BludgerTrack: 52.7-47.3 to Labor

Following Newspoll, the latest poll aggregate reading washes away the Coalition’s gains from the earlier polling since New Year.

This week’s Newspoll result had added 0.3% to Labor’s two-party reading on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, and added one seat to their national on the seat projection, the gain being in South Australia. The biggest change on the primary vote is an improvement for One Nation, who reversed a weakening trend over the past few months with the latest poll. Newspoll also recorded a weakening in Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings, but evidently the aggregate had this priced in already, as the trend results show little changed on last week. As always, full results on the sidebar.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,222 comments on “BludgerTrack: 52.7-47.3 to Labor”

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  1. Good morning

    mpesce: Now doing better in this interview than any other National in all of recorded history, this raises the question of why McKenzie isn’t running for the leadership #insiders

  2. Malcolm NanceVerified account@MalcolmNance
    6m6 minutes ago
    #Breaking House Democrats Intel memorandum is out. Carter Page was so shady the FBI started Investigating well before he was in Steele Dossier. 2013 incident made FBI suspicious. The FISA, his travel & lies to HPSCI even more suspicious.

  3. Brian Krassenstein ‏ krassenstein

    BOOM!! Democratic Memo just released!!!

    http://docs.house.gov/meetings/ig/ig00/20180205/106838/hmtg-115-ig00-20180205-sd002.pdf

    Brian Krassenstein ‏ krassenstein

    I’ll sum up the Dem memo since the page is overloaded. Carter Page and the Trump campaign was surveilled well before the FBI even obtained the Steele Dossier.

    Nunes is lying and should be charged with conspiracy to obstruct justice.

    Thanks Adam Schiff

  4. guytaur @ #1758 Sunday, February 25th, 2018 – 9:21 am

    Good morning

    mpesce: Now doing better in this interview than any other National in all of recorded history, this raises the question of why McKenzie isn’t running for the leadership #insiders

    I don’t agree. Bridget Mackenzie just being a very polished politician in getting out her talking points. I don’t think that is a good thing.

  5. Cat

    She is miles ahead of Joyce in performance. I don’t agree with the polish she is trying to do. I can appreciate her performance in the attempt however.

  6. mpesce: The essential Nats belief is that the 80% of Australians who live in the cities are somehow illegitimate and undeserving and have cheated their way into everything they have. #insiders

  7. Boerwar says:
    (Sunday, February 25, 2018 at 9:31 am)

    “Those that can, teach.
    Those that can’t, go to the Senate.”
    ———–

    Isn’t it conventionally:

    Those who can, do!
    Those who can’t, teach!

  8. Mr Pesce Futurist is on the money this morning

    mpesce: Wow and so the other thing that happened this week is that it was made clear that if any woman makes a private complaint of sexual harassment, that woman will lose her privacy as a result.

    Nice going.

    #insiders

  9. Boeufblogginon: #insiders

    Who outed the woman who did a #metoo on Barnaby? Who benefits most? It seems to be a warning against any others who may be thinking about following her action.

  10. There is a case for making steel with electricity instead of coal, but please keep in mind that steel-mills are generally more efficient in their use of coal than power plants are.

    So while you still have the bulk of your electricity coming from coal-fired power plants, it is counter-productive to instead make steel using electricity. You would end up emitting more C02 than you would if you simply burned the same amount of coal at the steel plant.

    Steel-making accounts for about 13% of worldwide coal production. By far the largest use of coal is in electricity generation. The first and most important thing to do to reduce C02 emissions is stop burning coal to make electricity. Especially thermal coal.

  11. Tank9999: #insiders It seems Bridget McKenzie is modelling her deputy Leadership on Julie Bishop
    She’ll be a LOYAL DEPUTY to whoever is leader, for as long as they’re leader, no matter what

    Do the COALition have a training school for that???

  12. I didn’t understand MacKenzie when she said that the party room would ‘democratically elect a new leader’, but the said by convention the leadership is not contested as their is a single consensus cand for leader ?

    So what is it? A contested, democratic vote for the position, or a negotiated deal with a chosen MP presented as leader?

  13. @ItzaDream

    just made it to the dry cleaner on the way to the airport
    such class

    You did better than me. I am sitting in my slightly musty coat on the fast train between the Incheon airport and Seoul. According to receipts in pocket, last warn in Canberra in July last year.

  14. Boerwar

    Has humanity passed peak iron ore use?

    (Not sure where you are going with this.)
    I doubt it.
    Even if we still use coal for smelting ore, we can provide carbon offsets. Once we have abundant cheap energy, then new options for carbon sequestration will also open up, to augment the usual biological ones.
    There will always be processes that generate greenhouse gases. The issue is to ensure appropriate offsets.

  15. A cancelled parliamentary press card should have a date (December 2016), reason as well as complaints and person responsible for the cancellation.

    This could establish who knew what when.

  16. “#ReachTEL Poll Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 33 (-1) ALP 37 (+1) GRN 11 (+1) ON 7 (-1)”
    How on earth is Labor only 54-46 on those figures?

  17. Maria Cunningham @ #1795 Sunday, February 25th, 2018 – 9:44 am

    @ItzaDream

    just made it to the dry cleaner on the way to the airport
    such class

    You did better than me. I am sitting in my slightly musty coat on the fast train between the Incheon airport and Seoul. According to receipts in pocket, last warn in Canberra in July last year.

    Bit silly cryptic of me Maria. I was looking at the Turnbull’s fetching the unpacked dry cleaning from the boot of the car as they climb up the steps for ALL the WAY to the USA, not exactly a classy look for the well healed sophisticated experienced traveller.

    Safe travels to you.

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