Newspoll quarterly breakdowns

Keen followers of the comments threads will be aware I’ve had my eye off the ball a bit over the past day or so, and hence missed the always enjoyable quarterly Newspoll geographic and demographic breakdowns. These point to swings against Labor of 4.5 per cent in New South Wales, 3.3 per cent in Victoria, 2.9 per cent in Queensland, 3.2 per cent in South Australia and 1.6 per cent in Western Australia – although since they cover the past three months, they are a little more flattering to Labor than the polling picture as it stands right now. More from Peter Brent at Mumble and Simon Jackman at Stanford University.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,636 comments on “Newspoll quarterly breakdowns”

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  2. Just saw the end of the Girls’ singles match. No punching the air, no falling on the ground. What’s wrong with our 15-year olds?

  3. smithe@2346

    Dave at 2297

    Does this mean we can look forward to boatloads of cashed-up Eurotrash bankers arriving here as refugees?

    We’ll just have to send them to Malaysia. Or Nauru, if Tone gets the job.

    Well they probably have *radical ideas* about AGW and carbon abatement.

  5. Michael Pascoe – has detected one of the causes of a downturn in retail sales and he pulls no punches in naming it…

    It all comes down to a question of credibility. Where do you get a better reading of what happens next? From the RBA board minutes or Tony Abbott running around any factory that will have him to tell the workers that a mild carbon tax will cost all of them their jobs?

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/business/shopkeepers-tills-still-ticking-over–some-days-20110704-1gyes.html#ixzz1R6bxUgP5

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/shopkeepers-tills-still-ticking-over–some-days-20110704-1gyes.html

  8. [Dan Gulberry
    Posted Monday, July 4, 2011 at 11:06 am | Permalink

    George

    That’s exactly what I heard as well. Straight down the line answers to all the questions.

    Despite that, it’ll somehow be twisted by the media to whatever they want.]

    As someone tuning in late, I can confirm ABC24 did just that. Lyndal Curtis said that the PM didn’t answer the details of the petrol thing and ducked a couple of others. Still, I wish I’d seen the PM rather than having to cop Hockey giving a presser on how the decline in building activity is all the government’s fault and people had ‘lost confidence’ and she should call an election immediately, or sooner.

    Still not letting facts and reason get in the way, Hockey insisted the ‘real action’ plan will cost less than the government one. Ran away from a question about the cardboard cutouts. What a tosser!

  11. This today from Getup

    Dear DAVID,

    Harvey Norman has been caught red handed by undercover environmental investigators selling furniture that fuels the destruction of Australia’s native forests.

    Instead of using existing plantation timber – which is plentiful and affordable – an investigation by Markets for Change has revealed that Harvey Norman furniture is made from ancient Australian trees that are logged and sent to China for processing.

    Incredibly, our new TV ad that shows what Harvey Norman are doing to our environment has just been banned from commercial TV by the industry body that classifies ads – because they’re scared of what Harvey Norman might do next.

    They might block our video on TV — but they can’t stop us reaching millions of Australians by sending it to our friends and family online! Check out the footage they don’t want you to see and share it with everyone you can:

    http://www.getup.org.au/noharveynormanno

    Why focus on Harvey Norman? As the dominant player in the furniture industry, shifting Harvey Norman to a sustainable wood supply is the key to shifting the rest of the sector and saving Australia’s precious native forests, including old growth forests that are hundreds of years old.

    Our friends at Markets for Change have spent over a year doing detailed research into the furniture industry in Australia. Starting in ancient forests here in Australia, their investigations took them to China, where undercover teams documented Australian native timber being manufactured into furniture and imported back into Australia by Harvey Norman.

    Australia’s native forests are not only a national treasure; they’re essential to our water supply – and among the world’s best carbon sinks. Check out this video showing what Harvey Norman is doing to our environment, and forward it to everyone you can:

    http://www.getup.org.au/noharveynormanno

    More and more, big companies make the big decisions about our environment. It falls to us to hold them accountable: deep pockets and threatening legal departments be damned!

    Last year Harvey Norman spent over $100 million on advertising, so their jingle is familiar to every Australian. How can we convince Harvey Norman to change their ways? We can’t match them dollar for dollar – but if we all forward this video to our friends and family we can make sure that next time they see hear Harvey Norman’s jingle, they’re reminded of the company’s environmental choices. This is how we can turn their own advertising budget against them:

    http://www.getup.org.au/noharveynormanno

    Our movement has succeeded in shifting politics and changing policies. If we change a market by reducing demand for native forests, – we can finally save the lungs of our nation.

    Thanks,
    the GetUp Team

  12. Abbott led with petrol so that he could get a gotcha supp in. But he took some damage in both answers. Ms Gillard on top of her game.

    How shoeotherfootment.

    Mr Abbott follows up with a POO. Getting done.

  14. LATIKAQT | 2 minutes ago
    [JG replies TA is looking a bit desperate and his fear campaign will come undone. #qt]

  16. [george,

    Credit where it’s due. She did look rather pleased with herself, though.]

    Ducks, absolutely. I meant she still sucks as a journo.

  19. Bluey has has rejected as spurious the suggestion by a malicious toadfish that the rapidly growing size of Mr Abbott’s bald spot is yet another stunt by Mr Abbott.

    Bluey reckons it is probably a result of a testorone imbalance and is therefore the real thing and not a stunt.

  20. This little black duck
    .
    “Just saw the end of the Girls’ singles match. No punching the air, no falling on the ground. What’s wrong with our 15-year olds?”
    .
    No that is more for the gentlemen, for the ladies it is all about being the loudest and most annoying grunter. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zf2tkGrpOAI

  26. Boerwar
    .
    “Government benches looking the happiest I have seen for some time.”
    .
    With an agreement on the Carbon Tax/ETS from all accounts just days away they have every reason to be. Tones shot locker will be empty.

  40. The DLP have asked 3 questions today in the lower house (2 from Abbott and 1 from Christensen). The Liberal Party have asked none so far.

  41. DG

    Mortgage stress?

    I have raised this with Bluey. Bluey reckons his rock pool is freehold and is paid for in full.

    The sun sends energy, the land sends nutrients, biodiversity sets up the food chain, and the rock crevices provide shelter from predators.

    Bluey reckons that if Mr Abbott cannot get that together for just his family, what hope has he got of getting it right for the nation?

  48. Mr Combet is taking a turn to belt Mr Abbott who is looking as if he has just realized that, with his bullshitting, what goes round comes round.

    Mr Combet enjoying it. Mr Abbott not enjoying it.

    Mr Combet reminds calls Mr Abbott ‘Chicken Little.’

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