NOTE: Apologies for the ongoing situation with the formatting in comments. This is not intentional and the former state of affairs will be restored, hopefully soon.
The latest Newspoll result from The Australian moves a point back to Labor after an outlier result a fortnight ago, leaving its two-party preferred lead at 53-47. Both major parties are on 36% of the primary vote, with the Coalition down a point and Labor up one, and both One Nation and the Greens are on 10%, with the former steady and the latter up one. Still waiting on approval ratings, but Malcolm Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed from 43-29 to 41-32. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1708.
UPDATE: Malcolm Turnbull is steady on approval at 30% and up two on disapproval to 59%; Bill Shorten is up three on approval to 32% and down three on disapproval to 54%.
13:40:
Re Dan Gulberry about an hour before this post. It does appear that Peter Dutton and Scott Morrison have decided to get behind Malcolm for the time being. Meanwhile, Abbott’s right wing colleagues are telling him to pull his head in. So I see a leadership change in June as being less likely than it seemed last year, although it may still happen. The most likely date would be June 21, the second last sitting day before the Winter break, close to the anniversary of another leadership change (won’t name the leaders).
My bet for the most likely date now would be 6/12/2017 (close to another anniversay).
phoenixRed
Agreed.
I initially knew of Mensch when she was on committee for Leveson inquiry in the UK and I did not appreciate her one little bit at the time. lol! having said that, there is a lot of her stuff I still dont agree with, but the patterns and connecting of dots aligned with the Trump Imbroglio, confirmed some of my own thinking, so I stuck with her ever since!
HI Vic
Just checking to see if the reply function is working. I tried it yesterday and it wasn’t.
PS I am appreciating your regular updates on Trump’s car crash.
A great many Trump voters/supporters will see the LA Times editorial in the same way they see the negative reporting by the NY Times and the Washington Post: The coastal elites sneering at their man – again.
Trump was pushed over the line by disgruntled voters in the industrial MidWest. If he fails to deliver them jobs (which he promised to do), only then will they lose faith in Trump. Scathing editorials by ‘Left Coast elites’ won’t make a difference.
Has anyone been able to get the reply function working yet? I tried it yesterday and again a minute ago and still no response.
@ Victoria
I completely agree on high end private education. One of my childhood friends had parents who threw everything they had had at sending him to an exclusive private school from year 4. I’ve seen the difference that has made in his life, he makes a few phone calls and not long later he’s in contact with pretty much anyone he wants to be in contact with.
When we were young adults from time to time he would invite me along to various functions and parties, places someone like me would never otherwise get anywhere near. People like me see a flat wall, he has someone opening a door on that same flat wall.
There’s not doubt in my mind that an exclusive school is a glorified networking system.
Nah
Works for me but I don’t like it.
victoria
phoenixRed
Agreed.
I initially knew of Mensch when she was on committee for Leveson inquiry in the UK and I did not appreciate her one little bit at the time. lol! having said that, there is a lot of her stuff I still dont agree with, but the patterns and connecting of dots aligned with the Trump Imbroglio, confirmed some of my own thinking, so I stuck with her ever since!
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I can understand why some people dislike her as a person, while still appreciating her material………… and yes, I don’t always agree or even understand some of her material – but I think the Mensch/Schindler/Wilson trio have ‘discovered’ so many fascinating issues that would never have surfaced or seen the light of day and hopefully in the end their collective contributions will have a great input into getting Trump out of office …
phoenixRed
i am hoping so too. mind you the jester did say a few weeks back that the end was nigh for Trump right about now. save for some further cryptic tweets that he deletes not long after posting, he hasnt said terribly much. sigh………..
Maybe in 4 years time the Americans will get off their lazy arses and go and vote.Im still convinced if they had done that this time Trump wouldnt be president today.
victoria,
You are spot on. However, this government has no idea how to sell what is a clunker of a economic agenda and continues to spotlight exactly what labor is keen to focus on.
Even if the government did stumble across a coherent narrative I really believe the times are not suited to what they are selling and people will continue to slam the door in their face.
Cheers and a great afternoon to you.
Massola strikes again
http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/union-campaign-against-company-tax-cuts-to-put-pressure-on-labor-20170403-gvc5nc.html
is this guy a Liberal staffer or what?
grimace
no doubt in my mind either. and I guess for those forking out the big bucks to send their children to these exclusive schools, on some level, the benefit must outweigh the cost.
The benefit, as was pointed out earlier, is the access to social and business networks.
The ‘elite’ will always operate in this way.
The real question is should taxpayers subsidise it? My answer is an emphatic ‘NO’!
cupidstunt
Maybe in 4 years time the Americans will get off their lazy arses and go and vote.Im still convinced if they had done that this time Trump wouldnt be president today.
That’s if they’re allowed to.
I wonder whether the physical infrastructure is in place to facilitate everyone being able to vote.
‘no doubt in my mind either. and I guess for those forking out the big bucks to send their children to these exclusive schools, on some level, the benefit must outweigh the cost.’
Possibly, but let’s not pretend that the ‘benefit’ has anything to do with education.
Why the hell should taxpayers’ money go towards subsidising a networking system for the already privileged?
Ok, let’s get stuck into the yanks for being too lazy to prevent Trump from being elected as POTUS.
However, let’s not forget that we elected the abomination that is Abbott and the fraud that is Turnbull, and we have compulsory voting.
I think Nick Xenophon is not correct at all when he said he did the best he could have under the circumstances.
The best he could have done was to say, ‘No!’ to the Turnbull government. Or if he wanted to do anything at all to make a deal with them then he should have kept the limit to Small Businesses with an annual turnover of $10 Million or less.
I would rather the $24 Billion that Nick Xenophon has given away to some rather large businesses have stayed in the hands of the government to pay for an increase in Newstart and Youth Allowance. That would help to pay for Electricity Bills a lot better than a one off payment that will be swallowed by inevitable power price rises.
Or it could have gone to fixing the maintenance backlog in our schools and hospitals.
Plus I will be heartily surprised if one business takes on one new worker that they wouldn’t have already, absent the tax cuts.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/i-did-the-best-i-could-nick-xenophon-defends-company-tax-cuts-deal-20170402-gvc39t.html#comments
For those wondering what’s wrong with (not all) Americans, and it is more than not turning out to vote, the NY Review of Books has this fascinating look at ‘The Evangelicals – The Struggle to Shape America’, Frances Fitzgerald, with some insights into the rise of Trump and Bannon. Creepy stuff.
http://www.nybooks.com/articles/2017/04/20/where-evangelicals-came-from/?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=NYR%20Manipulators%20evangelicals&utm_content=NYR%20Manipulators%20evangelicals+CID_17f4c1cc68de69b0799f6dbeb66b711c&utm_source=Newsletter&utm_term=Where%20Evangelicals%20Came%20From
Barney in Go Dau
cupidstunt
Maybe in 4 years time the Americans will get off their lazy arses and go and vote.Im still convinced if they had done that this time Trump wouldnt be president today.
That’s if they’re allowed to.
I wonder whether the physical infrastructure is in place to facilitate everyone being able to vote.
*******************************************
Some of what you say is right, Barney – I have seen queues turn up at US polling places – and voters having to wait for HOURS to cast a vote – and even in inclement weather – and that must discourage them turning out for future electoral voting…..
However it is a fascinating thing that many Americans will travel half way across the world away from the US – to fight and even die – to bring “DEMOCRACY” to other countries and another lot that would not bother their lazy arse to cross the street to cast a vote ….
The Liberals were sinking like a stone in the By-Election Pre Poll in Gosford today. 🙂
Damn those emoticons truncating posts.
In reply to C@t… Weird things will still happen in the deep north.
bemused,
We may be north of you but we are not THAT far north! 😀
The Deep North starts at Broken Bay?
At the Tweed River.
The deep north starts at Warawee
I’ll have you know I refer to my neck of the woods as the Malibu of the NSW coast! 🙂
Trump needs to into Insane Asylum he going to take America to another war by itself, against North Korea…
Wow, I’m just reading Bernard Keane’s forensic analysis of just how bad the Coalition have been with the Economy and the Debt and Deficit that they have only served to increase since they came to power braying about how bad Labor’s Debt and Deficit was.
These guys are charlatans and carpetbaggers of the worst order of magnitude. Keane even says that he thinks Scott Morrison is our worst Treasurer ever! Worse than Ralph Willis or Frank Crean!
Cessnock (or negnog in the local language) is the Deep North.
The deep north cannot be Queensland because we are perfect up here.
So the deep north must be north of Geelong and south of the Tweed.
A lot of suz territory there !
Cheers.
Zoid
You can only imagine what that well know war monger Hillary would have done.
Bernard Keane is not the only one caustic about Federal conomic management. This story in the SA InDaily (far from left wing) shows how broken national power policy and the power market is. AGL is shredding plans to invest in SA power following the Weatherall plan. Why? Because they will be less able to exploit consumers. This is textbook abuse of market power. The (Liberal) architects of AEMO should be retrospectively made to repay all their ministerial wages. Ministers are supposed to act in the public interest.
http://indaily.com.au/news/local/2017/04/03/state-govt-attacks-agl-as-it-abandons-sa-investment-blueprint/
The local barbarian’s role model in the UK showing they are the same as this lot.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/apr/02/cancer-patients-family-stands-to-lose-50k-under-benefit-cuts
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/apr/02/welfare-shakeup-will-push-a-quarter-of-a-million-children-into-poverty
Simon Ravi Katich,
I’ve heard banjos are popular in Cessnock. 😉
The Deep North is everything west of Eucla, true story.
poroti,
Because like they care about dying people. No votes in them.
The Deep North is everything west of Eucla, true story.
Briefly will not be pleased! 😀
C@tmomma
On the other hand they well have to write off the votes of his family.
C@tmomma
I’m not pleased!!!!!!! I was meant to write East 🙂
So your ideal is the place that gave us Joh, Pauline and One Nation?
I need say no more.
Sadly this is a lesson for every ordinary working family. If you put your trust in conservative governments sooner or later you will be shafted.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/apr/02/cancer-patients-family-stands-to-lose-50k-under-benefit-cuts
Russ Hinze is another fine specimen in the Qld trophy cabinet.
Queensland and WA are ‘different’. People who live there identify with their state in a way that doesn’t seem to apply in NSW.
No comments at all now?
bemused,
We all have our crosses to bear.
Where was Jeff Kennett from again ?
Anyway, as long as we have a labor government we have a chance.
Cheers.
So Leigh Sales has split with her 19-years-younger (and, by the looks of it, 1-foot shorter) husband?
Apparently it has something to do with the stress of the birth of her last baby, plus the added burden of shopping around for the new $2.6 million home.
Such a sad experience for “one of the most beautiful women on television,” as Malcolm Turnbull once put it.
http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/entertainment/sydney-confidential/annette-sharp-leigh-sales-marriage-anguish-had-clues-on-twitter/news-story/c13a9a35e33ca40965eaaf5751d7df88
C@tmomma
Bernard Keane’s crit of the Liberals should be passed around as much as poss.
The first and worst decision, imv, was handing $8.8 billion to the Reserve Bank to make Labor’s 2013-14 budget deficit look worse. That was a nasty trick by Hockey that hasn’t received enough attention.