The Australian reports what sounds like it will be the last Newspoll for the year has come in with the two-party preferred unchanged at 55-45 in favour of Labor 39% (up one), Coalition 35% (steady), Greens 11% (steady), One Nation 6% and United Australia Party 1%. Anthony Albanese’s approval rating is up three to a new high of 62% and down four on disapproval to 29%, and his lead over Peter Dutton as preferred prime minister has blown out from 54-27 to 59-24. Peter Dutton is respectively down three to 36% and one to 45%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1508.
In further federal polling news, I missed that Essential Research has snuck out its first set of voting intention numbers since the election, which it will hopefully now resume reporting regularly. Without excluding a 6% undecided component, this showed primary votes of Labor 33%, Coalition 31%, Greens 13% and others 6%, with the “2PP+” measure at Labor 51%, Coalition 43% and undecided 6%. The poll was conducted November 23 to 29 from a sample of 1042.
Note also the post immediately below from Adrian Beaumont on the US Senate run-off election for Georgia, which will unfold over the coming week.
Bennelong Lurker:
ScoMo’s counsel, arguing for ScoMo to submit documents otherwise deemed confidential .
ScoMo wants to demonstrate that Robodebt decisions were collective.
Days after submitting a bid to host the AFC Women’s Asian Cup in 2026, Saudi Arabia was confirmed as the only country in the running to stage the men’s tournament the following year.
The Asian Football Confederation (AFC) said in a statement on Monday that India had pulled out from the selection process, although did not elaborate as to why.
In October, the AFC’s executive committee shortlisted India and Saudi Arabia as potential hosts once Qatar was chosen to replace China as the location for the 2023 tournament.
Has Knight done a cartoon of the many Morrisons with Hurley …?
Oliver Sutton
Thank you. A variation on the “I don’t hold a hose” argument?
Edit: added second sentence.
‘Ian Whitchurch says:
Tuesday, December 6, 2022 at 2:57 pm
Boerwar,
In your universe, what happened to the Moskva ?’
—————————————-
If you want to discuss aspects of Putin’s War on a respectful basis, go ahead. If you want to play silly buggers, go elsewhere.
Holmes v Renwick
More fun than Judge Judy.
south @ #628 Tuesday, December 6th, 2022 – 3:12 pm
Nah, they’ve hung tight with him so far and they’ll keep doing it.
I could be a royal commissioner. I was just as bewildered by Dr Renwick’s arguments as Commissioner Holmes!
So, the Royal Commission into Robodebt is to be the launchpad for Morrison to have a reputation?
It might work.
Oliver Sutton says:
Tuesday, December 6, 2022 at 3:06 pm
Sceptic says:
“Am I correct, SfM is trying to use cabinet confidentiality as a smoke screen to in the end.. not give evidence.”
I think it’s the other way around: he wants to make public documents deemed confidential by the Commonwealth, as evidence of collective decision making.
My point is SfM knows full well the cabinet documents won’t be made public, the commissioner is ensuring the documents not being public won’t prevent SfM giving evidence… me thinks Renwick ( on behalf of SfM) doth protest too much
Ya gotta laugh …
… because if you didn’t, you’d weep.
Sceptic
I was having quite a bit difficulty in following the arguments.
I suspect that the outcome will be that counsel assisting will put Morrison through the hoops and that the status of documents is not going to be allowed to block Holmes from getting to the truth.
Ven @ #731 Tuesday, December 6th, 2022 – 12:00 pm
The National Lotery, which has been in operation since 1997, has been a major factor here.
One for legal eagles – is a Royal Commission analogous to an “inquistive” justice system? In other words, if we had “inquisitive” (rather than “adversarial”) courts, would proceedings look more like a Royal Commission.
Not asking for a friend – I just have no idea how anything other than “adversarial” courts might work.
Snappy Tom
Part of its working involves finding lawyers and then subjecting them to this process.
Snappy Tom
Part of its working involves finding lawyers and then subjecting them to this process.
They’re onto ‘fuzzy logic’. LOLZ.
“I’m not an expert on fuzzy logic”, Jonathan Hutson (ex DHS) tells the Royal Commission.
You were in good company, Jonno: it seems your ex colleagues were not expert in any kind of logic.
Player One @ #766 Tuesday, December 6th, 2022 – 3:27 pm
That’s doing what is popular rather than doing what is right.
Fed Labors fossil fuel stooges in Qld/NSW still pulling Chalmers’ strings.
I just love those climate people on this blog……in their manic desire to get to an evironmental Nirvana they would crash the worlds economy so that we would all be burning every tree we could lay our hands on to keep warm/cook etc. The very opposite of their desires would be the result.
Dont get me wrong….love a solar panel and an EV myself….love a cleaner more sustainable environment…..but reality and human nature have to be factored in
“None of Your Beeswax”
Wax on … whacks off …
Labor hold Northcote by a 184 votes. Greens will catch it next time.
Let’s see … fossil fuel revenue for the 1%, or an inhabitable planet for the 99%? … Gosh, tough choice.
None of Your Beeswax @ #771 Tuesday, December 6th, 2022 – 4:09 pm
Lucky for us they’re just some crackpots on a blog. 😐
“There were many, many people who were critical of the Robodebt scheme”
— Jonathan Hutson, ex DHS
… and we stuck our fingers in our ears and said “la-la-la, can’t hear ya!”
Crypto, the South Seas Bubble of the 21st Century.
A giant ponzi scheme, probably devised by a drunken group of nerds – who couldn’t believe their luck when dupes, by the truckload, handed over large amounts of real money for what – a digital wallet.
Good luck to the UK Government in their attempt to regulate an algorithm.
However, as a wiser head than mine once stated, “You can’t legislate for stupid”.
The Victorian election seems to have produced what is pretty much a status quo result. All that sound and fury from “News” Corp and its minions was for nothing.
C@t…..so really we are performing a service to the wider community by keeping these “crackpots” busy on here instead of, you know, doing something like being elected to Parliament
nath doing a Maxwell Smart impression 😆
Oh, but The Greens will win Northcote next time. Which is what he says every time.
None of Your Beeswax @ #440 Tuesday, December 6th, 2022 – 4:25 pm
Out of harm’s way. Harm to the country that is. 🙂
“in their manic desire to get to an evironmental (sic) Nirvana they would crash the worlds (sic)economy so that we would all be burning every tree we could lay our hands on to keep warm/cook etc. ”
Tell us about those ‘crackpots’ again, Waxy?
Fossil fuel stooges make obvious bullshit artists.
Oliver Sutton @ #437 Tuesday, December 6th, 2022 – 4:23 pm
And what did DHS do about it? Devise talking points to give to the government so they could minimise the damage it was causing to people. 😡
C@tmomma says:
Tuesday, December 6, 2022 at 4:25 pm
nath doing a Maxwell Smart impression
Oh, but The Greens will win Northcote next time. Which is what he says every time.
_______
I’m just glad the Greens finally cracked Richmond.
Another one bites the dust
And another one gone and another one gone
Another one bites the dust
Hey I’m gonna get you too
Another one bites the dust
Sorry Oliver that my spelling isnt up to your lofty standards….I have barely 5% vision…..but I will try harder
Steve777 @ #783 Tuesday, December 6th, 2022 – 4:24 pm
Yeah the lower house seat tallies are similar but there’s some interesting movement below the surface.
No doubt the challenge for Vic Labor is to steady the ship in the northern and western suburbs.
“Centrelink phone numbers were omitted from these [Robodebt] letters by design”
— DHS to Ombudsman, 2017
Typing “Labor fossil fuel stooges” into an AI image generator produces this:
For four years the biggest complexity for robobebt was the spin and misleading assertions from the government.
The problem was plain to see as soon as the sperm met the egg!
@nath – you think the next Liberal leader will stick with Guy’s decision to preference the Greens? I know for a fact a lot of dyed in the wool Liberals HATED that decision, it’s part of why they’re all huffing and puffing that MATTHEW GUY was “too woke”.
“I have barely 5% vision”
Ah, sorry: that could explain you dystopian hallucinations.
nath @ #446 Tuesday, December 6th, 2022 – 4:30 pm
Look at this before you come out with that load of malarkey:
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-takes-strong-lead-over-peter-dutton-new-research-shows-20221205-p5c3tt.html
Check out the drop down tab for The Greens (on a mighty 11%!). No wonder they want to lower the voting age to 16. 😆
Oliver Sutton….I can see well enough to know a complete arsehole when one comes my way. So I shall not interact with you further
Boerwar @ Tuesday, December 6, 2022 at 2:25 pm:
“In terms of the strategic balance the Black Sea seems largely to have been neutralized for both sides. My view is that this represents something of a clear win for the weaker naval side: Ukraine.
The agreement by both sides to allow the other side to make grain shipments seems to support this view.”
=============================================
Completely agree. Right now (and for at least the past four months) Ukraine seems to be suffering absolutely no disadvantage against Russia by virtue of having basically no navy. I often find myself thinking of this whole theatre of war as if it was being conducted on a board with a hard bottom edge along the northern shore of the Black Sea. I wonder if that is too blinkered a view. Incidents such as the Ukrainian USV attack on the Admiral Makarov indicates to me that Ukraine, at least, is not exactly looking at the “board” that way. What do you think?
Arky says:
Tuesday, December 6, 2022 at 4:33 pm
@nath – you think the next Liberal leader will stick with Guy’s decision to preference the Greens? I know for a fact a lot of dyed in the wool Liberals HATED that decision, it’s part of why they’re all huffing and puffing that MATTHEW GUY was “too woke”.
____________
It will make things harder. But it’s inevitable. Every year old Labor supporters are dying out in these areas.
This may stir some on here up
But where the hell do the media find a 76 year old retired truck driver, on the pension and not having paid his mortgage off?
And afford such an individual their sensational headline saying he can not afford the 0.5% increase in the interest rate his lender charges him – and what are lenders doing lending to such people in the first instance?
To boot, they are most obviously financially illiterate
And what about the insurance on the property – noting the interest of the lender?
The mind boggles – including that media find such people
What about those who are surely normal, 76 years old with their homes fully paid off and living within their means – including from the superannuation they accrued whist working?
And now getting a minimal interest rate on their savings
We really have the Pom disease of complaining
The loudest complainer getting the media headline
A 76 year old retired truck driver, on the pension and still with a mortgage to boot
How many in society are in such a position?
And if he bought a house in his 20’s, so over 50 years ago, why is he in the position he is in today?
The purchase price would have been $20,000- when he was in his twenties and $100,000- when he was entering his 40’s – and they were pretty decent properties now worth millions
So where is the fuller media assessment of why this individual is in the distressed state he is in financially at 76 years of age
Again, bloody media and garbage
They trawl the bottom
The Cash Rate is 3.1 percent
That is dirt cheap
“I’m not asking you whether [income averaging] was authorised by law; I’m asking you whether it was inaccurate.”
— Counsel Assisting to Jonathan Hutson, ex DHS
(Hutson befuddles Counsel with a convoluted response)
Every election the stooges make fun of the Greens. The Greens just go about taking Labor seats one after the other. I don’t mind that continuing.
There is no doubt the Greens did well. Without preference advantage.
You may think the Greens are political idiots. Or other things. However election results are clear just as science is clear.
When your party makes a political decision to have pain later to avoid “the perfect being the enemy of the good” don’t complain when others think the urgency of the science should take a similar urgency as wartime efforts.
When you consider Russia’s reliance on fossil fuels it’s arguable we are already in a fossil fuels shooting war.