The Australian reports the Victorian election eve Newspoll has Labor leading 54.5-45.5, little changed from its 54-46 result three weeks ago, but less commanding than its 57.3-42.7 result at the 2018 election. The primary votes are Labor 38% (up one, compared with 42.9% in 2018), Coalition 35% (down two, compared with 35.2%) and Greens 12% (down one, compared with 10.7%). Daniel Andrews is down five on approval to 46% and up four on disapproval to 48%, while Matthew Guy has “gone from a net approval rating of -20 three weeks ago to -25”, with exact numbers not provided. Andrews’ lead as preferred premier has narrowed from 52-33 to 51-35. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1226.
I’m at the booth in Lancefield. No voters here but there are 6 freedumb Pentecostal volunteers here.
Cookers can’t count.
Mabwn, are they locals? Or are they from elsewhere, plenty of them have come from interstate to bump up the numbers
Here we go again says:
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 3:21 pm
I terminated my subscription to “The Age” a few years ago now – but retained the app on my phone to read the articles of Gittens and Maley (as free articles they allow per month)
+1 but the SMH not The Age
Are they carrying signs saying REPENT, THE END IS NIGH?
Here we go again says:
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 3:21 pm
If you want unlimited free Age articles just use private browser mode & reopened a new window when you hit the monthly limit..
These ones aged from the local fundamentalist church. One of them is their candidate. (Dan stopped him
Working as a cardiac specialist by insisting he get vaccinated)
Herald Sun 26/11
Dramatic footage has emerged of two voters punching each other at a polling station in Melbourne on Saturday morning.
Terrified onlookers filmed the incident, which shows two men wrestle to the ground at a school believed to be in Niddrie.
The pair is understood to have clashed after one man was vocal about his hatred for Premier Daniel Andrews.
_____________________
Not much in it looking at the footage.
Just a bit of a scuffle.
Some people take thier politics way too seriously.
Anyone want to guess how many districts will be won on primaries? 40 of the 88 were last time.
First time for a few elections I have numbered all the boxes below the line – and what a dilemma for the last 20 or so! I have rarely been so torn as to who to put last, second last etc.
A veritable feast!
Also I didn’t realise there would be one line with all the ATL boxes above it, and two big rows of BTL underneath (I thought it would be just like a long paper cut vertically in half and ‘pasted’ underneath – not paying attention). It struck me that some people intending to vote BTL especially if just 1-5 for one of the second row ATL groups may number off the group below that party box which really corresponds to one of the ‘first rowers’ (even though they are individually named with their group in smaller writing).
Zoomster
Good luck. Go get ’em Tiger.
Granny Anny, it would be great if you’re correct re Lib wipeout.
I’ve been wondering if they’ll pick up any of the swing against the ALP, however large it is, or if it goes to Indies and Greens. Only cooker prefs going their way
There’s definitely a realignament in auspol underway, and there doesn’t seem much space for the current Liberal party in it,
@Rocket Rocket
Agreed, having two rows above and two below will certainly lead to a lot of voting errors.
Also wondering what happened to the column of “unaligned” independents of yesteryear?
Taylormade:
[‘Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 4:08 pm
Herald Sun 26/11
Dramatic footage has emerged of two voters punching each other at a polling station in Melbourne on Saturday morning.
Terrified onlookers filmed the incident, which shows two men wrestle to the ground at a school believed to be in Niddrie.
The pair is understood to have clashed after one man was vocal about his hatred for Premier Daniel Andrews.’]
_____________________
[‘Not much in it looking at the footage.
Just a bit of a scuffle.
Some people take their politics way too seriously.’]
That would be a matter for the police to determine if that is they attended the scene of the so-called “scuffle”.
It was good to see friendly, and indeed supportive, Labor-Greens interactions at the two (very different) Districts I was doing HTV. Narre Warren North seemed good for Labor. Even some of the right wing candidates were being fairly civil and reasonable; distancing themselves (literally) from the Lib candidate there.
Despite the negative attention, I’ve enjoyed the chats I’ve had with the Victorian Socialists volunteers in the Sunbury electorate.
I’ve found them to be way more engaging than the other parties.
I hope they do well.
So what are the preferred viewing options for tonight?
I don’t think there will be anything to top Michaelia Cash speed running the five stages of grief but I’d settle for David Davis slumped in a corner table
Note to lobster man: get in the pan… for a flambé 😆
taylormerde also included 🙂
Anyone know the tv coverage options for tonight?
David Davis won’t be able to count. He has form.
So “The Age” is running the content of a text message sent out by the Liberal Party in marginal seats as its headline on-line.
With a photograph of a smiling Guy.
Blatant, free advertising
9 Entertainment is beneath contempt – and a stain on democracy and therefore society.
The media is the uneducated telling their fellow uneducated what they do not know.
In the event of Labor defying the influence of media, I suggest all who voted Labor turn their attention on media, texting, emailing and telephoning them to register your disgust – and terminate any purchasing of their product.
On the booth most of the afternoon – just the main parties – me in red plus the green and blue presenting (no DLP, LD or cooker assortment). All very friendly and good chats as always among the volunteers (maybe we are more mellow on the Bellarine but I always have a decent chinwag when on the hust).
Although there was an attempt to assassinate Caldwell in ’66, we are indeed fortunate to have experienced little or no political violence. However, the American experience has shown that the extreme Right was more than willing to attempt a coup against a democratically elected president. Accordingly, any incidence of violent behaviour at a polling booth should be dealt with sternly, whether it was initiated by the Left or the Right.
Should be an interesting night tonight. Things do appear to have tightened somewhat since the start of the campaign. I expect there will be some sort of swing against the government… the question is whether it’ll be enough to actually threaten the government’s majority.
My rather unambitious prediction is that the government will be reelected with a smaller but still comfortable majority, but I wouldn’t count out the possibilities of another Danslide or Labor falling just short of a majority either. I can only envision one plausible scenario that leaves Matthew Guy in any position to become premier, and that is one where the recent polls have all been way off.
Just gotta pass this on. Talking of Freedumb, my cousin who lives in Melbourne texted me this story.
Today, after voting , he was accosted by a Freedom HTV guy who said
(Quote) ” Hope you voted for freedom today”.
My cousin ” Yes, voted Labor”.
Freedom ” You voted for a dictator”.
Cousin ” No, voted for freedom from people like you.”
Sweet.
Mavis
You have forgotten Baldwin’s bashing and Newman’s assassination in NSW
Work To Rule @ #265 Saturday, November 26th, 2022 – 4:41 pm
Antony Green ABC News Channel ?
Did William say if he is working tonight for a media outlet ?
Tim Smith is on SKY. 🙂
The local paper in Warrnambool quotes Dr Geoffrey Robinson from Deakin, who has watched local politics for a long time; he rates Altmann (IND) a 40% chance of upsetting Britnell (LIB)
EDIT: story doesnt look to be paywalled;
https://www.standard.net.au/story/7996088/40-per-cent-chance-of-south-west-coast-seat-flipping/?cs=72
Tim Smith is on SKY.
.. and he apparently promised to cut loose about the Liberal Party!
I’m torn. ABC would be the best coverage. But SKY has Kroger, and I want to see him cry.
You cant cry if you dont have feelings.
”
Mavissays:
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 4:31 pm
Taylormade:
[‘Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 4:08 pm
Herald Sun 26/11
Dramatic footage has emerged of two voters punching each other at a polling station in Melbourne on Saturday morning.
Terrified onlookers filmed the incident, which shows two men wrestle to the ground at a school believed to be in Niddrie.
The pair is understood to have clashed after one man was vocal about his hatred for Premier Daniel Andrews.’]
_____________________
[‘Not much in it looking at the footage.
Just a bit of a scuffle.
Some people take their politics way too seriously.’]
That would be a matter for the police to determine if that is they attended the scene of the so-called “scuffle”.
”
It is all a result of hatred campaign by Murdoch rags.
You have to wonder. SKY says that Box Hill residents might punish Labor for their local underperforming hospital.
As a frequent patient there a few years ago, what a disgrace. The doctors and nurses were incredible.
The amount of shit public hospitals get put on them, and all they do is work their arses off to help people. day after day.
bug1
I am prepared to eat crow but I’m not convinced she will be 2nd at the 3CP stage, and then Britnell will beat Gaston (ALP). If she does get ahead of ALP I think she would get a bigger share of prefs from ALP than ALP gets from her if roles reversed – so I think Liberal HQ would be hoping Labor finish second at 3CP.
Gettysburg1863 says:
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 5:07 pm
Just gotta pass this on. Talking of Freedumb, my cousin who lives in Melbourne texted me this story.
Today, after voting , he was accosted by a Freedom HTV guy who said
(Quote) ” Hope you voted for freedom today”.
My cousin ” Yes, voted Labor”.
Freedom ” You voted for a dictator”.
Cousin ” No, voted for freedom from people like you.”
Sweet.
中华人民共和国
Tell your Cousin he is winning Post of the Day cobber.
He could take away the Grand Prize of Taylormades Left Ball that will be announced COB 31 December 2022.
nath
Yours is a common experience – people say in the abstract ‘our public hospitals are terrible’ and then if you ask nearly all patients what their experience was like this tell you the opposite.
Oakeshott Country @ #274 Saturday, November 26th, 2022 – 5:13 pm
And you’re here to make sure no one ever forgets.
*yawn*
@nath says:
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 5:20 pm
I’m torn. ABC would be the best coverage. But SKY has Kroger, and I want to see him cry.
______________________________
I am going to try the best of both worlds, record Sky and watch ABC as I so want to see Peta Credalin make the lemon face when a labor victory looks certain
So far though the Sky coverage is not too awful, if they avoid carrying on about lockdowns. They have Conroy on the panel and Kroger so almost worth staying tuned. Havent seen Kroger on a panel for a while and at first glance thought there was a Richard Nixon look-alike. Do love the quote from LNP HQ, that they were “confident to retain their seats but not hopeful of gaining”
Subgeometer, I think the right wing loons have made a massive mis-calculation about most Australians.
Main stream conservative political activists copy the republicans of the US, the cookers get their inspiration from American material on the Internet. A couple of years ago I even had a bloke argue that he could carry a rifle down the main street if he wanted to, due to his second amendment rights.
Most Australians aren’t interested in that crap, especially women who are alarmed by what they see the religious right trying to do in the US. Go for a Sunday drive and count the cars parked outside the churches. You won’t see many. We are a heathen nation, thankfully.
Hence I am genuinely convinced that the extreme right will achieve very little in Victoria today.
Just voted at local primary school in District of Mulgrave, no queue to speak of, But all HTV still maintaining a strong presence. Particularly Cook’s mob and “Freedom Party”. One loon gave one of the Labour guys a very small piece of his even smaller mind on the way out.
Work To Rule @ #265 Saturday, November 26th, 2022 – 4:41 pm
I think I’ll be flicking between 7 and 2 for the most part.
I wouldn’t worry too much about the cooker vote. Most of them are incapable of filling out a formal vote.
Do love the quote from LNP HQ, that they were “confident to retain their seats but not hopeful of gaining”
They finally decided to tell the truth. 😐
bug1 says:
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 5:22 pm
You cant cry if you dont have feelings.
—
Give bug1 a prize for this gem.
Caldwell
Calwell, Arthur Augustus,
With 17 minutes until polls close my 9 year old’s YouTube video is still being interrupted by election ads
Labor to be returned by a small majority. Will lose seats to Libs 6-7, Greens 2-3, ? Ind. Andrews losing his seat would be amazing but not likely
somethinglikethat says:
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 5:39 pm
bug1 says:
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 5:22 pm
You cant cry if you dont have feelings.
—
Give bug1 a prize for this gem.
中华人民共和国
Agree cobber. Lots of runners today.
”
bug1says:
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 5:22 pm
You cant cry if you dont have feelings.
”
Agree bug1
Michael Kroger has blamed the “toxic” leadership of Malcolm Turnbull on the 2018 state election result (which was a Labor landslide). [Sky News as reported on The Age blog]
And black is white?
I would think the knifing of Turnbull by Morrison was a bigger problem.