The latest Essential Research poll has Labor’s lead unchanged at 54-46. Beyond that, I’m a bit tied up at this point to discuss the attitudinal results (chief among which is 64% support for a royal commission into banking), but they are as ever summarised in The Guardian, and will be available in complete form when the full report is published later today, together with the primary vote numbers. I believe we should also have YouGov along later today.
UPDATE. YouGov/Fifty Acres: 53-47 to Labor
The fortnightly YouGov/Fifty Acres poll has Labor’s lead out to a new high of 53-47, but this is due to preferences rather than primary votes: Labor and the Coalition are now tied on 32% of the primary vote, after Labor led 34% to 31% last time, with One Nation steady on 11% and the Greens down a point to 10%. There is also a preferred prime minister question recording a 31% tie, with Malcolm Turnbull rated strong by 21%, weak by 41$ and neither by 30%.
The poll records an interestingly high level of support for constitutional change allowing dual citizens to run for office, with 46% in favour and 40% opposed. Also featured are national approval ratings for the Bennelong by-election candidates, both of whom do very well on both name recognition and personal support (40% favourable of John Alexander and 28% unfavourable; 39% and 29% for Kristina Keneally). Forty-six per cent support new religious protection laws in same sex marriage legislation, with 36% opposed; 55% say the government has a responsibility for the safety of asylum seekers on Manus Island, with 36% for the contrary. The poll was conducted Thursday to Monday from a sample of 1034.
The full Essential Research report has the Coalition up a point on the primary vote, to 36%, Labor steady on 38%, the Greens steady on 9% and One Nation steady on 8%. Sixty-four per cent of respondents favoured a banking royal commission, with only 12% opposed. Questions on the economy produced a mixed bag: 33% rate its state as good with 24% for poor, but 39% think it headed on the wrong direction compared with 31% for right. A question about economic issues of concern finds the highest ratings for anything to do with prices, particularly energy prices, and lesser but still substantial concern about income tax and interest rates. Forty-nine per cent supported incentives and subsidies to speed the transition from fossil fuels to renewables, 16% leaving it to the market, and 12% who wanted intervention to slow the process.
GG
Yes, a joint leadership ticket.
The last one the Libs had was the Howard Costello ticket just before the 2007 election.
That went well didn’t it?
I’m still laughing at the memory of the 7.30 Report interview those two newfound bosom buddies held with Kerry O’Brien all those years ago.
What’s happening?
Bernardi’s in the chair!
FWIW, those grubs look like cockchafer larvae.
https://www.google.com.au/search?q=image+cockchafer+larvae&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&client=firefox-b&gfe_rd=cr&dcr=0&ei=sh0dWoCQCs3N8gff2o6IAw
Attempting to persuade an IS soldier that the Caliphate is not inevitable or that murdering infidels isn’t the path to Paradise is a pointless exercise. Maybe years of deradicalisation will do it, but conversations based on pointing out flawed logic or appealing to higher values are futile. Thus it is, attempting to engage in conversation with those who have a pathological hatred of the Greens.
BW:
m
Classic Greens Party Long Bow!
It is just as well we don’t have an Caliphate fans or Greens haters here: except if there are some self-loathing Greens about. They are the worst sort, apparently.
Boerwar, for cris’ sake, change your jocks or use vaseline, if that’s what it does to you!
Bw – Scarab Grubs?
VP – Beat me to it on Scarab grubs!
While Joyce may not lose at the ballot box is it nevertheless possible that his personal issues overtake him and cause him to resign? What are the scenarios for his replacement if this were to happen either before or after the by election day?
VP
The cockchafer larvae we normally see in gardens eat (grass) roots.
The first sign of heavy infestations in when patches of lawn die.
The second sign can be when enthusiastic Ibis rip up dying lawns to get at the cockchafers larvae.
I imagine that adults could well eat leaves but do not have a clue about adult stages.
FS
LOL. I assumed that Rowe was subtly working in the cockchafer meme but also that some Bludgers mightn’t have got the entire point of the Rowe’s cartoon.
shiftaling @ #457 Tuesday, November 28th, 2017 – 7:34 pm
Canavan!
Maybe Canavan’s mum could stand.
Actually, I don’t think it would matter much if Abbott and Turnbull were to be reconciled. Abbott seems to have largely dealt himself out of the game with his somewhat outrageous utterances, while Turnbull has been wandering around in la-la land for some time.
You’ve got the new RW players coming along and even Bernardi who might just find it convenient to rejoin the Libs if he sniffed a chance of being in a position of power.
Of course, there is that problem with moving the bus, first.
citizen @ #462 Tuesday, November 28th, 2017 – 7:41 pm
Turnbull pulls his personal funding and it’s Bedroom Mazurkah comrade.
36% willing to mark their “1” for the dumpster fire government. It’s inconceivable.
GG
It is not just the moolah.
Turnbull has repeatedly threatened to pull the pin the nanosecond they turf him out.
Turnbull should learn a valuable lesson from Trump. It seems that Trump is using his presidency to enrich himself in various ways while Turnbull on the other hand has invested a lot of his own money in gaining the PMship.
Perhaps Turnbull should take a leaf out of Trump’s book and build a mini golf course at chez harbourside mansion, then mandate that all VIP conferences be held there for a large fee.
Just a before bed totty for Turnbull to imbibe.
http://www.news.com.au/national/politics/labor-calls-for-michaelia-cash-to-resign-over-awu-raid-accuses-malcolm-turnbull-of-involvement/news-story/c704a4f2f0f558b401b076e8d995dab6
citizen @ #467 Tuesday, November 28th, 2017 – 7:53 pm
Fair comparison. Turnbull is a try hard. Trump does not care.
Interesting piece on 730 just now about the upcoming New England election, and the curious case of Barnaby going AWOL. Seems he’s arrogantly taking the electorate for granted. Or maybe he’s really scared of stuffing up, and feels safer going to ground. Funny, I haven’t actually seen any polls done during the campaign…
GG
It is amazing that there was still enough room for another boiling saucepan of merde on Turnbull’s stove top.
Nice QT ambush – I reckon Turnbull&Co would have forgotten about Cash&Co.
On parental rights, I don’t think a parent should be able to remove their child from classes.
They certainly have a right to know what is being taught in class and if subjects are raised that contradict their beliefs then they have the opportunity to discuss those differences with their child.
The question of religion is a bit different as it normally focuses on one particular religion.
In religious run schools you would expect them to run their own religious line but they should also have to point out where this conflicts with the Society’s laws.
In State run schools there shouldn’t be any single religion classes but if this is the case then parents should have the right to remove their child completely from the course.
I’m not against having religious education in State schools, in fact I would encourage classes in many religions that gave an understanding and appreciation of them and were conducted by a qualified teacher.
For this sort of religious education I would not permit parents to remove their child.
Ignorance of others is a problem for many Societies and I think having a better understanding of the differences in each other can help brake down some of the barriers that exist.
Big A
I didn’t buy the AWOL line.
BiGD
As long as the parents are willing to come in to the school to do the child minding, I don’t mind.
In practice that would knock out around 99% of any potential squawks.
Legal action launched over severe underpayment of people spruiking for charities and companies including telcos and energy providers:
‘citizen says:
Tuesday, November 28, 2017 at 8:03 pm
Legal action launched over severe underpayment of people spruiking for charities and companies including telcos and energy providers:’
Mandatory jail sentences are needed to put a stop to something that has become pervasive – wage theft.
That piece GG linked is from October.
The ALP is still after Cash, but Burke certainly wasn’t pursing her in QT today because Trumble ran away.
Excellent.
ratsak @ #477 Tuesday, November 28th, 2017 – 8:10 pm
As Professor fate said in the Great Race, “He who skulks and runs away lives to fight another day”!
I thought it sounded like Bernardi in the chair. Because it is
GG
Got me!
D Crowe from The Oz
‘The argument over a banking royal commission is turning into a political panic.
Nationals MPs are taking their own government to the brink of a crisis and helping Bill Shorten along the road to The Lodge.
“The government and its members are running around like a bunch of headless chooks,” says Shorten.
He is only partly right. The chooks are all in the Nationals’ pen. This is a revolt from a small part of the Coalition party room, with the Nationals divided and the Liberals holding the line. But the chaos is deadly all the same.
Malcolm Turnbull has held talks with Queensland Nationals senator Barry O’Sullivan to try to ease the pressure for an inquiry, but the idea of a commission has so much symbolic power that a compromise is hard to negotiate.
O’Sullivan has negotiated in good faith and the talks will continue. The key question is this: how will the victims of the banks benefit from years of inquiry? It is yet to be answered.
The Nationals are wounded by their Queensland election loss, searching for a cause to champion and bereft of their usual leadership. The party has no deputy following the departure of Fiona Nash and only an absentee leader while Barnaby Joyce contests his by-election.
Senior figures like Infrastructure Minister Darren Chester and Resources Minister Matt Canavan are speaking publicly against an inquiry but they look outnumbered. The test is whether the Nationals party room backs the government next week when asked to endorse the O’Sullivan bill.
…’
Turnbull’s last stand methinks!
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/argument-over-banks-inquiry-turning-into-political-panic/news-story/866e3ccfe17282c154c18ac044f910b5
It ain’t the nats that are panicking
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-queues-dover-border-travel-turkey-warning-chaos-a8079011.html
The UK sets itself up for frontier chaos. Tory Brilliance….Not!!!
The Nats are sandbagging. They know PHON are after them and they don’t give a flying if a bunch of city spiv Libs lose their seats. If that’s the price of retaining their own seats then the city spivs will just have to pay it.
Being in opposition is no where near as bad as being out of parliament as far as they’re concerned.
briefly
My understanding is that if just one of the 27 nations veto a trade agreement, the trade agreement does not get up.
Currently, that could well be Eire.
Given the history, it is unlikely that Eire will simply go along with vague promises from the UK that it will all turn out all right in the end.
Meanwhile in Bennelong today….
sproket,
I don’t know if Bill’s got internal seat polling that is making him smile a bit wider than normal. But he is sure as hell enjoying messing with Trumble’s mind.
Something to visualise as you go off to sleep tonight.
Go! Team Labor.
Sprocket:
Meanwhile in Bennelong today….
Geez, Labor is giving it their best shot!
KK is getting fantastic support from the leadership. She deserves to win.
Meanwhile, the LNP are divided and ineffective.
Something to visualise as you go off to sleep tonight.
BK, that is nightmare fodder!
From left to right.
Future deputy PM, future PM, future Foreign Minister, future Treasurer
Thanks BK I haven’t had dinner yet!
BK:
Some things cannot be unseen.
Latest amendment dies 41-22!!!!! 🙂
SM:
From left to right.
Future deputy PM, future PM, future Foreign Minister, future Treasurer
OK, but what about Tony Burke? He deserves a gong too.