Morgan: 62.5-37.5

Roy Morgan’s fourth published poll of the Rudd era has produced a result similar to the first two, after a slight improvement for the Coalition at the third. Labor’s two-party lead has increased to 62.5-37.5 from 60-40 at the previous face-to-face poll; their primary vote is up from 49 per cent to 54 per cent, with the Coalition down from 36 per cent to 33 per cent.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

681 comments on “Morgan: 62.5-37.5”

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  2. No 47

    [FACT:

    Today’s ALP is about where Menzies was.]

    Are you suggesting that the modern ALP approves of massive regulation of financial markets, exports and imports?

    Honestly, you’re rather conspicuous shouting of “FACT” does not enhance the validity of your nonsense.

  3. GP

    See a doctor.

    And do not put words into my mouth.

    I did not “suggest the notion of fascism is completely separable to Adolf Hitler”.

    You, on the other hand, projected fascism as completely inseparable from Hitler.

    There are all shades of fascists.

    Troll.

  4. No 49

    Nevermind what Mr Howard said, since the practical reality of his economic policy is not one which espouses free market ideals and small government.

  6. GP #52,

    I am more looking at the ALP’s social policies than the economic policies. To compare economic policies from the 50s to the economic policies of today is comparing apples and oranges.

    Menzies implemented economic policies that were broadly centrist, by the standards of the day. This, in large part, is why he was so successful that he was able to leave politics at a time of his choice.

    The ALP of today is implementing economic policies that are broadly centrist, by the standards of today.

  7. Generic Person, I agree with Mattew Cole. The points you seem to want to advance have no resonance here. Try Andrew Bolt. You appear to think he is of some relevance.
    Other, on the apology, Matthew. I would have thought that the ghastly despair and distress of the lady who was quoted by the Locum, without permission, will sink the Half Nelson. Whether or not the Viscount will make any difference, I doubt. I reckon they’re gone federally for at least 2 terms. Oh frabjous day!

  8. 54[Nevermind what Mr Howard said, since the practical reality of his economic policy is not one which espouses free market ideals and small government.]

    Turn it up GP, the legislation was written by the Business Council of Australia, for the Business Council of Australia. Hardly a group that does not espouse free market ideals and small government.

  11. No 56

    Matthew, the ALP have implemented absolutely nothing as of yet. The economy as it currently stands is a product of a combination of 1980s reforms and the previous government.

    Menzies’ success was in large part due to his ability to call snap elections when his opponents were weak.

  12. No 58

    If you are now suggesting minimal government involvement in the labour market, and thus, by logical extension, a free market, would you care to explain why WorkChoices contained an excessive amount of government oversight in the workplace as well as limits to the freedom of contract?

    WorkChoices bares no resemblance to free market ideals. I think you should turn it up, steve.

  13. 61 [Menzies’ success was in large part due to his ability to call snap elections when his opponents were weak.]

    That may well turn out to be another of Rudd’s strong points too with the Coalition in a state of decay.

  15. GP #61,

    True. I should have stated “The ALP has broadly centrist economic policies, by the standards of today, and will move to implement them now that Parliament has resumed.” Better?

  16. GP@64

    dont confuse civility in parliament and bipartisanship.

    for shit cunning and street smarts

    thats what stuffed labor with menzies dontcha know

  19. 64 [given Rudd’s penchant for civility in parliament and bipartisanship.]

    Don’t confuse civility and Parliamentary tactics with weakness. Anybody who winds their way to the top of a Federal Party is as tough as nails and once they get a sniff of ministerial leather are very hard to dislodge. Fool yourself at your own peril.

  23. Anyone else notice how Team Troll Genericists can only bring themselves to address commenters on Mr. Bowe’s blog by number only?

    Says a lot really. Naturally, it’s all our fault. See what we made them do!

  25. ESJ
    you can address me here.
    And how did you find a photo of me?
    You need to get some gainful employment. I believe Mr Rudd is looking for builders.

  29. LOL, we have extreme leftist Greens members participating and then you all have the hide to call me a fascist. Despicable hypocrisy.

  34. No 81

    Is it necessary to be so dense, Ms O’Connor?

    My point was the fact that people willingly parade terms like “extremist” about, especially in my direction, yet we have extremists from the opposite side participating here.

    Hypocrisy.

  37. I don’t want to complain, the rains been good and all, but could someone tell Rudd a bit more rain in Victoria, a bit less in Queensland.

  39. Rainfall will always be higher under a Federal labor government (seriously, there’s stats to prove it).

    I don’t know, people, I go away for a couple of hours and not only is Geriatric Person in full froth (I TOLD you where his medication was!) but ESJ’s been let loose as well and is trying to eat his Greens.

  40. Zoom

    I accept your stats unconditionally

    We need to either ignore the ‘Hansonites’ blogs or ask Williamm to create a special thread just for them ?

  41. No 90

    I don’t recall any supporters of Pauline Hanson espousing their views here Ron? Perhaps you are mysteriously delusional?

  42. 74 [Steve you misunderstand Liberal philosophy

    Free market to Liberals means freedom for all but the worker…….the Rodent]

    Ron, I understand it perfectly, as does Andrews,Hockey, Minchin, Howard, the Business Council and the Troll who is arguing that it is something else.

  44. 90 Ron, that would be the shortest thread in history as the the idea of creating rather than destroying is alien to the RWDB’s. They feed of everyone else, if left to their own devices they would destroy each other. It would be cannibalism.

  46. “[U]nderstand this: when you wish to assault democracy, first you attack the unions. When you wish to restore democracy, first you start with the unions.

    “It is no accident that the opposition in Zimbabwe now is led by the unions.

    “When you undermine unions, you undermine democracy in the workplace, then you will undermine democracy in the nation overall.

    “First you destroy the unions, then you destroy democracy.”

    Kim Beazley Farewell Speech, reported in The Age, 20 September 2007

    http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2007/09/20/1189881652529.html

  47. 94
    steve Says:
    February 15th, 2008 at 11:54 pm
    90 Ron, that would be the shortest thread in history as the the idea of creating rather than destroying is alien to the RWDB’s. They feed of everyone else, if left to their own devices they would destroy each other. It would be cannibalism.

    Would you like to see that 2 person thread Steve ?

  49. 98
    Frank Calabrese

    Do you say that with joy or sadness Frank ?

    Rx
    I heard that speech but you’ve reminded me of how brillant it was
    Could he have mentioned Communist Poland to Democracy via ‘Solidarity’ ??

  50. 97 I doubt it would be a two person thread. More likely one person, a couple of alter egos and a sock puppet or two. Just like a one man band really.

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