ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

Overwhelming support for a banking royal commission, but stable voting intention in the latest ReachTEL.

A ReachTEL poll for Sky News has Labor leading 53-47, unchanged from the last such poll on October 25. However, rounding would have had to have worked pretty hard to prevent Labor gaining a point: the primaries have the Coalition down one to 33%, Labor up one to 36%, the Greens up one to 10%, and One Nation steady on 9%. Malcolm Turnbull’s lead in the forced response two-party preferred question is 52-48, compared with 51-49 last time. Also featured: 69% support for a banking royal commission, with 12% opposed.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,961 comments on “ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor”

  1. CTar1

    The real mystery is why Flynn lied. Such contacts and discussions between campaigns and foreign reps re polices affecting the two countries are absolutely SOP. Trump was to have a different policy to Obama so of course there would be meetings. Anyway let the hysteria roll on in the US of Idiocracy.

  2. Speaking of the Idiocracy. This guy looks a lot like Dean Alston. One of the Alston’s may have made good after all.

    As you read the article remember that the US is about to push through tax cuts that will add $1 trillion to the deficit over the next decade and you can guess who gets the $s.

    At the heart of Philip Alston’s special mission will be one question: can Americans enjoy fundamental human rights if they’re unable to meet basic living standards?

    The UN special rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights, Philip Alston, is a feisty Australian and New York University law professor who has a fearsome track record of holding power to account.

    A recent study suggests that nearly one one in three people in Lowndes County have hookworm, a parasite normally found in poor, developing countries…………….Life expectancy for men in McDowell County is 64 years old – the same as for men in Namibia.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/dec/01/un-extreme-poverty-america-special-rapporteur

  3. In the wake of Bishop Snr ‘Helicopter Ride” the National’s David Gillespie submission to the review of allowances:

    Prime Minister’s Department tries to hide Turnbull Government frontbencher’s cash grab

    Most MPs and senators’ submissions were publicly released, but bureaucrats decided to hide Nationals MP David Gillespie’s proposal.

    Dr Gillespie argued politicians in seats like his should annually be given:

    * Nearly $15,000 extra “charter allowance” for charter flights, hire cars, boat rides or taxis
    * 14 days more travel allowance for overnight stays within the electorate
    * An additional office
    * One more full-time employee

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-02/pms-department-tries-to-hide-frontbenchers-bid-for-extra-perks/9218658

  4. Peter Hartcher speculates on Dutton’s long term prospects…

    “He’s not impatient for the leadership and he’s realistic enough to see that he is unpopular with the people. He knows that he has to change his image. That will take time. At 47, he has plenty of it.

    But while he’s working for the success of the Turnbull government, he, like all of his colleagues, has thought about the party’s options if it can’t be salvaged. He’s given colleagues the idea that, in the face of inevitable defeat at the next election in the next year to 18 months, he’d hope for a gracious Turnbull resignation. This would open the way to an “easy handover” of the leadership.”

    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/malcolm-turnbull-can-breathe-easy-this-will-be-a-killing-season-without-a-killing-20171201-gzwogj.html

    Funny Hartcher doesnt seem to consider the obvious point that Dutton will very likely lose his seat at the next election.

  5. KayJay

    I haven’t kept up to date then on the blocking front (never used it).

    I’m sure I recall ar’s first attempt once the authentication method change as part of William’s very successful ‘break for sanity and freedom (plus a bit of style)’ revamp of PB could only ‘block’ all ‘AnonBlock’ marked posters.

  6. poroti

    Such contacts and discussions between campaigns and foreign reps re polices affecting the two countries are absolutely SOP.

    They’re indeed.

    But the one about ditching the recently announced trade sanctions was a direct undermining of Formal US Foreign Policy and generally considered ‘not in the park’ pre-an election result.

  7. Trog Sorrenson @ #1713 Friday, December 1st, 2017 – 4:00 pm


    The price curve above (already posted – I apologise) shows exactly why the Snowy 2.0 business case will go up in a puff of smoke. Every time more battery capacity is added, as grid installations or behind the meter, the price variations flatten off a little more. Once batteries are ubiquitous they will virtually disappear.
    Big centralised pumped hydro is dependent on being able to contract for a low price to pump water uphill and make money (inefficiently) generating when prices are high. In a year or two the only market for Snowy 2.0 will be if a major grid outage isolates a bunch of energy sources leaving the Snowy connector unscathed.
    Due to the 20% inefficiency deficit of pumped hydro compared to batteries on the charge-discharge cycle, it won’t be able to compete.
    It’ll be like the SA desalination plant. A great idea at the time, now running at only 10% capacity.

    All batteries have losses due to round-trip efficiency, which you’ve referred to as an “inefficiency deficit”, ranging from the high single digits for the most efficient lithium batteries, to about 20% for a flow battery.

    If SA doesn’t need their desalination plant then please send it to WA, our three plants, supplying roughly 50% of our water, are running full bore 24/7.

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