Essential Research: 55-45 to Coalition

The latest weekly Essential Research result has the Coalition’s two-party lead steady on 55-45, although the primary votes suggest Labor would have come very close to gaining a point: their primary vote is up two to 34 per cent, their best result since June, with the Coalition down one to 47 per cent and the Greens down one to 10 per cent. Of the supplementary questions, the most interesting for mine relates to the “Occupy” protests, as they allow for comparison with Essential’s polling on the Convoy of No Confidence in late August. That poll had 40 per cent agreeing the convoy protests represented their views against 38 per cent who disagreed, which was more favourable than I might have expected. However, the current poll has fully 69 per cent expressing agreement with the concerns of the Occupy protesters, even if only 29 per cent support the protests as such. Opinion on their removal is evenly divided.

Other questions have 28 per cent believing the current government favours businesses and 41 per cent believe it favours workers, with respective figures of 61 per cent and 8 per cent for the opposition; 50 per cent supporting greater restriction of coal seam gas mining on farm land; and a ten-point drop since April in the number believing poker machines need more regulation to 52 per cent, with no clear pattern evident for other types of gambling.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

5,854 comments on “Essential Research: 55-45 to Coalition”

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  2. [Pollytics Possum Comitatus
    Just quietly, that analysis says more about Bell Potter than it does about anything else. Like really, Bell Potter on an IR dispute? Roflol]

  3. confessions

    [It sounds as though the opposition are disappointed the Qantas dispute has been resolved.]
    Darn rootin’ tootin’ they are. It was meant to drag on and be a big stick to beat Labor with. Their IR hard liners had the disinterred decremated Work Choices MkII all juiced up and ready to roll. This dispute being undisputed proof that it is needed to save the nation from industrial chaos.Well that was their script anyway

  10. [Anyone else detect a theme for Abbott’s upcoming MPI?]

    Will this incompetent Prime Minister, who didn’t pick up the phone and ring Mr Joyce- although she was chairing CHOGM and Mr Joyce did not try to contact her – not immediately resign so a new election can be held.

    If, Mr Speaker, the Prime Minister hasn’t the ESP and psychic powers to know what Mr Joyce intended, she should resign and allow a new election to be held.

  11. [BernardKeane Bernard Keane
    Opposition making heavy weather of prosecuting the case against the government for… it’s not quite clear what. Something bad. #qt]

  18. [s Joyce been telling fibs?]

    He told Fran that he told ministers on multiple occasions that the dispute might drive them to ground the fleet, but I don’t see how the government could act on a “might”. The fact is that the grounding came without warning; there was no sign that it was imminent.

  19. So what happened to the animals in transit when the planes were grounded? What was to happen to animals when the workforce was to be locked out? Thousands of animals are transported on passenger flights every day. They do not have food and water in their cages, and some might have been given sedatives for the flight.

    I hope QANTAS had plans for them.

  21. Yeah, I’m coming around to the view of some here, that the Opposition were rubbing their hands together with glee yesterday over today’s QT, and have had the rug pulled out from under them. So they’re snuffling about trying to find a slur that will stick. Who rang who when is apparently the best they can do. They can’t possibly get mileage out of a dispute that’s been dealt with in less than two days. But they’re prepared to give it a go anyway.

    It’s past three o’clock! No MPI yet?

  26. Puff how could we find out may be ask the rspca head office
    why don’t u email them

    Our puppy arrived that way from qld, I cannot imagine
    iam glad u raised it,

  29. Well this is stuff we don’t know, albanese , office,
    and i bet neither did the opp.

    Why are they geering, that’s all they have

  30. Puff: the animal welfare questions are very important ones. I hope someone from the government is paying attention, because – as you rightly pointed out – this adds another dimension to the issue that I am sure Qantas didn’t even consider when they pulled their weekend stunt.

  33. [It’s past three o’clock! No MPI yet?]

    I guess you mean a suspension of standing orders, which is different.

    There’s no MPI for today posted on the website, but they aren’t always posted.

  34. Is there a training course that Liberal MP’s have to attend to learn how to guffaw and smirk when government members answer questions sensibly and lucidly? It all looks so confected – so the course seems to be a waste of money.

  35. Included in them is unaccompanied animals and birds. Also greyhounds travelling to races interstate etc.
    Joyce et al is scum to not let people know before sending off their animals which then have to sit in a hold some bloody where waiting to be collected,
    Bahstards!

  39. They were jeering because Mr Albanese inserted the word ‘imminent’ into his answer.

    In other words, Mr Joyce did raise the possibility of grounding the fleet on one or more occasions but gave no real indication that he had the intention to do so.

    He then ambushed the Government with a sudden fleet death fait accompli, using as an excuse ‘safety’, doing so when Ms Gillard was about to gain some laurels from CHOGM.

  44. [“The Victorian Premier, Ted Baillieu, says the Federal Government should have intervened to stop the Qantas dispute last week.”]

    So Ted why didn’t you. The States have the power to do so. Fool.

  46. [leighsalesLeigh Sales

    by oliverpeterson

    My guests tonight are the Prime Minister Julia Gillard & the Qantas CEO Alan Joyce (separately, not together) #abc730

    6 minutes agoFavoriteRetweetReply]

  47. [ leighsalesLeigh Sales

    by oliverpeterson

    My guests tonight are the Prime Minister Julia Gillard & the Qantas CEO Alan Joyce (separately, not together) #abc730

    6 minutes agoFavoriteRetweetReply]

    Together would have been fun though. 😉

  49. The opp, had any thought s it would of been good to be bi partisan, on this issue
    And they would of had nothing to lose

    But. No- could not think out side the square

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