ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

A new poll from ReachTEL is their third in a month to show Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47.

GhostWhoVotes tweets that a ReachTEL poll on the Seven Network records Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47, which is unchanged on ReachTEL polls conducted on both July 30 and August 6. Seven also reported that Bill Shorten was favoured over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister by 55-45 among men, compared with 56.0-44.0 in the previous ReachTEL poll, and 61-39 among women, effectively unchanged on the last poll’s result of 60.8-39.2. That appears to be all the information Seven provided, but hopefully the ReachTEL site will have full results soon.

UPDATE: Full results here. The primary votes are 40.3% for the Coalition (down 0.3%), 37.5% for Labor (down 0.5%), 13.4% for the Greens (up 0.5%) and 1.3% for Palmer United (down 0.1%), with the bracketed comparisons referring to the July 30 poll for Seven rather than the August 6 one for Fairfax.

The poll provides more evidence of an improvement in Bill Shorten’s standing, his good-plus-very good rating up from 19.6% to 23.4%, with poor-plus-very poor down from 45.9% to to 44.0%. Tony Abbott’s numbers are little changed at 26.0% (down 0.8%) and 53.8% (up 0.8%). Bill Shorten’s overall lead as preferred prime minister is 57.9-42.1, up from 55.1-44.9.

A question on preferred Liberal leader has Malcolm Turnbull on 43.5%, Julie Bishop on 22.8%, Tony Abbott on 21.4% and Scott Morrison on 12.4%. The last such question by ReachTEL was in its April 23 poll, but the results are not comparable as Joe Hockey has been dropped from the options list and replaced by Scott Morrison.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,496 comments on “ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. Boerwar

    The “plod” bit was a joke. His actual name is Quaedvlieg . So what does that translate to.

    May your bark beetles eat well and flourish.

  8. Listening to News Radio. Just heard Quaedvlieg telling a press conference that anyone who wasn’t him personally in Border Force was “lower level”.

    So there we have it. Every press release needs to be endorsed by Quaedvlieg, or it’s “low level”.

    Brilliant management technique, that.

  9. Re Border Farce, it reminded me of this well known Voltaire quote:

    [I have never made but one prayer to God, a very short one: ‘O Lord make my enemies ridiculous.’ And God granted it.]

  12. Incidentally, what did the Taxi Cops and Tram Force have to do with the price of fish in Melbourne today?

    Could this be a new miniseries?

    * Tram Force: SVU

    * Taxi Squad: Law In The Street

    * Vic Police: Where do you think YOU came from?

    * Yarra Cops: The Taking of Yarra 123

    Possibilities are endless.

  13. [
    confessions
    Posted Friday, August 28, 2015 at 8:16 pm | Permalink

    poroti:

    I’ve never heard of ‘litter police’. Very odd.
    ]
    Patriotic front taking up the offered opportunity?

  15. His comments indicate to me that he doesn’t really know what he is talking about, for example his comments on the financial markets show that he hasn’t got his head around what there role is.

    The financial sector today is ridiculously over-sized relative to the real economy, its excessive complexity obscures rather than accurately prices risk, and it poses unacceptably and needlessly high systemic risks to everyone. The self-interest of financiers and the ill-advised neoliberal fervour of policymakers (who themselves often go on reap rewards in the financial sector) made it that way. But what can be made can be remade. That is the good news. As Paul Krugman says, banking needs to become boring again. The financial sector should be made significantly smaller relative to real output, and it needs to be much more carefully regulated.

  18. Incidentally, where is TBI?

    There are dole-bludging, far-Left Green-Socialists to be rounded up. Anti-Australian reffos are running amok. Unions are certain to be involved.

    Time’s a wastin’….

  21. Once more unto the breach, dear friends, once more;
    And close the wall up with their unvisa’d dead!
    In peace there’s nothing so becomes a man,
    As modest stillness and humility;
    But when the blast of spin blows in our ears,
    Then imitate the action of the tiger:
    Stiffen the sinews, conjure up the blood,
    Disguise fair nature with black-shirted rage:
    Then lend the eye a terrible aspect;
    Let it pry through the portage of the head,
    Like the brass cannon; let the brow o’erwhelm it
    As fearfully as doth a galled rock
    O’erhang and jutty his confounded base,
    Swill’d with the wild and wasteful ocean.
    Now set the teeth and stretch the nostril wide;
    Hold hard the breath and bend up every spirit
    To his full height. On, on, you noblest ABF,
    Whose blood is fet from fathers of war-proof!
    Fathers that, like so many Alexanders,
    Have in these parts from morn till even fought,
    And sheathed their swords for lack of argument.
    Dishonour not your mothers: now attest,
    That those whom you call’d fathers did beget you.
    Be copy now to men of grosser blood,
    And teach them how to get a visa.
    And you, good litter police,
    Whose limbs were made by Dutton, show us here
    The mettle of your pasture: let us swear
    That you are worth your breeding; which I doubt not;
    For there is none of you so mean and base,
    That hath not noble lustre in your eyes.
    I see you stand like greyhounds in the slips,
    Straining upon the start. The game’s afoot:
    Follow your spirit; and upon this charge,
    Cry ‘Where’s your visa! For Tony! Dutton! and Newspoll!

  22. While Constable Plodvlieg was doing everything he could to blame his Don Smith person for today’s stuff-up, I wonder if people have noticed that the original “low level” press release invited “Media enquiries” to “Immigration and Border Protection Media (02) 6264 2244”, which is a Canberra number.

    I don’t know how the Border Force works – maybe nobody does – but in the various geographically dispersed organisations I’ve worked in over the years, you wouldn’t list someone as a contact on a media release without giving them a heads up before it was issued.

    So was it purely a Victorian stuff up, or was Canberra part of the problem too?

    Worth a query from the press, I would have thought.

  28. Continued from #73

    “Dole bludging left-wing socialists”
    As opposed to those right-wing socialists we see working ’round the clock at the Paint-Tasting Factory.

  29. [So, what happened to the guy on the right. He looks like he has been necked.]

    Tsk Boerwar, it’s the ABF version of diversity. As we remarked earlier, one man has no hair while the other has no neck.

    Diversity target achieved.

  30. A little while back I reckoned The Thick of It invented the perfect term for the Abbott government, “Omnishambles”. His government has since then made the term inadequate. What to use now ?

  31. Questions no journalist asked Abbott his week:

    1. What has been the impact of your cutting hundreds of millions from Indignous funding?

    2. When you called for unity and then referred to ‘settlers’ you were taking the piss out of your Indigenous audience, right?

    3. Why did you backflip on your insulting ‘log of claims’ line?

    4. Why did you insult the teachers at Bamaga by verballing them on their teaching methodology?

  33. Mark Kenny in an otherwise caustic and fairly incisive article said:

    [One however, noted the hamfisted operation was not the kind of thing that would have happened under Scott Morrison, who despite his hardline reputation, had kept his officials on a tight leash, and remained keenly attuned to the politics of his beat.]

    He was talking about other ministers. Quite frankly that’s bulldust. It was Scum who forced the shotgun marriage between immigration and customs. I don’t know who the clown in charge in Victoria was, but I bet he came from the customs side as nobody with ANY experience of immigration compliance operations would have ever suggested that visa status could be checked for anyone they came across. It simply would not be legal and every immigration compliance officer would be trained accordingly.

    My take on why this happened goes directly to another episode of the repeated insistence of this government to make all its decisions on the basis of the political benefit or to pay back supporters and not consider any evidence based policy. In this case, the cultures and legal obligations of customs and immigration officers were so different that merging them has always been rejected in the past and only an idiot would have suggested it this time.

    So Scum sets it up, tosses the hospital pass to Dutton, who is too stupid to realise what he has been given. And now a Scum ally briefs Kenny to ensure that not one skerrick of the crap adheres to Scum, although he deserves to be wearing a large load of it.

  34. Fossicking around for a bit of inspiration, I googled:

    ‘images of dutton in uniform’

    Fair dinkum, those people at Google have some questions to answer.

  35. [ “Immigration and Border Protection Media (02) 6264 2244″, which is a Canberra number.]

    That’s immigration headquarters in Belconnen.

  39. pedant

    the Age and Herald Sun editors during their segment on ABC radio earlier this evening, intimated that they (“the media”) had some digging to do re Today’s debacle

  41. [Commissioner Quaedvlieg: On the latter point, no, the Minister’s office is not involved. The press release was circulated at a regional level in the state of Victoria.]

    It went to the national media.

    I’m starting to wonder whether the original press release wasn’t some insider hatchet job on ABF. How else to explain such rank incompetence?

  42. TPOF @ 85: I was pretty sure that was the case, but one thing you can’t be too sure of these days is the location of the person who answers the call when you dial a generic inquiry number: sometimes they link into a nationwide network of call centres. Do you have any specific information about whether that might be the case with the ABF/Immigration?

  45. [Peter Dutton-style incompetent fascist moron]

    As someone said on twitter, an ex-Queensland cop with a paramilitary force at his disposal – be afraid. Be very afraid.

  46. BK:

    And while this national security omnishambles unfolds, Abbott and presumably Credlin are stuck in TI along with ministerial colleagues and senior (as in very senior) public servants, wrestling with tek screws and spak filler, doing push ups every morning with the army and camping in tents.

    All to descend on this fallout upon their return. I don’t care what this says about me, but you gotta love karma. 🙂

  48. poroti

    [ A little while back I reckoned The Thick of It invented the perfect term for the Abbott government, “Omnishambles”. His government has since then made the term inadequate. What to use now ? ]

    Difficult … this government is really stretching the limits of language … how about a Mega-omnishambles?

  49. sprocket and confessions:

    Shorter Quaedvlieg: the buck stops with… some inferior at a low level in the Australian Border Force. But definitely not me. After all I’m only the ABF Commissioner.

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