ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

A new poll from ReachTEL is their third in a month to show Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47.

GhostWhoVotes tweets that a ReachTEL poll on the Seven Network records Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47, which is unchanged on ReachTEL polls conducted on both July 30 and August 6. Seven also reported that Bill Shorten was favoured over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister by 55-45 among men, compared with 56.0-44.0 in the previous ReachTEL poll, and 61-39 among women, effectively unchanged on the last poll’s result of 60.8-39.2. That appears to be all the information Seven provided, but hopefully the ReachTEL site will have full results soon.

UPDATE: Full results here. The primary votes are 40.3% for the Coalition (down 0.3%), 37.5% for Labor (down 0.5%), 13.4% for the Greens (up 0.5%) and 1.3% for Palmer United (down 0.1%), with the bracketed comparisons referring to the July 30 poll for Seven rather than the August 6 one for Fairfax.

The poll provides more evidence of an improvement in Bill Shorten’s standing, his good-plus-very good rating up from 19.6% to 23.4%, with poor-plus-very poor down from 45.9% to to 44.0%. Tony Abbott’s numbers are little changed at 26.0% (down 0.8%) and 53.8% (up 0.8%). Bill Shorten’s overall lead as preferred prime minister is 57.9-42.1, up from 55.1-44.9.

A question on preferred Liberal leader has Malcolm Turnbull on 43.5%, Julie Bishop on 22.8%, Tony Abbott on 21.4% and Scott Morrison on 12.4%. The last such question by ReachTEL was in its April 23 poll, but the results are not comparable as Joe Hockey has been dropped from the options list and replaced by Scott Morrison.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,496 comments on “ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. Those typical Melbourne workers who didn’t vote for Abbott in 2013 and sure as hell aren’t going to vote for him in 2016.

  2. meher baba @ 132: If we are correct and Canberra prepared or knew about the press release, then “a reasonable lay observer” might think that the Commissioner in his press conference today was asymptotic to the truth.

  3. [So why does he keep getting promoted/retained/boosted? ]

    People like to keep dumb animals for pets?

    Having him around makes even a dope like Abbott feel like an intellectual?

    Cabinet needs a certain balance between the states and have you seen what else Qld sends to Canberra?

    I give up. What’s the answer?

  4. Typical prejudice from the Troll. Mentions all his rogues gallery of baddies but doesn’t mention that Brenda the Civil Disobedience Penguin was also there.

  5. [ TrueBlueAussie
    Posted Friday, August 28, 2015 at 9:44 pm | Permalink

    Anyways.. back to covert behind the scenes work by Border Force rather than being on the streets I suppose.
    ]

    Got to be a parody; he gets away with it because he feeds into ones belief as to what an Abbott supporter would say.

    Remember bluey the octopus; I reckon it’s bluey.

  6. TBA, the issue here isn’t that pinkos like to wave banners and chant slogans. It’s that an agency of the government today announced its intention to have black-shirted goons patrol the streets of Melbourne demanding that non-whites show their identity papers, in blatant violation of both the law and every norm of a decent liberal society.

  7. fess

    [Surely Bolt has something to say about today’s events, what with it all unravelling in his home town! :eek:]

    Stony silence. Even Brendan O’Neill couldn’t find a positive (although I could only watch him for two minutes). He did manage to blame it on “the Twitterati”.

  8. zoid @ 149

    Except a lot of members of Borderfarce never wanted to be part of it. Borderfarce is a monster created out of the fevered vile imagination of Abbott and Mmmmm….son and the cabbage and filled with the doomed souls of immigration and customs public service people.

  9. [“Borderfarce is almost the same as Nazi’s with their Gestapo.”]

    Oh yes exactly the same.. Jewish shops are being burned in Melbourne as we speak.

    Anyways I prefer the Stasi analogy.. you remember them, they were the leftwing lovechild of the socialists trying to shut down dissent

  10. Abbott and Co. have not learnt that when throwing hand grenades at your enemy, those evil lefties, you have to let go of them.

  11. TotallyBiasedArsehat

    [ Also the biggest group of Visa Overstayers are Chinese and second are the Malaysians.

    Good to get the facts out there. ]

    Except that you have your facts wrong. According to the ABS, the largest number of overstayers are (1) UK and (2) US.

  12. Dio:

    I’m shocked re Bolt. He having an opinion on most everything and all.

    And all this went down in Melbourne to boot.

  13. @158 – but William, how can he be expected to understand without strawmen, attacking lefties and trying to blame this on Labor (this hasn’t happened yet, but that’s his usual MO).

    Oh and the Border Force said they wouldn’t target based on race, so nuh! 😛

  14. William Bowe@158

    TBA, the issue here isn’t that pinkos like to wave banners and chant slogans. It’s that an agency of the government today announced its intention to have black-shirted goons patrol the streets of Melbourne demanding that non-whites show their identity papers, in blatant violation of both the law and every norm of a decent liberal society.

    I believe over-stayers far outnumber refugees arriving on boats, but surely the ABF announcing their intention to check visas in a particular location aren’t the best move in trying to nab these people.

    I wonder how much funds was allocated to this operation, and how much have been sunken.

  15. [147
    Acerbic Conehead
    Posted Friday, August 28, 2015 at 9:45 pm | PERMALINK
    Victoria,

    Personally Never seen litter police

    Haven’t you ever seen a litter of Pigs?]

    🙂

  16. William,

    immigration officials doing random checks of ID’s happen in other countries randomly on the street, including the U.K.

    I think the mistake made here was the advertising of the fact that it was going to occur.

  17. [Except that you have your facts wrong. According to the ABS, the largest number of overstayers are (1) UK and (2) US.]

    So we’ve narrowed TBA’s job down to ‘journalist’ and his employer the Herald Sun?

  18. fess

    He might have said something on radio but there is nothing on his blog. That normally means there isn’t even a straw to clutch with this sinking ship.

    He will sometimes criticise an Abbott decision but silence often means he’s either searching desperately for some redeeming factor or about to blow his stack at Abbott.

  19. When I was a whippersnapper in the lengthening shadows of the Cold War, I remember the folk stories that were told about the evil Communist regimes: how they would force family members to give information against each other; how security forces would stop anyone and demand to see their papers.

  20. [immigration officials doing random checks of ID’s happen in other countries randomly on the street, including the U.K.]

    As I explained to you before, this is as blatantly against the law in the UK as it would be in Australia.

  21. TBA

    It’s fantastic when you appear here, only happens when the likes of Tony are up to there flapping ears in doodoo hope to see more of you in the future.

    You’ll be very busy next week for sure.

  22. Big claim from Sandi Logan, ex head of Communications for Immigration. If true, this story has a long way to run. And some people have been lying today.

    Given the national scandal caused by the dolts in his department, Dutton has displayed pure cowardice and unfitness to hold ministerial,rank by not fronting the media today IMHO

    [@SandiHLogan: Every @DIBPAustralia & @AusBorderForce media release goes to @PeterDutton_MP before issue. 100%.]

  23. TotallyBiasedArsehat

    [ immigration officials doing random checks of ID’s happen in other countries randomly on the street, including the U.K. ]

    You are mistaken again, as has already been pointed out.

    [ I think the mistake made here was the advertising of the fact that it was going to occur. ]

    No, the mistake was putting Mr Potato Head in charge.

  24. TBA #145
    [And.. typical Melbourne Rent-a-crowd annoying the working people of Melbourne trying to get home from work.]

    Now, now, TBA… I know you’re upset that the Border Force didn’t get to use their fancy new toys, but there’s now need to called them Rent-A-Crowds.

    The Abbott Government government spared no expense in decking out this clandestine paramilitary organisation, and it’ll be a terrible shame for the Taxpayer if our Not-So-Secret Police looks like a rag-bag troupe of Rent-A-Cops.

  25. I was employing a certain amount of poetic licence, Silmaj. Not much though. David Leyonhjelm has been good value today:

    [Either the Border Force are doing racial profiling, in which case they should stop it, or they are hassling everyone, and they should stop that as well. We do not need any more uniformed goons.]

  26. From that Daily Mail article:

    “convicts from other countries have no place in Britain”

    Fine, *now* they take that attitude.

  27. [this is as blatantly against the law in the UK as it would be in Australia.]

    I’d love to know what Turnbull and Brandis think about all this.

  28. zoidlord@179

    @Raaraa/167

    Checking google, they warned people in 2014.
    http://www.noborders-group.com/news/Border-protection-sends-warning-to-visa-overstayers

    Also regarding the numbers of over stayers, only 62,000 according to http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/more-than-62000-people-living-illegally-in-australia-20141226-12dxod.html

    I’m more concerned with 457 visas and the abuse / rort of that.

    Thanks zoid.

    Enforce 457 workers the same wage levels and conditions as regular wokers and watch those rorting go down.

  29. sprocket @ 177: If that’s correct, it would seem almost inconceivable that a media release could be sent to the Minister without also being sent to (and, one would expect, through)the Commissioner of the ABF.

  30. The last time the Brits were the biggest group of overstayers was back in 2008.

    Been well and truly the Chinese for the last half dozen years.

    It’s good to check your facts before quoting incorrectly the ABS

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