and donations register which is revealed 18 months after the event on top of their lavish salaries.
Political staffers are usually political party hacks hired by the politician and are more powerful than the departmental public servants with knowledge of the portfolio area
Anyone who seriously thinks Labor will get any where near winning the number of WA seats in the Bludger Track side bar have really taken a huge slurp from the Kool Aid. It will not happen!
Atlee: Anyone who seriously thinks Labor will get any where near winning the number of WA seats in the Bludger Track side bar have really taken a huge slurp from the Kool Aid. It will not happen!
They only have to win 1 to form government.
Clem Attlee says: Sunday, March 4, 2018 at 4:52 pm
Anyone who seriously thinks Labor will get any where near winning the number of WA seats in the Bludger Track side bar have really taken a huge slurp from the Kool Aid. It will not happen!
*******************************************************
From a purely selfish point of view – as long as Steve Irons/ Division of Swan – gets thrown out on his arse, I will be very, very happy ……
Labor may pick up two or three, but that will be it.
Looks like Murdoch media is doing an arse covering exercise over its sleazy stories on Barnaby, in case he is tempted to do something silly.
Also from a purely selfish point of view, I’ll be happy if Hastie is one of those who loses his seat. He is of no value whatsoever to our parliament.
Confessions says: Sunday, March 4, 2018 at 5:04 pm
Also from a purely selfish point of view, I’ll be happy if Hastie is one of those who loses his seat. He is of no value whatsoever to our parliament.
***********************************************
Thanks Confessions – I had totally forgotten about that a-hole – OK , him AND Irons too !!!! ……
I was under the impression that Kevin Wyatt and Porter in Pearce would be the most likely to be chucked with a small swing to Labor. The removal of Hastie would be a nice thing to have but is probably a bit too much to get.
Fess
I had a patient whose car stopped running. He wasn’t sure if it had run out of petrol so opened the lid on fuel tank, still couldn’t see anything as it was too dark and lit his cigarette lighter to look in. It didn’t end well.
Ides of March not.logged in says: Sunday, March 4, 2018 at 5:09 pm
I was under the impression that Kevin Wyatt and Porter in Pearce would be the most likely to be chucked with a small swing to Labor. The removal of Hastie would be a nice thing to have but is probably a bit too much to get.
***********************************************
Golly Gee Ides now you have got me cornered :
OK – lets get rid of Irons, Hastie, Wyatt, Porter – need 2 more for the 6 …. come’on we are on a roll for the clean out of WA !!!! – whose left ??? ……. Jewellery Bishop ??? ( yes please ) …..
Ides of March not.logged in @ #3200 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 5:09 pm
We don’t really need Hastie’s conservative christian mindset in the parliament do we ?
In order of preference to go – #1 Hastie
I really hope the media haven’t been speculating about the paternity of the kid, allegedly forcing Barnaby to comment.
That’s really gutter journalism.
Clem….the overwhelming view of WA voters is the LNP could not care less about WA…they are going to get a huge kick
Why do voters keep voting in wangkers just because they are in whatever party? It certainly does not encourage the parties to find the best candidates for an electorate.
I hate the idea of people dumb and/or useless earning hundreds of thousands of dollars more that me when I am worth more than a dumpster load of them.
For example, in the up coming state election, if I was in her electorate, Indendent former ALP MP Frances Bedford would get my vote ahead of the man the ALP foisted on the electorate when they found out the original choice to replace her (as Frances was going to retire) was about as popular as herpes. An SDA party heavyweight and not even living in the area, the former health minister, whatisname, is on the nose due to the Modbury Hospital f#ckups.
They thought they could parachute him in, but the polls must have dived like a stuker bomber, coz the next thing he announces his retirement and some young bloke who lived somewhere else until he rented a place in the electorate (yeah that one will fly…), with a profile about as high as the 3rd reserve on the Onkaparinga Gaelic Football team, is on the ticket.
So if I had a chance I know where my vote would go.
Rex Douglas says: Sunday, March 4, 2018 at 5:20 pm
We don’t really need Hastie’s conservative christian mindset in the parliament do we ?
******************************************************
In 2018, we don’t need Hastie’s 1800’s conservative christian mindset in ANY situation do we ?????
Briefly
It’s funny you should say that. I was reading comments from some arch WA conservatives on a blog and they were saying the same thing. Something about Turnbull ignoring WA.
Dio:
There was also a guy a few years ago who was refuelling at a petrol station, a spider crawled along the side of his car, but instead of just let it keep on crawling he tried to kill it with his lighter. Suffice it to say that too didn’t end well for him or his car.
Diogenes @ #3416 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 4:16 pm
Hm
Deserves a Darwin award methinks
Federal politics is highly Sydney-Canberra-Melbourne centred ….WA might as well be another country…voters here are well aware that we are taken for granted by the LNP….
I’ll be sad if Wyatt loses his seat. Our parliament needs more indigenous Australians and from what I can glean, Wyatt has respect across the aisles.
Dio
I got the impression the reporters were just as dumbfounded as the rest of us, by what Barnyard said.
And if they did Barnaby could have just told them to mind their own ^&%%^ business and to stop maligning Campion.
briefly:
I’d argue ACT is also ignored by coalition govts, but not Qld.
Pretty much SA, Tas, WA and NT are also ignored by coalition govts.
William’s fully interactive feature (link above) may shed some light on the WA debate. Select WA. Scroll and then click on column heading “L-NP probability”.
briefly says:
Wadda we want ? Seccession!Wenna we want it ? Now ! 😀
Paid up RupertRooter Paul Murray has a ‘NewsPoll Wow’
Could be just pulling PVO’s leg, but he is one of the Turnbull deathriders
Confessions @ #3213 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 5:30 pm
Don’t they want the NT as a tax haven for their political donors… ?
One time overseas I was in an old bus where the petrol tank was inside the vehicle beside the driver. The petrol was delivered from a jerry can held by a cigarette smoker and the ash was falling on the tank during refuelling. The only obvious doorway was beside the tank. An interesting minute or so!
Confessions says: Sunday, March 4, 2018 at 5:28 pm
I’ll be sad if Wyatt loses his seat. Our parliament needs more indigenous Australians and from what I can glean, Wyatt has respect across the aisles.
********************************************
Don’t disagree with your sentiments, Confessions – but realistically, politically , he is batting for the wrong team ….
Maybe now that reality has set in mr and mrs Joyce are having a rethink and reconciliation is possible. After all when faced with selling the family home and getting a job at age 50 many a woman will receive back an errant husband. Maybe of a Ministerial salary Barnyard could afford to give Natalie and the girls a generous settlement but on a back benchers’s salary, this will shrink quite a bit. Without knowing what financial committments he may have the usual sort of thing for a family such as his. Since Natalie Joyce has been out of the workforce for some time she would not command a very high paying job so probably could not handle a very high mortgage.
Remember Brendan Nelson who was so broke after his divorce he rented Joe Hockey’s shed.
Porter is the WA Tory I would most like to see gone.
He is the very worst kind of modern Lib, entitled with extremist views on everything.
Best of all he is touted as a future PM and it would be good to knock off one of them.
Ken Wyatt (when you are a minister and people get your name wrong you have a profile problem) seems inoffensive so I don’t much care about him.
The previously mentioned Irons is just dodgy (charging the taxpayer for the fare to his own wedding says it all) so it would be good to see the back of him, not least because there would be a third generation Beazley (Kim’s daughter Hannah) in the parliament.
Hastie and the odious Keenan are probably a bridge too far but we can only hope.
phoenixRed:
I actually know Ken Wyatt through mutual friends, and you could’ve blown me over with a feather when I heard he was a Lib candidate. Never would’ve expected that from what I knew of him.
Rossmcg
Porter an uber FIGJAM . ‘Twould be marvellous to see him turfed out.
According to the reports Barnaby is all over the shop. Yesterday complaining that he had never been asked about the paternity (when the story broke), and today complaining that he has been hounded about it (in the past week).
I feel sorry for the child.
Yesterday
Today
Confessions says: Sunday, March 4, 2018 at 5:37 pm
phoenixRed:
I actually know Ken Wyatt through mutual friends, and you could’ve blown me over with a feather when I heard he was a Lib candidate. Never would’ve expected that from what I knew of him.
***********************************************
Anything I have read or heard about him tells me he is a genuinely nice guy with a good heart towards his people – just sad he hitched his wagon to the LNP – who despite all glossing over – are basically white racist supremacists in their thinking and could care less about our indigenous population
Puffy
Snelling was a disgraceful health minister. Bedford is very popular and should get in IMHO although who knows what will happen.
It’s not hard to start the rumours you later have to come out and reluctantly confirm….
Question:
OMG that is awful from Barnaby!
What in blazes is the man thinking?!
Confessions
I’m starting to have some sympathy for him in that imagine the stress and pressure of his whole world crashing down. DPM to joke in 60 seconds. It may be of his own doing but the stress is real enough.
“I really believe I’d run in there even if I didn’t have a weapon and I think most of the people in this room would have done that, too.” – Trump.
The funny thing about this is not just the heroic view he has of himself, but the way he thought just about everyone would do the same. Pictures from the actual event show that the normal reaction is to run away.
But my favourite (this week) is
“trade wars are good, and easy to win”
poroti:
Yes, I agree. I couldn’t believe he didn’t take the offer of leave to lay low, get his shit together and at least try to put back the pieces of his personal life. Alas he didn’t do that, choosing instead to run commentary in the media every day. And here were are today.
At this point with the DT showing no signs of abating the War on Barnaby he should just learn to say two words and two words only to all media inquiries about his personal life: “No comment!”
Dio.
Snelling, yes that is his name.
I do not even know the ins and outs of his time as health minister but I do know everyone seemed glad to see the back of him.
Checking his Wiki he has been in parliament since the age of 24 so I do not know where he got his expertise in Health.
Fess,
He should try being quiet for a month and see how that goes.
DTT,
Yes, it does seem that reality is settling in, but a backbencher pay is still more than most get.
Poroti,
I feel sorry for the child.
poroti @ #3445 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 4:57 pm
Poroti
As am I. Yes he is a right wing boozing fool, but there is still one helluva human tragedy unfolding.
The media had NO RIGHT to ask about paternity. That is beyond the pale. On the other hand if I were Barnaby I would still try to find out the truth.
It depends upon whether it was a fling gone wrong or genuine true love. If it was a fling gone wrong, then leaving you wife and 4 daughters, selling the family home and having all of you financially done over is a big price to pay. If the child is his then certainly he should fork out big time to support the child, but if the child is NOT his he owes the mother not too much.
Now may be it is true love, but! but. but.