Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Apart from some slight improvement in Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings, Newspoll continues to record no change since before the budget.

The latest Newspoll is absolutely unchanged on the post-budget result from a fortnight ago, with primary votes of Coalition 36%, Labor 36%, Greens 10% and One Nation 9%, and Labor leading 53-47 on two-party preferred. Nonetheless, Malcolm Turnbull’s approval rating is up for the third survey in a row, this time by two points to 35%, although he’s also up a point on disapproval to 54%. Bill Shorten is up one on approval to 33% and down one on disapproval to 53%, while Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is all but unchanged at 45-33, compared with 44-31 last time. As always, the poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday by The Australian from a sample of around 1700.

UPDATE: Here’s the BludgerTrack update I should have run a couple of days ago:

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,158 thoughts on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  4. Good Morning

    So the LNP fabled budget bounce reset has failed to impress Newspoll as well. Steady as she goes is not good when you have done a political budget to boost your popularity.

  6. patrickjdo: Merkel: “The times when we could fully rely on others are to some extent over. I experienced that in the past few days.” twitter.com/ecoeurope/stat…

    brianschatz: He couldn’t have done more damage to world stability during this trip if he tried. And he tried. Saying this was a successful trip is nuts. twitter.com/patrickjdo/sta…


  7. Barney in Go Dau
    ..
    I agree, I’ve lived more than half my working life in other countries and I would never claim an understanding of any of them, maybe an appreciation of them but no more.

    After spending half my working life overseas I absolutely agree. My only conclusion; fathers and mothers love their children; and the rest is bullshit.

    We live a very privileged life in Australia; because of the success of the commonwealth; not because of the success of a few that have got rich taking advantage of it. We should be voting for people that believe in the commonwealth and not people who want to tear it down.

  9. davidfrum: Since 1945, the supreme strategic goal in Europe of the USSR and then Russia was the severing of the US-German alliance. Trump delivered.

  10. Angela Merkel’s Warning To The World Proves Trump’s First Foreign Trip Was A Disaster

    Merkel’s warning that the US can no longer be depended on is evidence that Trump’s first foreign trip was a complete disaster for the United States.

    The United States is losing power and influence in the world under Donald Trump. Instead of making America great again, Trump is carrying out the Russian goals of fracturing the West, weakening democracy, and undermining the world’s only superpower.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/05/28/angela-merkels-warning-world-proves-trumps-foreign-trip-disaster.html

  11. Trump Is Back and Angry as Ever As He Labels the Press Reporting WH Leaks the “Enemy”

    The embattled President of the United States is back in town, and just as angry and resentful as before he lost his phone privileges.

    Trump is trying to smear the press because he can’t answer for the revelations coming out of his own White House.

    It was so relaxing when Trump was in a different time zone and not allowed to tweet. But he’s back. Buckle up.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/05/28/donald-trump-mad-calls-leaks-white-house-enemy.html

  13. Adam Schiff Just Annihilated The White House’s Defense Of Jared Kushner

    Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA), the ranking Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, put the pieces together and ripped apart the White House’s defense Jared Kushner’s secret communications with Russia during an interview on ABC’s This Week.

    Schiff got to the heart of the matter. The White House’s defense of Kushner is based on a denial that the Russians meddled in the presidential election, and that they interfered to help Trump.

    Rep. Schiff brought up the key point that why would one of the closest people to Trump want to establish a secret communications channel with Russia that couldn’t be monitored right after an election that the Russians are suspected of helping them win?

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/05/28/adam-schiff-annihilated-white-houses-defense-jared-kushner.html

  14. Jared Kushner Seems To Think He Can Go Back To New York And Escape Potential Russia Crimes

    He has told friends that he and his wife, Ivanka Trump, have made no long-term commitment to remain by Mr. Trump’s side, saying they would review every six months whether to return to private life in New York.”

    Jared and Ivanka may bail on Trump, but the damage has already been done. Forget about the debate over Kushner’s security clearance; the larger question could end up centering around if he committed a felony.

    Trump got his kids into the Russia scandal and leaving town isn’t going to get them out.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/05/28/jared-kushner-york-escape-potential-russia-crimes.html

  15. Military expert urges Trump’s national security advisor to quit ‘for the good of the country and yourself’

    Writing at Politico, military affairs specialist and journalist Thomas Ricks urged President Donald Trump’s National Security Advisor, H.R. McMaster, to walk away from his job because he does damage to his reputation every time he covers for the scandal-plagued White House.

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/05/military-expert-urges-trumps-national-security-advisor-to-quit-for-the-good-of-the-country-and-yourself/

  16. Trump administration unable to fill Justice Department jobs because lawyers are avoiding him ‘like the plague’

    According to Politico, the President’s staffers are are coming up empty when it comes to tracking down legal minds interested in working for the president.

    “They were dealing with a pool that had already shrunk and, now, of course, some people will be avoiding it like the plague,” one GOP lawyer who worked in President George W. Bush’s administration told Politico. “The lesser-known folks are wondering if they’re going to take a huge reputational hit if the president of the United States starts tweeting about them. … There’s definitely some poisoning of the well going on in terms of who would take a job at this point.”

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/05/trump-administration-unable-to-fill-justice-department-jobs-because-lawyers-are-avoiding-him-like-the-plague/

  17. France’s Macron: Trump handshake was ‘not innocent’

    In an interview with the Journal du Dimanche Sunday, the French leader said his interaction with the American head of state was “a moment of truth.”

    “My handshake with him was not innocent. We need to show that we won’t make small concessions, even symbolic ones, while not overhyping things either,” Macron said.

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/05/frances-macron-trump-handshake-was-not-innocent/

  18. Although relations between Washington and Europe have been strained during periods since 1945, before Mr Trump there has rarely been such a strong feeling from European leaders that they must turn away from Washington and prepare to face the world alone.

    Ms Merkel said that Europe’s need to go it alone should be done “of course in friendship with the United States of America, in friendship with Great Britain and as good neighbours wherever that works.”

    But it was a clear repudiation of Mr Trump’s few days with European leaders.

    http://www.theage.com.au/world/angela-merkel-says-europe-can-no-longer-rely-on-donald-trumps-america-20170528-gwf3u9.html

  20. Good result for Labor in 2nd Newspoll since the Budget. I had to laugh at Morrison the brave goading Labor to,’ come with us,come with us,’ in the Parliament. Labors reply should be,’ follow us, follow us, oh you are.’

  21. For household recycling, we generally receive an annual flyer from the council telling us what should and should not go in the recycling bin.

    By way of example, ask yourself (and your friends) how much time you spend rinsing out tins, yoghurt pots and other food containers before throwing them in the recycling.

    The truth is that you don’t have to do this at all, because today’s recycling systems can easily cope with the levels of food often found in or on these containers.

    Yet many householders still do it, either because they were never told it was unnecessary, or because they were given the information but didn’t read it.

    Meanwhile, we waste water, energy and time rinsing our recycling.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-05-29/rinsing-your-recycling-is-almost-certainly-a-waste-of-time/8563828

  22. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    Angela Merkel on Sunday declared a new chapter in US-European relations after contentious meetings with Trump last week, saying that Europe “really must take our fate into our own hands.”
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/angela-merkel-says-europe-can-no-longer-rely-on-donald-trumps-america-20170528-gwf3u9.html
    The private health insurance rebate would be abolished, consumers would be charged more for extras cover and the states would be forced to find more money for public hospitals under radical funding changes being considered by top government officials. This would go down well with the states and electors.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/leaked-documents-reveal-secret-plan-for-radical-hospital-overhaul-20170528-gweri6.html
    Meanwhile the National Disability Insurance Scheme is in danger of missing its rollout target by 90,000 people in 2020 amid growing concern about delays, while a survey reveals almost two-thirds of Australians are worried about cost blowouts. Google.
    /national-affairs/health/fears-of-ndis-cost-blowout-and-delays/news-story/79851b44ee40eda9b0d0038b7bd9a3a4
    Michael West has been trying to get to the bottom of what is being considered with respect to funding the Adani coal project.
    https://www.michaelwest.com.au/minister-still-mum-on-adani-funding-as-mines-prospects-fade/
    Jess Irvine puts it to us that Abbott’s 2014 budget was so manifestly unfair that it has led to a reset of the national conversation.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/we-should-be-thankful-for-tony-abbott-no-really-20170527-gwegx5.html
    Back in his own time zone Trump has resumed his Twitter war against the media.
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/donald-trump-attacks-fake-news-following-jared-kushner-reports-20170528-gwf3y4.html
    And the Trump White House is reportedly considering a major personnel shake-up, in response to the latest in a string of Russia-related scandals that have kept the administration on the defensive for weeks.
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/may/28/trump-white-house-jared-kushner-russia
    Is the effect of the landing of Amazon in Australia being severely overhyped?
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/retail/amazon-expansion-hype-over-the-top-say-fund-managers-20170526-gwdqtt.html
    Another mass shooting in the US. “My intentions was to have God kill me. I ran out of bullets,” said the perp after being captured. “Suicide by cop was my intention.”
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/eight-die-in-mississippi-shooting-police-say-as-suspect-held-20170528-gwf3g0.html

  23. tef_ebooks: it turns out the two hardest problems in computer science are paying women the same amount of money and showing posts in chronological order

  24. Section 3 . . .

    Michelle Grattan looks at troubles surrounding indigenous recognition and SSM.
    https://theconversation.com/uluru-call-for-constitutional-first-nations-voice-presents-new-challenge-for-referendum-council-78458
    This is one hell of a worry!
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/militants-execute-filipinos-who-could-not-recite-prayers-20170528-gwf2l1.html
    At least Chelsea Clinton gets it right about Duterte in saying that he is a ” murderous thug with no regard for human rights”. Of course Trump lauds the man.
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/rodrigo-duterte-jokes-about-rape-again–and-chelsea-clinton-hits-back-20170528-gwes6i.html
    How word leaders are fighting back against the Trump handshake.
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/may/28/the-trump-handshake-how-world-leaders-are-fighting-back
    Chief executives from commercial television, subscription television, commercial radio and print media will be walking the corridors of Parliament House on Wednesday encouraging politicians to vote in favour of the reforms.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/media-and-marketing/senior-executive-media-pack-descending-on-canberra-this-week-20170528-gwer66.html
    The medical director of Marie Stokes Australia calls for safe access zones around sexual and reproductive health clinics .
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/ive-seen-first-hand-why-we-need-safe-access-zones-around-abortion-clinics-20170525-gwcwyx.html
    Right wing provocateurs say they are being silenced. Stiff shit!
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/may/28/right-wing-provocateurs-silenced-cry-me-a-river

  26. Good Morning Bludgers 🙂

    …showing posts in chronological order

    Is that something we should be grateful to the Crikey gerbils for? 🙂

  27. Cat

    It seems its easier to get posts in chronological order than to have women have equal pay. This is of course a reference to Google underpaying women.

  29. An even greater crime, the free unlimited water licence. Is this still on the table?

    After days of debating whether to sling Adani a “royalties holiday” of $300 million-plus on its coal volumes (in addition to a free unlimited water licence) the government of Annastacia Palaszczuk vowed to reject a preferential royalties arrangement on Friday. Further, she debunked the idea that the state would play a part in funnelling taxpayer funds from the federal government to Adani.

    https://www.michaelwest.com.au/minister-still-mum-on-adani-funding-as-mines-prospects-fade/

  32. Morning all. Thanks BK. I share the concerns of others over Trump and become less shocked with each revalation, many of which probably justify his removal and trial. Yet I do not share the optimism of some that that will happen. The GOP has control of both houses and the courts. Abandoning Trump would be a risk, as he might take many of them with him, both legally and politically. Trump would be vindictive, and they will not act against their own self interest. So I think Trump will continue in office, and the USA will continue to decline. Merkel is correct.

  35. Apropos the conversation we had yesterday about whether Bill Shorten should capitulate to, or ‘agree with’, the government when it comes to passing their Budget measures which closely align with the Labor turf, I think this quote from the new French President Macron is apposite:

    “That’s how you ensure you are respected. You have to show you won’t make small concessions – not even symbolic ones.”

  36. Cat

    Like the Greens being “pure” on an ETS for example.

    Its good advice. The GOP have been masters at it getting their nomination to the Supreme Court in the US.

  37. I think the idea that Nato, USA or anyone else can “win” a military solution to the social and political problems in Afghanistan is deluded. Foreign military there ((including us) increases terrorist recruiting. Without going after the root causes politically – Saudi money, Pakistani supplied weapons – this is worse than futile. Nato is dead wrong.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/may/28/labor-boost-australian-troop-numbers-afghanistan-richard-marles

    Have a good day all.

  38. Well I suppose you could argue it isn’t secret now that it has been leaked.
    Thanks for BT William. I wonder if it will hit 53-47.
    Probably at around #17.

  39. Interesting re Dutton John Cee; as I see it the one figure leading this government is the -9 seat tally in BludgerTrack for Queensland.

  42. guytaur @ #29 Monday, May 29, 2017 at 7:48 am

    The huge plummet in prices of solar energy in India has helped leaders to walk away from its plans of building nearly 14 gigawatts of coal-fired power stations. Analyst Tim Buckley said this shift will have “profound” ramifications for global energy markets.

    http://www.indiatimes.com/news/india/india-cancels-mega-plans-to-build-coal-power-stations-due-to-falling-solar-energy-prices-322553.html

    That site is paywalled for me. This one is available:

    http://www.dhakatribune.com/world/south-asia/2017/05/25/india-cancels-plans-coal-power-stations-due-cheap-solar/

  44. With the Germans (and hence the EU) now about to pursue their own sovereign path to the future, with or without the US as a friendly ally; it is time that Australia did so too.

  47. Guytaur,
    Like the Greens being “pure” on an ETS for example.

    That’s an interesting point you make. I guess there’s ‘stubborn’, where ‘pragmatic’ may be more successful, and ‘principled’, in order to gain respect.

    I guess that’s where leadership of your party comes into focus. It is up to the leader to make those calls.

    ‘When to hold ’em, when to fold ’em, and when to walk away.’

  49. Not that it matters I suppose, against the breathless stuff coming from our recently-arrived-home hero from Bali after thirteen years away from her beloved Oz, but this morning in Perth not one reference to the above poll results on ABC that I heard, and only passing ones on Fairfax media.
    Just so boring that a government with a fag-paper majority is just so far behind, and has been, for a long time. No news here so just move on.

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