Galaxy: 64-36 to federal Coalition in Queensland

GhostWhoVotes relates that tomorrow’s Courier-Mail will carry a poll of 800 Queensland respondents (producing a margin of error of 3.5%) which puts the Coalition’s lead in the state at 64-36. This is less bad for Labor than the spectacular 68-32 in the Queensland component of last week’s Nielsen result, but quite a bit worse than the 58-42 in the January-March geographic breakdown from Newspoll (which was mostly conducted before Labor’s post-leadership challenge downturn). Galaxy has Labor at 23% of the primary vote, the Coalition at 56% and the Greens at 11%, compared with 18%, 56% and 11% in Nielsen. The poll has support for the carbon tax at 25% and opposition at 72%, respectively down four and up five since November.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,819 comments on “Galaxy: 64-36 to federal Coalition in Queensland”

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  1. Finns, you mean these posts?
    [Thomas Paine
    Posted Wednesday, June 23, 2010 at 9:58 pm | Permalink
    It would be grossly unfair if Rudd got dumped. Then again I don’t think politics is anything to do with fair. No room for sentiment, just win and lose.

    Thomas Paine
    Posted Wednesday, June 23, 2010 at 10:05 pm | Permalink
    Gillard would suffer very little backlash from the electorate for replacing Rudd. Remember the media has been running a long campaign about how bad Rudd is. People will just shrug and see it as a natural event.

    Thomas Paine
    Posted Wednesday, June 23, 2010 at 11:00 pm | Permalink
    I imagine people already have a strong impression of who Gillard is as a person (as they did with Rudd through his tv appearances before the last eletion) so it will be quite difficult to damage that. I am sure they will find / attempt numerous things to attack Gillard, as they would Rudd.

    Thomas Paine
    Posted Wednesday, June 23, 2010 at 11:46 pm | Permalink
    Rudd really needs to now look at the bigger picture.
    should not forget that Rudd got rid of Beazley as Keating got rid of Hawke as well, it happens, it is often unfair

    Thomas Paine
    Posted Thursday, June 24, 2010 at 12:41 am | Permalink
    The party is greater than one person. I am quite fond of Rudd and believe he has done a solid job and would do an even better job in further term. But events are as they are, that is politics. I assume there is a real good reason for this move.
    Anyhow, Gillard has my 100% support as well as would whoever replaced her if they were of sufficient quality.
    Rudd has to come out in enthusiastic support of Gillard for the party and the greater cause .]

  2. spur212

    [How much credit do you give the government’s policies for reducing interest rates: 59% of L/NP respondents say none. 22% of L/NP respondents say a little … Hilarious stuff]

    Interest rates are reducing because the economy is going ratshit. Basic economics. You want to give the government credit for that?

  3. [ACMA is about as useful as a stick of fritz in a vegetarian sandwich shop.]

    Puff – a light moment and you made me feel homesick for Adelaide butcher shops and the slice of fritz every kid was given. It’s devon over here and it’s woeful! We always have a fritz and pickle sanger for oldtime’s sake when we go to Adelaide.

  4. Another Parliamentary day. PM Gillard is still there. Abbott has lost again.
    Another day. Another Tory loss.

  5. Should be a fun QT. Opposition tactics so far confined to “make Swan say Carbon Tax”. Which he won’t, and which will allow him to talk about all sorts of compensation measures.

    From what I can tell, the Government is also keen to talk about carbon pricing. So we’re all on the same page.

  6. [Interest rates are reducing because the economy is going ratshit. Basic economics. You want to give the government credit for that?]
    I hope if the interest rates go up you won’t be here blaming the government then.

  7. Actually it looked at how prejudiced views are formed.To be very fair to the researchers, they said this
    [Hodson was quick to note that the despite the link found between low intelligence and social conservatism, the researchers aren’t implying that all liberals are brilliant and all conservatives stupid. The research is a study of averages over large groups, he said.

    “There are multiple examples of very bright conservatives and not-so-bright liberals, and many examples of very principled conservatives and very intolerant liberals,” Hodson said.
    In answer to DF
    and this
    [he research finds that children with low intelligence are more likely to hold prejudiced attitudes as adults. These findings point to a vicious cycle, according to lead researcher Gordon Hodson, a psychologist at Brock University in Ontario. Low-intelligence adults tend to gravitate toward socially conservative ideologies, the study found. Those ideologies, in turn, stress hierarchy and resistance to change, attitudes that can contribute to prejudice, Hodson wrote in an email to LiveScience.]

    But as they say, it is not to be used to characterise individuals such as the Rabbot, and no, we wouldn’t even think it. 👿

  8. [Latika Bourke ‏@latikambourke
    Weird, coalition MP’s office said they’d been ‘told’ to cancel their appearance. Wonder by whom? They wouldn’t answer that directly.]

  9. I’m a former resident of the Sutherland Shire, most of my family still live there, so I’m entitled to say this…

    What is it with Shire people? Look at the MPs they elect – Craig Kelly in Hughes and Scott Morrison in Cook. The good voters of Blacktown and Liverpool are also responsible for foisting Kelly on us, Morrison is the Shire’s own. What on earth were these voters thinking? To my eternal shame I have to admit that two of my sisters and their families vote for these oafs. What are they putting in the water down there these days?

    Things sure have changed since the 1950s. Gough Whitlam used to represent the Shire. Back in the olden days the electorate of Werriwa included the Sutherland Shire and went west as far as the foothills of the Blue Mountains. Gough lived in South Cronulla in those days. When Werriwa was redistributed in about 1955 he moved to Cabramatta so he could continue to live among his constituents. These days Gough wouldn’t stand a chance of winning an election in the Shire. He’d have to be pro-life, devoutly happy-clapper, anti-inmmigration, anti-asylum seekers and virulently anti-muslim to get up. This lot inflicted Danna Vale on us, now we have the abysmal Scott Morrison and the very greedy Craig Kelly. Well done Shire voters

  10. lizzie
    [Posted Monday, May 21, 2012 at 2:35 pm | Permalink

    La Grattan speaks.

    National Times ‏@NationalTimesAU
    Thomson’s ability to make his case gives insight into how he could convince Labor for so long, writes Michelle Grattan

    I think THomson got it very right, the opposition is a bit player, the people to go after is the kangaroo court called the media.

  11. Good evening all.

    Have just seen news footage of Thomson addressing the House. He said that Ch7 were underneath his bathroom window filming his then pregnant wife in the shower! Something really needs to be done about the media. They are out of control.

  12. Confessions

    CT didn’t say they filmed her. He said they “hovered under the window”.

    But I agree that they are out of control. I have had direct experience with ACA …. they behaved appallingly.

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