The latest weekly Essential Research result has the Coalition’s two-party lead steady on 55-45, although the primary votes suggest Labor would have come very close to gaining a point: their primary vote is up two to 34 per cent, their best result since June, with the Coalition down one to 47 per cent and the Greens down one to 10 per cent. Of the supplementary questions, the most interesting for mine relates to the “Occupy” protests, as they allow for comparison with Essential’s polling on the Convoy of No Confidence in late August. That poll had 40 per cent agreeing the convoy protests represented their views against 38 per cent who disagreed, which was more favourable than I might have expected. However, the current poll has fully 69 per cent expressing agreement with the concerns of the Occupy protesters, even if only 29 per cent support the protests as such. Opinion on their removal is evenly divided.
Other questions have 28 per cent believing the current government favours businesses and 41 per cent believe it favours workers, with respective figures of 61 per cent and 8 per cent for the opposition; 50 per cent supporting greater restriction of coal seam gas mining on farm land; and a ten-point drop since April in the number believing poker machines need more regulation to 52 per cent, with no clear pattern evident for other types of gambling.
Bill Shorten taking Gillam to school on IR.
She’s useless.
Now Gillam has Truzzzzzzzz on. What an IR expert HE is!
[a ten-point drop since April in the number believing poker machines need more regulation to 52 per cent]
You’ve got to give the shock jocks points for tirelessly spinning to turn public opinion around to the corporate/party line.
[their primary vote is up two to 34 per cent, their best result since June]
So there’s a definite trend towards Labor in polling.
So pretty much status quo at 55-45 TPP to the Coalition with a possible shading on the allocations that might have just as easily been 54-46, which is what Newspoll said last week, and also what Morgan said (more of less) on Friday.
Not a great result, but steady as she goes.
BK
Every time I read your updates I’m glad I ditched FoxTel years ago. I actually had Optus Vision for years, and was very happy with it. Then they just became a platform to deliver
FoxTel. This was my first encounter with FauxNews, and after 3 months of that I decided that my money was far better spent on an increase in the data allowance on my internet connection.
When I get access to the NBN, I’ll throw my telly away altogether.
Cuppa:
I think that’s more to do with the opposition opposing pokies reform. As we see with other issues (climate change for eg), the more strident the oppos to action on AGW, the closer the public are on support/oppose.
BIG SHIP – It’s called being in striking distance, which is all Julia needs. She’s a near cert to win the next election.
In response to Danny Lewis on the previous thread – I’m having a hard time working out how to get to 55-45 on the basis of last week’s primary votes. Looks more like 56-44 to me.
[So pretty much status quo at 55-45 TPP to the Coalition with a possible shading on the allocations that might have just as easily been 54-46, which is what Newspoll said last week, and also what Morgan said (more of less) on Friday.]
Hang on, it wasn’t that long ago that the TPP in the polls was 58 to 60 – 42 to 40.
[BIG SHIP – It’s called being in striking distance, which is all Julia needs. She’s a near cert to win the next election.]
I think it’ll be interesting if/when editorialists finally realise that Labor is slowly coming back in TEH POLLS so it’ll be harder to spin them as nothing but doom and gloom/replace JG now crap.
Gillam is being truly bitchy toward Gillard. This is hopeless!!!
On Twitter talking about the weak response of Joe Hilderbrand, on his lies about the “telephone call which would have stopped the grounding” where is this weak response, can anyone direct me please
WB @ 9
[In response to Danny Lewis on the previous thread – I’m having a hard time working out how to get to 55-45 on the basis of last week’s primary votes. Looks more like 56-44 to me.]
Do you mean 54-46, not 56-44?
Confessions,
[You’ve got to give the shock jocks points for tirelessly spinning to turn public opinion around to the corporate/party line.
I think that’s more to do with the opposition opposing pokies reform.]
The Coalition and shock jocks merge together pretty seamlessly. The latter are (among) the media mouthpieces of the former.
BK:
There really is no point listening to anything Gillan has to say about politics.
You may as well ask the Demtel man his views.
He doesn’t need to be. They just get them on so they can have something quotable. The pattern seems to be: Coalition member gets on air to say something hopefully damaging to government. If there’s an ALP member present it gets debunked immediately, otherwise it’s left alone. ‘Damaging’ quote gets airplay all day. Response gets thrown away.
The only Government quotes that get repeated airplay are the ones that provide new and important information. The rest of it is either reporters giving ‘interpretations’ of what was said (Melissa Clarke’s job seems to be exclusively repeating what we’ve just seen, as far as I can tell). Then there’s a spate of “but how does that sit in the light of recent criticism of the government by…” and clips of Coalition members being as critical and non-specific as they can possibly be.
I saw a bit of Truss this morning. It was obvious he was just parroting the party line and had no personal investment in what he was saying.
QT – here we go.
“Gillam is being truly bitchy toward Gillard. This is hopeless!!!”
Then watch the NFL instead. Republican Dallas is being pissbowled by Democrat Philadelphia. As I said earlier, SkyNews is FoxNews and Ashleigh is the boilerplate Republican bimbo. But without the shirt potatoes.
confessions
Gillam is becoming worse by the day.
And so is Sky.
Why, oh why, do I watch it?
Will Abbott ask an IR dot dixer or stick with his favourite. BOATS. 🙂
[shirt potatoes]
Roy O
Shirt potatoes! I’ve never heard that one before.
Thanks.
BK:
I watch Sky because there is no alternative for me.
As soon as digital FTA TV comes to my area, I’m ditching my Foxtel subscription.
Crikey’s Power Index – The Top 10 Megaphones in Oz
http://www.thepowerindex.com.au/megaphones/the-world-of-megaphones
The top 9 are conservatives.
Gillard said 29th of April.
ruwake, Abbott might throw in a surprise and go for Qantas first up.
Qantas is currently the lead story on the Bloomberg international business news site (bloomberg.com). The article is headlined “Honeymooners, Leaders Stranded During Qantas Dispute”. It is uncomplimentary towards Qantas and includes quotes from unhappy passengers as well as information on developments in the case.
Given the international coverage of this story, particularly in media aimed at business leaders and other influential people, it is hard to imagine that the reputation of Qantas has not taken a major blow.
And Abbott opens QT by playing ‘WHY DIDN’T SHE STOP THE DISPUTE BEFORE IT HAPPENED?”
Ha ha Abbott, gos the dot dixer. WHACK one.
Planes!
It’s a Dorothy Dixer first up.
The clown should already know the answer to this.
qt with abbotts first question to the pm on Qantas
The Coalition 1 percenters making hooligans of themselves in the House.
confessions
[BK:
I watch Sky because there is no alternative for me.
As soon as digital FTA TV comes to my area, I’m ditching my Foxtel subscription.]
I currently have Foxtel but come NBN it will be SNIP. I dare say Rupes will find legions of his customers will be doing the same thing.
She’s giving Qantas a serve.
BK @ 19
[Gillam is becoming worse by the day.
And so is Sky.
Why, oh why, do I watch it?]
Ashleigh Gillon is cut straight from the template used by FoxNews, and pasted like a hologram on to the SkyNews set. No ability to analyse what has been said by her interviewee, no knowledge of the issues under discussion and no background in political discourse that would facilitate even a vague understanding of matters being canvassed.
She can read (barely) from an autocue, but ask her to extemporise on any matter being discussed by the conservative spin merchants and Coalition hacks who are SkyNews’ regular seat warmers, and she is utterly unable to respond.
A haircut masquerading as a substantive reporter – thy name is SkyNews …
[Do you mean 54-46, not 56-44?]
No, I’m talking about last week’s result, not this week’s. Danny Lewis is right to wonder why Labor hasn’t improved this week, but the reason is that the Coalition was unlucky last time, not that Labor has been unlucky this time.
“As usual the LOTO grabs on to the politics but never does the work.”
Good one, Julia.
WHACK 2
What a grub!!!!
Whack-a-mole!!!!!!
pick up the phone to joyce? wtf
Wow, what a dumb supplementary!
[ confessions
Posted Monday, October 31, 2011 at 2:04 pm | Permalink
As soon as digital FTA TV comes to my area, I’m ditching my Foxtel subscription. ]
Once you get the NBN even more choice will be available – various streaming, IP TV etc.
Julia is taking full responsibility for the government’s actions.
And a yellow for Pruneface.
Peter Dutton, Liberal member for Dickson, gets a warning.
QT Fashion Report.
Prime Minister Gillard – Stunning!
End of Fashion Report.
Member for Sturt gets a warning.
Perhaps the reason I am unable to get to 55-45 from last week’s figures is that Essential accounts for preference leakage from the Nationals to Labor and I don’t. I suspect that would make it possible to get to about 55.5-44.5, and the Coalition got unlucky on the rounding. This weeks raw primary vote figures come up as 54.3-45.7, but if you make it 33.6 and 47.4 (which still round to 34 and 47), it’s 54.7-45.3 and hence 55-45 after rounding.
Hilarious work from Abbott. He might have a point to make somewhere along the line, though. They’re looking to create the idea that it was easy to work out the dispute, should have been done within 5 minutes, and that the government took too long. Might play in the press I suppose. But it’s arrant nonsense.
poroti, dave:
Unfortunately I won’t get the NBN where I am. If my street gets it at all, it will be many, many years later, after which we will have a coalition government which would have sold off the NBN, thereby making the point a moot one.
Dan @ 6
[Every time I read your updates I’m glad I ditched FoxTel years ago.]
Same here. I found I was paying close to $90 per month to watch endless “Hitler” programmes, repeats of Mr Ed, I Dream of Jeanie, and programmes of that current genre (common on free to air as well) where “after the break” the narrator has to precis what has happened before the break because, as we all know, we all suffer from short term memory loss and have no idea what happened 2 minutes ago.
I decide I could no longer insult my intelligence, not to mention my wallet, and told Foxtel to bugger off.
And Bishop repeats Abbott’s supplementary! Lord.