Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Apart from some slight improvement in Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings, Newspoll continues to record no change since before the budget.

The latest Newspoll is absolutely unchanged on the post-budget result from a fortnight ago, with primary votes of Coalition 36%, Labor 36%, Greens 10% and One Nation 9%, and Labor leading 53-47 on two-party preferred. Nonetheless, Malcolm Turnbull’s approval rating is up for the third survey in a row, this time by two points to 35%, although he’s also up a point on disapproval to 54%. Bill Shorten is up one on approval to 33% and down one on disapproval to 53%, while Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is all but unchanged at 45-33, compared with 44-31 last time. As always, the poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday by The Australian from a sample of around 1700.

UPDATE: Here’s the BludgerTrack update I should have run a couple of days ago:

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,158 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. but we can’t retrospectively rename everything when the person named after turns out decades later to have unpopular views.

    Which is why it’s a good idea to name significant buildings after important people once they’ve died. Therefore no embarrassing blow back if they decide to turn numpty.

  2. Unlike the Churches, I don’t think that the ‘gay community’ is attempting to recruit new members by indoctrinating children.

    Pffft. Don’t you know that the “gay lobby” has turned our schools into gay-promotional venues, what with all the ‘Safe Schools’ nonsense and telling people they shouldn’t bully the queer (or even just slightly wussy) kids. I mean, back in the day when a poofta could expect a good bashing there were no gays I tell you. If we let the little kiddies know that it’s ok to be gay they’ll ALL turn gay, and then where would we be?

    I hope I don’t have to clarify that I say this in jest?

  4. Ides:

    Yes that was posted a couple days ago and I believe several PBers signed up. Personally I am happy to volunteer my time on the phones if the campaign decides to go that way, as it did at the last election targetting coalition seats in Tas.

  6. Sen John McCain has been visiting this week to give a speech as to policy and our continued alliance etc. word is that he used the visit to prepare our leadership of what to expect going forward with Trump.

  9. * I’ve committed a great English sin. *They’re

    Lucky for you I’m not one of those tediously boring grammar and spelling pedants that creep around the internet waiting to strike. If I can understand what you’re saying it’s all good. 🙂

  11. I agree with Poroti. McCain has some ideas and thoughts I dont think most people here would agree with. Not sure that just because he appears sane compared to Trump we should be swept up by him. That being said, he is an interesting character and I have time for his comments.

  12. McCain is an ideological loon.

    If he is able to cast a check or balance as a Senator on the loose and incompetent excesses and over-reaches of President Trump then he is to be encouraged to speak out.

  13. Sky News Australia
    9 mins ·
    Australian Conservatives senator Cory Bernardi says he was shutdown while in the Liberal Party when trying to discuss the link between terror and refugees. http://bit.ly/2qxx1Kc

    Shorter Corey: “Waaaahh, nobody thinks I’m relevant anymore!!!! Waaah”

  15. Fess

    i daresay most of what McCain has had to say in this trip, was top secret squirrel stuff. Not for public consumption

  16. In the latest polling news from the US.
    The Daily Edge‏ @TheDailyEdge 2h2 hours ago
    More
    POLL: 57% of Americans disapprove of #covfefe, only 14% approve, while 29% say they haven’t tried it yet

  17. From the Guardian:

    Corbyn announces surprise decision to take part in tonight’s TV election debate
    Jeremy Corbyn has just confirmed that he will take part in the TV debate tonight. He did so at an election rally in Reading, after challenging Theresa May to join him.

    Theresa is going to look like a (bigger) idiot when she doesn’t turn up.

  19. Victoria

    i daresay most of what McCain has had to say in this trip, was top secret squirrel stuff. Not for public consumption

    Yes it did seem a bit “random” and so Hmmm that he came out here. To wave to the crowd during QT ? I think not.

  24. Like the ABC, ASIO doesn’t realise that it’s job description includes “boost the LNP line”. They forgot that they were supposed to link asylum seekers with terror.

  29. Trump pulls the US out of the Paris agreement. Latika posts:

    Latika M Bourke
    9 mins ·
    “The only other two countries that aren’t supporting the deal are Nicaragua and Syria.”

    Oh America….

  30. Greensborough Growler
    Wednesday, May 31, 2017 at 9:39 pm
    Trump taking the US out of the Paris agreement.

    The US has gone rogue.

  33. No bubble here. When property industry reps say there’s no need to panic, it’s time to panic (actually, it’s probably too late).

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/property/john-mcgrath-bursts-property-bubble-myth-20170531-gwh4zu.html

    In fact I would wish for a huge crash that would send lots of “investors” broke and drive the rest out of the market, except for the collateral damage to homeowners who paid inflated prices and the fact that recession would soon follow.

  35. Trump’s colossal errors must have an effect on political and economic developments in Europe and the UK, as well as in East and South Asia.

  36. Claude Taylor @TrueFactsStated
    ·
    33m

    Another reminder of why our allies are doing their utmost to assist US investigators. Removing Trump is a world wide necessity.
    Jonathan Swan @jonathanvswan
    SCOOP: Trump has decided to withdraw from the Paris climate accord. (link: https://www.axios.com/scoop-trump-is-pulling-u-s-out-of-paris-climate-deal-2427773025.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=twsocialshare&utm_campaign=organic) axios.com/scoop-trump-is…

  39. The US assembled a whole lot of institutions in the post-war era, including the IMF, the World Bank, the UN, GATT (now the WTO) and NATO, among others. They were also instrumental in the formation of the EU. Trump is clearly intent on disembowelling these institutions. In so doing, he will squander everything the US has had going for it over the last 70 years.

    The “fefe” bit of his tweet reads as if he has just snapped and put down his code for “f@#! europe/f$%^ everyone”.

    Trump wants to be loved. He is going to be hated.

  41. When I was on council, the guidelines were that a person had to be dead for at least thirty years before you could name something after them. Allows plenty of time for dirty linen to be aired…

  45. Matt31 and Ratsak on education. Absolutely correct!

    Education is ALP turf. The more the topic is in the news the better for them. The ALP made the agreements and at the 2013 election the LNP said it was a “unity ticket”.

    It takes a special brand of stupid to think the ALP have been wedged because the LNP have lost their ticket.

    To buy into the all too cute funding arguments you have to ignore $65 billion in company tax cuts.

  46. Wouldn’t it be nice if UK Labour end up with more seats in parliament? Even better if the shy Tory effect is weak this time and the polls have got their weightings wrong.

  47. The herald has some great Covfefe tweets

    Urban Dictionary definition: “When you want to say ‘coverage’ but your hands are too small to hit all the letters on your keyboard.”

  48. Donald Trump is US Prez because he sells lots of newspapers, generates clicks and online ad revenue. Hardcore lefties of remain his most devoted twitter followers and hashtag users.

    The longer people continue contributing to those circumstances, the longer he remains in the job.

    Cofefe or no cofefe, for goodness sake.

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