BludgerTrack: 52.8-47.2 to Labor

Slight movement to the Coalition in this week’s poll aggregate reading, with still no sign of slackening in the trend towards One Nation.

A bit of a blip towards the Coalition in this week’s reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, which only has a new Essential Research result to go on. This translates into extra seats for the Coalition in Victoria and Queensland. The only other feature of the result worth remarking on is that it’s still onwards and upwards for One Nation.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

366 comments on “BludgerTrack: 52.8-47.2 to Labor”

Comments Page 5 of 8
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  2. confessions @ #195 Sunday, February 26, 2017 at 3:36 pm

    The Christian Brothers have taken the extraordinary step of moving the grave of a notoriously brutal brother from the grounds of a WA school as the Catholic Church reels from revelations of past abuse.
    The Catholic order has dismantled the grave of Brother Francis Paul Keaney at Bindoon Agricultural College, shifting his remains to a humble plot at Karrakatta, effectively erasing any trace of the Brother from the institution he once ruled over.
    Keaney set up the Tardun farm school near Geraldton in the 1920s and was principal at Clontarf and Bindoon Boys Town from 1942 through to his death in 1954.
    Child migrants from Britain and Ireland have given evidence to the Royal Commission into Institutional Responses to Child Sexual Abuse telling how Keaney presided over a fiercely brutal regime at Bindoon.

    https://thewest.com.au/news/wa/brother-erased-from-history-ng-b88396569z
    Has this ever happened before, a priest cast out even in death? And the new plaque on his new resting place doesn’t even mention his past or that he was awarded an MBE.

    Typically trying to hide their skeletons.

  3. Don, I use an app call ‘here is’ for my navigational purposes.You download the maps once while on your wifi. You can chose which areas to download if you are worried about memory. It works out in the bush when you have no ‘g’s (data coverage) but of course still uses satellites to tell you where you are on the map.

  6. West Australian Premier Colin Barnett admits he was tricked into posing for a photograph at the annual Rottnest Channel Swim with four women who had anti-Liberal messages on their arms.

    Two women had put libs last written down their arms while the other pair had drowning in debt written on their arms.

    – See more at: http://www.skynews.com.au/news/politics/state/2017/02/26/barnett–tricked–into-anti-liberal-photo.html#sthash.CUHeArw3.dpuf

    And he took a cranky swipe at the media for its election coverage and running the photo.

  7. lizzie @ #199 Sunday, February 26, 2017 at 4:06 pm

    Player One
    Some people genuinely believe that by recycling their paper and plastic they’ve ‘done their bit’. I do despair.

    Ha! We run an eco-retreat, composting and recycling as much as possible. We are also lucky to have some of the purest water in NSW in our area, and we tell people who come to stay that we provide drinking water – but do you want to know what the most common plastic container is that I find in our recycling bins? Bottled water! Expensive, stupid and completely unnecessary. Makes you want to weep.

  8. PlayerOne

    Bottled water! Expensive, stupid and completely unnecessary.

    Oh, I do agree hundredfold. I also find it amusing that people carry their water bottles almost everywhere, even indoors, as if they’d die of thirst without them.

  9. Meanwhile…

    Bannon, who’s now ensconced in the West Wing as President Donald Trump’s closest adviser, has been portrayed as Trump’s main ideas guy. But in interviews, speeches and writing — and especially in his embrace of Strauss and Howe — he has made clear that he is, first and foremost, an apocalypticist.

    In Bannon’s view, we are in the midst of an existential war, and everything is a part of that conflict. Treaties must be torn up, enemies named, culture changed. Global conflagration, should it occur, would only prove the theory correct. For Bannon, the Fourth Turning has arrived. The Grey Champion, a messianic strongman figure, may have already emerged. The apocalypse is now.

    “What we are witnessing,” Bannon told The Washington Post last month, “is the birth of a new political order.”

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/entry/steve-bannon-apocalypse_us_5898f02ee4b040613138a951

  10. lizzie Sunday, February 26, 2017 at 4:28 pm
    PlayerOne
    “Bottled water! Expensive, stupid and completely unnecessary. ”

    Oh, I do agree hundredfold. I also find it amusing that people carry their water bottles almost everywhere, even indoors, as if they’d die of thirst without them.

    ****************************************
    Carlin : “Ever wonder about those people who spend $2 apiece on those little bottles of Evian water? Try spelling Evian backward. ”

  11. So, is Gittins right? Could Gillard have been bolder with Gonski? Will the next Labor govt be bolder? Hopefully, they will, in the first year or so.

  13. TSR Hub‏@TSR_Hub · Feb 23

    Per hectare per year water yield in the Victorian Central Highlands is worth 10 times logging and tourism is worth double logging.

  14. In January…

    A former Fair Work Commission deputy president has called for the industrial umpire to be carved up and responsibility for the setting of the minimum wage and award standards, including penalty rates, to be invested in a new independent body subject to parliamentary oversight.

    Brendan McCarthy, who stepped down from the FWC in December 2014, told The Australian the Fair Work Commission was not the appropriate body and no longer had the best experience to set Australia’s minimum workplace standards.

    He made the comments following the shock resignation of FWC vice-president Graeme Watson who wrote to Employment Minister Michaelia Cash warning that the industrial umpire was becoming politically compromised and dysfunctional under the leadership of president Iain Ross.

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/industrial-relations/fair-work-commission-not-fit-to-set-wage-levels/news-story/dd85c2642e337c43ddbd5ff9a1f8dc7c

  15. Confessions

    This is how you really curtail the influence of biased fake news sites – take away their financial support.

    Also dangerous. I have no time for Breitbart but who is to say that in the future it will not be used against media outlets you approve of ? Goose and gander and all that. Destroy fake news by publicly showing their lies. Spotlight the lies. Bullshit artists publicly demonstrated to be bullshit artists do not have much of a future.

  17. Lizzie + PlayerOne

    +1 Gazillion on bottled water, the money they pay for it and the seeming need to take a swig every few minutes lest they keel over with dehydration 🙂

  19. poroti:

    They are reportedly pulling financial support because of the extremist, racist and sexist commentary Breitbart publishes, and the reputation risks in being associated with them. In many ways allowing these people to air their views is the best thing to bringing about their downfall – the week following Milo Yiannopolous appearance on the highly-watched program Real Time, he was gone and publicly disgraced.

    Perhaps I didn’t express myself well, but that is what I was thinking: give these people a big enough platform, and their hubris and arrogance will force them to over-reach, and into the bargain make people (and importantly their sponsors) see them for what they really are.

  20. poroti @ #217 Sunday, February 26, 2017 at 5:04 pm

    Lizzie + PlayerOne
    +1 Gazillion on bottled water, the money they pay for it and the seeming need to take a swig every few minutes lest they keel over with dehydration 🙂

    ……………………………………………………………………………………….

    Plus its ‘public’ water to start with and then taxpayers have to foot the cleanup and disposal costs of empties.

  25. Confessions

    Perhaps I didn’t express myself well, but that is what I was thinking: give these people a big enough platform, and their hubris and arrogance will force them to over-reach, and into the bargain make people (and importantly their sponsors) see them for what they really are.

    On that we have a unity ticket 🙂 It is one reason I do not mind Pawleen’s publicity. Sure in the short term it gets recognition but in the long run the more you see of her the more you realise she speaks contradictory rubbish.

  26. I tried to post a comment yesterday about Labor’s ground campaign and it was eaten by the gerbils.

    Now that I’ve been a part of the Labor ground campaign I can see why the Liberals fear it, there was an email from Labor yesterday claiming to have knocked on 107,767 doors and made 282,303 phone calls, with 2 weeks to go in the campaign. Being able to personally contact that many people is a massive advantage at a time when voters are getting increasingly good at avoiding advertising.

  28. Grimace

    What sort of noises are Labor making about the State debt – how they address it
    etc ?

    Are these topics in play as the campaign comes down to the pointy bit?

  29. Chuckle

    I just opened a packet of kangaroo fillet and realised that it is labelled “Sustainable. Open Range.”
    As opposed to caged, I suppose. 🙂

  32. confessions @ #219 Sunday, February 26, 2017 at 5:07 pm

    poroti:
    They are reportedly pulling financial support because of the extremist, racist and sexist commentary Breitbart publishes, and the reputation risks in being associated with them. In many ways allowing these people to air their views is the best thing to bringing about their downfall – the week following Milo Yiannopolous appearance on the highly-watched program Real Time, he was gone and publicly disgraced.
    Perhaps I didn’t express myself well, but that is what I was thinking: give these people a big enough platform, and their hubris and arrogance will force them to over-reach, and into the bargain make people (and importantly their sponsors) see them for what they really are.

    Exhibit 1: One Nation in Qld disintegrating after they got a number of members elected to the Qld parliament some years ago.
    Exhibit 2: Shorten playing a dead bat to Abbott’s provocations and forcing him to go more and more feral with fatal results for his Prime Ministership.
    Exhibit 3: One Nation disintegrating before our eyes now as it tries to woden its representation.

    This may be a general law of political disintegration!

  34. Exhibit 3: One Nation disintegrating before our eyes now as it tries to woden its representation.

    Indeed. They are out PUPping PUP!

  36. Lizzie,

    I shop at a organic supermarket and always have a giggle when I look at the organic honey. I suppose they must only use hippy bees.

    Cheers.

  37. re Bottled Water:

    The pretty little town of Bundanoon, 150 Km south of Sydney, in the Southern Highlands of NSW, where they have an annual Highland Fling (pipes and tartans and cabers-a-tossin’) found itself fighting a developer who bought a block just down from the school and was going hard at getting appro for a bore which would extract billions of litres of water from the local water table, ship it out through the town in tankers, deliver it to Coca-Cola-Amatil or the like, only to have it come back in plastic bottles when they would had to pay to buy it and drink it.

    On all the obvious counts, the town’s folk resisted, the local chamber of commerce let go 0f ‘profit-regardless’, and the up shot was a lengthy court battle, a pyrrhic victory (limited uncommercial tanker movements) and the first town in Oz to ban the sale of bottled water. Retailers sold reusable bottles with chilled water, or you could fill your bottle up at the new local bubblers installed around town.

    http://www.bundyontap.com.au/home.html

    There’s a lot of info on bottled water in that link.

  39. peebee @ #203 #203 Sunday, February 26, 2017 at 4:10 pm

    Don, I use an app call ‘here is’ for my navigational purposes.You download the maps once while on your wifi. You can chose which areas to download if you are worried about memory. It works out in the bush when you have no ‘g’s (data coverage) but of course still uses satellites to tell you where you are on the map.

    peebee @ #203 #203 Sunday, February 26, 2017 at 4:10 pm

    Don, I use an app call ‘here is’ for my navigational purposes.You download the maps once while on your wifi. You can chose which areas to download if you are worried about memory. It works out in the bush when you have no ‘g’s (data coverage) but of course still uses satellites to tell you where you are on the map.

    Can’t find any app called “here is” by googling.

    Out in the bush I use a free app for bushwalkers, with contours, called “memory map” which looks like it is 1:100 000 – 1: 200 000 or thereabouts, which sounds bad, but I have found it very useful.

    All you really need most times is to see how far it is to the next river junction, or to the top of the ridge.

    It doesn’t show anything useful in cities though.

    You can buy the 1:25 000 maps and install them at home before you go.

  41. Grimace: “I’ll be handing out HTV’s on 11th March, it will be interesting to see how many volunteers they {One Nation} can mobilise.”

    And of those, how many will be Liberal Party members.

  42. Hillary’s campaign didn’t reflect the voters need, whereas it appears Trumps did.

    Defeinitely need an #alternativefact on that one.

    The reality of the situation is that Hillary’s campaign reflected the needs of 3 millionmore voters than Trump’s.

    The idea that Trump discovered and tapped a vast treasure-trove of disenfranchised voters was never actually credible. Same for the idea that Trump has, or ever had, popular/majority support. That one drifts ever further from the truth with each passing day.

  43. don
    #239 Sunday, February 26, 2017 at 6:24 pm
    You are well of the beaten track here, my friend.
    Where resides the parliamentary map that comes with a torch and a mirror on a stick which enables the LNP and PHON elected members to find their collective (or individual) arses ❓

    Huh ❗ Huh ❓ Answer me that monsewer. 🙂 😎
    :really smutty emoji designed to upset William:

  44. The only time I ever bought bottled water was when my car boiled over while I was driving across the Harbour Bridge. I parked as soon as I could near the Conservatorium (illegally with bonnet up), there were no taps I could see nearby, I walked to the nearest shop, bought a few 1.25 litre bottles of water for the radiator, topped it up and drove on to a garage where I called the NRMA.

    Otherwise, I never saw the point of bottled water. Tap water is fine, although I prefer Coke Zero or beer (for me, not the radiator).

  45. Same for the idea that Trump has, or ever had, popular/majority support. That one drifts ever further from the truth with each passing day.

    Yes, but I do love how he keeps bringing up his ‘huge electoral win’ at every opportunity. Who is he trying to convince exactly?

    And the other thing people forget is the electoral college. This outdated, anti-democratic electoral system is exactly why Trump won. And don’t get me started on voter suppression, non-compulsory voting etc….

  46. A R
    Reality is he had the votes in the ONLY place that matters in the US system. The Electoral College. Hilary for whatever reasons chose to ignore key states and their voters’ concerns. Concerns that Trump and Sanders highlighted. Doesn’t matter whether either of them could do something about it they at least spoke about it.

  48. Fess

    keeps bringing up his ‘huge electoral win’ at every opportunity

    A substitute for something else that is not huge and can’t be brought up?
    (Refer medical eport on his hair growth medication.)

  49. Lizzie,

    I assume that is the case with the organic honey but I keep seeing a circle of bees sitting around sharing a bong and going all natural.

    Cheers and a good night to all.

  50. Steve777

    Coke Zero would be fine for the radiator. The acid in Coke is phosphoric acid which is a great anti rust treatment 🙂

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