BludgerTrack: 53.6-46.4 to Labor

Very slightly better news on the poll front this week for the Coalition, although Labor maintains its thumping lead on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

The only poll this week was a slightly-less-bad-for-the-government result from Essential Research, which takes some of the edge off last week’s surge to Labor. The Coalition’s two gains on the seat projection consist of one apiece in Queensland and Western Australia. No new results on leadership ratings this week.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

636 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.6-46.4 to Labor”

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  1. Editorial from the Saturday Paper.

    This is the man who suggested that refugee advocates had coaxed people into self-harm. The man who suggested with no evidence that refugees were paedophiles. The man who ignores the facts of the wicked edifice over which he presides: that people are destroyed here, by rape and violence and mental sickness, and that these terrible facts are not accidents but part of his deliberate system of deterrents.

    This is the man who looks at all this and sees only relish. “I enjoy it a lot.”

    Dutton’s is a career of moral turpitude. Nowhere can he point to good. His portfolio is this nation’s disgrace.

    More than anyone in this government, he stands on real corpses. He stands on women destroyed by rape, and children robbed of their childhoods by imprisonment. He stands on a calculus of cruelty.

    It is this man who is touted as a future leader of the Liberal Party. The Australian has written a draft of the speech he would give. It draws on family values and a celebration of his simplicity.

    There is nothing to celebrate in Dutton.

  2. The Mark Taylor ‘Fireman Prophet’ referenced by Zoomster below, is quite a celebrity in the US.

    The ex-fireman, who also parades as a professor when he writes books on the Freemasons and Illuminati, made a prophecy before the US election which some evangelicals took to mean Trump was the saviour, or wtte. He appeared on a number of tele-evangelist programs, including Jim Baker’s one (Jim the Redeemed Fornicator).

    So his drawing together of the evidence is compelling, DNA manipulation, Trump, Freemasons – with the use of the 440hz part of the spectrum by the media the killer fact. This also explains why 32% of Americans still support Trump

    https://icliks.wordpress.com/2017/01/05/mark-taylor-false-trumpet/

  3. confessions

    PhoenixRed:

    If you haven’t already done so you should check out today’s Rowe. So very apt.

    *************************************

    Yes Confessions THANKS – Rowe is an absolute genius !!!! ………. all his cartoons remind me of Scenes from Hell and one can spend 5 minutes combing through his depictions and find so many hidden clues

  4. ‘What everyone was afraid of’: Ousted aides Priebus and Bannon warned Trump not to fire Comey to avoid ‘firestorm’

    As Special Counsel Robert Mueller investigates a draft of President Donald Trump’s letter firing former FBI Director James Comey, news about the decision-making process behind that infamous termination keeps coming to light.

    According to a Politico report, White House aides like now-fired staffer Reince Preibus tried to warn Trump against firing Comey because it could create a political “firestorm.”

    Priebus was joined by recently-fired adviser Steve Bannon and White House counsel Don McGahn

    “It turned out to be what everyone was afraid of,” one adviser told Politico. “A pivotal point for his presidency, and not a good one.”

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/09/what-everyone-was-afraid-of-ousted-aides-priebus-and-bannon-warned-trump-not-to-fire-comey-to-avoid-firestorm/

  5. Morning all

    Schindler sums up state of Trump imbroglio

    John Schindler
    John Schindler @20committee
    ·
    5h
    The Lizard came. Team Mueller is on the case. Putin’s throwing Donnie under the Chekist bus….in public. All coming to a head — and end.

  6. Time and time again, It has been shown that Trump never coughed up any money he promised To charity. Even if this time, he does cough up the 1 million dollars pledged. I say big deal. Didn’t he say he was worth 10 billion dollars? 1 million in percentage terms is small potatoes for someone supposedly worth this much.

  7. BK @ #15 Saturday, September 2nd, 2017 – 7:50 am

    Meanwhile a nationwide poll of 1,032 people conducted by Essential Research has found that 73% of Australians support voluntary assisted dying.
    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/sep/01/voluntary-assisted-dying-supported-by-73-of-australians-poll-finds

    So – more people support voluntary assisted dying than support same sex marriage?

    Plebiscite Now! People who dare oppose this must be morally corrupt deathophobic ignorant bigots!

  8. sprocket_ @ #52 Saturday, September 2nd, 2017 – 9:29 am

    So his drawing together of the evidence is compelling, DNA manipulation, Trump, Freemasons – with the use of the 440hz part of the spectrum by the media the killer fact. This also explains why 32% of Americans still support Trump

    https://icliks.wordpress.com/2017/01/05/mark-taylor-false-trumpet/

    The frequency of A above middle C in the standard equal tempered scale can manipulate DNA?

    Maybe nuclear holocaust isn’t the worst thing that could happen to the planet.

  9. A weirdo noise and shaking across Adelaide last night. GA say not an earthquake, it was thunder – yet the small storm was still 100km away. Some strange type of disturbance ahead of the storm? Adelaide has large temperature inversions. Maybe RAAF base up to something?

    Aliens, of course, cant be ruled out. Because if they were going to cause a kerfuffle, they would choose Adelaide.

    Twitter smarties have been all over it.
    :large

  10. Good point

    Ale @aliasvaughn
    ·
    1h
    This is someone Trump trusts and who has been a loyal of his since day 1. If HE is quitting, it means all hell is breaking loose.
    Philippe Reines @PhilippeReines
    Replying to @PhilippeReines
    Rumor is bodyguard Keith Schiller is quitting. Not insignificant. He’s who outsiders call to circumvent official channels to get to Trump.

  12. I think Socrates hit the nail on the head with a Freudian slip earlier referring to the SA Liberals as:

    ‘Toytalitarians’.

    It especially suits the federal Liberal Party and Malcolm Turnbull who is afraid of Tony Abbott’s shadow!

  14. Whilst I think it PB worthy to talk meteorological phenomenons effecting my sleep at 2am, I do not see SA Liberals as PB worthy. Even Marshall’s eyebrows (try as they might) stuggle to keep his own eyes open when talking about this terrorism nonsense.

  16. **Maybe that’s why they tend to occupy the leafier suburbs!**
    And you should see them come out with their walking sticks and defend any tree that someone wants to cut down. All of a sudden they become environmentalists when the vegetation is in their suburb.

    The Burnside shopping centre that was built around and over a large tree is a perfect example. The tree later died, of course.

  24. US Cops.
    What Poroti said. And US police forces are far less centralised than ours and Europes. Being more localised can lead to greater ‘culturalisation’ within a local force. the training standards can vary substantially. Not sure on this but i think selection can also be quite localised.

  25. White House Aides Admit That Uninformed Trump Gets His Information From Fox News

    White House aides admitted that the President Of The United States uses Fox News as his primary source of information, not the intelligence community.

    The New York Times reported, “Mr. Kelly cannot stop Mr. Trump from binge-watching Fox News, which aides describe as the president’s primary source of information gathering. But Mr. Trump does not have a web browser on his phone, and does not use a laptop, so he was dependent on aides like Stephen K. Bannon, his former chief strategist, to hand-deliver printouts of articles from conservative media outlets. Now Mr. Kelly has thinned out his package of printouts so much that Mr. Trump plaintively asked a friend recently where The Daily Caller and Breitbart were.”

    It is not a coincidence that with Trump reliant on Fox, the network has seen a ratings decline. The ideology being broadcast by Fox News has fallen out of favor with roughly two-thirds of the country. By allowing himself to be guided by Fox News, Trump is running his presidency straight into the ground.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/09/01/white-house-aides-admit-uninformed-trump-information-fox-news.html

  26. A weirdo noise and shaking across Adelaide last night.

    It could be ‘inversion thunder’. Lightning strikes the ground through a layer of cold air near the ground and the sound is trapped in the layer of cold air. It is much louder than normal thunder. We had that in a 5:00AM thunderstorm in Sydney last May, on the day after the Manchester bombin. Many Sydneysiders called the Police.

  27. ‘He won’t abide such treatment’: Gen. Kelly said ‘nobody has spoken to him’ like Trump in his 35-year career

    Gen. John Kelly might be the next to leave the White House.

    During a recent “dressing down” by President Donald Trump, new White House Chief of Staff John Kelly told aides that he’s never been spoken to like that in his whole military career.

    According to a report by the New York Times, Kelly reportedly told sources close to a fight between the president and his chief of staff in August that he won’t tolerate such behavior again.

    After lashing out at Kelly when staffers “gently suggested [Trump] refrain from injecting politics into day-to-day issues of governing after last month’s raucous rally in Arizona,” he lashed at Kelly, who happened to be “the most senior aide in his presence.”

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/09/he-wont-abide-such-treatment-gen-kelly-said-nobody-has-spoken-to-him-like-trump-in-his-35-year-career/

  31. **It could be ‘inversion thunder’.**
    Yeah, the storm was way off across the gulf at that stage so even tho the thunder would have had to travel a long distance it would explain how it was heard and felt across a large section of Adelaide.

    Adelaide doesnt normally get storms like Sydney. People here seem flabbergasted that thunder could shake windows (I remember some thunderclaps in Sydney that rattled the tiles on the roof).

  32. confessions

    “Gen. John Kelly might be the next to leave the White House.”

    Jeez, totally like a series of Survivor!

    ****************************

    That is if Rex Tillerson doesn’t beat him to it – he’s rumoured to have one foot out the door and ready to jump off the Trumptanic ……….

  33. PhoenixRed:

    I can’t imagine how anyone works with him. No wonder he has to surround himself with his family, they are the only ones prepared to put up with his crap!

  35. SK
    This incident in Perth shows you how far the inversion can ‘funnel’ sound.

    Mystery solved: Perthquake ………….”The windows in my house – I was in the kitchen – started rattling quite severely

    …………….The exercise was performed more than 90 kilometres off the West Australian coast but because of the weather conditions it was felt throughout the Perth Metropolitan area.
    “We have had an inversion layer out there and with onshore breeze, it appears to have carried the sound and a sonic boom over the mainland,” Mr Booth said.

    http://www.abc.net.au/local/stories/2011/04/07/3185360.htm

  36. SK

    Adelaide doesnt normally get storms like Sydney. People here seem flabbergasted that thunder could shake windows (I remember some thunderclaps in Sydney that rattled the tiles on the roof).

    The local rescue helicopter does a decent ‘roof rattle’ here on it’s way out and back from the Hume Hwy multiple times a week.

  37. confessions

    PhoenixRed:

    I can’t imagine how anyone works with him. No wonder he has to surround himself with his family, they are the only ones prepared to put up with his crap!

    **************************************

    Well this article says it all about some of The Family :

    Here are 8 reasons Jared and Ivanka are as useless and detestable as anyone in Trump’s White House

    Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump—or Javanka, as some terrible person has dubbed them—moved to Washington, D.C. eight months ago certain they’d become America’s preeminent power couple. Turns out that vision was clouded by an inability to see beyond their own cloistered versions of reality.

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/08/eight-8-reasons-jared-and-ivanka-are-as-useless-and-detestable-as-anyone-in-trumps-white-house/

  39. This is a very interesting podcast about domestic violence in sport and the media’s handling of it. Retired UK and USA police officers, a writer for the show Criminal Minds and a guest discuss different topics. It iscalled Real Crimes Profile if you have to google it. Episode 62.

    “The RCP Team (Jim Clemente, Laura Richards and Lisa Zambetti) are joined by a special guest, Paul Sullivan (host of the Sully Baseball Podcast) to discuss Eliza Samudio’s brutal murder & her goalkeeper ex who admitted to killing her, being released from prison and signed by Boa Esporta. ”

    https://soundcloud.com/real-crime-profile/episode-62-dv-sport-and-the-nfl-and-so-much-more

  43. Inversion thunder is rare because the sort of weather conditions that create inversions (typically calm, clear nights or sea breezes) are quite different to those that create thunderstorms (turbulance, warmer, moist air rising). Occasionally they come together, for example a front moves turbulent air over the top of the inversion.

  44. Ctar1
    I have been in one of the big transport helicopters (wholly F!). I would imagine they would blow off your socks if they flew overhead.

  45. Simon K

    “A weirdo noise and shaking across Adelaide last night. ”

    It was Terrorism!! The SA Liberals were right to warn us. I was so wrong. People of Adelaide, go to your bomb shelters now!

  47. If future PM Shorten wants to reduce traffic congestion without spending billions on freeways and make privatised utility companies more responsible at the same time, this is a great idea: charge them each time they close a road to do work. The longer the closure, the higher the cost. UK Councils have found this has greatly reduced road closures and traffic delays.
    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-41127734

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