Essential Research: 55-45 to Coalition

The latest weekly Essential Research result has the Coalition’s two-party lead steady on 55-45, although the primary votes suggest Labor would have come very close to gaining a point: their primary vote is up two to 34 per cent, their best result since June, with the Coalition down one to 47 per cent and the Greens down one to 10 per cent. Of the supplementary questions, the most interesting for mine relates to the “Occupy” protests, as they allow for comparison with Essential’s polling on the Convoy of No Confidence in late August. That poll had 40 per cent agreeing the convoy protests represented their views against 38 per cent who disagreed, which was more favourable than I might have expected. However, the current poll has fully 69 per cent expressing agreement with the concerns of the Occupy protesters, even if only 29 per cent support the protests as such. Opinion on their removal is evenly divided.

Other questions have 28 per cent believing the current government favours businesses and 41 per cent believe it favours workers, with respective figures of 61 per cent and 8 per cent for the opposition; 50 per cent supporting greater restriction of coal seam gas mining on farm land; and a ten-point drop since April in the number believing poker machines need more regulation to 52 per cent, with no clear pattern evident for other types of gambling.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

5,854 comments on “Essential Research: 55-45 to Coalition”

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  2. [They’re looking to create the idea that it was easy to work out the dispute, should have been done within 5 minutes, and that the government took too long. Might play in the press I suppose. But it’s arrant nonsense.]

    Exactly. It’s so easy to claim that you would have got it all fixed up weeks ago, and plenty will probably believe it.

    Both sides can’t be right when they both want to ask about the same subject.

  3. No, maybe trying to tie ALP to unions, judging by Mesma’s last effort. Trying to create the impression that ALP has a disjunct with business and sides with unions.

  6. Thanks for that clarification, William, and that does now make sense.

    The most important thing, though, is the underlying trend: towards the government and away from the Deranged Stuntmeister.

    The trend really is your friend 😀

  10. Albo follows up with more facts. This time that the government immediately confirmed with CASA that there was no safety concern.

  16. Thefinnigans TheFinnigans天地有道人无道
    Surpise, surprise and a big surpise, Alan Joyce said in a radio interview that his and #qantas action was fully supported bi big business
    2 minutes ago

    Thefinnigans TheFinnigans天地有道人无道
    and Alan Joyce forgot to mention 60% of the public and probably 99% of his customers strongly condemned his & #qantas action
    18 seconds ago

  17. The Opposition has no choice but to ask a couple of questions about the dispute because it’s such big news, but it’s the PM’s area and if they are smart they’ll leave it at that and move onto asylum seekers or some other area where they feel more comfortable.

  22. Danny258:

    [Oh noes! We have smiley issues (wink)]

    William, is there any hope of getting that techie to:

    a) fix preview
    b) fix smileys
    c) put in a help page for newbies, and long timers who’ve never got around to learning all the hidden features?

    this is getting ridiculous. 👿

  25. [LOL. Tones has a Boat Phone and a Plane Phone. I wonder when we’ll get a Train Phone?]

    Does Abbott have shares in Telstra?

  35. The Prime Minister as the Coalition 1 percenters raise uproar in the House: “They stand for ripping off working people, and Mr WorkChoices is shouting out his enthusiasm for doing that again.”

  36. Wow! Has Julia Gillard ever discovered her inner mongrel, and it’s looking more & more like a pit bull terrier cross.

  37. Rieth – Abbott – balaclavas on waterfront… oh my!
    I hope the cleaners have industrial strength chemicals; we don’t want blood and guts stains on the Opposition side to ruin the nice green carpet.

  39. Thefinnigans TheFinnigans天地有道人无道
    Abbott has has a Boat Phone, now a Plane Phone, what about his bike phone #qt #auspol
    6 minutes ago

    sortius sortius
    @
    @Thefinnigans he hides that one in his budgie smugglers! #qt
    3 minutes ago

  40. The last time I saw anything this bad was when my dogs cornered an opportunistic rat that tried to cross into their territory.

  46. [Anyone else detect a theme for Abbott’s upcoming MPI?]

    Its really going to be something to see. I’m thinking even nuttier than usual if he indeed does it.

  50. Thefinnigans TheFinnigans天地有道人无道
    Joe Hockey was asking about Kentucky Flying Chicken at #qt #auspol
    19 seconds ago

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