ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

A new poll from ReachTEL is their third in a month to show Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47.

GhostWhoVotes tweets that a ReachTEL poll on the Seven Network records Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47, which is unchanged on ReachTEL polls conducted on both July 30 and August 6. Seven also reported that Bill Shorten was favoured over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister by 55-45 among men, compared with 56.0-44.0 in the previous ReachTEL poll, and 61-39 among women, effectively unchanged on the last poll’s result of 60.8-39.2. That appears to be all the information Seven provided, but hopefully the ReachTEL site will have full results soon.

UPDATE: Full results here. The primary votes are 40.3% for the Coalition (down 0.3%), 37.5% for Labor (down 0.5%), 13.4% for the Greens (up 0.5%) and 1.3% for Palmer United (down 0.1%), with the bracketed comparisons referring to the July 30 poll for Seven rather than the August 6 one for Fairfax.

The poll provides more evidence of an improvement in Bill Shorten’s standing, his good-plus-very good rating up from 19.6% to 23.4%, with poor-plus-very poor down from 45.9% to to 44.0%. Tony Abbott’s numbers are little changed at 26.0% (down 0.8%) and 53.8% (up 0.8%). Bill Shorten’s overall lead as preferred prime minister is 57.9-42.1, up from 55.1-44.9.

A question on preferred Liberal leader has Malcolm Turnbull on 43.5%, Julie Bishop on 22.8%, Tony Abbott on 21.4% and Scott Morrison on 12.4%. The last such question by ReachTEL was in its April 23 poll, but the results are not comparable as Joe Hockey has been dropped from the options list and replaced by Scott Morrison.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,496 comments on “ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor”

Comments Page 3 of 50
1 2 3 4 … 50

  1. I love Taylor’s concluding paragraph:

    [Australian Border Force was left looking like Dad’s Army. The most obvious conclusion is that if customs is to become a “core national security agency” it has to act like one. The bigger message is that militarising customs and immigration was a bad idea in the first place.]

    Absolutely!

  5. Honestly, where does the government find these twits?

    Dyson Heydon, Roman Quaedvlieg, Tim Wilson, Tony Shepherd, Dick Warburton, Maurice Newman…

    It’s just a parade of upper-class male morons.

  7. [I suggest there’s a gap between Peter Dutton-style incompetent fascist moron and “political mastermind” into which Scott Morrison, and pretty much any other politician, would fall.]

    And Dutton was a detective? Shudder to think how many crimes he didn’t solve!

  8. sprocket @ 87: When you read the transcript of the ABF Commissioner’s press conference, there’s a striking difference between the quality of his prepared statement and his answers to questions. The prepared statement is carefully and cleverly worded, and while it tries to put things in the best light from the ABF’s point of view, it’s not misleading or deceitful.

    But the answers to questions were something else. To describe the Regional Command VIC/TAS as “low level” is laughable, as the press all noticed. And to assert that the first press release had been “misconstrued” was an outrageous whopper, literally asserting that the readers hadn’t understood the clear wording of the document; whereas in fact they had understood it perfectly, and the problem was that it hadn’t said what the ABF meant it to say.

    Frankly, I think the Commissioner in saying such things clearly breached the service standards of his own department, as shown on its website, notably “we demonstrate leadership, are trustworthy, and act with integrity and honesty to deliver results to the community” and “we will … give you clear, accurate and timely information or help you to find it”.

  9. JimmyDoyle

    [ It’s just a parade of upper-class male morons. ]

    … and these are the cream of the conservative crop!

  10. Rob Oakeshott retweeted
    Dan Ilic ‏@danilic 9h9 hours ago Sydney, New South Wales

    I’d love to see Border Force walk around Melbourne checking people’s oranges and mangoes for fruit fly. #auspol

  14. TPOF @ 83: A little bit of googling is enough to establish that Mr Smith, he of the 15 minutes of fame today, did indeed come from the Customs side of the house, as did the new Secretary of the Department.

    You talk of the shotgun marriage between customs and immigration. The term I’d heard used was hostile takeover.

    I have a feeling it’s going to end badly, and this is just the start. The big issue is still the management of the concentration camps.

  16. Surely, on humanitarian grounds, the Abbott government is entitled to a halfway decent week next week? In the spirit of mercy.

  19. [Surely, on humanitarian grounds, the Abbott government is entitled to a halfway decent week next week? In the spirit of mercy.]

    The trend is your friend…or not, as the case may be.

  20. alias

    [ Surely, on humanitarian grounds, the Abbott government is entitled to a halfway decent week next week? In the spirit of mercy. ]

    If there was any mercy in the world, Abbott and his entourage would have been speared by their indigenous hosts by now.

  24. Response to JD from last

    [Dunkley is most definitely winnable. It is only held with a 5.5% margin, which is not far above La Trobe which is held by 4%. Labor is putting a lot of time, money and effort into Dunkley this time around.]

    Ye-es, but it’s also been a remarkably un-swingy seat. Apart from 2004, the Lib PV has varied by less than 3% in the last 20 years.
    But as I say, Abbott keeps at it like this and it will fall, no worries.

  25. [Peter Dutton-style incompetent fascist moron]

    So why does he keep getting promoted/retained/boosted? He must have a great photo collection.

  30. Lots of Socialist Alliance and “Red Flag” newspapers seen at the rally blocking traffic in Melbourne today.

    These are not average Australians. These are socialists, communists and anarchists.

  32. Good evening bludgers

    Unbelievable stuff-up today. The unprofessionalism of it all is inexplicable other than through what normally happens when two organisations merge and lots of good people -especially from the “losing side” (and there always is a winner and a loser in merger) – jump ship.

    A public announcement of a clampdown on illegal immigrants is absurd. And the idea that people could be stopped in the street and their visas demanded from them (how many people in Australia walk around with their passports on them? 1 per cent? 0.5 per cent?) is impractical in the extreme.

    This has to be largely a bureaucratic stuff-up. I suspect we are dealing with a bureaucratic media officer who got more than a little carried away! it’s got a strong flavour of the TV show Utopia about it. A media area which doesn’t listen to what the operational people are saying and which focuses on the message to the total exclusion of the content.

    And, by the way, I cannot believe this release would have been cooked up by the state office. Federal Government departments don’t let state offices put out releases like this. The Canberra phone number sort of confirms that.

  33. [Lots of Socialist Alliance and “Red Flag” newspapers seen at the rally blocking traffic in Melbourne today.

    These are not average Australians. These are socialists, communists and anarchists.]

    Yeah? And?

  34. TBA

    [These are not average Australians. ]

    No, I agree – they are extraordinary.

    You on the other hand, are below average.

  35. They sure picked the wrong town to trial their first Border Farce public release.

    Guess it doesn’t hurt for me to carry my passport along with me at all times.

  38. Why are police using flights?

    Kate McClymont ‏@Kate_McClymont 2m2 minutes ago

    fun Fri night at Sydney Airport with the police after @etihad oversold flight, mad passenger going 2 call @Channel7

    Shouldn’t they be using cars?

  39. [These are not average Australians. These are socialists, communists and anarchists.]

    No such thing as an ‘average Australian’ to most people. Middle aged white anglo-saxon christian types … well, they think they’re average but we’re a long way from the 1950s

  40. confessions @ 111 – true, which would suggest that Abbott is career/reputation poison. But then we already knew that.

  41. poroti @ 112 – how true! The parallel with the current government in its callous disregard for others and an utter inability to avoid self-inflicted wounds is uncanny.

  42. So zoomster had the goods on Napthine and his colleague.

    Hope her tip of Mirabella polling so poorly is also on the money.

  43. #borderfarce – Jesus H Christ, what a bunch of crypofascist losers!

    Australia, you are losing your tiny mind!

    Thank dog sensible protesters nipped that fascist bullshit in the bud before it got out of hand.

    Now back to your offshore concentration camps, and dont show your ugly authoritarian faces in public again!

  44. Lucky there weren’t any Ten Pound Poms wandering around Melbourne CBD today.

    Dutton’s boys would’ve ‘ad ’em.

  45. [“Yeah? And?”]

    And.. typical Melbourne Rent-a-crowd annoying the working people of Melbourne trying to get home from work.

    Anyways.. back to covert behind the scenes work by Border Force rather than being on the streets I suppose.

  46. [“Lucky there weren’t any Ten Pound Poms wandering around Melbourne CBD today. “]

    10 Pound Poms came here legally.

    Also the biggest group of Visa Overstayers are Chinese and second are the Malaysians.

    Good to get the facts out there.

  48. TBA

    You are missing the point. The street protests were irrelevant. Just look at the media response. This is a new lowpoint of incompetence from a government which has specialised in fark-ups.

    I haven’t seen even a RWNJ try to polish this turd.

  50. Of course by saying “That Bloke” I mean our great & wondrous blogmeister.

    Being interviewed about the Canning by election.

Comments Page 3 of 50
1 2 3 4 … 50

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *