Courtesy of The Australian, the latest fortnightly Newspoll result records no change to Labor’s 52-48 lead, with the Coalition steady on the primary vote at 39%, Labor up one to 37% and the Greens steady at 10%. Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings are at a new low, with approval down two to 29% and disapproval up one to 57% – the fifth successive deterioration in his net position, covering each Newspoll published since the election. Bill Shorten is up one on approval to 36% and steady on disapproval at 51%, while Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed from 45-30 to 42-32.
Also out today was a Roy Morgan phone poll that found 58% expressing support for “Muslim immigration” with 33% opposed, in contrast to an earlier Essential Research finding. There were also results of 66% support and 25% oppose for asylum seeker immigration; 77% support and 18% for skilled migrants; and 74% support and 21% oppose for family reunion migration. Other questions found 21% wanted the rate of immigration increased, 40% kept level and 34% reduced; that opinion was evenly divided as to whether immigrants made Australian life better or worse, at 32% apiece. The poll canvassed 656 respondents over 14, including 588 over 18. From the latter, two-party preferred voting intention was recorded at 55-45 in favour of the Labor.
UPDATE (Essential Research): The latest reading of the Essential Research fortnightly rolling average finds Labor losing the point of two-party preferred it gained last week, bringing their lead back to 52-48. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up one to 38%, Labor is steady at 37%, the Greens are down one to 10%, One Nation is upon one to 6%, and the Nick Xenophon Team is steady at 3%. Further questions find 36% support for re-establishing the Australian Building and Construction Commission, with 16% opposed, and 39% deeming the issue important, versus 38% for not important. Other questions relate to the threat of terrorism and appropriate responses, with 24% very concerned and 48% somewhat concerned about the threat of terrorism in Australia. Twenty-eight per cent said the government had provided appropriate support to Julian Assange and 26% that they had not (though there’s no distinction here between too much and not enough), with fully 46% opting for don’t know.
Alastair MacGibbon confirms “geoblocking” was not an appropriate mechanism to defend against DDoS attacks.
Shellbell, you left out the Family Court and … Robert McLelland
ratsak @ #151 Tuesday, October 25, 2016 at 1:18 pm
If there was a silent r, then you would need to replace, ‘in there somewhere’ with ‘everywhere’. 🙂
“It will eventually collapse in a heap, bringing down investors and mortgagees alike”
As a millennial and someone at the start of their professional career. I simply can’t wait for this to happen. What a great day that will be. I will have no sympathy for those who helped create the bubble by speculating and treating property like a commodity.
Three bedroom houses listed at the real estate in the local my home town are now rarely below a million dollars. It’s absurd. I have resigned myself to the fact that I will never own property in the country in which I was born unless a housing market crash occurs and will instead save and invest in something else until that happens.
simon katich @ #198 Tuesday, October 25, 2016 at 3:24 pm
Not so fast! Just because you are paranoid doesn’t mean they are not out to get you!
bemused
#194 Tuesday, October 25, 2016 at 3:10 pm
In any event there is no reason that I know that Windows 10 cannot handle anything the average or better punter would like to throw at it including video of all types.
I have Windows 10 insiders and am well versed in building my own OEM type computer and modifications to suit my very modest requirements in my old age.
I say old age because otherwise I might start to think of myself as elderly, which is not to be countenanced because the bloke across the road is 87 and I think he is elderly.
On the other hand (only 2 so far) the other bloke across the road is only 68 and I could think of him as youthful.
I think the imagining of Mr Downer has turned my brain mushier than usual.
Bye 🙂
Oops! Alastair MacGibbon says the failure was not just a technical failure by IBM – the ABS also failed to fulfill their obligations.
Didn’t someone give this guy a copy of the script???
Ctar1
My grandfather was supposed to have had an Asio file. I should look it up.
But in this case, I had the Nick X defence.
Alastair MacGibbon acknowledges that the ABS decision to keep the census web site down for 40 excruciating hours was not for any security concerns, but because they decided the infrastructure was not robust, and that geoblocking was not an adequate defence against further DDoS attacks.
The main thing they were worried about was how bad they would look if it fell over again.
Utter incompetence.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=vPNGNlviHmw
Kay Jay
It was the first up-tempo song I ever heard, back in Ravenswood, NQ, probably about 1955. The pub must have had a jukebox or the proprietor had a recor player. The played it over and over.
Being a kid, the monkey in the tree, and why everybody wanted to be like him, was way over my head.
Blanket – treating property like a commodity –
Treating property like…. property is one of the foundations of Western Civilisation. I say that as fact only, no judgement as (being a mere mortal) I havent figured out a better way.
As for not affording a house… you could decide to move to Adelaide. 4Bdrm – $560K in the leafy Adelaide Hills.
http://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-bridgewater-123785746
Alastair MacGibbon has now comprehensibly thrown the ABS under a bus.
Let’s hope the senate inquiry now gets on with the major issue – the one that 80% of the submissions to the inquiry focused on – i.e. privacy! So far, this has gleaned very little attention.
blanket criticism @ #204 Tuesday, October 25, 2016 at 3:27 pm
Well if saving for a deposit of course you should invest your savings where you see the best return.
I have only ever owned the house in which I lived and never engaged in any real-estate speculation. But now my home is supposed to be worth an obscene amount according to the real estate fraternity and based on local sales.
Great for me, but I see the downside too, and despair at the policies that have brought this about.
simon katich @ #208 Tuesday, October 25, 2016 at 3:36 pm
I have been meaning to get hold of mine. Should make for some funny reading if the experience of others is anything to go by.
SK
I saw her interviewed sometime earlier this year.
Obviously takes after her father rather than her mother.
SK
It makes them wonder why you want to look. So they open a file on you while they try to find out.
SimonK
“As for not affording a house… you could decide to move to Adelaide. 4Bdrm – $560K in the leafy Adelaide Hills.”
Yes, but then you have to live in…. Adelaide.
Socrates (or anyone else who knows)
Can you please tell me if the Lord Mayor’s proposed Brisbane Metro project is rail or just a more fancy system of buses? None of the reading I have done on the matter has made that clear.
Kakaru “Yes, but then you have to live in…. Adelaide”
Dissing Adelaide is my gig.
Dreyfus this morning on RN re Brandis
http://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/breakfast/brandis-has-behaved-disgracefully-dishonourably-over-gleeson-row/7961640
This is a scandal
Rowan retweeted
Joel Fitzgibbon
6h6 hours ago
Joel Fitzgibbon @fitzhunter
Malcolm Turnbull spent $1m of taxpayers’ money covering up Barnaby Joyce’s misdeeds #auspol
Thanks Vic for the RN link,is that the one where Dreyfus is asked ‘how do you sleep at night? ‘
JR, that was LaTrioli on ABC brekkie tv
JR, I thought it was Triolli on breakfast, but I could have been mistaken. It could be any of the ABC interrogators keen to put Labor on the backfoot at all times.
Vogon Poet
What on earth was Trioli’s point? Is she accusing Dreyfus of getting rid of Gleeson?
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/25/labor-presses-coalition-to-rule-out-accepting-bob-day-vote-on-abcc-bill
If Malcayman gets the ABCC bill through he will probably be embroiled in a controversy about accepting Bob Day’s vote. Karma.
Here’s a report of the Senate Census Hearings by Josh Butler of HuffPo Australia:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/2016/10/24/census-attacked-by-traffic-from-singapore-but-not-hacked/
It is very even-handed.
Vic, she was just doing her job of taking the coaltions point of view as the fair and balanced one.
Sam Dastyari would be well advised to practice his exaggerated gazelle-like leap from his Senate seat and out the door if the Turnbull government accept the ‘Tainted Vote’ of Bob ‘Bankrupt’ Day. That sort of thing is right up his alley. ; )
Of course, now that I have just written that I realise that Labor aren’t the ones who would be accepting the ‘Tainted Vote’ and the government certainly won’t be troubled by it.
Australia, we have a problem
The disturbing pattern we should all be worried about
THE latest opinion polls aren’t rosy for Malcolm Turnbull, but dire as they might be, they still don’t reveal the full extent of his predicament. His government is in chaos.
Yesterday, the country’s second most senior law officer resigned. Solicitor-General Justin Gleeson cited an irretrievable breakdown of trust between him and the Attorney-General George Brandis. His decision to quit was self-sacrificing and made in the national interest.
He should not have been the one to go.
Hours later, a damning letter from former head of the Department of Agriculture, Paul Grimes to the now Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce, was released.
Its contents — which the government has tried to keep hidden for months — reveals that Mr Grimes questioned Mr Joyce’s ethics and integrity.
Ten days after that letter was sent, Mr Grimes was unceremoniously sacked.
The revelations of the past 24 hours come in the wake of renewed attacks on Human Rights Commission president Gillian Triggs. Accused of politicising her office after publishing a report that criticised Australia’s offshore detention regime, Prof Triggs has experienced unprecedented government-led pressure to resign from her position. She has steadfastly refused to go.
Mr Gleeson. Mr Grimes. Prof Triggs.
Each of these individuals is or was a public servant. They were charged with providing frank, fearless and independent advice to government. While the content and nature of their various roles is diverse, their purpose is a common one: To ensure good governance of our nation, through the safe keeping of our democracy.
It is a purpose that is being challenged by this government.
Malcolm Turnbull’s Coalition Government is in chaos and as Chuck Palahniuk (the man who wrote Fight Club and knows about these things) once said: “If you watch close, history does nothing but repeat itself. What we call chaos is just patterns we haven’t recognised.”
Australian Human Rights Commission president Gillian Triggs has remained steadfast in the face of unprecedented criticism from the government. Picture: Kym Smith
http://www.news.com.au/finance/work/leaders/the-disturbing-pattern-we-should-all-be-worried-about/news-story/02723c061c210b42b495db92af77d353
Lizzie,
What on earth was Trioli’s point? Is she accusing Dreyfus of getting rid of Gleeson?
I think the genesis of Trioli’s point was that Mark Dreyfus should be ashamed of himself for seeking to compromise the position of the SG by calling him up and speaking to him during an election campaign.
Thin gruel to work with for an ABC type, to be sure, but you go with what you have in order to manufacture an anti Labor angle for the viewers.
Turnbull accused of keeping a ‘bully’
George Brandis under pressure to resign instead of Justin Gleeson
BILL Shorten has lashed out at Malcolm Turnbull for keeping “bully” Attorney-General George Brandis while the Solicitor-General was “tormented into resignation”.
Mr Shorten said Justin Gleeson’s resignation was “shameful, unprecedented, and ruthless”.
“Malcolm Turnbull is so weak, devoid of strength that he has had to keep his bullying Attorney General,” Mr Shorten said.
“Everyone knows this Attorney-General is an accident waiting to happen.”
http://www.news.com.au/national/politics/george-brandis-under-pressure-to-go-instead-of-justin-gleeson/news-story/e504b3b47ad5996df0890ca2afea64a9
‘What on earth was Trioli’s point? Is she accusing Dreyfus of getting rid of Gleeson?’
Yes. It was all over the news this morning also.
Jeez, out of 89 submissions to the senate inquiry, canvassing significant issues of public concern, how did this lame crap from the ANU get selected? Was it the only one they could find that was actually supportive of the ABS’s massive intrusion into people’s privacy?
SimonK
“Dissing Adelaide is my gig.”
Don’t be selfish. There’s plenty of material to go around.
PD – Wow, you don’t read articles like that very often in the Murdoch press.
Ah – at least Senator X gets it! Access to data has to be balanced with privacy issues. Of course, the ANU woman (don’t know her name) seems to completely misunderstand what “privacy” is about, and thinks that complying with ABS “conditions of access” equates to “respecting privacy”. Wrong!
A role for Brandis at Australia House
Senator X gets the ANU staffers to admit that the “data linkage” proposed by the ABS is new for this census. ANU says ABS plans to retain this linkage while ever it is useful to them for any other purposes.
Australian Privacy Foundation points out that relevant privacy commissioners were not asked to appear. A lot more public representation would have been appropriate.
How bizarre! The SMH declared the senate inquiry to be over at 4pm – with nearly two hours of submissions yet to be given!
John Reidy
Sorry for the delay in responding. The Dreyfus interview was with Fran Kelly
Finally! The Australian Privacy Foundation lays out the depth of the breach of trust perpetrated by the ABS. Senators seem surprised, and bring up the irrelevancy that the responses for this census have been “better than ever before”, according to the ABS.
The APF very easily demolishes this, saying it is untrue and unsubstantiated.
kakuru Tuesday, October 25, 2016 at 4:38 pm
SimonK
“Dissing Adelaide is my gig.”
Don’t be selfish. There’s plenty of material to go around.
***********************************************
I once spent a totally boring year in Adelaide…
I think it was on a Sunday
I asked a local why are those ducks flying upside down over Adelaide ?
he said, “there ain’t nothing here worth crapping on …..
Kakaru
“Don’t be selfish. There’s plenty of material to go around.”
I have to live here. Dissing the place is my therapy.
Thanks for the context on the questioning of Dreyfus.
Re. Australia House we will know if there will be a new High Commissioner when they call for tenders for construction of more bookshelves.
Trioli was embarrassingly awful this morning as she ‘interviewed/accused/scolded’ Dreyfus. Honestly, she was not very good at it and Dreyfus in his calm manner explained how he was not at fault and it was Brandis’ doing.
What I realised the different arms of the MSM were all taking the same approach. ‘It was Dreyfus’ fault’. Too much of a co-incidence I think.
Lizzie
And there has been a serious incident at Dreamworld in Qld