Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

Newspoll concurs with Galaxy’s two-party result but has both parties lower on the primary vote, with Kevin Rudd doing no more than break even with his debut personal ratings.

James J reports Newspoll has come in at 51-49 to the Coalition (compared with 57-43 last week) from primary votes of 35% for Labor (up six), 43% for the Coalition (down five) and 11% for the Greens (up two). Kevin Rudd holds a handy 49-35 lead over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister, but achieves a neutral result with his debut personal ratings with both approval and disapproval at 36%. Tony Abbott is down one on approval to 35% and up three on disapproval to 56%.

We also have supplementary results from yesterday’s Galaxy poll courtesy of GhostWhoVotes showing Joe Hockey favoured over Chris Bowen as preferred Treasurer 38% to 20%, and 33% saying Rudd’s leadership style has improved against 43% who say it hasn’t (although that may include people who think it didn’t need to). (UPDATE: I gather from Simon Benson’s Daily Telegraph report that it was put to respondents that that some thought his style “chaotic and dysfunctional”).

UPDATE (Essential Research): GhostWhoVotes relates that Essential Research, which normally provides only a fortnightly rolling average, has published results from the most recent polling period (Thursday to Sunday) showing the primary votes at 38% for Labor (up four), 46% for the Coalition (down one) and 9% for the Greens (up one), panning out to 52-48 to the Coalition on two-party preferred. The normal rolling average, which in the circumstances tells us very little, moves from 55-45 to 53-47.

UPDATE 2: Bernard Keane in Crikey:

The decision to dump Gillard was approved by 55% of voters, including 24% who strongly approved, and opposed by 31%. Some 77% of Labor voters approved, 40% of Liberal voters and 49% of Greens voters. But men were much more likely to approve: 63% of male voters supported Gillard’s removal, compared to only 46% of women; women disapproved 36% compared to 29% of men. A third of voters said it made them more likely to vote Labor and only 19% said it made them less likely. More than 60% of Labor voters said it made them more likely to vote Labor, and 14% of Liberal voters, but a third of Liberal voters said it made them less likely to vote Labor …

The extent to which Labor collapsed after improving in the second half of 2012 is illustrated by a series of responses on which groups would be better off under Labor or the Coalition. In September last year, voters gave Labor a big lead for groups like pensioner, the unemployed, people on low incomes, people with disabilities, people who send their children to public schools and recently arrived immigrants.

Last week, Labor’s lead had shrunk virtually across the board: its preference as the best party for the unemployed fell from 27 points to 14 points; for low-income earners from 27 points to 21 points; for single parents from 23 to 15 points. Only for people with disabilities had it increased, from 20 to 21 points. The damage done to Labor’s “branding” as a party to be trusted to look after lower income earners is significant.

There’s also been a significant drop in support for keeping our troops in Afghanistan, with the level of voters wanting us to withdraw our troops increasing seven points to 69%, with virtually no difference across voting intention.

UPDATE 3 (Morgan): The Morgan multi-mode poll is the first pollster to actually have Labor in front, their primary vote at 39.5% (up 11% on last week) to 40.5% for the Coalition (down 10%) and 8.5% for the Greens (up half a point). This gives Labor a respondent-allocated preferences lead of 51.5-48.5, which emerges as 51-49 when using preference flows from the previous election.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,379 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

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  1. Well here it is a lovely afternoon in Aberdeen and once again seem to have the blog to myself 😀
    Where are you Diogenes? Shopping for bags again :devil:

    MikeHilliard where are you?

    Lefty still in Portugal?

    Just saw the Glasonbury Festival on TV which actually is there but at a little village near there where I will be nextmonth visiting rellies

  2. davidwh
    [35% isn’t the highest primary vote for Labor this year. Someone has been playing games.]

    No one played any games. By a process of sort-of written Chinese whispers my post in the previous thread that Chris Kenny reported that the Newspoll has the highest Labor PV since the beginning of the year (meaning there was a higher PV at the beginning of the year) became the highest PV for the year.

  3. (APOLOGIES…I HAVE DIMINISHING EYE SIGHT)

    POLLS MARGIN OF ERROR…TAKING INTO ACCOUNT MURDOCH NEWSPOLL NATURAL BIAS FOR COALITION…GOOD RESULT…KEV WAY AHEAD IN FAVE PM POLLING RESULTS…YOU CAN HEAR IT ON THE GROUND IMPORTANTLY (THO USUAL SUSPECT MEDIA WILL TRY DESPERATELY TO CHANGE THAT BY SELECTIVITY)

    WHEN KEV WON IN 07…TAKING DOWN THE RODENT, DOWNER, COSTELLO, ABBOTT, MIRABELLA, BISHOP, BISHOP, PYNE, HOCKEY, ANDREWS, RUDDOCK TEAM OF OGRES…

    AFTER NIGH ON 12 YEARS…

    HE WORKED TO LIFT THE MORALE OF DISADVANTAGED SCHOOLS, THE FIRST PEOPLE, THE HOMELESS, THOSE ABOUT TO BE CRUSHED BY THE GFC.

    BOTH HIS…AND JULIA’S REFORMS NEED DEFENDING.

    ABBOTT THE MUSCULAR CRUSADING CHRISTIAN WHO CATERS TO RIGHT-WING NUTJOBS AND MEGA-RICH LOONIES AND CATHOLIC ABUSE COVERUP PRIESTS NEEDS AN ASS WHIPPIN’

    YA GOTTA BE IN IT…TO HELP WIN IT.

    IF ABBOTT WINS…WITH THE USUAL SUSPECT PRESS AND SHOCK JOCKS ON SIDE…CONTROLLING THE ABC…

    HE COULD BE IN POWER…CONTROLLING AUSTRALIA…A TORTUOUSLY LONG TIME.

    THINK ABOUT IT PEOPLE.
    THE CRUSADING PUGILIST…IN AS LONG AS HOWARD.

    WITH NEWMAN, BARNETT, O’FARRELL, NAPTHINE..EVENTUALLY OTHER PREMIERS…CLAPPING.
    DICING. CHOPPING.

    TIME TO BREAK ON THRU.

  4. Burke to immigration?

    That’s a killer punch line!

    Seriously though, if Burke can restore some decorum within the immigration debate and the government can put forward some progressive ideas towards addressing the causes of displacement, I’ll take my hat off to them.

  5. Good morning, Dawn Patrol.

    Ah, another Glorious First of July! A day which should be etched in memory, marking Gross Failures by Murdoch, Abbott, Big Mining etc to stop the Gillard Government’s Reform Agenda:

    First anniversary of CPS implementation (So sad JG, DR No Whyalla Wipeout & Greg Gouldian Finches are leaving)

    Implementation Day today for a raft of other Gillard Government Legislation – including Gonski, 457 Visas etc – PLUS the only Legislation which affects me in a major way: the cap ($60,000) on a Nursing Home upfront “bond” (should I have a major but not fatal stroke, making a Nursing Home imperative).

    Local NH bonds are now around the full price of a good 1960-80s Tmba home in a good suburb – c$400,000 and up – with only c80% of the original sum (not adjusted for inflation) refunded when the inmate finally dies – though NH has up to 9 months after inmate dies to refund it! No way Offspring could afford to mortgage our home to pay such a huge sum. In addition, NHs also pocket most of the inmate’s pension, plus whatever else they can require from inmates who have other assets, like superannuation, shares etc.

    This was then Howard Minister’s Santo Santoro’s personal racket, benefiting mainly himself, family, friends – the reason Howard reluctantly sacked him & forced his resignation from Parliament – when the scandal was exposed (Fairfax) not long before Election2007.

    With Santo Santoro now Federal Liberal Party 2 IC, there was next to no hope this legislation would have been passed if Abbott were PM; and little chance that an Abbott Government wouldn’t rescind it.

  6. Good morning Dawn Patrollers (and mari and Diog wherever you are!).
    Well it’s game on! Rudd can now start to mess with Abbott’s head and focus attention on policies and thge economy.
    http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-national/another-poll-shows-ruddled-surge-20130701-2p5vf.html
    Of course!
    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/coalition-to-deport-most-foreign-criminals-20130630-2p5ek.html
    This may upset Abbott. Good! It certainly represents a contrast.
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/health/abortion-drug-subsidies-blasted-cancer-treatments-welcomed-20130630-2p5b4.html
    This petition sums things up very well, I’d say.
    http://www.theage.com.au/national/victims-call-for-pell-to-stand-down-20130630-2p5au.html
    And this disgusting hypocrisy is hardly surprising.
    http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/jun/30/pope-gay-lobby-vatican-gossip
    Things not looking too promising for the hierachy at Essendon.
    http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/bombers-must-show-players-were-duped-20130630-2p5gj.html
    Andrew Dyson on leadership change.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/andrew-dyson-20090819-epqv.html
    And one from Cathy Wilcox.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/cathy-wilcox-20090909-fhd6.html

  7. Psephos

    Posted Sunday, June 30, 2013 at 11:48 pm | Permalink

    All governments have ministers who are deadwood but who have to be kept on for various political reasons.
    —————————————————–
    and that applies to the Opposition benches.

    Pyne Shadow Minister for Education – asked only 3 questions regarding Education in 3 years. He really showed an interest in the portfolio.

    Dutton Shadow Minister for Health didn’t ask a question regarding the portfolio for over 1,000 days. Again not ral interest in the portfolio.

    Pyne and Dutton both happy to take the extra pay that being a Shadow Minister provides but not wanting to do the work.

    Deadwood..bludgers sucking on the taxpayer teat

  8. opinion polls once against prove its not reality only media’s agenda

    People claim they can not see how labor can pick up 3-4 % in 4 months yet

    in about 2-3 days labor picked up 6% ?

    if the opinion polls are any sort of reality
    labor wins the election in a landslide

    the coalition is not a alternative

    we will see after next month, how the pro coalition media reacts, when there is no early election.

    wIm tipping we will see the same propaganda as they did with the gillard government

    the media influence polls couldnt force an early election

    so newsltd/abbott coalition and pro coalition media propaganda the opinion polls to make them look bad for labor

    Newsltd/abbott coalition are predictable so far

  9. Of course!
    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/coalition-to-deport-most-foreign-criminals-20130630-2p5ek.html

    Another Liberal Policy that will appeal to the One Nation racist redneck xenophobe.

    Foreigners are already subject to deportation when they are found guilty of an offence. Corrections services in Australia notify the Immigration Dept whenever a non-citizen” is imprisoned. Immigration then review each case.

    Statistics show that asylum seekers are 45 times less likely to commit an offence.

    Under the current legislation in operation a foreigner could well be a person who came to Australia as child with his/her parents and has lived and worked in Australia for many years.

    Mandatory sentencing has been found to be flawed and this will be just as flawed in its operation.

  10. So even though Newspoll is 51-49, it doesn’t appear on the front page of Oz online, or anywhere on News.com.au front page?

    How bloody convenient.

  11. I’m looking forward to when :monkey: starts to get challenged on the contradictions.
    Like the whole, I’ll get rid of the carbon tax but the compensation will remain. If the revenue that pays the compensation is removed then who pays the compensation? General revenue, where does that come from? Taxes. So… well be getting compensation for a tax that no longer exists paid out of our taxes. How the fark does that work and how is it of benefit to anyone?

  12. [78 and 79 I cannot see the ALP preferencing the Libs ahead of the Greens. Even the idiots in charge of the ALP could not be that stupid.]

    two words for you – steve fielding.

    the labor right hate the greens more than they hate the libs because they have more in common with the latter, and the former remind them of what the labor party is supposed to be about.

    ‘stupid’ is the hallmark of the Labor right – exhibit A – NSW.

  13. Morning All

    Looking forward to seeing what the reserves filled front bench looks like – pretty desperate times with the likes of Kim Carr and Joel Fitzgibbon making come backs. Hoping to see a flush of new talent, there are plenty there to be rewarded.

    Day one of the NDIS, I hope all involved in getting it up and running – especially Shorten and Gillard, are very proud.

    Greg Hunt out there talking about the increase in the carbon tax and the hit to the budget if the carbon tax is lowered – aren’t they taking it away altogether and promising the “compensation without the carbon tax”??? Surely a bigger budget hit

    Disappointing to hear how Bob Carr is talking about asylum seekers, yes there are “economic migrants” amongst the numbers but most are just looking for a safer life.

  14. I can not see any justification for labor to lose any ground , in the next 2 weeks

    why labor should be in front by at least in front by 6 points , if these opinion polls are reflection on reality

  15. [yes there are “economic migrants” amongst the numbers but most are just looking for a safer life.]

    Is that so? I’d have thought the ones primarily looking for a safer life would be the ones in UN camps who were unable to make their way anywhere else. I think we should help those most in need.

  16. If the coalition is in front in 2 weeks it will prove the point once for all

    these opinion polls were never on reality only the media’s agenda

  17. Hello Mari! Blow kisses to the Glastonbury Tor & Abbey for me & late OH, PLZ. So much more work done on the Abbey now since we last saw it early 80s. Oh, and to the Abbey’s magnificent antique Cope – and a special “Love this” for Mysay, who’d be in 7th heaven!

  18. I can’t see any mention of Newspoll in today’s Hun. Normally a good result for Labor would at least be squeezed into a single 2″ long column on page 7. Seems they have buried it without trace. The upcoming Nielsen will be harder to ignore.

  19. Good start. What will be critical is holding this in poll #2 and beyond. I can just see the headlines if it slips to, say, 48/52 – “Rudd honeymoon over”.

    I note the Coalition primary is below that at the election. Even they are relying on preferences from others.

  20. [Is that so? I’d have thought the ones primarily looking for a safer life would be the ones in UN camps who were unable to make their way anywhere else. I think we should help those most in need.]

    Tom – a simple question, if you were in their shoes and had the means to avoid going into a UN camp for who knows how long – what would you do???

  21. Jack Stepney @ 122

    i doubt the coalition primary vote ever improved that much since 2010
    it has been around 42-44%

    abbott has not improved it

    the coalition can not win the election with less then 45% primaray vote

  22. [Tom – a simple question, if you were in their shoes and had the means to avoid going into a UN camp for who knows how long – what would you do???]

    At least there’s an acknowledgement in your question that there are some arriving in this way who have the financial means to do so and there are others who don’t. I think those that don’t are the more desperate cases and they’re the ones I’d be assisting first.

  23. The Liberals will be exposed and found wanting when people slowly get around to looking passed the one line rants and start looking for real policy

    Direct Action = no action

    Abolish the Climate Change Commission, the Climate Change Authority, the Clean Energy Finance Corporation and the Energy Security Fund and bring the relevant functions in house under a merged Climate Change and Environment Department.
    ##incorporate the 4 depts. and make a “super” dept No cost saving just cost shifting. Everything currently being done by the merged agencies will keep getting done.

    NO real change from Labor has put in place.

    Implementing an incentive scheme called the Emissions Reduction Fund,
    ## the Coalition plans to tackle carbon emissions by paying industry to pollute less, through an Emissions Reduction Fund. This will be taxpayer money from the budget. remembering that Abbott has described the budget as being in “emergency”.
    So what gets cut in health, infrastructure and education to pay for this??
    Instead of the polluters paying a “penalty” for polluting Abbott will give them taxpayer money not to pollute.

    A financial penalty would be imposed on businesses that ‘go rogue’ and do not conform to ‘business as usual’ levels. This would be based on best practice standards for emissions reduction. Alternatively, businesses would be rewarded for effective emissions abatement through the Coalition’s Emissions Reduction Fund.

    ## all funded from the budget – taxpayer money but it wont cost taxpayers anything??? Pull the other one, it plays Jingle bells!!

    Finer details would be released after the election and subject to industry consultation.

    ## So they really don’t know what they will do and will check with Industry before they develop the real details of what they will actually do — after the election

  24. any front bench with Joel Fitzgibbon on it is a joke – but then again, compared to what they face across the house, even a 2nds team from Labor will outclass the best and brightest on abbott’s team.

    Kim Carr is OK in my book – we would agree on environmental policy, but otherwise he tirelessly pursues a progressive agenda, particularly on IR and industry policy..

    The loss of Greg Combet and Julia Gillard from politics at the same time the path is smoothed for Feeney tells you talent is not that important in today’s Australia.

    Hopefully Andrew Leigh will get a spot – if he doesn’t, it tells you feudal patronage and factionalism rather than talent is what counts. Shorten will not want Leigh anywhere where he can shine, because he should become his main rival for the leadership in the future – he won’t because he is not factionally aligned and has lobbied to break up factions.

  25. The coalition should be heading for a defeat , there is no way all of a sudden pick up ground

    when they are still hiding and abbott still being a coward

  26. BTW, having glanced at OO, CM & other NewsCorpse.Oz (formerly known as LimitedNews) tabloids, I’m getting the impression that Ruddstoration’s primary aim was NOT .. er ..ah..NOT er ..y’r actual Rudd Rising Dracula-like from his tomb (hello Whitby Abbey & Little Jimmy Cook), but:

    (a) A successful Abbott coup, OR, more likely,

    (b) Gillard & her backers would dig in till ElectionDay, thereby ensuring a HUGE Abbott victory.

    Seems to me there’s more than a tad of “Foo-king Hell! What the SHEE-IT have we done!” to today’s Murdoch Minions’ manic reactions. As if The Great News Dictator himself rang Rudd with options re MSM/NBN future ownership, and got, instead, one of that linguists famous Anglo-Saxon rants!

    The Courier Mail’s gone insane! As if the antiNewman editorial staff were replaced to make a home for FoxNews.US hysterical loonies!

  27. OZPOL 120
    Will do you walked to top of The Tor? I have done it a couple of times, my fathers relations live all around there so know area very well, will be there end of this month The Abbey is great and the Christmas rose that blooms there

  28. [At least there’s an acknowledgement in your question that there are some arriving in this way who have the financial means to do so and there are others who don’t. I think those that don’t are the more desperate cases and they’re the ones I’d be assisting first.]

    The question was – what would you do if you were in their shoes???

    Ideally there would be a structured system where queues actually exist and move so people would be willing to go via them. There isn’t and probably never will be so I don’t begrudge people doing what they can to avoid the UN camps.

    Of course we should do more for those that do the right thing, they should be rewarded for doing so, but we can’t just ignore those that try something else out of desperation.

  29. Morning all.

    Was there polling out overnight? You wouldn’t know it from the reportage today.

    Meanwhile I notice that leadershit has been replaced by election date speculation. You gotta hand it to our media, they simply cannot report things of substance.

  30. Tom Hawkins

    Posted Monday, July 1, 2013 at 7:45 am | Permalink

    Tom – a simple question, if you were in their shoes and had the means to avoid going into a UN camp for who knows how long – what would you do???

    At least there’s an acknowledgement in your question that there are some arriving in this way who have the financial means to do so and there are others who don’t. I think those that don’t are the more desperate cases and they’re the ones I’d be assisting first.
    ———————————————————

    This relies on the assumption that there is a refugee camp in the country and accessible.

    Australia already takes refugees from the camps. The boat arrivals still need to be managed as part of Australia obligations when it signed the UN Convention on Refugees.

    The main problem is that Australians have been brain washed into believing we are being over-run, “invaded” by boat people when in fact they make up only around 2% of our total immigration intake.

    Does there need to be a “plan” to stop the boats – yes. Will the boats stop – No.

    Despite all the rhetoric the Pacific Solution did not stop the boats. The Solution stopped counting the boats because only those that arrived on Australian territory were counted. Nauru still processed around 1700 asylum seekers who arrived by boat.

  31. [The Liberals will be exposed and found wanting when people slowly get around to looking passed the one line rants and start looking for real policy]

    On AGW, I have seen Greg Hunt completely fail to answer questions about Direct Action at conferences – but nobody in the media seems to able to ask him the same questions.

    he talks about ‘buy back’ schemes and relates it to irrigation buy back – but questioners pointed out that the most effective part of irrigation water management was the ‘cap and trade’ component. Greg Hunt had no answer.

    he does not answer questions about what will happen after 2020.
    He insists the only target the ALP is committed to is 5% reduction by 2020 and refuses to accept that this is a lie.

    He also plans to count all the abatement from planting trees or putting carbon into soil in the first year (i.e. if you plant a blue gum seedling, you count the carbon stored in a 300 year old tree on day one), and proposed to claim this is part of his 5% reduction. the reasons he will not talk beyond 2020 is either (1) they have no intention of doing anything beyond 2020 (2) they know how expensive it will be to achieve anything lasting and meaningful under Direct Action. Direct Action will be the biggest waste of revenue of all time – even more wasted that the billions from the Telstra sale that went to short-term landcare projects in LNP electorates.

    He refuses to nominate where all the land carbon reserves will be, explain why farmers will do it for the $8/t he is offering, or explain why – if abatement can achieved at a rate of $8/t why this would not occur more efficiently under an ETS (the reason is that much of the soil carbon he plans to claim is scientifically dodgy and not recognised internationally).

    He also repeatedly claims that China and the US are not acting. he needs ot be called out on this lie.

  32. confessions, at least the TV shows have been leading with the Newspoll.

    I wonder Rudd felt he had to be so emphatic that the women added to the ministry were all appointed on merit.

  33. I believe that if Rudd is doing this well, or better, one month from now and has either yet to call the election, or indicates it will be after Sept 14, with a return of Parliament likely, then:

    *The LNP will look seriously at replacing Abbott with Turnbull

    This would be a big step because just about the only trump card the LNP hold right now is the line about “stability and certainty” re the leadership, in contrast to Labor.

    However, everyone in the LNP knows that Abbott is a ticking time bomb waiting to go off. Under pressure, he really could unravel, as Alistair Cambpell speculated a couple of days ago. Who could forget Abbott’s astonishing inability to even speak – to even stammer a word or two – at a doorstop a year or so ago on an issue which escapes my memory (the sheer imagery of Abbott overwhelms all else in the memory). He just stood there sort of shaking, with his head nodding, as he tried to suppress his rage.

    Abbott has nowhere to go now. Rudd has made it clear he is going to Mr Positive, Mr Reasonable, Mr Speak-In-A-Measured-Prime-Ministerial manner.

    The one-trick pony managed to get to Julia Gillard with negativity. Dr No managed to undermine Labor over most of the last three years – but now Rudd has called his bluff.

    So, when the election victory many in the LNP have been taking for granted for months now appears threatened, they will do anything, I suspect. Especially given that Rudd will cleverly neutralise the “carbon tax” line by moving quickly to an ETS.

  34. [Kevin Rudd says he cannot offer WA a greater slice of GST, saying the State will have to ride the ups and downs of an independent assessment of States’ ability to raise their own revenue.

    In an interview with The West Australian, the Prime Minister acknowledged that many in WA felt the State was being treated harshly but said this was not always the case.]
    http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/newshome/17812001/rudd-rules-out-bigger-gst-cut-for-wa/

    Poor Barnett. All that frothing and wailing amounted to nothing. 😆

  35. triton:

    He probably doesn’t want to be accused of including women to make up for the fact that Australia’s first woman PM has been knifed.

  36. Abbott will plant trees to combat carbon pollution.

    Where will he plant them? How much will it cost? Land purchase, trees themselves, planting, initial watering and maintenance. How will they mitigate against fires to prevent the carbon reduction trees becoming carbon polluters?

    How much will his “Green Army” cost? Depending on where he can find land to plant the trees – transport, accommodation costs, equipment etc – all costs taxpayer money.

  37. Mari #131

    Not since the 80s. Since then, twice recovering from badly-broken (same) leg. By 2010, the indefatigable walker needed a good sit-down every 10mins or so. I was looking forward to a scooter & renewed independence, until my GP said sadly, “Not with your eyesight!” Bugger.

  38. geoffrey [35]

    Posted Sunday, June 30, 2013 at 11:43 pm | Permalink

    a war criminal expressing disgust at rudd. what has world come to.

  39. alias
    Who could forget Abbott’s astonishing inability to even speak – to even stammer a word or two – at a doorstop a year or so ago on an issue which escapes my memory (the sheer imagery of Abbott overwhelms all else in the memory). He just stood there sort of shaking, with his head nodding, as he tried to suppress his rage.
    ——————————————————

    this was an interview about his “shit happens” comment.

    Its on Youtube. Every time I try to post it here it fails for me. (analogue guy in an optic fibre world)

  40. You can always rely on Richo to pour cold water on anything Labor. He says the polls are a sugar hit and can’t be sustained, though he thinks Rudd will keep about half the gain, which will save a lot of seats.

  41. [The question was – what would you do if you were in their shoes??? ]

    I don’t blame those who buy a ticket to paradise. I do blame those in a position to make a difference (i.e. our government) who set up systems or lack the courage to deal with this head on. If the government goes ahead in the way I expect (based on reading between the lines) then I will support the change.

  42. “@KnottMatthew: “Kevin Rudd’s prime ministerial style has been described as chaotic & dysfunctional. Do you think he has changed?” Leading question Galaxy?”

  43. confessions

    Posted Monday, July 1, 2013 at 8:11 am | Permalink

    Kevin Rudd says he cannot offer WA a greater slice of GST, saying the State will have to ride the ups and downs of an independent assessment of States’ ability to raise their own revenue.

    In an interview with The West Australian, the Prime Minister acknowledged that many in WA felt the State was being treated harshly but said this was not always the case.

    Poor Barnett. All that frothing and wailing amounted to nothing.
    —————————————————-

    What Colon always neglects to mention when he rants about the GST is the high level of funding the Federal Govt provides for infrastructure.
    Despite his claims to the contrary the Federal Govt provided over 50% of the money for the railway tunnel in the Perth CBD. I have noted with some relief that the Federal Govt is also spending big in the north west improving roads…so the miners can get their ore out to the ports, more ore more royalties
    I think if a close examination was made Colon would be found to be deceptive and misleading about Federal money being spent in WA.
    Better the Feds fund projects directly than give the money to Colon who will waste it on a man made swamp or two

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